WEBVTT - Project 2025: The Trump presidency wish list

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<v Speaker 1>From SHORTZ Media. I'm Rick Morton.

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<v Speaker 2>This is seven AM. President Joe Biden has spent the

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<v Speaker 2>last week trying to recover from a debate performance that's

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<v Speaker 2>been described as calamitous and agonizing.

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<v Speaker 3>Was this a bad episode with a sign of a

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<v Speaker 3>more serious condition.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a bad episode. No, one, kid's very serious condition

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<v Speaker 4>of success.

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<v Speaker 1>The New York Times, top donors and several of his

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<v Speaker 1>congressional colleagues have been calling for him to leave the race,

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<v Speaker 1>but at this point he's still refusing.

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<v Speaker 3>If you can be convinced that you can knock defeat

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<v Speaker 3>Donald Trump while you stand out.

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<v Speaker 4>Well the fans of I know as the Lord or

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<v Speaker 4>Mighty comes out and tells me that I might do

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<v Speaker 4>that well.

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<v Speaker 1>And as Donald Trump's leading the polls, Whydon's attention is

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<v Speaker 1>now turning to the former president's potential agenda if you

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<v Speaker 1>were to win another term, with one particular blueprint raising concern.

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<v Speaker 1>It's called Project twenty twenty five and includes calls to

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<v Speaker 1>expand presidential power, dismantle federal agencies, and dramatically increase America's

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<v Speaker 1>military capability. Today, senior researcher at the Australian Institute, doctor

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<v Speaker 1>Emma shortas on Project twenty twenty five and why its

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<v Speaker 1>authors are threatening a second American revolution. It's Monday, the

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<v Speaker 1>eighth of July. Emma shortis the pressure for President Biden

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<v Speaker 1>to pull out of the US presidential election is increasing

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<v Speaker 1>quite intensely as his popularity continues to slide. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>there was that disastrous debate, and that also means the

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<v Speaker 1>likelihood of a second Trump presidency is going up as well.

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<v Speaker 1>So how will Trump two point zero actually be different

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<v Speaker 1>this time around compared to Trump's first go rick.

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<v Speaker 5>It's always, of course, difficult to predict anything about Donald

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<v Speaker 5>Trump because he is such a loose canon. But it's

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<v Speaker 5>pretty clear if you look not so much at Trump

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<v Speaker 5>himself but the kind of structures that have been built

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<v Speaker 5>beneath him, that a second Trump presidency would be radically different.

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<v Speaker 1>From the first.

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<v Speaker 5>Particularly, the first couple of months of the Trump presidency

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<v Speaker 5>were marked by chaos, mostly because Trump and the people

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<v Speaker 5>around him didn't really understand how American power functions and

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<v Speaker 5>how to use the systems of American power to get

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<v Speaker 5>what they want.

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<v Speaker 6>One of the things that has made this White House

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<v Speaker 6>different from all the other White Houses is the amount

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<v Speaker 6>of leaking that happens inside it. This White House is

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<v Speaker 6>so leaking. Last year, Axials published a piece entitled White

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<v Speaker 6>House Leakers Leak about leaking.

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<v Speaker 5>And that is no longer true. They've really learnt the

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<v Speaker 5>lessons of particularly those early days of the Trump presidency.

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<v Speaker 5>In fact, there are plan written by the Heritage Foundation

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<v Speaker 5>and about one hundred other conservative think tanks in the

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<v Speaker 5>United States for pretty much every single federal department and agency,

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<v Speaker 5>every policy area that you can think of, with pretty

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<v Speaker 5>extraordinary radical ideas for what that second Trump presidency would do.

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<v Speaker 7>What Project twenty twenty five is trying to do is

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<v Speaker 7>issue a corrective a series of new regulation or deregulation,

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<v Speaker 7>new policies, new leadership to undo, to correct the century

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<v Speaker 7>long capital p progressive project of establishing a fourth branch

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<v Speaker 7>of government, the administrative state.

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<v Speaker 5>Project twenty twenty five is a plan for the next

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<v Speaker 5>conservative presidency. This is how they describe it, and it's

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<v Speaker 5>attempting to replicate what they did in the nineteen eighties

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<v Speaker 5>for the Reagan administration, where they handed Reagan the plan

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<v Speaker 5>for a conservative policy agenda for the president that he

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<v Speaker 5>went on to implement it.

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<v Speaker 8>I thank you, Heritage, thanks you, and so does the

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<v Speaker 8>conservative movement. But I can't help reflecting tonight and the

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<v Speaker 8>fact that Heritage ten actually exceeded its fundraising goal by

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<v Speaker 8>two million dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, Originally, I think you could have classified Heritage

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<v Speaker 5>as a kind of traditionally conservative organization, particularly in the

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<v Speaker 5>Reagan era. You know, it was all about implementing conservative policies,

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<v Speaker 5>particularly kind of social conservatism when it came to Reagan.

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<v Speaker 5>And really they almost kind of collapsed and felp totally

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<v Speaker 5>out of favor once Trump won. But what they've done

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<v Speaker 5>is successfully kind of rebuild themselves in his image and

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<v Speaker 5>particularly in the image of the far right. Increasingly. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>you can see the Heritage Foundation and Project twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 5>five really dominating the kind of far right media universe

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<v Speaker 5>in particular. So Kevin Roberts, for example, who's the president

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<v Speaker 5>of their Heritage Foundation, has been on television just this

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<v Speaker 5>week saying that something along the lines of the revolution

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<v Speaker 5>will be bloodless if the left allows it to be.

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<v Speaker 9>We're in the process of taking this country back. The

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<v Speaker 9>reason that they are apoplectic right now, the reason that

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<v Speaker 9>so many anchors on MSNBC, for example, are losing their

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<v Speaker 9>minds daily, is because our side is winning, and so

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<v Speaker 9>I come full circle in this response and just want

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<v Speaker 9>to encourage you with some substance that we are in

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<v Speaker 9>the process of the Second American Revolution, which will remain

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<v Speaker 9>bloodless if the left allows.

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<v Speaker 1>It to be. Oh, it's a threat, it's absolutely threat.

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<v Speaker 5>It's absolutely a threat. And the language is about warfare

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<v Speaker 5>and joining the mission. So again, you know, they're not

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<v Speaker 5>hiding any of this. And they're even former Trump administration

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<v Speaker 5>officials who are still you know, incredibly loyal, who are

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<v Speaker 5>still very much in that inner circle, who are participating

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<v Speaker 5>and driving this project twenty twenty five, and you can see,

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<v Speaker 5>particularly in the last week, they are increasingly convinced that

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<v Speaker 5>they've already won.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're actually in plan. Tell me about the details.

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<v Speaker 5>It's a nine hundred page manifesto for the next administration.

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<v Speaker 5>It's extraordinary, and it goes into the most meticulous detail,

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<v Speaker 5>down to low level appointments, down to low level budget

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<v Speaker 5>lines and how budget should be allocated. You know, there's

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<v Speaker 5>a suggestion, for example, that the entire Federal Reserve be dismantled.

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<v Speaker 5>And alongside that mandate for leadership those detailed plans, they

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<v Speaker 5>also have a recruitment arm which is kind of like

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<v Speaker 5>a Conservative LinkedIn where members of a far right can

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<v Speaker 5>express their interest in working in a future conservative administration.

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<v Speaker 5>And what these candidates have to go through is kind

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<v Speaker 5>of a rigorous loyalty test where they they're asked questions

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<v Speaker 5>not about their expertise in particular policy areas, but about

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<v Speaker 5>their loyalty to far right America and Trump in particular.

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<v Speaker 5>And this bank of potentially tens of thousands of people

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<v Speaker 5>again will be handed to a future conservative administration, and

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<v Speaker 5>the idea is that that administration will use something called

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<v Speaker 5>Schedule F, which is an old Trump executive order that

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<v Speaker 5>reclassifies independent civil servants as political appointees so that they

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<v Speaker 5>can be summarily fired and replaced with Trump loyalists, who,

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<v Speaker 5>through another aspect of this Heritage Foundation plan, have gone

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<v Speaker 5>through a whole lot of education programs in how to

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<v Speaker 5>use power in the federal bureaucracy to achieve their ends.

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<v Speaker 5>So all of that together represents this pretty extraordinary effort

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<v Speaker 5>to radically reshape American politics and American culture in order

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<v Speaker 5>to implement a far right agenda.

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<v Speaker 1>We've spoken a lot about the domestic institutions that might

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<v Speaker 1>be dismantled and I mean, we've always been taught that

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<v Speaker 1>America is home to exceptionalism. But what does it mean

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<v Speaker 1>for the rest of the world if this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stuff gets the full traction of President Trump's office.

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<v Speaker 5>I think it's such an important question because so often

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<v Speaker 5>in Australia we treat kind of the domestic politic culture

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<v Speaker 5>of our of the United States as separate to its

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<v Speaker 5>international presence. You know, our relationship with the United States,

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<v Speaker 5>the alliance is something entirely different from domestic politics. But

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<v Speaker 5>particularly what this Heritage Foundation plan does is demonstrate how

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<v Speaker 5>you can't make that separation, because you know, plans to

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<v Speaker 5>dismantle the Federal Reserve in the most powerful economy in

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<v Speaker 5>the world will have unbelievable kind of mind boggling implications

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<v Speaker 5>for the international economic system, for example. So there's that,

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<v Speaker 5>But when you look at foreign policy as well, their

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<v Speaker 5>plans are incredibly radical. You know, Trump has already been

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<v Speaker 5>talking about his plans for China, for example, and putting

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<v Speaker 5>up to one hundred percent tariffs on Chinese goods coming

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<v Speaker 5>to the United States, which will again create significant economic

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<v Speaker 5>turmoil internally in the United States, but that also means

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<v Speaker 5>economic turmoil externally. And then when you put that alongside

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<v Speaker 5>the Project twenty twenty five plans for foreign policy, and

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<v Speaker 5>the biggest one that stands out to me is a

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<v Speaker 5>recommendation that engagement with China should be ended and not refought.

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<v Speaker 10>That is why we will launch an all out campaign

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<v Speaker 10>to eliminate America's dependence on Shila.

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<v Speaker 5>The reason is primarily that the forces behind Project twenty

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<v Speaker 5>twenty five and Trump as well, see China as an

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<v Speaker 5>existential threat to the United States. So this is a

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<v Speaker 5>kind of new Cold War framing where the only way

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<v Speaker 5>to defeat this existential threat is with force and aggression,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, be it economic or military. It involves plans

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<v Speaker 5>to increase the force posture of the American military, so

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<v Speaker 5>the number of troops, for example, by up to fifty thousand,

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<v Speaker 5>and move many of them to the Indo Pacific as

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<v Speaker 5>well out of Europe. And I'm not sure that we

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<v Speaker 5>are necessarily considering the implications of that and how an

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<v Speaker 5>Australian government might manage that considerable upheaval, because there are

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<v Speaker 5>also plans as well, I should add, to significantly increase

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<v Speaker 5>the nuclear arsenal of the United States, and the line

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<v Speaker 5>in Project twenty twenty five around that is that the

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<v Speaker 5>arsenal should be increased in order to deter both China

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<v Speaker 5>and Russia at once. So the magnitude of that planned

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<v Speaker 5>increase again is really really quite frightening considering whose hands,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, those weapons are going to be in.

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<v Speaker 1>After the break. How the man standing between the rest

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<v Speaker 1>of the world and Trump, Joe Biden, is failing to

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<v Speaker 1>ease lories about his age and capacity.

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<v Speaker 4>To lead, making sure that we continue to strengthen our

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<v Speaker 4>healthcare system, making sure that we're able to make every

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<v Speaker 4>single solitary person eligible for what I've been able to

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<v Speaker 4>do with with the COVID I e. Scul you, with

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<v Speaker 4>dealing with everything we have to do with what we

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<v Speaker 4>finally beat Medicare.

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<v Speaker 10>Thank you, President Emma.

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump has been underestimated before, there's no doubt about that,

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<v Speaker 1>and now only months away from the election, there's essentially

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<v Speaker 1>one person standing between him and the White House. But

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<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of questions about Joe Biden's capability,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly after what was a catastrophic debate performance recently.

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<v Speaker 5>That's right, I think you know, every time you look

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<v Speaker 5>back at it or listen back to it, it gets

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<v Speaker 5>worse and worse, and Biden and the Biden camp have

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<v Speaker 5>since kind of quietly admitted that they know they've got

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<v Speaker 5>a matter of days really to recover and to convince

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<v Speaker 5>Democrats that they can win.

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<v Speaker 3>At a five raiser in Virginia last night, the President

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<v Speaker 3>blamed his performance on jet lag, saying, quote, I decided

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<v Speaker 3>to travel around the world a couple of times shortly

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<v Speaker 3>before the debate, I didn't listen to my staff, and

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<v Speaker 3>then I almost fell asleep on stage.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, if you go back to twenty twenty and

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<v Speaker 5>the nominating process in the Democratic Party, there was a

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<v Speaker 5>pretty extraordinary suite of young, diverse its, including Kamala Harris,

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<v Speaker 5>who looked very much like the next generation of the

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<v Speaker 5>Democratic Party. And part of Biden's I think pitch in

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<v Speaker 5>his ability to win that nomination was his promise to

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<v Speaker 5>be a generational bridge to that next generation really of

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<v Speaker 5>diverse leadership in a Democratic Party. And I think part

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<v Speaker 5>of what we can underestimate about Biden's trouble now is

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<v Speaker 5>the depth of that feeling of betrayal that you know,

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<v Speaker 5>he hasn't acted as a bridge to the next generation.

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<v Speaker 5>The combination of Biden's catastrophic debate performance, that and the

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<v Speaker 5>momentum behind calls for him to step aside. Once that

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<v Speaker 5>momentum starts, it's pretty difficult to stop it.

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<v Speaker 10>Amid the calls from some for President Biden to bow

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<v Speaker 10>out of the race, from a Democratic Congressman Tim Ryan

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<v Speaker 10>of Ohio says Vice President Kamala Harris should replace Biden

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<v Speaker 10>at the top of the ticket.

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<v Speaker 5>Biden's dilemma, I suppose, is that if he does step aside,

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<v Speaker 5>he needs to anoint a successor. He needs to make

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<v Speaker 5>I guess, a kind of clear pathway for the next candidate,

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<v Speaker 5>and he has effectively already made the choice of who

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<v Speaker 5>should be his successor.

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<v Speaker 3>Everything is in context.

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<v Speaker 1>My mother used to she would give us a hard

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<v Speaker 1>time sometimes, and she would say to us, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know what's wrong.

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<v Speaker 4>With you, young people.

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<v Speaker 1>You'd think you just fell out of a coconut tree.

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<v Speaker 5>Harris is probably the best placed candidate in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>the actual structures that you need behind you in order

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<v Speaker 5>to win a national election campaign. So there's a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of noise about other potential candidates as well, but none

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<v Speaker 5>of them have I don't think the national recognition that

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<v Speaker 5>Harris has, or the kind of campaign architecture sitting behind

0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 5>them that they would need, because, of course, Harris, in

0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 5>the event that she did become the preferred candidate, would

0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 5>inherit Biden's campaign and his campaign structure and also his donors.

0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:58.679
<v Speaker 5>She polls reasonably well, but not much better than Biden

0:13:58.800 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 5>when it comes to a head to head against Trump.

0:14:01.160 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 5>But I have to admit to being very skeptical of

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:07.120
<v Speaker 5>that kind of polling. You know, I'd be wary of

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 5>putting too much stock in it because there's a pretty

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.680
<v Speaker 5>big difference between being a hypothetical candidate and being an

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 5>actual candidate. And to go back to the kind of

0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 5>grim nature of American politics at the moment as well,

0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 5>I think we can't underestimate the scale of the backlash

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:26.440
<v Speaker 5>that would come if Harris was the candidate. If you

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:29.960
<v Speaker 5>had a black woman as a candidate, the far right

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 5>in the United States will lose whatever is left of

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 5>its collective mind. But there is also acknowledgment that Harris

0:14:37.880 --> 0:14:40.080
<v Speaker 5>is not a progressive savior. You know, she was a

0:14:40.120 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 5>prosecutor before she was the vice president and so you'll

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 5>often see descriptions of her as a cop as well.

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 5>And I think part of the trepidation around Harris as

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 5>well is that she may not mobilize that progressive base

0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 5>of the Democratic Party, particularly young people and people of color,

0:14:56.840 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 5>in the way that she would need to win a

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 5>general presidential election. So I think there's a long way

0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:03.240
<v Speaker 5>to go.

0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned earlier when we were chatting that maybe we

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>haven't really considered the ramifications of a second Trump presidency,

0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 1>particularly on some of the foreign policy issues. Are we

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>prepared as a country for what might happen under Trump?

0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 5>I don't think we are, you know, I think that.

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 5>I mean, there has been increasing coverage I think of

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:24.280
<v Speaker 5>the preparations that the Australian government may or may not

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 5>be making for a second Trump presidency, most of which seem,

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 5>from the outside at least, to center around how the

0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 5>government would manage Trump personally. You know, it's the old

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 5>kind of ambassador Joe Hockey approach, where you get someone

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 5>in who's good but not too good at golf, who

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:45.200
<v Speaker 5>can have a relationship, like, you know, your personal relationship

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 5>with the president in order to kind of carve out

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 5>individual exemptions for Australia from the worst of the Trump policies.

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.360
<v Speaker 1>Remember the first time around, when Trump was elected and

0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Malcolm Turnble didn't know how to get in touch with him.

0:15:58.400 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>So he used Greg Norman.

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.240
<v Speaker 5>The golfer exactly to like just call Trump, to call

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 5>Trump directly. Yeah, exactly right. And you know, I think

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.040
<v Speaker 5>we can see a real effort on the part of

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 5>the Israian government to make sure that that doesn't happen again,

0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:14.280
<v Speaker 5>you know, to make sure that they have avenues into

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 5>a potential Trump administration. There's been coverage saying that Ambassador

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 5>Kevin Rudd is doing exactly that. You know, he's building

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 5>up relationships with people who would be kind of central

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 5>to a second Trump administration. But it does seem to

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 5>be around the question of management of a Trump administration

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 5>based on the assumption that Australia should maintain the same

0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 5>level of closeness in that alliance that we do now

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 5>and that we have done for decades. So again, you know,

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 5>so much of the focus is on if Trump is elected,

0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 5>like will he let us keep the Orchest submarine deal

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:52.240
<v Speaker 5>without I think a consideration of what keeping the Orcest

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 5>submarine deal in light of a potential Trump administration's approach

0:16:57.240 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 5>to China, for example.

0:16:59.400 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Might.

0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 5>So for me, those bigger questions aren't really being asked,

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 5>and especially in light of you know, the language coming

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:15.200
<v Speaker 5>out of trump Land, the language coming out of Project

0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:20.720
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty five about revolutions and the dismantling of American democracy.

0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:23.679
<v Speaker 5>You know, there are some pretty big questions there about

0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 5>Australia's so called shared values with the United States and

0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:30.919
<v Speaker 5>what it would mean to maintain that same level of

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 5>closeness with you know what effectively could be an authoritarian

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:41.920
<v Speaker 5>regime where now, because of a recent Supreme Court decision,

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 5>the President of the United States is beyond the.

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Law, Doctor Ama Shorts, Thank you so much for taking

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 1>the time to talk to us.

0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 5>Pleasure, Thank you so much for having me.

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:07.800
<v Speaker 1>Also in the news today, the Prime Minister Anthony Alberanezi

0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:11.159
<v Speaker 1>has congratulated newly elected British Prime Minister Kiir Starmer in

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 1>a phone call over the weekend. They reportedly discussed the economy,

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.920
<v Speaker 1>climate change and UCAS and agreed to stay in close touch.

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.800
<v Speaker 1>And Auntie Muriel Bamblet has been awarded Person of the

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Year at the National Nightouck Awards. Auntie Muriel has been

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.679
<v Speaker 1>the CEO of the Victorian Aboriginal Childcare Agency for twenty

0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 1>five years and was recognized for her ongoing advocacy of

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 1>Aboriginal children and families. This is seven am. I'm Rick Morton.

0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:39.160
<v Speaker 1>See you tomorrow.