1 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: This is what the Flux. I'm bred and I'm justin 2 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:10,799 Speaker 1: and it's Friday, the thirtieth of January. Just over a 3 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,119 Speaker 1: year ago, the government said that the worst is behind 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: us when it comes to inflation, but new inflation data 5 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: shows that underlying inflation increased to three point four percent 6 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: in the December quarter out, which was above the RBA's 7 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: forecast and well above it's two and a half percent 8 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: target range. With the RBA meeting for the first time 9 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: this year on Tuesday, all eyes were on the RBA 10 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: boards a big decision. Will they pause or will they raise. 11 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: We'll cover it all in the Flux app next Tuesday. 12 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: Very nervous times for the six million mortgage holders in Australia. 13 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: Be Man, Huge, Foxdam. We often talk about investing on 14 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: the podcast, whether it's through company updates or ETFs or 15 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:46,959 Speaker 1: direct investing, and something we sometimes speak about as well 16 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: is income investing. In the Flux app, we break down 17 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: the case for inviting fixed income into your share portfolio party. 18 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: So that you want to learn more about fixed income ETFs, 19 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: make sure to download the Flux app and check it out. 20 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: Three enormous stories today Juzzy Boy, Let's do it for 21 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: our first domains. Fight with Area just got more complicated 22 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: after a US activist investor fired some shots at domain's 23 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: new owner, Coastar. Oh is Domain's magical war chest about 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: to shrink before it was even dished out? Tell me 25 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: we'll be man. Okay. So Costar is an American real 26 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 1: estate data and analytics giant that's focused on commercial real estate. 27 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 1: A few years ago it got to be bored of 28 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 1: commercial property and it decided it wanted to play in 29 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: residential too, And since then it's spent billions acquiring homes 30 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: dot Com in the US, on the market in the UK, 31 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: and of course Australia's very own Domain. Now this was 32 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: meant to be Domain's glow up moment, think deep pockets, 33 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,919 Speaker 1: globe backing, limitless capital. In fact, be Man Coastar CEO 34 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: said he was willing to quote each nails to make 35 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: sure Domain succeeds. That is some serious dedication to the 36 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: cause the old nail consumption. But now be Man. Activist 37 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: investor Dwnload, the influential founder of hedge front Third Point, 38 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: has just released a scathing letter to Coastar's board. He 39 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: said Coastar has quote week board oversight custrous capital allocation 40 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: policies and years of strategic blunders, and is particularly fired 41 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: up about Costar's expansion into residential real estate portals. Lobe 42 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 1: is demanding the Costart refocus on its core commercial property business, 43 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,079 Speaker 1: and this is a huge deal for Domain because if 44 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: Lobe gets his way, Domain's budget could be slash. So 45 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: what's the key learning here? When you're part of a 46 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: global company, your budget is only as safe as your 47 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: parent company's performance and stability. When a giant like Costart 48 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 1: buys a company like Domain, it loses its independent status. 49 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 1: Domain no longer answers to just its customers or its 50 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: own ASX shareholders. It effectively answers to the parent company 51 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 1: shareholders too, and Domain, as the subsidiary, becomes a lever 52 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 1: that Costar can pull to fix their own challenges. Yeah, 53 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: you see, man. When Costar acquired Domain, Aria's investors fear 54 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: that Domain would outspend Aria on marketing, AI tech hiring. 55 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,119 Speaker 1: But while they're under attack from activist investors, Domain might 56 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: be told to just sit tight or self fund. So 57 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: given Aria's share price drop more than ten percent when 58 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: the news of the Domain acquisition first, you can bet 59 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: there might be some very relieved investors right now for 60 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 1: our second story, Meta has generated record profits and it's 61 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,959 Speaker 1: now investing one hundred and thirty five billion US dollars 62 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: as part of the AI race. One hundred and thirty 63 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 1: five bill. Nothing to sneeze out here, be man, the 64 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: Zuck is back in growth mode. So tell me all well, 65 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:18,679 Speaker 1: Josey boy Meta is the parent company of Facebook and 66 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: Insta and WhatsApp, you know, just casually connecting over three 67 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 1: point five billion people every single day. And jose boit. 68 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: Meta has had its own ups and downs over the 69 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,639 Speaker 1: last couple of years with its whopping spend on remember 70 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: the metaverse, it really hurt its share price. Yeah, but 71 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: now Meta has crushed its quarterly earnings. We're talking revenue 72 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: of nearly sixty billion US dollars, which is up twenty 73 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:41,119 Speaker 1: four percent, while it's net income of nearly twenty three 74 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: billion US dollars is up nine percent. And both of 75 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: these results are quarterly records. And Josey Boy Meta announced 76 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: their plan to spend between one hundred and fifteen billion 77 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: dollars to one hundred and thirty five billion US dollars 78 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: on capital spending in twenty twenty six and the bulk 79 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: of that spending will be in their new meta superintelligence 80 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: labs aka a high all part of their plan to 81 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: compete with Google, OpenAI and Anthropic and then Man, that 82 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: spend is nearly double what they spent in twenty twenty five, 83 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: which was just over seventy two bill and this means 84 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: that the barrier to entry into large language models is 85 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: becoming even higher. Yep, So what is the key learning here? 86 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 1: AI is quickly becoming a game where scale really matters, 87 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 1: because training and running advanced models require some serious dough. 88 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: We be talking upfront investments in AI chips and data centers, 89 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: energy networks, many many employees, and that is where capital 90 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:33,159 Speaker 1: intensity actually becomes a competitive advantage for meta. Think about 91 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: this one, Jazzy boy. Only a handful of companies can 92 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: really afford to spend one hundred plus a billion a 93 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 1: year on AI, So metas spending effectively raises the barrier 94 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:45,599 Speaker 1: to entry. Yep. There may be smaller competitors with better ideas, 95 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: but without the infrastructure they may struggle to compete. Throw 96 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 1: on top of that, metas throwing hundreds of millions of 97 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 1: dollars to lure AI experts with upfront bonuses. So by 98 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: investing early and at scale, Meta is trying to lock 99 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: in their long term positioning, even if it means sacrificing 100 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: on some short term efficiency. For our third and final story, 101 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: Tesla's annual revenue has fallen for the first time ever 102 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: after Elon Musk shifts Tesla's focus away from cars car 103 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: company that doesn't actually care about car sales. Hey, good figure, 104 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 1: what is going on here? So Tesla is the electric 105 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: vehicle maker found it in two thousand and three, best 106 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 1: known for turning electric vehicles from niche science projects into 107 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: mass market car and for the first time ever, Tesla 108 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 1: reported an annual revenue decline. Yeah, it's twenty twenty five 109 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 1: sales slid three percent to ninety four point eight billion. 110 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: And why's Tesla lost its EV crown b man Well, 111 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,599 Speaker 1: lots of reasons, but the main one are the major 112 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: competition from BID and other companies. So Tesla is converting 113 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: the factory space for models and x into a massive 114 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 1: production hub for the Optimus humanoid robots. Tesla's also doubling 115 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: down on AI by investing two billion US dollars into 116 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 1: Musk's other startup, Xai, And again it's part of Tesla's 117 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: plan to shift away from ev cars into driverless cyber cabs. 118 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: Lot's going on here, but be man. Despite these disappointing 119 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: final results, Tesla share price actually actually remained flat. So 120 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: what's the key learning here? A company valuation depends on 121 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: which business investors think you're in. If Tesla is viewed 122 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: as a car manufacturer, then Houston Tesla's guard problem revenue 123 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: dropping year on year. December quarterly deliveries across all models 124 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 1: fell sixteen percent from the same time last year. But 125 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: if Tesla is viewed as an AI and robotics company, 126 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: then the declining cars aren't such a biggie because it's 127 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: not the future. The investor lens changes completely. So Tesla 128 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: is hoping that as its electric vehicle business declines, the 129 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 1: overall company is dropped up by AI, robotics and autonomous 130 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 1: vehicles that you can name. But that's why the share 131 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:42,040 Speaker 1: price remained flat despite worse quarterly results. Ever, fox am, 132 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: did you know that only twenty eight percent of individual 133 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: stocks on the S and P five hundred actually beat 134 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 1: the indexes in twenty twenty four And that is where 135 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: fixed income quietly plays its part. They diversified portfolio to 136 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: make sure to check out the Flex app to learn more. 137 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and we'll see you on Monday.