WEBVTT - The Late Deabte | 17 March 0:00:01.200 --> 0:00:09.399 La General. Welcome late babe, good evening, thanks for joining us. 0:00:09.400 --> 0:00:12.480 I'm James Macpherson with Liz Storer and Joe Hildebrand filling 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.480 in for Caleb Bond. Coming up tonight. A four year 0:00:15.520 --> 0:00:18.600 old toddler calls nine to eleven. Wait until you hear 0:00:18.640 --> 0:00:21.480 the crime that was reported. Will play you that a 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:24.280 little later. Plus, when we look at the papers Federal 0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:29.240 Labor have deleted from their website modeling regarding carbon reduction 0:00:29.760 --> 0:00:33.240 as their own targets look increasingly unlikely to be met. 0:00:33.720 --> 0:00:37.600 And trouble for the Victorian Opposition leader after he claimed 0:00:37.600 --> 0:00:40.879 to be visiting cycle and affected family in Queensland but 0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:43.159 seems like it was actually on a four day cruise. 0:00:43.200 --> 0:00:44.680 We'll get to all of that when we look at 0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:49.320 tomorrow's headlines, but first we need to talk about Malcolm Turnbull. 0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:54.040 Last week, Malcolm Turnbull slammed Donald Trump, comparing him unfavorably 0:00:54.480 --> 0:00:58.480 to the Chinese dictator e Jujingping. This week, Malcolm Turnbull, 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:02.080 the former Prime Minister, was slamming the Orcust deal, describing 0:01:02.120 --> 0:01:04.120 it as terrible and unfair. 0:01:05.720 --> 0:01:08.320 Orcus is a terrible deal. 0:01:09.200 --> 0:01:12.280 It is so unfair to Australia and the reason it 0:01:12.360 --> 0:01:16.440 is unfair is that we are paying three billion US 0:01:16.560 --> 0:01:20.200 dollars to the Americans to support their submarine industrial base, 0:01:21.000 --> 0:01:23.640 but we have no guarantee that we will ever get 0:01:23.680 --> 0:01:27.399 any submarines. People say, do will Donald Trump like it? Well, 0:01:27.440 --> 0:01:29.360 of course he'd like it. It's such a bad deal 0:01:29.400 --> 0:01:32.200 for us. Will He's only thinking, he'd be back of 0:01:32.240 --> 0:01:34.399 his mind. He'll be thinking, who are these dumb guys 0:01:34.440 --> 0:01:35.479 that agreed to this deal? 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:39.240 So it seems to me there's two issues here. First 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:42.840 and foremost is Malcolm Turnbull right? It is true we're 0:01:42.880 --> 0:01:46.280 paying three billion dollars upfront to the US without any 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:50.280 guarantee that will ever get any submarine in return. And 0:01:50.400 --> 0:01:54.120 if that happens, where does that leave our national defense? 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:57.440 The second issue, of course, is why is Malcolm Turnbull 0:01:57.480 --> 0:02:00.560 suddenly omnipresent? I mean, you see more of Melk Turnbull 0:02:00.840 --> 0:02:02.720 than Eddie McGuire these days. 0:02:03.000 --> 0:02:04.080 That's I'm going to Eddie. 0:02:04.160 --> 0:02:08.600 Are his unsolicited interjections in the political scene damaging our 0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:13.000 already strained relations with our major ally, Joe, how about it? 0:02:13.000 --> 0:02:14.560 Which issue do you want to address first? 0:02:14.600 --> 0:02:15.040 Is he right? 0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:18.720 So many No, he's not right? And someone like Malcolm 0:02:18.760 --> 0:02:21.679 Turnbull was just you know again, I used to think 0:02:21.760 --> 0:02:24.680 there was just so much potential in that bloke, and 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:26.040 like everyone else I was. 0:02:26.400 --> 0:02:28.760 Everyone in the Labor Party thought, yeah, we thought he 0:02:28.840 --> 0:02:29.720 was one of us. 0:02:30.680 --> 0:02:33.560 Everyone long for the leather jacket, they loved that. 0:02:33.760 --> 0:02:38.360 Yeah, that's right. Okay. Firstly, the Orcust Deal is not 0:02:38.520 --> 0:02:41.239 really about submarines, and anyone who can't see that from 0:02:41.280 --> 0:02:45.280 space has no business being in politics, let alone commentating 0:02:45.280 --> 0:02:49.240 on foreign affairs and geostrategic matters. The Orcust Deal is 0:02:49.280 --> 0:02:53.880 about locking Australia and the US in a strategic military 0:02:54.000 --> 0:02:58.680 defense alliance that basically is the sort of hardware around 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:02.200 the ANSAs Treaty, and to making sure that no matter 0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:06.400 what happens in our region, America is obliged, not just 0:03:06.440 --> 0:03:08.880 because of the Anzis Treaty that it's already signed, or 0:03:08.919 --> 0:03:11.200 indeed because of the Orgestrae it's ally time, but because 0:03:11.240 --> 0:03:14.320 it is in it up to its neck, because its 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:17.240 stuff is on the line, much like if it was 0:03:17.240 --> 0:03:20.200 digging up rare earth in Ukraine, for example, that it 0:03:20.280 --> 0:03:23.200 will have to come to our aid. And it's all 0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:26.400 the more important now because we have a superpower on 0:03:26.520 --> 0:03:30.960 the rise in China, and that is potentially hopefully not, 0:03:31.400 --> 0:03:35.960 but that is potentially a real strategic risk if, for example, 0:03:36.000 --> 0:03:38.760 it tries to block access to the South China Sea 0:03:39.000 --> 0:03:45.080 or you know, re invade or you re absorb Taiwan 0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:48.240 into it, and that sparks the sort of regional conflict 0:03:48.240 --> 0:03:50.760 that Australia by sort of domino effect could get involved in. 0:03:50.760 --> 0:03:50.800 It. 0:03:50.920 --> 0:03:55.000 We need America on our side, our back. 0:03:55.480 --> 0:03:59.680 It's not really, it's more than it's only are it 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:00.320 gets so well. 0:04:00.320 --> 0:04:02.640 The submarines are symbolic if you like, like hopefully we 0:04:02.680 --> 0:04:04.480 will get the subs and I can guarantee you they 0:04:04.520 --> 0:04:07.040 will be late and over budget. But the point is 0:04:07.360 --> 0:04:10.200 it puts US. It makes the fate of US, our 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:14.640 military and the US's military inextricably intertwined over a very 0:04:14.720 --> 0:04:16.880 very long period of time. And that's what matters. We 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:19.320 are not going to be relying on these submarines if 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:22.240 and when they ever come to defeat China or take 0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:25.280 on China, or defend ourselves against China on their own. 0:04:25.360 --> 0:04:27.599 We are going to be defending on America. And the 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:29.840 best way you get America to act is when it's 0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:32.960 also in its own self interest. And speaking of self interest, 0:04:33.080 --> 0:04:35.080 Malcolm Turnbull is of course the guy who did the 0:04:35.120 --> 0:04:39.520 previous substeal with the French government, which again, if it 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:42.640 was just submarines might look better on paper, maybe we 0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:45.080 get more for our money, and maybe we get them sooner. 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:48.040 But it's not just about submarines. And anyone who can't 0:04:48.080 --> 0:04:50.280 see that isn't seeing the forest for the trees. And 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:52.679 what are the French going to do if China suddenly 0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:55.400 gets belligerent and aggressive towards Australia, Well, they will make 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:58.440 sure that they come right here in the region right 0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:02.240 now and officially surrender on Australia's behalf, because that's all 0:05:02.320 --> 0:05:05.120 the frogs already got at. And they've been screwing things 0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:07.640 up for years. They screwed up the situation in Indo China. 0:05:07.760 --> 0:05:10.159 They screwed up when they said the Emperor Maximilian over 0:05:10.160 --> 0:05:13.400 to Mexico to become the last Emperor of Mexico. They 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:18.279 screwed up in the Napoleonic Wars. These guys are just hopeless. 0:05:18.440 --> 0:05:21.760 What happens when they know what happens when the Germans 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:25.400 rock up and imparasitor. 0:05:26.640 --> 0:05:29.920 Speaking of screwing up Liz is Malcolm Turnbull screwing up 0:05:29.960 --> 0:05:31.680 ol flimsy relationship. 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:34.440 No, no, not at all. 0:05:34.520 --> 0:05:36.840 Look, he has a point in that it's very unlikely 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:39.600 we're going to get these subs because the deal says 0:05:40.000 --> 0:05:43.400 America is only giving us these three subs if and 0:05:43.480 --> 0:05:46.400 when it doesn't cost them with regard to their own 0:05:46.520 --> 0:05:51.719 naval capacity. Now, subs are the most expensive and important 0:05:51.800 --> 0:05:55.200 asset the Americans have, indeed any military has. 0:05:55.200 --> 0:05:56.520 When you're talking about subs. 0:05:56.240 --> 0:06:00.760 You're talking about the Apex predator. If you have subs, 0:06:01.040 --> 0:06:03.480 you're doing incredibly well for yourself. 0:06:03.640 --> 0:06:06.360 So we're not doing well for ourselves. 0:06:06.000 --> 0:06:08.359 At all, which is why we need these guys. But 0:06:08.800 --> 0:06:13.159 they're currently twenty sub short in America of the amount 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:16.320 of subs that they want. So when you think of 0:06:16.440 --> 0:06:18.640 how many subs they've got to get up and running 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:19.400 before they've. 0:06:19.240 --> 0:06:23.360 Got three Sparez's that they're going to be like Australia. 0:06:23.400 --> 0:06:24.640 We've got those three. 0:06:24.720 --> 0:06:27.680 That's not going to cost us our naval capacity. 0:06:28.680 --> 0:06:30.680 That's probably never going to happen. 0:06:30.760 --> 0:06:34.599 But for the exact reasons that Joe has just elucidated on, 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:38.680 this is very important. We would agree to anything that 0:06:38.839 --> 0:06:39.839 the Yanks want. 0:06:40.000 --> 0:06:44.040 Why because they are the biggest military power on Earth 0:06:44.320 --> 0:06:45.320 just ahead. 0:06:44.960 --> 0:06:49.480 Of Russia, followed by China, and those two have been 0:06:49.560 --> 0:06:54.920 driven into each other's arms in recent years. So our alliance, 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:58.920 our friendship with the Yanks is more important now than 0:06:59.000 --> 0:07:02.159 ever before. If you would sign anything, even if it 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:05.400 meant we got nothing except for the understanding that if 0:07:05.440 --> 0:07:07.640 we say yes to this, you guys are going to 0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:09.840 come for us, right like, if we need you, you're 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:10.440 going to be there. 0:07:10.480 --> 0:07:12.560 Do you think that the Albanezer government really believed that, 0:07:12.600 --> 0:07:15.520 because if they did, surely they would lift defense spending 0:07:15.560 --> 0:07:18.680 to the three percent of GDP that Trump wants. Instead 0:07:18.680 --> 0:07:20.880 of promising what they say, they lift it from about 0:07:20.920 --> 0:07:24.040 two percent to two point three percent, which is I 0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:26.679 think about one hundred billion dollars extra over that period. 0:07:26.720 --> 0:07:29.480 But it's hardly the three percent that Trump says should 0:07:29.480 --> 0:07:32.080 be a minimum for any country that isn't an alliance 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:33.280 with the United States. 0:07:33.280 --> 0:07:36.480 I would say it's because they know the Yanks will 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:38.600 come to our rescue that they're like, you know what, 0:07:38.760 --> 0:07:41.880 if we raise it by a few point percentages more, 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:44.080 what difference is it really going to make in the 0:07:44.120 --> 0:07:47.320 big scheme of things. We will still be wholly and 0:07:47.440 --> 0:07:52.360 solely reliable on America in the event of any kind 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:55.280 of squabble with the powers that be, and of course 0:07:55.440 --> 0:07:59.680 geographically we're way closer to China, will be the first 0:08:00.120 --> 0:08:04.520 oh when something bad goes wrong, should they decide to flex, 0:08:04.560 --> 0:08:07.320 and again, all eyes will be on America, not US 0:08:07.360 --> 0:08:11.960 as a middle power, especially with the capability. 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:15.960 Or lack there of, of our military at the moment. That's simple. 0:08:16.120 --> 0:08:17.840 Well, I'll tell you one thing that Anthey Albanez he 0:08:17.880 --> 0:08:21.280 wishes he had, and that was Donald Trump's approval ratings 0:08:21.320 --> 0:08:24.720 after just three months. Donald Trump is doing quite well. 0:08:24.720 --> 0:08:28.000 In fact, he's the most popular he's ever been. His 0:08:28.440 --> 0:08:31.280 USU's describing exactly where he's at. 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:35.280 Let's just start with Trump himself. That forty seven percent 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.360 job approval reading. Two ways of looking at this. First 0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:41.120 of all, if you compare Trump to every recent president 0:08:41.440 --> 0:08:44.440 this point after coming into office, Trump's number here is 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:47.520 the lowest, significantly the lowest of any of his modern 0:08:47.559 --> 0:08:51.240 predecessors except Donald Trump in his first term. He was 0:08:51.280 --> 0:08:53.880 at forty percent at this point in twenty seventeen. 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:58.679 So Donald Trump is beating himself, which is quite an accomplishment. 0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:01.480 The interesting part about these polls, there's a lot will 0:09:01.480 --> 0:09:05.920 go through in a moment. But ninety percent of Republicans 0:09:06.040 --> 0:09:10.679 approve of Donald Trump's performance, only four percent of Democrats 0:09:10.840 --> 0:09:14.680 approve of Trump's performance. Now, you might say, well, that's obvious, 0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:18.400 but that's the largest gap in approval of a president 0:09:18.440 --> 0:09:22.640 between Republicans and Democrats in close to one hundred years. 0:09:22.720 --> 0:09:22.880 Joe. 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:26.839 It just goes to show how incredibly divided America still is, 0:09:27.120 --> 0:09:30.600 even though a lot of Americans do believe for the 0:09:30.640 --> 0:09:34.560 first time, well more Americans than in the past twenty 0:09:34.640 --> 0:09:37.720 years now believe America's on the right track, but still 0:09:37.760 --> 0:09:39.040 an incredibly divided nation. 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:43.319 Yeah, it's incredibly divided. And also, I think that figure 0:09:43.600 --> 0:09:46.679 kind of comes on the back of America for the 0:09:46.720 --> 0:09:50.200 first time in the kind of in the sort of 0:09:50.880 --> 0:09:54.840 mid twenty tens, twenty twenties, actually suddenly starting to doubt 0:09:54.880 --> 0:09:57.560 itself and suddenly think, hang on, maybe we are a 0:09:57.720 --> 0:10:00.880 washed up souperer. Maybe our best days behind us. And remember, 0:10:00.920 --> 0:10:03.760 you know, we had the American Century in the twentieth century, 0:10:03.840 --> 0:10:06.400 but America has only been a global superpower for about 0:10:06.400 --> 0:10:08.880 one hundred years. You look at places like you know, China, 0:10:08.960 --> 0:10:12.520 it's been thousands in their sphere of influence and in 0:10:12.520 --> 0:10:16.439 some ways or you know ten. So I think that's 0:10:16.440 --> 0:10:17.840 the first thing to look at. The second thing is 0:10:18.000 --> 0:10:21.000 the guy's absolutely right. You can only compare Donald Trump 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:24.240 with Donald Trump because everything else is that apples without 0:10:24.559 --> 0:10:27.640 apples with oranges, because he's so different to every other 0:10:27.679 --> 0:10:29.839 former president that the normal sort of rules don't apply. 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:33.680 And the reason why more people will disapprove of him, 0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:37.160 even though he's just won this massive landslide election including 0:10:37.480 --> 0:10:40.720 both Houses of Congress, is because the people who approve 0:10:41.400 --> 0:10:45.480 of Donald Trump really really really really really approve of him, 0:10:45.559 --> 0:10:47.480 and they will go and get out to vote for him, 0:10:47.480 --> 0:10:50.120 where you'd have a whole bunch of people, including registered voters, 0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:51.880 will say yeah, I don't approve on him, and then 0:10:51.960 --> 0:10:53.720 go and you know, smoke another bomb on the couch 0:10:53.800 --> 0:10:57.000 or whatever it is they do. But this guy electrifies 0:10:57.040 --> 0:11:00.120 people and gets out the vote. Interestingly, the only thing 0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:03.360 he's got a mega net approval rating in terms of 0:11:03.480 --> 0:11:06.160 issues is border security and immigration, which just goes to 0:11:06.200 --> 0:11:09.920 show how stupid the Democrats were to open the floodgates again. 0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:12.600 Especially they didn't have to do anything. All they had 0:11:12.600 --> 0:11:14.800 to do is say, oh, well, Donald Trump's built the wall, 0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:16.880 shut the gate. We'll just keep it shut and then 0:11:16.960 --> 0:11:19.600 you know, bitch and marn about it a little bit. 0:11:19.600 --> 0:11:22.840 But basically because that is what any like if labor 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:26.760 got that. Well, again, they didn't exactly do that twenty seven, 0:11:26.800 --> 0:11:29.960 but they learned pretty quickly. You just let the Libs 0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:31.760 and the Coalition the right do all the tough on 0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:34.280 popular stuff that you secretly want to do, and say, well, 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:35.920 they did it, and now we can't really undo it, 0:11:35.920 --> 0:11:38.000 and then talk about something else like health and education. 0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:40.560 When it comes to the war between Russia and Ukraine, 0:11:41.400 --> 0:11:44.439 you have the equal biggest difference exactly the same as 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:47.520 inflation of the cost of living fifty five to forty 0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:49.920 two who actually think that Donald Trump is doing the 0:11:49.960 --> 0:11:52.120 wrong thing. So if you think about what he's doing 0:11:52.120 --> 0:11:54.040 on tariffs, which we've set off a lot of alarm bells, 0:11:54.040 --> 0:11:57.320 that obviously feeds directly into inflation because it makes American 0:11:57.440 --> 0:12:01.640 imports expensive in America. And if you look out, of course, 0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:07.640 where the mainstream sits on Ukraine, clearly overwhelmingly it is 0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.840 pro Ukraine and in opposition to Donald Trump's position. So 0:12:11.080 --> 0:12:11.960 there you go, America. 0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:14.200 I hope you're watching I would have thought a forty 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:18.319 seven percent approval rating after just three months, Liz, when effectively, 0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.440 what he's doing now is trying to undo all of 0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:26.079 the garbage that the Biden administration thrust upon the United States. 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:28.079 And if you've ever done a home renovation, it always 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:31.080 looks worse before it gets better. So if Trump is 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:35.120 going this well compared to his previous term after just 0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:37.320 three months, I reckon if you check back in a 0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.920 year after he's made good progress undoing all the stuff 0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:43.679 he wants to undo before he can start implementing his 0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:46.079 full agenda, he's doing quite well. 0:12:46.440 --> 0:12:48.480 Yeah. Look, it's an early judgment call. 0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:51.120 I mean, these are very very early days of this 0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:54.640 new Trump administration, but a lot of the headlines that 0:12:54.679 --> 0:12:58.240 we're seeing coming out of America singing the guy's praises. 0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:02.720 And I've always been pretty outspoken in my support of Trump, 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:06.520 but as someone who I would consider a Trumper, I've 0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:09.320 been disappointed by quite a few things that the admin 0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:15.280 has done so far, most noticeably passing a continuing resolution 0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:18.559 last week, which meant that they were going to keep 0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:22.400 up the same spending levels as the Biden administration until 0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:26.239 September at least at which point they could just pass. 0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:27.920 Another see R. 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:31.240 So all these headlines that we've been talking about dose 0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:37.240 covering all this ridiculous government corruption and these insane expenditures, 0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:39.240 and we're laughing and saying, oh, they're going to pack 0:13:39.320 --> 0:13:39.520 it in. 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:41.480 Yes, this is awesome. 0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:46.600 They just agreed to keep spending the same amount of 0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:50.160 money to keep funding who knows where the funding is 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:54.080 going now, but the same amount. And that's after they 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:57.560 campaigned months and months and months. 0:13:57.000 --> 0:13:59.640 Saying, oh, we're going to cut government spending. This has 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.480 gone effect inflation. You're going to see these numbers. 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:07.880 Really, No, No, you just passed a continuing resolution. And 0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:12.960 let's be clear, because it was such a comprehensive election outcome, 0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:17.960 the Republicans now control the House and the Senate, there 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:23.560 is absolutely no excuse for any promises that were made 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:28.360 prior to the election simply not being delivered on. So 0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:31.040 while everyone in the States and indeed US have been 0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.040 harping on about these great wins and we're slashing usaid, 0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:39.000 eighty three percent of their programs are now out the window. 0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:41.480 For me, the Continuing. 0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:45.120 Resolution past last week literally blew my mind. 0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:46.560 And then what does Trump do? 0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:51.800 He attacks the one senator who had the gonads to 0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.560 call out the hypocrisy and say, hang on a minute. 0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:57.880 You promised us one thing and you guys are doing another. 0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:01.000 And laughably, it was the Dems that got it across 0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:01.880 the line. 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:04.040 Ten Dems voted. 0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:07.040 With the Republicans to get it across the line in 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:07.840 the Senate. 0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:12.360 It's not a red flag, you guys. 0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:16.280 So there's quite a few promises that conservatives are going. 0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:17.280 Hang on the. 0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:21.080 JFK files, you promised us. They still haven't got those. 0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:24.560 The Epstein files, you promise us, still haven't got those. 0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:26.920 What happened? 0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:32.000 Indeed, we'd love to note this ridiculous, outlandish declaration that 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:35.760 ethnic cleansing of a territory is perfectly fine in the 0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:39.640 case of Gaza. Apparently it's okay when we do it. 0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:42.920 Given him coming out last week as the Trump administration 0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:46.640 and condemning the carnage that we're now seeing in Syria, 0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:50.280 Oh we condemned this, but we have him on tape. 0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:52.600 We played that for you Thursday of last week. 0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:56.000 If you were watching, condemning the fact that the US 0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:59.960 was funding these terrorists in the lead up to toppling 0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.480 the Assad regime, which they wanted to do forever. Now 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:07.160 those terrorists are killing all in Sundry. If you're a 0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:09.880 Christian or an Alloyite in Syria. 0:16:09.280 --> 0:16:11.360 And all which condemn that, Mate, you know. 0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:15.440 Exactly where those Terrrians came from them. 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:17.920 Both of those I could go on same time. 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.040 But while Trump might have his faults, the Democrats are 0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:25.480 favor Their favorability rating Joe is twenty seven percent, the 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:27.800 lowest it's ever been all of history, in. 0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.760 All of every homon time in their history. 0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:33.720 So Democrats don't know how to respond to Trump at all. 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:37.240 We saw during his address to the Joint House of 0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:41.920 Congress that they're holding up signs just jeticy. They're refusing 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.960 to stand even for a kid who's overcome brain cancer. 0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:48.400 No wonder. Their favorability rating is the lowest it's ever been. 0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:52.360 But they still they just still do not understand what's 0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:54.560 going on. Lord, you give them eyes, and yet they 0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.920 do not see. They just have no they cannot get 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:01.520 their heads around what has happened. And you saw just 0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.159 a tiny bit of sort of the scales sort of 0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:06.520 peeling back from their eyes a little bit on election 0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:09.080 night after they were completely blind slid sided by this 0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:12.920 massive result, and everyone there was a bit of introspections 0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:14.399 like how did we miss all this? Where did we 0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:16.840 go so wrong? You know, Joe Scarborough went to Mari 0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.959 Lago and even met with Donald Trump, And there is 0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:22.680 there is a bit of soul search in the Democrats, 0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:25.200 but again they still just sort of go to the 0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.600 default position. It's like a Pavlovian response. You know, someone 0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:32.720 rings the bell and they start drooling again. And there 0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.680 is an interesting thing last week there was apparently there's 0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:39.399 a group of moderate Democrats who who went away on 0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:41.439 this sort of big sort of retreats, say right, what 0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:43.040 do we do? What do we do? And We've got 0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:44.600 to get back to the community. We've got to stop 0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.040 looking like we hate America. We've got to start being 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:48.919 more patriotic. We've got to start going to where the 0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:52.080 community is, going to gun shows, heaven forbid, and talking 0:17:52.080 --> 0:17:54.320 to real people there and saying, you know, why do 0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.360 patriotic Americans hate us so much? And then you get 0:17:57.400 --> 0:18:00.360 polling like this, and I think it found that the 0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:03.320 the most popular candidate among respondents to be the next 0:18:03.440 --> 0:18:11.680 kind of candidate for presidents was AOC left Tim Waltz. 0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:15.080 So it doesn't give that's right, so you know it's 0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:17.480 just insane. I mean, it should be Tulsy Gabbard, but 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:19.760 unfortunately she's already left the building. 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:21.960 Well, no matter what you say about the Democrats in 0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:24.200 the US, it doesn't get much better here in Australia. 0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:26.880 Of course, Jim Charmers is preparing. 0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:30.080 To give a budget update in March, and I think 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:32.199 we've heard what he's going to be saying when he 0:18:32.280 --> 0:18:35.520 gives that address, A cyclone ate my homework. 0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:40.000 Treasury expects there will be about a one point two 0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.359 billion dollar hit to economic output just as a consequence 0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:47.639 of xtc Alfred. That's about a quarter of a percentage 0:18:47.640 --> 0:18:48.680 point in GDP. 0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:54.640 Of course, the Opposition Treasurer Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor called 0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:56.400 Jim Charmers out with the obvious. 0:18:57.680 --> 0:18:59.959 If you've got a government that's been managing its budget 0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.120 can absorb these sort of things, it has the shock 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:05.120 absorbers built into its budget and into the economy where 0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:07.520 it can absorb it. And the truth is that we've 0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:11.080 got Jim Chalmers out there looking for another excuse for 0:19:11.240 --> 0:19:12.960 why he is failing as treasurer. 0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:13.919 This. 0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:16.199 No one is seriously going to buy this, are they. 0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:18.400 I mean, we are old enough to remember when Jim 0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:21.840 Chalmers was blaming the Middle East. Then it was Vladimir Putin. 0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:25.800 Now it's cyclone, Alfred. No one is going to believe this. 0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:28.359 In fact, everyone just wants a government that will be 0:19:28.400 --> 0:19:32.520 accountable and take responsibility, like Anthony ELBINIZI promised only three 0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:33.320 short years ago. 0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:34.320 A cyclone. 0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:37.200 Really, yeah, angus sailor is quite right. I mean it's 0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:39.680 very timely. Can you imagine if your lady you're like, 0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:42.280 yes me, I mean this he isn't. 0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:45.200 This is a natural disaster. 0:19:45.600 --> 0:19:48.760 This was how could we have budgeted for this? There's 0:19:48.800 --> 0:19:52.720 going to be a whole I mean is perfect timing 0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:56.040 for them, given of course, now the election is being 0:19:56.119 --> 0:20:01.280 called later than we suspect they anticipated two said cyclone, 0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:04.000 and they do have to come up with another budget. 0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:06.719 It's funny because Anthony Alberanzi race to Queensland, right, so 0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:10.280 he could be on the spot in this category ten cyclone. 0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:11.720 A true leader, like a strong leader, and I reckon. 0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:14.000 Everyone was relieved that it wasn't any more than a 0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:17.080 category two to a category one. Other than Anthony Albanzi, 0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:20.119 he probably would have liked a real disaster to demonstrate 0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:23.640 his leadership. Capabilities. But Jim Chalmers is prepared to get 0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:26.280 as much out of this cyclone as he possibly. 0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:27.720 Yeah, good on him for it. I mean, look, the 0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:29.560 truth is that the budget would be in trouble no 0:20:29.600 --> 0:20:32.239 matter who was running it. The only reason that it 0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:34.600 was in surplus for the previous two years was because 0:20:34.640 --> 0:20:38.080 they basically changed the way that the surfaces and deficits 0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:41.680 were calculated. So again, they got lucky, and that's good. 0:20:41.720 --> 0:20:44.520 And ninety nine percent of what governments do is get 0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:46.159 lucky and they take the credit for it, and then 0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:47.960 they get unlucky and they blame someone else for it, 0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:48.800