1 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to ask Fear and Greed, where we attempt to 2 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:10,480 Speaker 1: answer listeners questions, or more appropriately, Sean does, good afternoon, 3 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 1: Sean Almer, Oh, I'm. 4 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 2: A bit worried, you said, I attempt to answer the questions. 5 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: I fully answer them, madam Lang, fully answer them completelytively 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 2: answer the questions. Yeah, yeah, I speak loudly and hope 7 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: that makes sense. 8 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: Go on, yes with confidence. Marg On LinkedIn has sent 9 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: this one through. Sean says, why does oil seem to 10 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: affect the price of everything? I get it having an 11 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: effect on petrol prices, but it seems like everything else 12 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: is time to the price of oil too. Is it 13 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: just because of manufacturing or is there more to it? 14 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 2: Ah, The answer is in the. 15 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: Question, simple question. 16 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: No, Well it actually ANSWER's answered the question without realizing 17 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 2: it because it is actually mostly about transport. It's a 18 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: great question. Some oil's central to global economic growth and inflation. 19 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,120 Speaker 2: We always talk about oil, and when we do our 20 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 2: daily shows, we mostly mention oil because it is the 21 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 2: most important commodity. What do we use oil for? Right? Petrol, 22 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 2: jet fuel, and then stuff like lubricants, kerosine, some gas liquids, 23 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 2: but a lot of it sort of energy, petrol and 24 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,039 Speaker 2: jet fuel, that type of stuff. About two thirds of 25 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:23,400 Speaker 2: petrol products are consumed in transportation, really important to keep 26 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 2: that in mind. Another big chunk, about thirty percent, is 27 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:31,039 Speaker 2: in manufacturing, and that's sort of plastics, road construction materials, 28 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 2: that type of stuff. A relatively small amount of oil 29 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 2: is in residential commercial electric power. So transport is really 30 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 2: the big one. Primarily we care about oil and oil 31 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 2: prices because of transportation and then, to a lesser extent, 32 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: the cost of manufacturing. If oil prices are higher, we 33 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 2: pay more at the petrol bowsers. Now I've made that point, 34 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 2: that's exactly right. You pay more to take a flight 35 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 2: as well. There's a direct impact there, but there's also 36 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 2: an indirect impact. If oil prices rise, the costs of 37 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: moving goods around the world, or even from Brisbane to 38 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 2: Melbourne by ship, by plane, by truck increases. Suddenly the 39 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 2: goods and the shelf are just that little bit more 40 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 2: expensive because the transport costs are higher. And this secondary 41 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 2: effect is what can really push prices up across the economy. Now, 42 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 2: when the Reserve Bank thinks about inflation, we have this 43 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 2: thing called the headline rate and the underlying rate we 44 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 2: always say the difference. Well, one of the main differences 45 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 2: between headline and underlying is we take out petrol prices, 46 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 2: which is true, but oil prices still feed through to 47 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 2: that underlying rate because of transportation costs. So higher oil 48 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 2: prices certainly act as a driver inflation and slows economic growth. 49 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,399 Speaker 2: The direct effect costing water flat your car spend less 50 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: than other stuff because it's costing one hundred bucks to flap, 51 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: you can not sixty or seventy bucks. The indirect effect 52 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: higher transport costs feed through to final prices. One little 53 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 2: aside to all this. Oil of course is priced in 54 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 2: US dollars, so the weaker the Aussie dollar, the more 55 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: expensive it is for US. Just an add on, now, Adam, 56 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: given you didn't say a word through that, so I 57 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 2: don't know whether you were bored, or whether you were 58 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: interested or whatever. 59 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: I was just thinking about it, Sean. You think about 60 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 1: the stuff you buy that doesn't need transport, be it 61 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: software services of course, where you have to go somewhere, 62 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: you still have to travel. It's almost the transport is 63 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: almost in everything. It's I was wondering whether it's easy 64 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: to talk everything stuff the petrol or transport isn't involved 65 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: with you know, so you can creeps into everything you are. 66 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 2: Right, like services in an interesting so education at one 67 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 2: point there you used to go to university or used 68 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 2: to go to a tape college. Say, much of that 69 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: is online, so maybe transport costs don't hit that as much. 70 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 2: But yeah, transport is sort of everything. And that's kind 71 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 2: of why oil mattered so much. It's mostly about transport 72 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: rather than anything else. I've got a test for you, though, Adam, Okay, 73 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,839 Speaker 2: don't don't look at me l like now you get 74 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 2: you get this out of three three. 75 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: I think that's the look of gratitude. Sean love a test. 76 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: You've got to give me the biggest producer of oil, 77 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 2: the biggest exporter of oil, and the biggest importer. 78 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: Of oil Middle Eastern countries. 79 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 2: Well, hold on, I'll done so so producer, export importer. 80 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 2: Oh god, so producer, biggest, biggest producer. 81 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,919 Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia to guess, I know, but you should have 82 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: guessed the other one. Russia. 83 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, biggest producer is actually Russia, but Russia uses a 84 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 2: lot of its own't okay, Yeah, the biggest, the biggest 85 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 2: exporter though, You're right, Saudi Arabia Saudi, Yeah, biggest importer. 86 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 2: Oh gosh, do you think the world big economies. 87 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: And who don't make a lot of it like Japan? 88 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 2: No, no, yep? 89 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: Okay China, China. 90 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 2: Yea, let's can it. 91 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: That'll do us. 92 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 2: I think we have answered the question. We're gonna leave 93 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 2: it there. 94 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, Adam failed. Apart from that, oil prices get into everything. 95 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,159 Speaker 2: Thank you, Sean, Thank you very much, Adam. 96 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:29,240 Speaker 1: That was asked for you and Greed And if you 97 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: have a question, send it through LinkedIn or submit it 98 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: at fogreed dot com dot au. I'm Adam Lang. Have 99 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: a great day.