1 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fear and Greed. Some are investing series brought 2 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,559 Speaker 1: to you by VANTA specialists in compliance lead Growth. I'm 3 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: Sean Elmer. There are some fascinating stories and great opportunities 4 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: for investors in mid market stocks on the AX. So 5 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: today we're getting an insight into a few of those companies. 6 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: As always, this is general information only and you should 7 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: seek independent advice before making investment decisions that. Jacob Kkanas 8 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 1: is the director of Equity Research at Jardin Australia. Jacob, 9 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: welcome back to Fear and Greed. 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 2: Hi, Sean, thanks for having me. 11 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: Let's jump right into it. Well, actually, bid market. I'm 12 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: defining that as kind of after the top thirty stocks 13 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: and probably before the top four one hundred and twenty 14 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: or thereabouts if we jump into it. Brambles one of 15 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: my favorite companies because all I do is make palettes. 16 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: Well they probably do more than that, but I think 17 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: that's a pretty cool thing to do. 18 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 2: Absolutely, it's phenomenal still for a post war technology that 19 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 2: few pieces of lumbar dictate global supply chains. I think 20 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 2: it's one of Australia's great export stories. Ship in its 21 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 2: own rights is the leading market share for palettes in 22 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 2: the US and one of the greatest continental contenders over 23 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 2: in Europe. So it's phenomenal, Like I said, for an 24 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 2: increasingly technocratic and technology driven society, that we've got four 25 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: boards of wood bang together that orientate, however, on acts 26 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: in the supply chain. 27 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: Where is Brambles up to? Because it's had its ups 28 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: and downs over the years, what do you think of it? 29 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: As we end twenty twenty four heading to next year, 30 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: what do you think about Brambles? 31 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got a record higher share price sean, we're 32 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 2: starting to see the stock trade back in line with 33 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 2: its historical averages from a multiple spaces, which is usually 34 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: how investors look at these things and look. I'd summarize 35 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 2: it as Graham Chipchase, the company CEO, and John Mullen, 36 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 2: its current chair, as doing an amazing job not only 37 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 2: to generate cash flow out of a very capital intensive business, 38 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: but to also keep its moat defended and its moat 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 2: as a network business, so it relies on having the 40 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 2: most palettes in the most areas so that customers can 41 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 2: use them. It's defended its moat really intelligently through proper 42 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: disciplines around capital, but also making sure that they price 43 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: for the risks in their market. And as we spoke 44 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 2: just before we ramp up, this is a company that 45 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 2: can lose palettes. You reflected Sean that whatce upon a 46 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 2: time they lost a million palettes one year. This is 47 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 2: a common phenomenon and I think it's one of the 48 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 2: challenges where you've got physical assets in a global supply 49 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: chain that things can go missing. But to Graham and 50 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 2: John's credit, they've done an excellent job ensuring that there's 51 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 2: not that much leakage out of the business anymore. 52 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 1: Jacob, I know you like Aurora. Explain what Aurora does 53 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: and the good and bad of Aurora. 54 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 2: Yeah, looks simplistically now sewn. Aurora is a global beverage 55 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 2: bottling company. Historically they've been many things. It had come 56 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 2: out of Amcor, also another famous Australian export. Originally it 57 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,799 Speaker 2: had focused on fiber. It had a distribution and value 58 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 2: added marketing services business in the US that it just solved. 59 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 2: It announced a couple of weeks ago that they're going 60 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 2: to commit capital to buying ten percent of their shares 61 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: outstanding with the proceeds from the North American sale. So 62 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 2: now it's a glass bottler. Really and Can's business focused 63 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 2: on the beverage segment. 64 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: Wait, so where does that men do? I don't know 65 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: how it makes its money. 66 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 2: How does it make its money? Okay, this is a 67 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 2: great question. So Penfolds is a great example for the 68 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: Australian business. They're one of the great Australian wine exporters. 69 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 2: Aurora will exclusively provide them the bottles for their red wine, 70 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: a lot of the prestige but also a lot of 71 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:51,279 Speaker 2: the mass market wines that get exported out of Australia. 72 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 2: They also purchased a business called Saviglass that's based out 73 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 2: of France, but it has a global production supply chain 74 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: and the way to think about Savaglasses that services the 75 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 2: premium beverage market. So if you've ever had an expensive cognac, 76 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: or if you've ever had an expensive tequila or vodka, 77 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: chances are it's Aurora's product from Savaglass. So brands that 78 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: come to mind there would be Grey Goose, which is 79 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 2: one of their famous bottles that they do with the 80 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 2: nice shaded and frosted glass. That's proprietary technology to Aurora. 81 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:24,720 Speaker 1: Wow, what are the risks on Aurora? 82 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 2: The risks at the moment, Sean. Obviously, with the global 83 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 2: demand environment, as interest rates had come up, people would 84 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 2: pulled back, surprise, surprise on their eight hundred dollars bottles 85 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 2: of Cognac all of a sudden. It's not o fay 86 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 2: to have Hennessy sitting around the house in a cost 87 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 2: of living crisis. So one of the risks still is 88 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 2: that there's a little bit of a wash of those 89 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:51,280 Speaker 2: inventories that lvmh Remy Contro had anticipating that demand would 90 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 2: stay higher and what it has been. 91 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: So from your top shelf Cognacs to clean Away, Yeah, 92 00:04:58,040 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: that's quite the jump. 93 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 2: Look, there's a lot of money to be made in both. 94 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: Cleanaway is a really interesting company for many reasons Sean. 95 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 2: It's the last remaining listed global waste player in Australia. 96 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 2: So as our super funds grow and as they look 97 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 2: for sustainable investments but also defensive investments, Kleanaway's one that 98 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 2: seems to be screening really well. It's got two parts 99 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 2: of its business that are really interesting. There's a solid 100 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 2: waste collection, so the blue trucks that come and wake 101 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 2: everyone up at five am in the morning, that's clean Away. 102 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 2: They do the council runs, but they also have a 103 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 2: really interesting duo ballistic health business. So there's two companies 104 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: in Australia that collect all the medical waste from elective surgeries. 105 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 2: Kleanaway is one of them. And what I never knew 106 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 2: before I started covering the companies, a lot of this 107 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 2: waste is really heavy, but it has to go away 108 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: and get incinerated so that it stays healthy for all 109 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 2: of us and prevents contamination. So Keleanway's in a really 110 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 2: interesting spot. It's got great management. It's seen through some 111 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 2: really disruptive times from labor and operating disynergies, but it 112 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:06,679 Speaker 2: feels like we're getting through the end of those. 113 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: It's just that. 114 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 2: Investors are in this current debate about whether or not 115 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 2: that's priced into the share. 116 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: Price valuations everything. Jacob, thank you for joining us this morning. 117 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 2: Thank you, Sean. 118 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,799 Speaker 1: That was Jacob kakanis Director of Equity Research at Jarden Australia. 119 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: Remember to get your own independent advice before making investment decisions. 120 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: This is fear and greed. Some are investing series brought 121 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: to you by vant Vanta automates Compliance for frameworks like 122 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: ISO twenty seven one SoC to CPS two, three, four, 123 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 1: and Essential eight. Saving time and money while building trust. 124 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: Join over eight thousand companies like Atlasian, Dovetail, fire End, 125 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: and tac teat dot io managing real time risk, get 126 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars. Ad vanter dot com, slash fear and greed. 127 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 1: I'm Sean Elmer. Enjoy your day,