WEBVTT - Why Bill Shorten is quitting politics

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<v Speaker 1>From Schwartz Media. I'm Ruby Jones. This is seven am.

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<v Speaker 1>Bill Shorton has wanted to be the Prime minister since

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<v Speaker 1>he was a teenager. Yesterday he finally gave up that ambition,

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<v Speaker 1>announcing his resignation from politics. Shorten spent almost two decades

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<v Speaker 1>in Parliament, rising to be Opposition leader and contesting two

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<v Speaker 1>elections but never winning. As an architect of the National

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<v Speaker 1>Disability Insurance Scheme, his legacy is significant, but his political

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<v Speaker 1>failures have shaped the country in enduring ways too. Today

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<v Speaker 1>Schwartz Media's editor in chief Eric Jensen on how Bill

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<v Speaker 1>Shorton's career has changed Australia. It's Friday, September.

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<v Speaker 2>Six, ladies and gentlemen.

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<v Speaker 3>I've decided not to seek a seventh term in parliament.

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<v Speaker 1>So Eric, as we talk Bill Shorton, former labor leader

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<v Speaker 1>and ex union boss. He's just announced that he's leading politics.

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<v Speaker 1>He'll retire early next year before the election. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you think is behind this decision?

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<v Speaker 4>I think one of the defining aspects of Bill Shorton

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<v Speaker 4>is the fact that since he was a teenager he

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<v Speaker 4>has been walking up to people and telling them he

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<v Speaker 4>was going to be Prime Minister of Australia. He was

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<v Speaker 4>telling his teachers, he was telling his classmates, and he

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<v Speaker 4>believed it to be inevitable. The realization that that is

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<v Speaker 4>not true and that it is never going to happen

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<v Speaker 4>must be an absolutely shattering one.

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<v Speaker 3>None of this would have been possible without the tremendous love, patience,

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<v Speaker 3>support from Chloe, Rupert, Georgette and Clementine.

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<v Speaker 4>On top of that, Shorten's talked in the past about

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<v Speaker 4>the selfishness of politics and what politics causes you to

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<v Speaker 4>ask your families to do. I'm sure that's a factor

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<v Speaker 4>in this as well.

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<v Speaker 3>The sacrifices they've made. Chloe has been a tower of

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<v Speaker 3>love and strength, and I think she's shown more courage

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<v Speaker 3>than I dreamed would exist.

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<v Speaker 4>And he's going to an important job. He's going to

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<v Speaker 4>be vice chancellor of the University of Canberra. I suspect

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<v Speaker 4>he'll make probably a pretty substantial contribution to tertiary education.

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<v Speaker 3>Education is the modern means of taking someone from disadvantage

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<v Speaker 3>to advantage in a way that no other method can,

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<v Speaker 3>and universities have a critical role to play.

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<v Speaker 4>It is a chance for him to make another meaningful

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<v Speaker 4>contribution to life. And for all the things you can

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<v Speaker 4>say about Shorten, he is genuine in his desire to

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<v Speaker 4>give service, to do things for the country, and I

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<v Speaker 4>guess maybe it's a sad but he's realized that there's

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<v Speaker 4>not much more he can do in politics because it's

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<v Speaker 4>not going to go the way he wants.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course Anthony Albanezi took over from Shorten after

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<v Speaker 1>he failed to become Prime minister in twenty nineteen. What

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<v Speaker 1>is their relationship like and to what extent do you

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<v Speaker 1>think that any tension there might have played into this decision.

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<v Speaker 4>There's no tenderness in that relationship. There from different sides

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<v Speaker 4>of the party. They each had to go at leading

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<v Speaker 4>the party. Shorten didn't get to be prime minister. I

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<v Speaker 4>mean they have a working relationship, but he will I

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<v Speaker 4>suspect not being regular contact with Anthony Albanezi once he's

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<v Speaker 4>no longer in cabinet. But I think if Bill Shorton

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<v Speaker 4>could have rolled Anthony Albanezi and been Prime minister, he

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<v Speaker 4>would be thrilled.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, and Eric, you spent quite a lot of time

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<v Speaker 1>with Bill Shorten in twenty nineteen while you were writing

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<v Speaker 1>your quarterly essay on that election campaign. What did you

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<v Speaker 1>learn about who he is?

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<v Speaker 4>The surprising thing about Bill Shorton is his insecurity. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>he's someone who famously his brother is taller than him

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<v Speaker 4>and better at sport, and you know, he's always felt

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<v Speaker 4>second to that. He is not an especially confident person,

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<v Speaker 4>which is a curious thing in politics, and actually think

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<v Speaker 4>it's a very good thing in politics. When you're not

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<v Speaker 4>a confident person, you lead by consensus. And so a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of what Shorten has done in politics has been

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<v Speaker 4>being in rooms where he listens to other people and

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<v Speaker 4>then tries to find an effective way through. He's also

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<v Speaker 4>someone who is extremely effective as a politician. He's just

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<v Speaker 4>not especially good at getting people to like him. And

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<v Speaker 4>one of the sadnesses of Shorten is he desperately wants

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<v Speaker 4>people to like him.

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<v Speaker 1>Did you like him?

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<v Speaker 4>I liked him because he was insecure, and I think

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<v Speaker 4>him being insecure as the reason most voters wouldn't like him.

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<v Speaker 4>He's quite good at talking to people. He's good at

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<v Speaker 4>genuine connections. He is terrible at translating that into anything

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<v Speaker 4>bigger than himself in the sort of shallowness of politics.

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<v Speaker 4>That is probably a difficulty. But he's also gone through

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<v Speaker 4>periods of time where he was hugely liked. Beaconsfield is

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<v Speaker 4>probably the moment at which you know he became a

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<v Speaker 4>national figure.

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<v Speaker 3>Union leader Bill Shorten has lived this rescue each and

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<v Speaker 3>every minute.

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<v Speaker 2>He says, all those who made it happen deserve a.

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<v Speaker 3>Medal art thinking. You don't realize how close you get

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<v Speaker 3>to these things. And I probably I was probably quite

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<v Speaker 3>affected by it. I'm really really happy. I'm happy for

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<v Speaker 3>the families. I'm happy for Todd and brand.

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<v Speaker 4>He was a Union representative there on the news every

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<v Speaker 4>night talking about these men who were trapped in those

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<v Speaker 4>mine shafts. The Daily Telegraph at the time were running

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<v Speaker 4>front pages saying Bill Shorten for Prime Minister when he

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<v Speaker 4>actually could be prime minister. There are running pages that

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<v Speaker 4>said quite the opposite. But he I think every time

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<v Speaker 4>he confronts a problem, he genuinely tries to solve it,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's why I think makes him likable.

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<v Speaker 1>And that is perhaps reflected most in his work on

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<v Speaker 1>the National Disability Insurance Scheme and its creation is seen

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<v Speaker 1>as one of his biggest political achievements. He is, of

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<v Speaker 1>course right now leading a major overhaul of that scheme.

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<v Speaker 1>So how do you think that we should think about

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<v Speaker 1>his role in relation to the NDAs and the impact

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<v Speaker 1>that he's had there.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I think the NDIS will be the great

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<v Speaker 4>policy of our generation, probably in terms of its impact

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<v Speaker 4>on thousands of people's of lives. It's our version of

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<v Speaker 4>medicare being introduced. It has allowed thousands of people who

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<v Speaker 4>live with disability to live in their own homes, live

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<v Speaker 4>with appropriate support, live with the care that they need,

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<v Speaker 4>live fuller lives, and they are otherwise going to be

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<v Speaker 4>allowed to lead. The reforms that Shortness pushing through now

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<v Speaker 4>are obviously controversial because they're largely about cutting my money

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<v Speaker 4>out of the scheme. But I think in the fullness

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<v Speaker 4>of time, people will look at the NDIS and think

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<v Speaker 4>that is one of the Labor Party's great contributions to

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<v Speaker 4>the country.

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<v Speaker 1>And do you think it will be Shortens legacy.

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<v Speaker 4>Shorten and Gillard, I think will be remembered as the

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<v Speaker 4>people who did something that no one else thought was

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<v Speaker 4>worthwhile or possible. And you know, for anyone who knows

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<v Speaker 4>anyone on the NDIAS, it is a huge and transformative

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<v Speaker 4>thing and it should be Shortens legacy. But actually his

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<v Speaker 4>unrealized ambitions and how they've changed our politics, that's probably

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<v Speaker 4>what's going to define.

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<v Speaker 5>Him coming up after the break Bill shortens ambition and

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<v Speaker 5>its consequences, for.

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<v Speaker 1>Better or worse. I think that the defining public image

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<v Speaker 1>of Bill Shorten is him standing on the podium in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen. He's wearing a red tie, His wife Chloe

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<v Speaker 1>is next to him in that red sheath dress, and

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<v Speaker 1>he was a man clearly expecting to become prime minister,

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<v Speaker 1>but instead conceding defeat for a second time. You were

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<v Speaker 1>there that night, Can you tell me about that moment?

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<v Speaker 3>This has been a top campaign, toxic at times.

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<v Speaker 4>I was there at the weird little hotel off the

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<v Speaker 4>airport where they were holding this, and I don't think

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<v Speaker 4>I've ever been in a sadder room.

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<v Speaker 3>I know that you're all hurting, and I am too.

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<v Speaker 4>There was this expectation that Shorten would win. At the

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<v Speaker 4>beginning of the evening, the room was full of people

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<v Speaker 4>who thought that they were going to be celebrating another

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<v Speaker 4>labor prime minister. And by the time he actually got

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<v Speaker 4>out to concede, only a third of the people who

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<v Speaker 4>were there at the beginning was still there.

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<v Speaker 3>While there are still millions of votes to count and

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<v Speaker 3>important seats yet to be finalized, it is obvious the

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<v Speaker 3>label will not be able to form the next government.

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<v Speaker 4>Everyone just looked as if they couldn't comprehend that the

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<v Speaker 4>country had decided that Scott Morrison, this shockingly insubstantial person,

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<v Speaker 4>was going to be Prime Minister and Bill short and

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<v Speaker 4>a man with an actual ambitious reform agenda, was not.

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<v Speaker 1>Why do you think that he lost that election?

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<v Speaker 4>Firstly because people didn't like him. That is an insurmountable

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<v Speaker 4>problem in politics. He is not someone people fel draw

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<v Speaker 4>on too. Secondly, he was putting forward some very ambitious

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<v Speaker 4>tax reform and I think really good policy. To be honest,

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<v Speaker 4>he was going to fund a series of major initiatives

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<v Speaker 4>by cutting back negative gearing in capital gains discounts and

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<v Speaker 4>by taxing frankin credits. Those should not be controversial policies.

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<v Speaker 4>Those are sensible reforms that would help to make the

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<v Speaker 4>country just a little bit fairer. But he was fundamentally

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<v Speaker 4>unable to convince people that those things were good. And

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<v Speaker 4>one of the problems for him was he believed because

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<v Speaker 4>those things were so obviously the right thing to do,

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<v Speaker 4>that people would just agree with them. So he was

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<v Speaker 4>not worried about the complexity of that reform agenda because

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<v Speaker 4>he thought if this is right, people will just get it.

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<v Speaker 4>And what he learned was that being correct is not

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<v Speaker 4>the same as being in a position to win.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and when you think about it shortens political legacy.

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<v Speaker 1>It does seem to be tied to this idea of

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<v Speaker 1>what could have been the prime minister that he wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to be but never became, and the tax reforms that

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<v Speaker 1>he wanted to introduce but couldn't. What are your thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>on that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Look, I think we would be a very very

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<v Speaker 4>different country if Bill Shorten had won the twenty nineteen election.

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<v Speaker 4>I remember bumping into one of his advisers in one

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<v Speaker 4>of the COVID lockdowns on at the walks that you

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<v Speaker 4>were allowed to take around the block at the time,

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<v Speaker 4>and he made the point. And I think it's right

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<v Speaker 4>that had Shortened been in office through the pandemic, these

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<v Speaker 4>things that happened, like childcare relief and the lifting of

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<v Speaker 4>the rates of welfare payments, that those would not have

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<v Speaker 4>been temporary measures. That a shortened government would have used

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<v Speaker 4>the opportunity, the political opportunity of the pandemic to help

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<v Speaker 4>reshape the country and to do these things that we

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<v Speaker 4>all agreed were good, not just for a short period

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<v Speaker 4>of time but forever, and you. Had he won that election,

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<v Speaker 4>we wouldn't have had the ludicrous embarrassment of the Morrison years,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think we would have actually genuinely invested in

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<v Speaker 4>a better country.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think that will shortens time in politics? His

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<v Speaker 1>seventeen years has changed the way that the Labour Party

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<v Speaker 1>operates significantly, and I suppose to extend on from that

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<v Speaker 1>the kind of country that we live in.

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<v Speaker 4>Absolutely. I think the paradox of Shorten is that in

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<v Speaker 4>attempting to bring complexity to politics, he has created the

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<v Speaker 4>most simple politics you could imagine. There is no ambition

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<v Speaker 4>anywhere in any party for serious reform because people look

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<v Speaker 4>at the twenty nineteen election, they look at Bill Shorton

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<v Speaker 4>and think the lesson to draw from that is done

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<v Speaker 4>try to change anything. And you know, it's a tragedy

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<v Speaker 4>for the country that our major parties think the way

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<v Speaker 4>to win is to promise nothing. And people inside Labor

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<v Speaker 4>think that Shorton lost that election because he was promising

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<v Speaker 4>too much. He lost it because he was selling it poorly.

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<v Speaker 4>But the result of that has been to make our

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<v Speaker 4>politics less serious, less substantial, and sadly less meaningful.

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<v Speaker 1>Eric, thank you so much. For Viata, Thank you Verby.

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<v Speaker 1>Also in the news today, the Governor of the Reserve Bank,

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<v Speaker 1>Michelle Bullock, has said its premature to be thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>rate cuts. In a major speech yesterday, Ms Bullock pointed

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<v Speaker 1>to the rising cost of construction and higher rents as

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<v Speaker 1>key drivers of inplation. Her speech comes after the Treasurer

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<v Speaker 1>Jim Chalmers called out the Reserve Bank's successive interest rate

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<v Speaker 1>hikes for smashing the economy. The Reserve Bank has raised

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<v Speaker 1>interest rates thirteen times since May twenty twenty two, and

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<v Speaker 1>the head of ASIO, Mike Burgess, says he plans to

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<v Speaker 1>make tech companies unlock encrypted chats when necessary for national

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<v Speaker 1>security investigations. Encrypted platforms are increasingly being used by bad

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<v Speaker 1>actors to hide their communications. Miss Burgess said the move

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<v Speaker 1>would not amount to mass surveillance, but wants the corporation

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<v Speaker 1>of big tech and will compel them to do so

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<v Speaker 1>if they don't voluntarily comply. Seven Am is a daily

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<v Speaker 1>show from Schwartz Media and The Saturday Paper. Our hosts

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<v Speaker 1>are Me Ruby Jones and Daniel James. We're produced by

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<v Speaker 1>Shane Anderson, Zoltanfecho and Zaya Artungrel. Our technical producer is

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<v Speaker 1>Atticus Basto. We're edited by Chris dmgate and Sarah mcphe.

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<v Speaker 1>Eric Jensen is our editor in chief. Our mixer is

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<v Speaker 1>Travis Evans. Our theme music is by Ned Beckley and

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<v Speaker 1>Josh Hogan of Envelope AUDEO. Thanks for listening, See you

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<v Speaker 1>next week.