1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fear and Greed, summer investing series brought to 2 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:12,240 Speaker 1: you by vanta specialist in compliance lead growth. I'm Sean Aylmer. 3 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:16,479 Speaker 1: James Hardy is a global building materials manufacturer. Although in 4 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: Australia many people still associated with the supply of asbestos 5 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: products decades ago and the legal battles and compensation that followed. 6 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: I wanted to find out more about this company though, 7 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: including how investors should think about it in twenty twenty five. 8 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,160 Speaker 1: As always, this is general information only and you should 9 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: seek independent advice before making investment decisions. Gorav Sodi is 10 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 1: the deputy head of research at Intelligent Investor Grave. Welcome 11 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: back to Fear and Greed. 12 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: Hi, Sean, thanks for having me on again. 13 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: James Hardy is an iconic company in Australia, but it's 14 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: past in some ways, Lingers. 15 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: Would you agree absolutely? There are probably two stigmas attached 16 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 2: to James Hardy. One is the historical stigma attached to 17 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: their production of this beestos and they have been paying 18 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 2: money from their profits to asbestos victims for many many 19 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 2: years and they will continue doing that for many many years. 20 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 2: So when you're looking through the accounts, that's something to 21 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: keep in mind. I think the company does a very 22 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 2: good job of adjusting for those and it's quite easy 23 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,680 Speaker 2: to look through those payments and see what the underlying 24 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: business is doing. But there's a second stigma that I 25 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: think investors have about this business as well, and that 26 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 2: is that it's a cyclical pig because it's a building 27 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 2: materials business. Building materials businesses are typically capital intensive, they're cyclical, 28 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 2: and they're competitive, so they're not ideal hunting ground for 29 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 2: great investing ideas. But I think the reason we're talking 30 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 2: about Hardy today is because Hardy's different. Tell us why, Well, 31 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 2: the way to think about James Hardy is not so 32 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: much as a traditional buildings material business, but as a disruptor. 33 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 2: What really distinguishes this business from other of its peers 34 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 2: is that it doesn't really screw amble for margin, or 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: face competition or fight the cycle. This is a business 36 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:10,399 Speaker 2: that's come up with a new cladding that is absolutely 37 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 2: tearing away in the US. Now, in the US, cladding 38 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,119 Speaker 2: is just the exterior composition of houses, what they put 39 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 2: on the outside of houses. In Australia, we're used to 40 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,920 Speaker 2: having high quality materials like brick or jip rock on 41 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 2: the outside of houses. In the US, they've sometimes had leather, 42 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: a cardboard material really low quarterly quality, rather cladding materials, 43 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 2: and James Hardy has introduced fiber cement, which is a 44 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: relatively cheap alternative, but an infinitely better quality alternative. Now 45 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 2: that clouding material is rapidly gaining market share. It's a 46 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: disruptor in the US, and James Hardy controls ninety percent 47 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 2: of the supply of fiber cement into the North American market. 48 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 2: So I view this as not so much as a 49 00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 2: cyclical competitive business, but as a disruptive business, and the 50 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: returns are commensurate with a disruptive business. Hardies typically generates 51 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 2: returns on capital around twenty percent, unheard of in this industry, 52 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 2: and cash flows have sort of tripled over the last 53 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: ten years. Margins have expanded, revenues have grown. This looks 54 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: like nothing like a traditional buildings materials company. When you 55 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 2: tear it down, it actually looks like a high growth, 56 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: high quality business, and we treated as such. 57 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: Management of Hardies. 58 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 2: Again, this is a hard business to manage. You have 59 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 2: to manage a really large distribution network in order to 60 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 2: get your product through to individual builders. Requires thousands of 61 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: points of distribution, difficult to manage. On top of that, 62 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,960 Speaker 2: this is a traditional manufacturing business, so you have to 63 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 2: have big, heavy industry plants source raw materials. So it 64 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 2: does require very good management. And over the years, Hardy's 65 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 2: has built up a reputation as being a superbly managed business. 66 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: So I'm really happy with the management. And it's not 67 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 2: just a superstar. See we've seen successive waves of CEOs 68 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 2: come and go at Hardy's and they've all been good quality. 69 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 2: What we're always looking for is good capital allocation. How 70 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 2: do they retain profits, how do they reinvest profits? Do 71 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: they return them back to the shareholder? And you don't 72 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 2: expect a lot of dividends here because there is a 73 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 2: lot of maintenance of equipment. There's lots of new investment 74 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 2: in new supply, but the returns they get from that 75 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 2: investment is fantastic. So management quality gets a big tick 76 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 2: from me. 77 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: There's always a risk to investing in any company. What's 78 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 1: the risk with James Hardy. 79 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 2: Too big, Ris Shawan. The first is that this remains 80 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: a cyclical business. Now, this is not a boom and 81 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 2: bus stock the way other building materials businesses are, but 82 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 2: We certainly see that margins and revenues expand in the 83 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 2: boom and they contract in the bust, and so there's 84 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 2: an opportunity typically to buy this at very attractive prices, 85 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 2: but it does look beaten down and knocked up when 86 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 2: that happens. The other thing is that the investment community 87 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,159 Speaker 2: is now starting to realize that Hardias is a great 88 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 2: business and the pe has been creeping higher over the years. 89 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 2: We used to be able to buy this, and we 90 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,559 Speaker 2: have bought this many times at twenty times earnings all less, 91 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 2: you're now being asked to pay about thirty times earnings. 92 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 2: So right valuation matters, so make sure you get this 93 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:16,239 Speaker 2: at the right price. 94 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: Gorav, thanks for your time, pleasure. 95 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 2: Sean, thank you. 96 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: That was Goreav Sody, Deputy head of research at Intelligent Investor. 97 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,719 Speaker 1: Remember to get your own independent advice before making investment decisions. 98 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 1: This is Fair and Greed Summer Investing series brought to 99 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 1: you by vant Van to automates compliance for frameworks like 100 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 1: ISO twenty seven one two, CPS two three four and 101 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: essential Eate saving time and money while building trust. Join 102 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 1: over eight thousand companies like at Lassian, Dovetail, and fire 103 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 1: Ant managing real time risk. Get one thousand dollars off 104 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:51,279 Speaker 1: at vanta dot com. Slash fear and greed. I'm Sean Elmer. 105 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 1: Enjoy your day,