Speaker 1: From the Skyinging Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Thank you,
Speaker 1: Sherry Waa shaw I got for you tonight, No soooks,
Speaker 1: no lefties, and a very special guest towards the end
Speaker 1: of the show. But first, Tanny Plipasik. She may well
Speaker 1: end up costing the Labor Party it's majority and a
Speaker 1: very significant chunk of that from the Northern Territory. I'll
Speaker 1: explain why, as two seats are now well and truly
Speaker 1: in play. Giggles, Miles is out and about today trying
Speaker 1: to well, I suppose give himself some confidence and claims
Speaker 1: that Labor will win or can wein the upcoming state election?
Speaker 1: Please please no? And I mentioned that special guest. It's
Speaker 1: a beautiful Annalys Nielson joining us with a big brain
Speaker 1: and everything, and she'll be joining us about not just
Speaker 1: fifty days to go in the election, but obviously the
Speaker 1: events in the past twenty four hours. Now you know
Speaker 1: that I'm a Trump fan. I copy it from all
Speaker 1: sides like you probably do if you are as well.
Speaker 1: But can I tell you why I'm a real Trump
Speaker 1: fan in this election because of his response to when
Speaker 1: he was shot at remember fight, that was his response,
Speaker 1: and there's this image, which I don't know who designed it.
Speaker 1: It's popped up in a whole bunch of sort of
Speaker 1: fringe T shirt websites, none of them in my size.
Speaker 1: But I love this image because it is the internal
Speaker 1: spirit of somebody who will not get knocked down, will
Speaker 1: not be put in their place, will just keep going.
Speaker 1: And think about this. If it was any of us
Speaker 1: who had been shot at, let alone hit, our reaction
Speaker 1: would be to cower a culture that's all about victimhood.
Speaker 1: Will it turns into a little ball and hides not
Speaker 1: trump like him, dislike him. Whatever the set of stones
Speaker 1: on this guy will they're their own version of Mount Rushmore.
Speaker 1: And I know I will copy it on the internet
Speaker 1: for saying it. But how can you not think that
Speaker 1: when this was his reaction after he'd been shot, I
Speaker 1: love that. I love that surge of adrenaline that didn't
Speaker 1: turn into fear. It turned into standing up, chest out,
Speaker 1: push back. And of course there are plenty of things
Speaker 1: that he says that I don't like. There's plenty of
Speaker 1: ways that he does things that I think he could
Speaker 1: do better. But this is the imperfect vessel who is
Speaker 1: standing up like previous generations have, like people who are
Speaker 1: constantly told everything is wrong with their worldview. He goes, no,
Speaker 1: here's our line, dig in and push. Well, as you
Speaker 1: know today, he didn't get shot at but he was
Speaker 1: potentially due to die today as a second lunatic tried
Speaker 1: to set up on a golf course to shoot kill
Speaker 1: and as well film it all on a GoPro that
Speaker 1: presumably would go straight up to social media. His own
Speaker 1: version of the Zabruta film. But unlike the Zabruda film,
Speaker 1: which of course was Kennedy getting shot and somebody else
Speaker 1: filming it, the guy wanting to kill the president was
Speaker 1: the one who wanted to film it.
Speaker 2: Breaking news, the FBI is now investigating a shooting in
Speaker 2: West Palm Beach as an attempted assassination against former President
Speaker 2: Donald Trump.
Speaker 3: The second time in just two months.
Speaker 4: President Trump is safe following gunshots in his vicinity.
Speaker 1: It was incredible today to see all the different news
Speaker 1: websites lead with this in the morning because it was
Speaker 1: a morning story and then slowly maturely said of ye
Speaker 1: and lots of other stuff. Two organizations deserve credit. Sky
Speaker 1: News kept it up leads story all day, so did
Speaker 1: the Sydney Morning Herald. World under both because it is
Speaker 1: the only thing anyone will remember from today, and it
Speaker 1: is the second time somebody has tried to go after
Speaker 1: the bloke who might be this close to the presidency
Speaker 1: because he is this close to the presidency. This didn't
Speaker 1: happen with Obama. Remember all of the garbage about how
Speaker 1: racist America was and how they would respond to their
Speaker 1: first black president. Zero of these moments. Instead Trump two
Speaker 1: in a couple of months. This is how close it got.
Speaker 5: Probably between three and five hundred yards. But with a
Speaker 5: rifle and a scope like that, that's not a long distance.
Speaker 1: Channel nine excellent explanation. This was one hole on a
Speaker 1: golf course away from where Trump was playing.
Speaker 6: It was one thirty in the afternoon at his Trump
Speaker 6: International Golf Club in West pa Beach. When Donald Trump
Speaker 6: was walking between the fifth and sixth holes, one hole ahead.
Speaker 6: A Secret Service agent was securing the area prior to
Speaker 6: the former president's rifle. That agent spotted the barrel of
Speaker 6: a rifle poking through the bushes. The agent fired four
Speaker 6: to six shots at the suspect. It's not clear if
Speaker 6: Ralph fired back.
Speaker 1: Now two scenarios here, one amazing, like think about any
Speaker 1: of us walking on a golf course or in a park.
Speaker 1: What you would be able to notice in the bushes,
Speaker 1: something as long as the seventh hole being able on
Speaker 1: either side, and to see the barrel of the gun. Unbelievable,
Speaker 1: frightening that even after he shot four to six times
Speaker 1: in the direction of the gunman, the gunman wasn't hit,
Speaker 1: Which means if there was a scenario of shots coming
Speaker 1: this way and those were the shots coming back, the
Speaker 1: likelihood is that there would be many more shots than
Speaker 1: what we saw with our own eyes back in July.
Speaker 1: Now again, we are in this moment where there is
Speaker 1: an organization whose job it is to create a bubble
Speaker 1: around a president. Because Trump is who he is. He's
Speaker 1: not going to hide in the ballroom of his house.
Speaker 1: He's not going to hide at Marra Lago, He's not
Speaker 1: going to hide in the penthouse in New York. He
Speaker 1: is going to walk out onto a golf course that's
Speaker 1: a huge threat area, but he ain't going to stop,
Speaker 1: and you have to find a way to protect him.
Speaker 1: But amazingly, today there is a difference between somebody who's
Speaker 1: been a president and somebody who's potentially about to be
Speaker 1: a president and somebody who is the president. This is
Speaker 1: even after the former president, who may will be about
Speaker 1: to become the president again or at the very least,
Speaker 1: is certainly this close to it right now. They admitted
Speaker 1: today there wasn't as much security around him as there
Speaker 1: would be if Biden was playing golf.
Speaker 5: Well, you got to understand, the golf course is surrounded
Speaker 5: by shrubbery, so when somebody gets into the shrubbery, they're
Speaker 5: pretty much out of sight, all right. And at this
Speaker 5: level that he is at right now, he's not the
Speaker 5: city president. If he was, we would have had this
Speaker 5: higher golf course around it.
Speaker 1: Well, because he's not.
Speaker 5: The security is limited to the areas that the Secret
Speaker 5: Service deems possible. So I would imagine that the next
Speaker 5: time he comes at a golf course, there'll probably be
Speaker 5: a little bit more people around the perimeter.
Speaker 1: De Gold, the man has already been shot at. There
Speaker 1: are how many threats that are out there, and America
Speaker 1: is sadly a country with too many mentally ill people
Speaker 1: and too many access too much access to weapons. We
Speaker 1: see it in so many occasions at so many times.
Speaker 1: And that's not to offend the gun owners of America.
Speaker 1: That's just the reality of what's happening here, But it
Speaker 1: all depends whether he's sworn in or not sworn in.
Speaker 1: When he is one of two people who are on
Speaker 1: a trajectory to being the next president. The idea that
Speaker 1: both Trump and Harris are not surrounded as if they
Speaker 1: were president right now should be frightening to everyone because
Speaker 1: the consequences of one of those two candidates being injured
Speaker 1: or losing their life would be catastrophic for the United States.
Speaker 1: The flow on effect around the Western world would be enormous.
Speaker 1: So they should be wrapping potential presidents in the same
Speaker 1: bubble as the president because we are tonight fifty days
Speaker 1: away from that election. Now. We also had been told
Speaker 1: that the Secret Service had some learned its lesson from
Speaker 1: believe it or not, the other time this year, that
Speaker 1: somebody was planning to killed Donald Trump and successfully got
Speaker 1: shots off and successfully hit him in the year millimeters
Speaker 1: between a story that people want to forget at a
Speaker 1: moment in history that your kids will learn about for
Speaker 1: the rest of time. The person responsible for the Secret
Speaker 1: Service at that moment, as you just saw, she gave evidence,
Speaker 1: no answers. She eventually wasn't sacked, of course, because nobody
Speaker 1: gets sacked for failures in the United States upper echelons
Speaker 1: under this administration, so she, of course was allowed to resign.
Speaker 1: One of the people who was questioning her said something
Speaker 1: again frightening. Regardless of whether you're a Trump or a
Speaker 1: Harris supporter, booster, or just somebody who wants the United States,
Speaker 1: not China or Russia, to be the top of the tree.
Speaker 7: The problem is you've got a secret service, at least
Speaker 7: in my opinion and in the public sye, that has
Speaker 7: calm promised and that it lacks in leadership. And you've
Speaker 7: got brave agents on the ground, obviously one who took
Speaker 7: that shot. But why in the world would anybody be
Speaker 7: anywhere near the perimeter of this this line of sight
Speaker 7: that we talk about Now.
Speaker 1: I'm not going to go on forever, and there's other
Speaker 1: things to talk about. We'll get to all of those things.
Speaker 1: But back to that image of Trump and fight. It
Speaker 1: is just this absolute, in my view, guiding symbol of
Speaker 1: everything he's about, but more importantly, everything that those of
Speaker 1: us who want him to succeed are fighting against. That
Speaker 1: was his reaction when everyone else would cow, when everyone
Speaker 1: else would hide. Today, Sean Hannity, who will be interviewing
Speaker 1: people in and around this incident tomorrow middle of the day,
Speaker 1: Fox News. We'll have it for you here tomorrow and nine.
Speaker 1: This is what he had to say about the President's
Speaker 1: reaction after the incident took place, and we all saw
Speaker 1: the footage of the sniper's nest, where the plan was
Speaker 1: all there, where the camera was all set up, where
Speaker 1: there was ceramic tiles, that's what's in the plastic bags,
Speaker 1: and of course the ak with the site on it.
Speaker 1: This was apparently Trump's response, honestly, like, dislike, hate the man.
Speaker 1: How could you not be impressed that this is his
Speaker 1: response when that's what could have happened.
Speaker 8: Then when the President found out everybody was safe and
Speaker 8: nobody had been harmed, I guess in typical fight fight
Speaker 8: fade fashion, Trump said to Steve, and then he related
Speaker 8: to me, I really wanted to finish the hall. I
Speaker 8: was even and I had a birdie put.
Speaker 1: I love it, I really love it. And again I
Speaker 1: know what I'm copping for this. I can see the
Speaker 1: turnbul times the Guardian getting ready with their second by
Speaker 1: second review. I know what's going to happen over at
Speaker 1: Channel two. I know that twitters are huh there. How
Speaker 1: can you not want that in a leader that rather
Speaker 1: than somebody who cowers and then stretches it out and
Speaker 1: talks about all the stuff that would happen if it
Speaker 1: was anyone else. But this bloke, he shows us in
Speaker 1: these moments where there's no advisers, there's no time to
Speaker 1: think exactly the type of person that he would be
Speaker 1: and that he is and that he would be as
Speaker 1: a president, Which is why again I'm all in. I
Speaker 1: get why that is problematic. I get why sometimes that's
Speaker 1: difficult and I lose mates as a result of it.
Speaker 1: But that's why I remain as all in on the
Speaker 1: bloke as I ever have been. Now about the lunatic
Speaker 1: and I'm sorry. You know we're very sensitive to mental
Speaker 1: health on this program, but when you're doing this staff
Speaker 1: psycho right now, generally speaking we don't talk about assailants.
Speaker 1: But because thankfully everyone is alive on both sides of this,
Speaker 1: I'll do it quickly. The sun of this bloke says
Speaker 1: that he hated Trump like every other thinking person. This
Speaker 1: bloke is fifty eight years of age. He apparently had
Speaker 1: to be in his bondet about things like Ukraine, but
Speaker 1: he's alive. So we're going to find out more. And
Speaker 1: now no doubt someone somewhere is going to find something
Speaker 1: that somehow will mean No, he's not as dangerous as
Speaker 1: he seems. No, he's as kooky as you think he is.
Speaker 1: But there's another part of this story that nobody attached
Speaker 1: to it today. And I wonder why. Remember when he
Speaker 1: was shot at the first time, and this was the
Speaker 1: message from his political opponent, you know, the political regular.
Speaker 1: This country has gotten very heated. It's time to cool
Speaker 1: it down.
Speaker 3: We've traveled before throughout our history.
Speaker 1: Violence has never been the answer, great sentiment. The problem
Speaker 1: is he'd spent months and months and months talking about
Speaker 1: a threat to democracy country, Your sky will fall in
Speaker 1: brand and all of that business. Have a look today
Speaker 1: on one of the television shows that he's covering the
Speaker 1: breaking news, not six hours later, not four days after
Speaker 1: the breaking news of what could have been potentially the
Speaker 1: death of one of two people who will be the
Speaker 1: next president of the United States, or apparently it's Trump's fault.
Speaker 4: Today's apparent assassination attempt comes amid increasingly fierce rhetoric on
Speaker 4: the campaign trail itself. Mister Trump is running made JD.
Speaker 4: Vans continue to make baseless claims about Haitian immigrants in Ohio.
Speaker 9: Do you expect to hear anything from the Trump campaign
Speaker 9: about toning down the rhetoric, toning down the violence.
Speaker 1: He's the one that was shot at and was about
Speaker 1: to be shot at because it's fifty days out. No mercy,
Speaker 1: No mercy, because this is the worst of the worst.
Speaker 1: Another thing is that they don't just hate Trump. One
Speaker 1: of them actually told us that they hate anyone who
Speaker 1: supports Trump because they think you too, are surplus to
Speaker 1: the future of the world. Have a look.
Speaker 3: Everything he does is despicable.
Speaker 10: The reason why it doesn't and his career is because
Speaker 10: his supporters are just as despicable.
Speaker 1: Screw you, pal, screw you now. Of course, let me
Speaker 1: be very quick when this gets edited up somewhere else
Speaker 1: to say, no violence against that guy, whatsoever, No threats.
Speaker 1: But that's the insight. The American election is something that
Speaker 1: I am so focused on because of its importance to
Speaker 1: the rest of the world. America is at a fork
Speaker 1: in the road, and in my view, the fundamental fork
Speaker 1: in the road here is Trump will challenge a failing system.
Speaker 1: Harris will continue it and hide behind it. If you
Speaker 1: have the chance to vote in the United States and
Speaker 1: you are watching this online somewhere, fight fight, fight metaphorically
Speaker 1: with your strength, with your purpose, not with your fists,
Speaker 1: not with your guns. But fight, fight, fight, because the
Speaker 1: rest of the world is watching, and we care deeply
Speaker 1: about who wins. Here at home, you may well know
Speaker 1: that Anthony Albernezi, greatest Prome Minister of all time, just
Speaker 1: ask him, is in a world of trouble. Every single
Speaker 1: week a new poll tells the same story, which is
Speaker 1: down down. Not prices are down, but down down. Elbow
Speaker 1: is down. And today the polls in the Financial Review
Speaker 1: fifty two to forty eight. Now, this is the most
Speaker 1: generous to the Coalition of all of the polls that
Speaker 1: have been published thus far. It is an outline compared
Speaker 1: to fifty fifth, which is where Newspole is. But let's
Speaker 1: not ignore this because it is huge. It also shows
Speaker 1: that when it comes to the preferred prime Minister, that again,
Speaker 1: while Anthony Abernezi is ever so slightly just in front,
Speaker 1: when it comes to his own favorable and unfavorable rating,
Speaker 1: well and truly, more people have an unfavorable opinion of
Speaker 1: the Prime Minister than they do Peter Dutton, which I
Speaker 1: know is very hard to believe if you only listen
Speaker 1: to Radio National and watch the Channel two talking shows
Speaker 1: or listen to certain lefty podcasts, isn't Peter Dutton the problem? Well,
Speaker 1: of course, the reason that you're able to get to
Speaker 1: fifty two to forty eight is because the Liberal National
Speaker 1: Party now has a four in front of it. They
Speaker 1: win elections when there is a four in front of
Speaker 1: their primary vote. Now, I have also always said the
Speaker 1: independent the Teel factor is the reason why I'm not
Speaker 1: part of this one term Elbow thing, right. But amazingly,
Speaker 1: the analysis of this is what I want to spend
Speaker 1: a couple of minutes actually getting into because the people
Speaker 1: who presented the poll, the people who have analyzed the pole,
Speaker 1: they are now starting to conclude that if that is true,
Speaker 1: and again I think it's a little bit too hot,
Speaker 1: but still, if that is true, it's not just a
Speaker 1: minority government of Albow, but potentially one for Dutton two. Now,
Speaker 1: again a lot has to go, right, I'll get to
Speaker 1: some of the seats and I'll get why. I think
Speaker 1: that this is sort of perhaps a little generous, but
Speaker 1: still if the election result, if sorry, if the result
Speaker 1: was reflected on election day, the election would be conducted
Speaker 1: in the laboratory in which a swing was uniform. Now,
Speaker 1: of course it's not always Peter Dutton would get seventy
Speaker 1: five seats. Seventy five seats. Now, let me introduce you
Speaker 1: to this guy. He gets even deeper into where it's
Speaker 1: all potentially going to change. John Black, former Labor senator
Speaker 1: from Queensland. He wrote in Peace in the Financial Review
Speaker 1: breaking all of this down. He says, my current estimates
Speaker 1: are that the Coalition will comfortably win more seats in
Speaker 1: the House of Representatives than Labour in twenty twenty five.
Speaker 1: That's big because it's the first person who's come out
Speaker 1: and is willing to say that, and obviously it's in
Speaker 1: print and reputations are on the line, so we'll all
Speaker 1: find out together. But every other piece of data would
Speaker 1: suggest that Labour gets more seats than the NP at
Speaker 1: this stage because of principally the teals why the reasons
Speaker 1: has always start with household economics. During the past two
Speaker 1: years Albereesi government, families have found their household disposible incomes
Speaker 1: dropping eight percentage points. It's like we've been watching this
Speaker 1: every day politically. Last week's Resolve political monitor that we
Speaker 1: showed you showed that the government is getting blamed for
Speaker 1: economic issues. Number fifty one percent of people say that
Speaker 1: the inflation problem is the government's to deal with, not
Speaker 1: the Reserve Bank. So the seats the suggestion here and
Speaker 1: now again these are all best case scenarios. I won't
Speaker 1: go through and say what I agree and disagree with,
Speaker 1: but here's the of you. Their belief is that Paramatta, Patterson,
Speaker 1: Robertson Gilmore would all be pickups in New South Wales.
Speaker 1: There are way too many in Victoria, but still cou Yong, Menzies, Aston, Chisholm, Bruce, McEwen, Monash.
Speaker 1: The Greens would lose seats, not gained seats. They would
Speaker 1: lose seats to the LMP in Brisbane and Ryan. The
Speaker 1: new seat of Bullwinkle in Western Australia plus Tangy and
Speaker 1: the Teal seat of Curtains are two of the Teals
Speaker 1: would disappear in the Northern Territory. This is why I
Speaker 1: have been talking about the Beaterloo basin. It's why we're
Speaker 1: gonna have Matt Cunningham on the show tonight because if
Speaker 1: Tannia Pluppa Seek is about to blow a hole in
Speaker 1: six and a half thousand jobs and five hundred trillion
Speaker 1: tons of gas. Goodbye Solomon, which is Darwin. The Labour
Speaker 1: Party can't win a trick in nall of Spring, so
Speaker 1: potentially Lingiari as well our mate Nicole Flint up in
Speaker 1: Boothby and the seat of Lions in Tasmania. All that
Speaker 1: means that when we add it all up, we find
Speaker 1: that Labor is down thirteen seats from seventy eight to
Speaker 1: sixty five, Coalition up seventeen from fifty five to seventy two,
Speaker 1: three possible additional gains, again everything being all going their way.
Speaker 1: I don't know from what do they say his mouth
Speaker 1: to old mate's lips, but you get my point. But
Speaker 1: believe it or not, despite the fact that the establishment
Speaker 1: literally try to ignore, and if they do engage, they'll
Speaker 1: just roll their eyes or laugh at this show me
Speaker 1: in particular, guess what they're starting to notice what we've
Speaker 1: been talking about now every night for two and a
Speaker 1: bit years. Patricia Cavales, host of Radio National Breakfast. I
Speaker 1: will not pretend that I'm going after a here. In
Speaker 1: actual fact, it's always been quite pleasant every time we
Speaker 1: say helo to each other. Great, fine, all good lane,
Speaker 1: I'm in mind. Fine. But she wrote a piece today
Speaker 1: where guess what, she's noticed that the Labor Party promised
Speaker 1: that everything was going to be better, but it actually isn't. Again,
Speaker 1: two people, two different lanes that are now starting to merge.
Speaker 1: I'm sure that'll be great for all of her fans.
Speaker 1: And the number one issue again, she's discovered cost of living.
Speaker 1: In fact, she says, the cost of living question that
Speaker 1: could shape as straight as next federal election. What is
Speaker 1: that question? Well, that question is, of course all in
Speaker 1: and around the same question that was the first question
Speaker 1: that was asked of the US presidential debate. It is,
Speaker 1: of course this when it comes to the economy, do
Speaker 1: you believe Americans are better off than they were four
Speaker 1: years ago? It's the whole point when you are trying
Speaker 1: to get another term in office, in this case the
Speaker 1: second term in office, or back to back for her
Speaker 1: with the Biden administration, of which she is already the
Speaker 1: co piloting. Have you made people's lives better matters? When
Speaker 1: you promised to make people's lives better and you failed
Speaker 1: to deliver, the political whiplash is going to be pretty obvious.
Speaker 1: And again PK points out in her column the polling
Speaker 1: that comes from Redbridge fifty seven percent of Australians when asked,
Speaker 1: cannot name a single thing ducky nothing, bugger all. They
Speaker 1: cannot name a single thing the federal government has done,
Speaker 1: led by Anthony Abernezi since being elected in May of
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, that made their life better. And why
Speaker 1: the pols going the way they are again all of
Speaker 1: the things we've been talking about. There's plenty of room
Speaker 1: here in the bandwagon for everyone to start to notice, well,
Speaker 1: we've been noticing for how long what you've been living for?
Speaker 1: How long? This week's political research group that Redbridge conducted
Speaker 1: and they did focus groups since Indney West and Melbourne's
Speaker 1: West would of course elections, LIB will die for the
Speaker 1: first time in our collective years of research, both suburban
Speaker 1: Melbourne suburban Sydney are expressing their politics in very similar way.
Speaker 1: None of it is good news for the incumbent government.
Speaker 1: But before we start to put the Q in the
Speaker 1: rack and say well one term Prime Minister, this is
Speaker 1: all going to happen, just keep pointing at them. The
Speaker 1: opposition has to come up with something. The opposition has
Speaker 1: to tell us what would they do on the questions
Speaker 1: in and around cost of living. Now, this is dangerous
Speaker 1: because the government, which has got all the treasury, all
Speaker 1: the media, all of the people trying to blow holes
Speaker 1: in the argument. But they do have to come up
Speaker 1: with to say, here's a couple of ideas that we
Speaker 1: believe are going to make people's lives better. And they're
Speaker 1: not going to do it today. They'll do it closer
Speaker 1: to an election, but again from the same groups. One
Speaker 1: participant in the focus group, so I just haven't heard
Speaker 1: anything about what they would actually do with the cost
Speaker 1: of living. The Coalition made things worse, but Labor is
Speaker 1: not making it better. These are just two comments that
Speaker 1: come from it. So I'm pleased to see the establishment
Speaker 1: types who get all the awards and the invites and
Speaker 1: the high fives, and they're amazed. Broadcasters are now starting
Speaker 1: to notice what this broadcast has been saying the whole time,
Speaker 1: that Labor have been in power, that their promise could
Speaker 1: not be delivered and an actual fact has made everything worse.
Speaker 1: We know are in the candown to the Queensland election,
Speaker 1: and I'll make giggles miles seen here being utterly rejected
Speaker 1: by voters at a by election. This is one where
Speaker 1: Labor got thumbed. He was trying to hand out out
Speaker 1: of votes and nobody looked him in the eye. But
Speaker 1: he thought, oh, I'm William Murons hat that means on
Speaker 1: one of you, well, bugger off. Now he believes that
Speaker 1: he can win the next state election because of how
Speaker 1: successful the fifty cent fair thing has been. Well as
Speaker 1: anyone will tell you about a government that stinks as
Speaker 1: badly as this one, that's going as close to oblivion
Speaker 1: as this one, people will say, take the money and
Speaker 1: bugger off, and that will be their position, no doubt,
Speaker 1: hopefully towards the end of October. Let's make it nice
Speaker 1: and clean. Let's make sure as many ministers, maybe even
Speaker 1: the Premier, lose their seat. Flush, get rid of go away,
Speaker 1: goodbye clear history. If we're trying to get rid of
Speaker 1: the garbage from a mobile phones, get rid of the
Speaker 1: cookies of this government, darro say, but here is the
Speaker 1: Premier pretending he can win.
Speaker 11: Of course, I think we can win, and I'm fighting
Speaker 11: every single day to when because the stakes for Queensland
Speaker 11: are just that high. I am passionate about my vision
Speaker 11: for the state. I have spent every day as Premier
Speaker 11: out and about talking to Queenslanders and delivering for them.
Speaker 1: Blah blah blah blah. Shut up seriously enough people can
Speaker 1: make their decision. It'll be nice and strong, wonderful to
Speaker 1: see when it does. Meantime, for their part, the opposition
Speaker 1: is turning around and suggesting that they want to create
Speaker 1: schools in areas that have got massive youth crime problems,
Speaker 1: Schools that would be specifically equipped to be able to
Speaker 1: try to turn kids around. I like this idea. See
Speaker 1: what happens. This is what David Christy fully said today.
Speaker 9: I'm announcing today the first two youth justice schools in Queensland.
Speaker 9: It's never been done before. It's about a circuit breaker
Speaker 9: to stop kids going on that merry go round. I'm
Speaker 9: going to do all we can to intercept and turn
Speaker 9: kids around before a lifetime of crime. It's all about
Speaker 9: making sure that when young people leave court, whether they're
Speaker 9: on bail or one of those youth detention orders, they've
Speaker 9: got to go to school. They've got to have discipline
Speaker 9: in their life. They've got to have structure.
Speaker 1: Bloody oath. How good is Oscar Piastre His second Formula
Speaker 1: One victory took place in Azerbai John which, by the way,
Speaker 1: sensational performance at their national anthem. Caleb Bond and I
Speaker 1: very very excited about that performance. He won, and he
Speaker 1: won after just one of those set of stones moves
Speaker 1: which are required to be at the top of the tree.
Speaker 1: This spoke's twenty three. He's an Aussie. He will be
Speaker 1: a world champion.
Speaker 12: After the pitstoff, I saw that we we've managed to
Speaker 12: gain a fair bit of time somehow, and the first
Speaker 12: lap or two of the first stin I kind of
Speaker 12: had half the opportunity but didn't quite get close enough.
Speaker 12: I knew that I was in Darres on that one lap.
Speaker 12: I knew I had to try everything to make it stick,
Speaker 12: to hang on for so long. Yeah, with very very
Speaker 12: few mistakes. I think definitely one of my best drives.
Speaker 1: And if showbiz is more your thing, well, of course,
Speaker 1: the Emmys were on today. I know I don't care either,
Speaker 1: but the Best Comedy Show went to a very funny
Speaker 1: show called Hacks, which is awesome. The drama went to
Speaker 1: a show called Showgun, which apparently is awesome. My executive
Speaker 1: producer James keeps telling me to watch it. I'll get
Speaker 1: around to it now. It's one oh. And by the way,
Speaker 1: my youngest daughter Zai he thinks this Shola was the
Speaker 1: best dressed, which also helps because she also went on
Speaker 1: and won an award. Love your Zutz, Love yoursha Now.
Speaker 1: The start of the race today is fifty days until
Speaker 1: the presidential election. Let us now take the temperature. Let's
Speaker 1: check the pulse. It's not how you take a temperature.
Speaker 1: If you do, you're going to be a lot more trouble, thankfully,
Speaker 1: not doctor, just idiot TV host. Now, according to the
Speaker 1: betting markets, Harris one point chance of but it's fifty
Speaker 1: to forty nine, so that is well and truly a
Speaker 1: toss up. According to the latest five national polls, these
Speaker 1: have all come in after the debate. The ABC IPSOS
Speaker 1: poll has Harris up by four points. They were wrong
Speaker 1: by four points of the last election. Another one has
Speaker 1: Trump up three points. They are an a grade poll.
Speaker 1: Apparently Yahoo News has Harris up by four. Another one
Speaker 1: has Harris up by four and another one has Harris
Speaker 1: up by five. So after the debate, as you would expect,
Speaker 1: Harris in the league nationally. Remember she's got to be
Speaker 1: higher than two points to have a chance of being
Speaker 1: able to win that electoral college. So what is the
Speaker 1: latest polling average in the states that matter? In Arizona?
Speaker 1: Trump up, Nevada, Harris just, Wisconsin, Harris a bit more
Speaker 1: than just, but still just Michigan, Harris just Pennsylvania. That's
Speaker 1: a tie. That's a tie, all right, Georgia Trump just
Speaker 1: So it's raise a thin in the bedding. It's raise
Speaker 1: a thin in the poles in the predicting markets where
Speaker 1: people use a whole bunch of other stats and they
Speaker 1: work out the percentages the poles were wrong in the past.
Speaker 1: Trump fifty nine point six percent chance of winning. With
Speaker 1: the expectation is that he may well, if it all
Speaker 1: goes right for him, run the table. Literally all of
Speaker 1: the swing states may end up going his way. But
Speaker 1: we will all wait, watch and see. In the meantime,
Speaker 1: we will fight, fight, fight for what we believe in,
Speaker 1: which in this case is always Australia, specifically the Northern Territory.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that straight after the break. Analys Nielsen
Speaker 1: about all the madness from the United States, but lots
Speaker 1: to get to, including Labour's continuing planned to censor the Internet.
Speaker 1: Guess what, it's just as bad as it was last time. Set,
Speaker 1: Thanks for watching, Thank you so much for watching. As
Speaker 1: you can notice, we are slightly fired up tonight, and
Speaker 1: that's the way we like it to be on a Monday.
Speaker 1: Let's have all the energy to keep the fight going
Speaker 1: all week long. Frailinch was so good on Thursday, back
Speaker 1: on Monday, Back on Monday from the Mensis Research Center.
Speaker 1: Of course fighting when it comes to the censoring of
Speaker 1: the Internet bill, we don't call it the misinformation bill here.
Speaker 1: Matt Cunningham, Oh, I love this man. He's been to Paris,
Speaker 1: he's been to everywhere, but he's never been to me,
Speaker 1: as they would say, but he's a lovely man. Of course,
Speaker 1: it kicks as for a set indo and each and
Speaker 1: every day. And I wanted to start first with you, Matt,
Speaker 1: because decision happens over the weekend where the Bloo Basin
Speaker 1: Gas Project six and a half thousand jobs, five hundred
Speaker 1: trillion cubic meters of gas right, so literally enough power
Speaker 1: to power a huge amount of the country and enough
Speaker 1: jobs to really tip tip the scales in the Northern Territory,
Speaker 1: Approved by Territory Labor, approved by the COLP, announced by
Speaker 1: all they've even got the machines ready to go, and
Speaker 1: at that minute, Tanny Plipaseik says that let's have another review.
Speaker 1: Marian Scrimjaw is a local member in Lingiari. Here's her reaction,
Speaker 1: and then I'll get yours, and I think it'll be
Speaker 1: done before the end of the year. I'm not going
Speaker 1: to drag this on.
Speaker 2: We want to give certainty to the industry as well,
Speaker 2: so we just all need to work together to make
Speaker 2: sure that we can get the science right.
Speaker 1: In relation to this project, Matt, what's going on here?
Speaker 2: Well, I think you touched it on a minute ago, Paul,
Speaker 2: when you put up those couple of seats from the
Speaker 2: Northern Territory that might be in play the next federal election.
Speaker 2: I think Labor has been well and truly frightened by
Speaker 2: the result of the Northern Territory election, where they got
Speaker 2: absolutely obliterated, smacked out of the water, not just on
Speaker 2: the right but on the left as well. I actually
Speaker 2: think this idea of a bit of a green push
Speaker 2: in the Northern Territory has been overstated, but I do
Speaker 2: think it is something that Labor is a little bit
Speaker 2: concerned about, and I think you're seeing a bit of
Speaker 2: that play out now, and so what they've done is, well,
Speaker 2: they're not pulling the water trigger. Tania plot Secu said, well,
Speaker 2: we're going to have this expert environmental panel take a
Speaker 2: look at this and see whether there are some issues
Speaker 2: around the world water. But what you have to remember here, Paul,
Speaker 2: there's a long history here. The previous Colp government, the
Speaker 2: Adam Giles government, actually commissioned an independent review into fracking
Speaker 2: that found it was safe. The Labor government under Michael
Speaker 2: Gunner came to power in twenty sixteen foot in place
Speaker 2: a two year moraitatorium got five of the best environmental
Speaker 2: scientists in the country under Rachel Pepper, the former head
Speaker 2: of the New South Wales Environmental Court, to do a
Speaker 2: two year, five million dollar review into fracking. It found
Speaker 2: that if the right regulations were in place, all that
Speaker 2: fracking could be done safely in the Northern territory. These
Speaker 2: companies have had to jump through that many hoops.
Speaker 1: It's not funning.
Speaker 2: And now they're really right on the cusp of production.
Speaker 2: And now we're seeing this other review. You heard Marion
Speaker 2: Scrimmer say there, well, she thinks it will be all
Speaker 2: done and dusted by the end of the year. They
Speaker 2: are trying to walk both sides of the fence as well,
Speaker 2: I think, because I mean they hold Lingiari, which is
Speaker 2: the seat that takes in all of the Northern territory
Speaker 2: apart from Darwin, basically by a wayfer thin margin less
Speaker 2: than one percent. They don't want to leak votes to
Speaker 2: the Greens. They'd be worried about how badly they perform,
Speaker 2: particularly in Alice Springs, where the Greens outperformed them in
Speaker 2: the main seat of Braitling there in Alice Springs. But
Speaker 2: at the same time, if they push too hard, then
Speaker 2: Luke Gosling, who holds a seat of Solomon by about
Speaker 2: ten percent at the moment, he'd be very worried as well,
Speaker 2: because you haven't just got the law and order issues
Speaker 2: that have been playing out in Darwin. If you then
Speaker 2: throw an economic bomb on top of that and say, oh,
Speaker 2: we're canceling the Beaterloo, then I think Luke Gosling would
Speaker 2: be a very unhappy camper and very worried about holding
Speaker 2: onto his own seat. So there's some interesting politics that
Speaker 2: play here as well.
Speaker 1: I think, how good is this blow? That's why we
Speaker 1: love him? Institutional memory right, this is why it's good
Speaker 1: to have somebody's been around knows what's going on. Goes
Speaker 1: back to the Adam jock Os government. Right, excellent stuff.
Speaker 1: We love you, brother, but also we all know what
Speaker 1: happens right when you try to ride both sides of
Speaker 1: the barbee fence. It ain't going to be pleasant and
Speaker 1: they're going to end up having some troubles here, right,
Speaker 1: That is what's going to happen. And I've got to
Speaker 1: say little shout out to all the professional political people everywhere.
Speaker 1: You know, they all in on the gold mine story,
Speaker 1: which is a great story. This one's bigger. Why because
Speaker 1: two federal seats matter in terms of the determinant about
Speaker 1: what's going to happen with the election. So guys stop
Speaker 1: thinking that the Northern Territories just a place for crocodile stories.
Speaker 1: It ain't. There's plenty of political stories there too. That's
Speaker 1: why Matt's there loves the joint NT News and sky
Speaker 1: News dot com dot au Freyer again, you have seen
Speaker 1: this when you've been a candidate yourself, You've seen things
Speaker 1: when Labor is trying to thread the needle between we
Speaker 1: need the Greens, but we actually are going to lose
Speaker 1: a lot more people if we get too close to
Speaker 1: the Greens. They have to make a decision here. I
Speaker 1: mean if that goes back to not the last government,
Speaker 1: but the government before that and the machines that they're
Speaker 1: ready to go today. Oh, but we're going to have
Speaker 1: one more inquiry. It's not going to be able to
Speaker 1: be put off until March next year. They're going to
Speaker 1: have to make a call.
Speaker 13: It's unbelievable and unfortunately, the people that really are the
Speaker 13: victims of this indecision about which way they go are
Speaker 13: the people themselves. Labor is turning this country into an
Speaker 13: anti worker Australia because what's going to happen these projects
Speaker 13: they're being held up. So what's being held up as
Speaker 13: a result. There's six thousand jobs you talked about, And
Speaker 13: this isn't just happening in the Northern Territory. We are
Speaker 13: seeing extreme government overreach across a range of particularly resources
Speaker 13: and mining projects around the country. At the Menzies Research Center,
Speaker 13: we actually wrote a report on green lawfare activism and
Speaker 13: we've found that in the last couple of years it's
Speaker 13: actually cost our economy thirty thousand jobs because we have
Speaker 13: all of these multi billion dollar projects being held up
Speaker 13: in the courts by green activists who just want to
Speaker 13: destroy our country frankly, and labor seems to be going
Speaker 13: along with it.
Speaker 1: So help me out here, Matt, give it. Give us
Speaker 1: a sense here about the politics to some degree of Darwin. Right.
Speaker 1: So as we just saw in the territory election that
Speaker 1: labor was able to just and I mean just get
Speaker 1: so the Greens were able to get labor just Fanny
Speaker 1: Bay all right, pretty cashed up area, Okay. Lots of
Speaker 1: people who are coming in from Sydney and Melbourne to
Speaker 1: do good in the territory. That's where they largely will
Speaker 1: end up living, or a lot of people who make
Speaker 1: money off the doing good in the territory. All right,
Speaker 1: But we've seen the suburbs, and we saw how the
Speaker 1: suburbs flip. We saw when it comes to Alice Springs,
Speaker 1: how it has flipped. We know that it's a town
Speaker 1: of high vis, we know it's a town of you know,
Speaker 1: literally sort of a bit of old school Australia. But
Speaker 1: tell me about that sense of environmentalism versus but to
Speaker 1: be made working in this stuff? How does it play
Speaker 1: in real politic in and around Doe.
Speaker 2: Well, I think there's one small pocket that's greenish if
Speaker 2: you like, but I don't even know if it's that green.
Speaker 2: It's actually where I live, the seat of Nightcliff. That
Speaker 2: is a seat that the Greens have won back from Labor.
Speaker 2: But if you look at the breakdown of the result,
Speaker 2: and if you look at it closely won because there
Speaker 2: were so many people who voted CLP in that seat
Speaker 2: and put Labor last, even though the CLP had Greens
Speaker 2: last on their how to vote cards. So there were
Speaker 2: more than five hundred people in the seat of Nightcliff.
Speaker 2: Remembering there's only about four thousand people vote in any
Speaker 2: one electorate, there were more than five hundred people in
Speaker 2: the seat of Nightcliff who voted the COLP number one
Speaker 2: and must have put Labour last because their preferences went
Speaker 2: to the Greens, and that was what got the Greens
Speaker 2: over the line. Just as a consequence of that, you've
Speaker 2: had all of this analysis that has said, oh, Labour's
Speaker 2: lost back to the Greens. They need to be more
Speaker 2: stronger on the environment, et cetera, et cetera. The CLP
Speaker 2: won seventeen of the twenty five seats. There was an
Speaker 2: eleven percent swing across the board to the COLP. The
Speaker 2: Labor Party got absolutely obliterated, wiped out in Darwin, Palmerston, Catherine,
Speaker 2: Tenant Creek and Alice Springs. They do not hold a
Speaker 2: seat in any of those places. How you can see
Speaker 2: that as anything but a swing to the right and
Speaker 2: an electorate saying, oh my god, we have had enough
Speaker 2: of a Labor Party that had swung too far to
Speaker 2: the left. And at the very last minute, under evil
Speaker 2: Lula tried to straighten the ship up, tried to get
Speaker 2: back to the center, but by that time it was
Speaker 2: too late and they got thrown out on their ear.
Speaker 2: I just failed to see how that there is any
Speaker 2: other assessment of the result of an Northern Territory election.
Speaker 1: See you, No, don't burst our bubble. You know this
Speaker 1: idea that on the weekends you're getting around in a
Speaker 1: pair of white shoes at Culin Bay, at the marina. No, No,
Speaker 1: our assumption is when you're not here, you're in the wilds,
Speaker 1: you're at you're flying a helicopter over Lichfield. Mate, That's
Speaker 1: what our assumption is that weekends in the meantime, No,
Speaker 1: it's coffee shops and the rest of it. God love
Speaker 1: your pal all right, Frey, let's have a version same conversation,
Speaker 1: but with an update here essentially of the internet stuff.
Speaker 1: Starting to notice a few people starting, once they've read
Speaker 1: the bill to come out against it. You were hard
Speaker 1: against this last week. I assume your position has done
Speaker 1: nothing but harden as the day have rolled on. While
Speaker 1: Matt's down there with the coffee crowd.
Speaker 3: That's right.
Speaker 13: I mean, this bill is unbelievable. You see the typical
Speaker 13: people trying to come out and defend it and say, oh,
Speaker 13: we need to protect our country against misinformation or whatever.
Speaker 13: But my thinking on this is actually evolved as well.
Speaker 13: I think we still have the same issues of how
Speaker 13: do you define the truth. But the other issue I've
Speaker 13: been thinking about is what harm are we actually trying
Speaker 13: to solve?
Speaker 3: That seems so unclear. Want someone think of the children, Abert.
Speaker 3: I'm like, I'm a digital native, I'm a gen z.
Speaker 13: I got my first social media account when I was
Speaker 13: too young, but I was like eleven twelve, I've grown
Speaker 13: up on this stuff.
Speaker 3: I just don't see what problem we're actually trying to solve.
Speaker 1: For the memes, the memes will rot your brain frames.
Speaker 3: Or the deep fake memes of Donald Trump like, what it's.
Speaker 1: Just have you seen the pictures of cats? I mean,
Speaker 1: that's unbelieved that, my goodness, misinformation.
Speaker 12: I know.
Speaker 3: I just don't get it.
Speaker 13: So I'm like, okay, well, what harm are you actually
Speaker 13: trying to sell for here? And I think it's actually
Speaker 13: very difficult to define and what they're actually doing is
Speaker 13: causing more harm to our freedom of speech in Australia
Speaker 13: then they're actually solving because they haven't actually been able
Speaker 13: to lay out the case.
Speaker 3: But why we need these laws in the first place.
Speaker 1: I'm with you completely completely last one here, and of
Speaker 1: course you would well and truly know this existence, Matt,
Speaker 1: which is people that are wanting to make their way
Speaker 1: from North Queensland down to Sydney for the upcoming NFL
Speaker 1: final between the Sharks and Cowboys surprise surprise flights from
Speaker 1: fifteen hundred bucks. Now, of course, it is disgrace in
Speaker 1: this country that it is literally cheaper to fly overseas
Speaker 1: than it is to fly to places like Darwin, my goodness.
Speaker 1: But if your footy team is ending up playing in
Speaker 1: any of the major capitals and they know there's going
Speaker 1: to be flights on the numbers go through the roof
Speaker 1: are they?
Speaker 2: They sure I won't have to worry because Richmond is
Speaker 2: not going to be playing a final anytime soon. But
Speaker 2: I just looked this up before Paul, because I knew
Speaker 2: were going to talk about this, and I thought, well,
Speaker 2: if I wanted to book a flight to Sydney this weekend,
Speaker 2: what's it going to cost me at short notice? The
Speaker 2: cheapest flight I could get down on Friday from Darwin
Speaker 2: to Sydney was almost fourteen hundred dollars one way. If
Speaker 2: I had to take my whole family, I'd be looking
Speaker 2: at more than ten grand to fly down to Sydney
Speaker 2: and back if I had to go at short notice.
Speaker 2: It is out of control. It is killing people up
Speaker 2: here and obviously it's turning people in North Queensland as well.
Speaker 2: Something needs to be done about it. But as we've
Speaker 2: been talking about for the last ten minutes, we've only
Speaker 2: got two seats here in the Northern Territory, so I
Speaker 2: probably won't hold my breath.
Speaker 1: But when they're in play, my friend and they are
Speaker 1: in play, let's wait watch and see what happens to
Speaker 1: you and look, family members. That's why Matt can't come
Speaker 1: to your twenty first Okay, it's just that expense. He
Speaker 1: loves you, He'll zoom in. But no one's spending that
Speaker 1: much to turn up to a relay bash. Thank you,
Speaker 1: great man. Do appreciate it. Thank you, Matt, Thank you
Speaker 1: Freyer and als Nielson. Next in the United States, monessy
Speaker 1: fifty days to go until the pre cidential election. Analyst Nielsen,
Speaker 1: who has been doing a spectacular job of covering the
Speaker 1: campaign and the governing and every bit of craziness in between,
Speaker 1: joins us again from Washington, d C WERO. I look
Speaker 1: forward to hanging out with her and everyone else in
Speaker 1: the lead up to the actual election itself. Analyst. Of course,
Speaker 1: though we've talked about what happened yesterday, and I've got
Speaker 1: to say I do remain a little bit stunned at
Speaker 1: how because a shot wasn't fired, because someone didn't die,
Speaker 1: story disappears. Hey did you hear j de Denan saying
Speaker 1: something silly on TV? This is massive?
Speaker 10: Oh, I mean, Paul, the fact it's a second time
Speaker 10: in two months and we've got two months to go.
Speaker 10: It's that kind of sense of for me once, shame
Speaker 10: on you, for me twice, shame on me. The question is,
Speaker 10: what is the secret Service? Doing, and it is hard
Speaker 10: to secure a golf course, but it's certainly not impossible,
Speaker 10: and to have the perimeter like that not monitored to
Speaker 10: the extent that someone can go set up what we
Speaker 10: saw in that photo from the release by the law
Speaker 10: law enforcement, and this is one of the key issues
Speaker 10: in how the safety of the former president and the
Speaker 10: current Republican nominee is managed. And we're learning more after
Speaker 10: what happened to Butler. Pennsylvania. Is so much of what
Speaker 10: the Secret Service does relies on the local law enforcement,
Speaker 10: and obviously they've got to step up in a place
Speaker 10: like Palm Beach because it's a wealthy area. They're used
Speaker 10: to having the former president living in the county, and
Speaker 10: they still didn't have that perimeter secured. It is shocking.
Speaker 10: There's going to be questions on Capital Hell it's back
Speaker 10: in session for the next few weeks from Republicans there,
Speaker 10: but it is a real question how do they keep
Speaker 10: him safe over the next few months in the country
Speaker 10: with hundreds of millions of guns. A lot of people
Speaker 10: have it out for Donald Trump, but this is serious
Speaker 10: that they had this first issue in Pennsylvania and they
Speaker 10: haven't done enough. But this has almost happened again.
Speaker 1: And there's a lot of crazy there too. A lot
Speaker 1: of crazy in the United States are right because of
Speaker 1: a whole bunch of issues to do with mental health,
Speaker 1: the lack of dealing with it, and and all the
Speaker 1: rest of I don't say it lightly. You know how
Speaker 1: much I care about middal health on the show. But
Speaker 1: that is part of the question here, right, Let alone
Speaker 1: bad actors, but also the bloke who represented the police
Speaker 1: in that area basically admitted if it was Joe Biden
Speaker 1: was playing golf ie current president, much more security would
Speaker 1: be around them. But this is a former president, so
Speaker 1: you don't get the same stuff. Now. I say this
Speaker 1: for Harris, not a sitting vice president, but as potential
Speaker 1: president number one and Trump former president, potential president number two.
Speaker 1: They should be getting the Biden treatment right now, not
Speaker 1: twenty days out, as soon as there've been, as soon
Speaker 1: as the conventions happened. They should be getting presidential level,
Speaker 1: which means when Donald wants to go outside, he's guarded.
Speaker 1: When she wants to go to the spice shop, she's guarded.
Speaker 3: Absolutely.
Speaker 10: But the sad thing with that is a presidential level
Speaker 10: security makes you as unapproachable to the public as possible,
Speaker 10: and it is supposed to be the idea of a
Speaker 10: presidential campaign that you're out there meeting with regular people.
Speaker 10: All this does is just remove them further from reality.
Speaker 10: So it's not a perfect solution. I completely agree, there's
Speaker 10: not anything you can throw at this that wouldn't be
Speaker 10: worth it at this point. Imagine if the worst had
Speaker 10: happened yesterday, this would be an absolute nightmare for America.
Speaker 10: But also when we're talking about mental health in America,
Speaker 10: this is a common thing that's especially raised by Republicans
Speaker 10: when we're talking about gun control. The fact is too,
Speaker 10: it's just a massive country. There's over three hundred and
Speaker 10: twenty million people here. It only takes one bad actor
Speaker 10: to get this kind of access to someone as influential
Speaker 10: and important as Donald Trump. At this point in time,
Speaker 10: there should be You're absolutely right, just as much security
Speaker 10: as it possibly takes to keep him safe, because this
Speaker 10: would be an absolute disaster if anything were to happen
Speaker 10: to him at this point in time.
Speaker 1: I open the show with a sort of passionate thinging
Speaker 1: about why I'm impressed by Trump, right, and this is
Speaker 1: I'm not asking you to comment to the Yay your
Speaker 1: name of it right. But I love that the react
Speaker 1: the moment he was shot, Fight five, fight right, the
Speaker 1: moment that this moment happens, the word is, oh, I
Speaker 1: didn't get to finish my golf game. In a culture
Speaker 1: that is the same as ours, a victim would wear
Speaker 1: when something terrible happens, I'm going to hide in the corner.
Speaker 1: When something as significant as this happens, you'd think that
Speaker 1: they wouldn't leave the house. But nothing changes his step, right,
Speaker 1: It'll be fascinating to see again reality is there is
Speaker 1: political elements around all of these things. We know that
Speaker 1: Harris was starting not so much to take off but
Speaker 1: get out in front when it comes to the post
Speaker 1: debate bump. But whether that comes back to the fifty
Speaker 1: to fifty game, we'll all see together. Which brings me
Speaker 1: neatly to fifty days out. I have no doubt that
Speaker 1: every day someone from somewhere in your life back in Australia,
Speaker 1: who do you think is going to win? Answer? No
Speaker 1: one knows it's fifty to fifty. But give us an
Speaker 1: idea of what you're looking at for the sort of
Speaker 1: cat's whiskers approach, to give us an idea of which
Speaker 1: way it's going.
Speaker 3: Paul, You're absolutely right.
Speaker 10: Everyone's asking me, so, who's going to win? If I
Speaker 10: knew that, I would have put money on this, quit
Speaker 10: my job and be a millionaire by now. But what
Speaker 10: I do say is, don't assume it's going to be Harris.
Speaker 10: And I say that because there's so much more that
Speaker 10: goes into this than national polls of who's more popular.
Speaker 10: The whole thing in America is who actually votes, and
Speaker 10: Republicans are doing much better this time telling people to
Speaker 10: vote early and vote by mail. That's going to change
Speaker 10: the game. And also a lot of people who say
Speaker 10: they like Kamala Harris are gen Z and they're not
Speaker 10: very good at following through with actually registering to vote,
Speaker 10: getting that ballot in on time.
Speaker 1: Correct.
Speaker 10: I would be very skeptical and that polling too. She's
Speaker 10: coming in not as good with the gen zs as
Speaker 10: Joe Biden, so this is still a tyrase.
Speaker 1: Not as good as Biden was, not as good as
Speaker 1: Hillary was, and we know what happened to Hillary. All right, mate,
Speaker 1: thank you so much. I look forward to talking to
Speaker 1: you many times between now and then, on and off
Speaker 1: the year. We love you. Mane and at Las Nielsen
Speaker 1: there in the United States, big one or not even
Speaker 1: bigger one. Tomorrow night, I mean one of those moods.
Speaker 1: Let's keep going, say tomorrow