1 00:00:03,210 --> 00:00:06,150 Sean Aylmer: Welcome to the Fear & Greed Business Interview. I'm Sean Aylmer. 2 00:00:06,180 --> 00:00:09,000 Sean Aylmer: We're certainly not an investing podcast, but we do enjoy 3 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:12,539 Sean Aylmer: talking to professional investors about what they like and what 4 00:00:12,539 --> 00:00:16,410 Sean Aylmer: they look for when examining companies. It's particularly interesting as 5 00:00:16,410 --> 00:00:18,960 Sean Aylmer: we get towards reporting season here. Of course, we're in 6 00:00:18,989 --> 00:00:22,230 Sean Aylmer: the middle of reporting season on Wall Street. Finding out 7 00:00:22,230 --> 00:00:26,250 Sean Aylmer: just how companies have performed and more importantly, what lies ahead. Remember, 8 00:00:26,250 --> 00:00:28,739 Sean Aylmer: this is general information only and you should seek professional 9 00:00:28,740 --> 00:00:32,098 Sean Aylmer: advice before making any investment decisions. Brian Han is the 10 00:00:32,098 --> 00:00:36,119 Sean Aylmer: Director of Equities Research Australia, New Zealand at Morningstar. Brian, 11 00:00:36,119 --> 00:00:37,320 Sean Aylmer: welcome back to Fear & Greed. 12 00:00:38,220 --> 00:00:39,780 Brian Han: Hi, Sean. It's a pleasure to be here. 13 00:00:40,260 --> 00:00:43,740 Sean Aylmer: Now I do like the Morningstar Best Ideas publication, comes 14 00:00:43,740 --> 00:00:46,320 Sean Aylmer: out monthly. Just explain what it is. 15 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:50,369 Brian Han: Oh, sure. It is a report that we publish every 16 00:00:50,370 --> 00:00:55,860 Brian Han: month highlighting what our Morningstar analysts see as the most 17 00:00:55,860 --> 00:01:01,290 Brian Han: worthwhile stocks for investors to consider. So you won't see 18 00:01:01,290 --> 00:01:03,420 Brian Han: any stocks on this list that happen to be the 19 00:01:03,420 --> 00:01:06,899 Brian Han: flavours of the month. You won't see this list littered 20 00:01:06,900 --> 00:01:11,130 Brian Han: with stocks in sectors that are suffering from cyclical issues. 21 00:01:11,850 --> 00:01:14,940 Brian Han: And you certainly won't see any penny dreadful stocks on 22 00:01:14,940 --> 00:01:18,209 Brian Han: this list that day traders and even some managers like 23 00:01:18,209 --> 00:01:22,770 Brian Han: to have a punt on. What you will see are 24 00:01:22,770 --> 00:01:26,789 Brian Han: a select number of stocks drawn from across the whole 25 00:01:26,789 --> 00:01:32,640 Brian Han: spectrum of the market that have passed some quality screens 26 00:01:32,910 --> 00:01:38,580 Brian Han: and are trading at decent discounts to our valuations. And 27 00:01:38,580 --> 00:01:41,550 Brian Han: we do these Best Ideas not just for Australia and New Zealand, 28 00:01:41,550 --> 00:01:46,289 Brian Han: but also for Americas, Europe and Asia. 29 00:01:46,889 --> 00:01:49,080 Sean Aylmer: Okay, so with that as background, let's jump into it 30 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:51,150 Sean Aylmer: and let's start with Australia before we move on to 31 00:01:51,450 --> 00:01:55,080 Sean Aylmer: other parts of the globe. It's a dynamic list, isn't 32 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,710 Sean Aylmer: it? So companies come on and off. And I know 33 00:01:58,740 --> 00:02:00,840 Sean Aylmer: in the last week or two there's been a couple 34 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:04,410 Sean Aylmer: of companies that have fallen off the list. Just who 35 00:02:04,410 --> 00:02:05,429 Sean Aylmer: were they and why? 36 00:02:05,429 --> 00:02:09,960 Brian Han: So yes, that is correct, Sean. Last week we removed 37 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:17,160 Brian Han: WiseTech, which is a transport logistics software company and AGL. 38 00:02:17,730 --> 00:02:22,049 Brian Han: Both have been removed simply due to their strong stock 39 00:02:22,049 --> 00:02:26,489 Brian Han: price performance, so much so that they are no longer 40 00:02:26,700 --> 00:02:32,220 Brian Han: trading at a sufficient discount to our analyst valuations. But 41 00:02:32,250 --> 00:02:35,669 Brian Han: there will be other reasons why certain stocks would be 42 00:02:35,669 --> 00:02:39,989 Brian Han: removed in certain months, and that would be perhaps because 43 00:02:39,990 --> 00:02:44,160 Brian Han: the fundamentals have changed or some industry events have happened. 44 00:02:44,430 --> 00:02:47,430 Brian Han: So, as you say, Sean, it is a dynamic list 45 00:02:47,490 --> 00:02:50,010 Brian Han: that we update and reassess every month. 46 00:02:50,700 --> 00:02:54,179 Sean Aylmer: Okay. So AGL and WiseTech fell off last week. Did anything join? 47 00:02:55,258 --> 00:02:56,369 Sean Aylmer: Have you been buying anything? 48 00:02:57,540 --> 00:03:01,950 Brian Han: Yes, we added two companies. One is ASX. I don't 49 00:03:01,950 --> 00:03:05,430 Brian Han: need to say too much about that. It's essentially a 50 00:03:05,430 --> 00:03:13,708 Brian Han: natural monopoly providing essential infrastructure to Australia's capital markets, and 51 00:03:13,799 --> 00:03:19,020 Brian Han: it is trading at a decent discount to our analyst's evaluation. 52 00:03:19,620 --> 00:03:22,020 Brian Han: The second one we added is quite interesting. It's a 53 00:03:22,020 --> 00:03:28,980 Brian Han: company called ResMed. It is a leading sleep apnea treatment company. 54 00:03:29,250 --> 00:03:34,138 Brian Han: It's performing quite strongly. There is excess demand for ResMed's 55 00:03:34,230 --> 00:03:38,790 Brian Han: products due to some supply shortages that we're having, and 56 00:03:38,790 --> 00:03:44,220 Brian Han: also due to a competitor who's having some internal issues. Now, 57 00:03:44,220 --> 00:03:48,539 Brian Han: you add to that the fact that we have aging population, 58 00:03:48,660 --> 00:03:54,720 Brian Han: obesity and under diagnosis of sleep apnea, I think these 59 00:03:54,720 --> 00:04:00,510 Brian Han: are all long-term trends which should support continuing demand for 60 00:04:00,690 --> 00:04:01,650 Brian Han: ResMed's products. 61 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,429 Sean Aylmer: Okay, so that's Australia. Let's look beyond Australia, and we'll 62 00:04:05,429 --> 00:04:08,369 Sean Aylmer: start with the biggest market, which of course is Wall 63 00:04:08,370 --> 00:04:10,470 Sean Aylmer: Street. Tell me about Teradyne. 64 00:04:11,279 --> 00:04:13,950 Brian Han: Yeah, let me give you some background, Sean, because a 65 00:04:13,950 --> 00:04:19,140 Brian Han: constant frustration for Aussie investors is the lack of quality 66 00:04:19,140 --> 00:04:23,520 Brian Han: tech stocks on the ASX. Now, there are plenty of 67 00:04:23,610 --> 00:04:28,919 Brian Han: penny dreadfuls masquerading as such, but not many solid franchises. Well, 68 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,040 Brian Han: there are a few in the US trading at decent 69 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:36,390 Brian Han: discounts to our valuation, and one, as you say, is Teradyne, 70 00:04:36,540 --> 00:04:42,990 Brian Han: listed on NASDAQ under ticker symbol TER. It is basically 71 00:04:42,990 --> 00:04:47,189 Brian Han: a chip testing company, which invests a boatload of money 72 00:04:47,190 --> 00:04:53,670 Brian Han: into producing high quality automated testing equipment, and it's highly 73 00:04:53,670 --> 00:04:58,828 Brian Han: leveraged to this whole industrial automation trend. It has a 74 00:04:58,830 --> 00:05:05,760 Brian Han: leading market share and superior products, profitability and customer relationships 75 00:05:06,299 --> 00:05:10,830 Brian Han: than peers. So that is one. And perhaps if I 76 00:05:10,830 --> 00:05:15,750 Brian Han: can give you another one, Sean, that would be Cognizant Technology, 77 00:05:16,230 --> 00:05:22,680 Brian Han: and that's also listed on the NASDAQ under CTSH. Now, 78 00:05:22,740 --> 00:05:25,950 Brian Han: it is not just a small, dime a dozen mom 79 00:05:25,950 --> 00:05:30,210 Brian Han: and pop IT service provider, but a major player that 80 00:05:30,210 --> 00:05:35,279 Brian Han: makes a lot of money facilitating all the digital transformation 81 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,700 Brian Han: work that's going on in companies around the world. 82 00:05:39,719 --> 00:05:44,459 Sean Aylmer: It's interesting, both as companies, Cognizant Technology and Teradyne, they 83 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:49,680 Sean Aylmer: are service providers to what's happening in the technology world. 84 00:05:50,428 --> 00:05:53,910 Sean Aylmer: There's opportunities not just about the NVIDIAs of the world, 85 00:05:53,910 --> 00:05:56,070 Sean Aylmer: it's actually the service providers to those companies. 86 00:05:57,178 --> 00:05:59,580 Brian Han: Yeah, Sean, it's like the old days when the gold 87 00:05:59,580 --> 00:06:02,580 Brian Han: rush was on, and you can go on get the gold, 88 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:06,089 Brian Han: or you can buy actually shares in businesses that sell 89 00:06:06,089 --> 00:06:09,330 Brian Han: the shovels and the picks. And these are the companies 90 00:06:09,330 --> 00:06:13,349 Brian Han: that sell their services to, as you say, facilitate not 91 00:06:13,349 --> 00:06:15,630 Brian Han: just things in technology world, but in the real world 92 00:06:15,630 --> 00:06:21,839 Brian Han: such as automation and digitisation and transformation, which have become 93 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,779 Brian Han: the buzzwords ever since we had that pandemic. 94 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:26,939 Sean Aylmer: Stay with me, Brian, we'll be back in a minute. 95 00:06:33,059 --> 00:06:36,330 Sean Aylmer: I'm speaking to Brian Han, Director of Equities Research Australia, 96 00:06:36,330 --> 00:06:40,049 Sean Aylmer: New Zealand at Morningstar. So let's shift to Europe. That 97 00:06:40,050 --> 00:06:45,599 Sean Aylmer: economy isn't traveling as well necessarily as the US economy, 98 00:06:45,599 --> 00:06:48,029 Sean Aylmer: nor the Australian economy for that matter, but you've picked 99 00:06:48,029 --> 00:06:51,359 Sean Aylmer: out Accor, the hotels group, Anheuser-Busch. Tell me about Accor 100 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:51,928 Sean Aylmer: and Anheuser-Busch. 101 00:06:52,949 --> 00:06:55,020 Brian Han: I guess that's one of the reasons why we wanted 102 00:06:55,020 --> 00:06:57,510 Brian Han: to highlight these best ideas because as you say, Sean, 103 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,330 Brian Han: not many people know that there is a company called 104 00:07:00,330 --> 00:07:04,559 Brian Han: Accor and that it is one of the largest hotel 105 00:07:04,559 --> 00:07:08,969 Brian Han: groups in the world. And it is leveraged to that 106 00:07:08,969 --> 00:07:15,270 Brian Han: whole post pandemic recovery in global travel activities. Now, it 107 00:07:15,270 --> 00:07:20,760 Brian Han: has brands catering to all segments of the market from 108 00:07:21,420 --> 00:07:25,500 Brian Han: Raffles and Sofitel for rich people like yourself, Sean. 109 00:07:26,429 --> 00:07:28,050 Sean Aylmer: Yes, yes, yes. Talking my language here, Brian. 110 00:07:30,990 --> 00:07:35,040 Brian Han: To Ibis. To Ibis and BreakFree catering to cheapskates such as myself. 111 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,330 Sean Aylmer: I think you've got that confused somewhat. I think you've 112 00:07:39,330 --> 00:07:41,280 Sean Aylmer: got the names mixed up there, Brian, but go on. 113 00:07:42,570 --> 00:07:45,209 Brian Han: Yeah, but the interesting thing is the shares are still 114 00:07:45,210 --> 00:07:52,170 Brian Han: undervalued relative to what our analysts thinks they're worth. But another one, 115 00:07:52,170 --> 00:07:56,970 Brian Han: as you say, is Anheuser-Busch InBev, which is listed on 116 00:07:56,970 --> 00:08:02,460 Brian Han: the Brussels exchange. And it makes 500 different kinds of 117 00:08:02,460 --> 00:08:10,110 Brian Han: beer brands, including Corona, Budweiser, and Heineken. And the company 118 00:08:10,110 --> 00:08:14,550 Brian Han: has dominant market positions and much lower cost structures than peers, 119 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:21,060 Brian Han: and especially leveraged to big, developing markets such as Africa 120 00:08:21,540 --> 00:08:22,860 Brian Han: and Latin America. 121 00:08:24,090 --> 00:08:27,240 Sean Aylmer: Okay. Now, we often talk about Wall Street, we sometimes 122 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,970 Sean Aylmer: talk about Europe, here on Fear & Greed we don't actually 123 00:08:29,970 --> 00:08:33,420 Sean Aylmer: talk a lot about the companies to invest in Asia, 124 00:08:33,929 --> 00:08:37,500 Sean Aylmer: but it's such a big part of our market, and 125 00:08:37,500 --> 00:08:42,270 Sean Aylmer: China specifically. Couple of examples there that you think investors, 126 00:08:42,270 --> 00:08:45,360 Sean Aylmer: it's worth having a look at, China Merchants Bank and 127 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:47,550 Sean Aylmer: then China Overseas Land & Investment. 128 00:08:48,540 --> 00:08:51,960 Brian Han: Yeah, exactly. And it's funny you should mention that because 129 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,889 Brian Han: Asia is full of developing countries with huge populations and 130 00:08:55,889 --> 00:09:00,088 Brian Han: growing wealth. So if you can find shares in companies 131 00:09:00,660 --> 00:09:03,840 Brian Han: that serve these markets and can buy them at a 132 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:07,710 Brian Han: discount to what they may be worth intrinsically, why wouldn't 133 00:09:07,710 --> 00:09:11,130 Brian Han: you consider them? And the two that you mentioned, one 134 00:09:11,130 --> 00:09:15,509 Brian Han: would be China Merchants Bank. It has a leading market 135 00:09:15,509 --> 00:09:20,130 Brian Han: position in the Chinese retail banking space and is also 136 00:09:20,130 --> 00:09:24,270 Brian Han: making big inroads into wealth management. The bank has a 137 00:09:24,270 --> 00:09:28,530 Brian Han: industry-leading return on equity because it has such a asset 138 00:09:28,530 --> 00:09:33,780 Brian Han: light business model. It has a very well-off customer base, 139 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:39,570 Brian Han: prudent lending practices, and pretty low funding costs. And at 140 00:09:39,570 --> 00:09:43,380 Brian Han: the current discount to our analyst valuation, I think is 141 00:09:43,380 --> 00:09:47,550 Brian Han: certainly worth a look for Aussie investors who may be 142 00:09:47,550 --> 00:09:51,120 Brian Han: filled to the gills with our four major banks. And the 143 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:55,680 Brian Han: other one you mentioned was the China Overseas Land & Investment. Now, 144 00:09:56,220 --> 00:10:00,240 Brian Han: this real estate company operates in the very competitive and 145 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:05,578 Brian Han: fragmented Chinese property development space, but it has been one 146 00:10:05,580 --> 00:10:10,110 Brian Han: of the few to achieve market share growth in recent periods. 147 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,650 Brian Han: And they have done this by focusing on land bank 148 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:20,218 Brian Han: quality upgrades and acquisitions. And it mainly operates in wealthier 149 00:10:20,220 --> 00:10:24,960 Brian Han: cities in China, so it should do well as home 150 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:28,679 Brian Han: buyer sentiment in China continues to recover. 151 00:10:29,730 --> 00:10:32,429 Sean Aylmer: Brian, plenty to think about in all that. Thank you 152 00:10:32,429 --> 00:10:34,140 Sean Aylmer: very much for talking to Fear & Greed. 153 00:10:34,710 --> 00:10:35,970 Brian Han: Pleasure, Sean. Thank you. 154 00:10:36,150 --> 00:10:39,059 Sean Aylmer: That was Brian Han, Director of Equities Research Australia, New 155 00:10:39,059 --> 00:10:42,360 Sean Aylmer: Zealand at Morningstar. This is the Fear & Greed Business Interview. 156 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,450 Sean Aylmer: Remember, you should get professional advice before making any investment 157 00:10:45,450 --> 00:10:48,000 Sean Aylmer: decisions. Join us every morning for the full episode of 158 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,300 Sean Aylmer: Fear & Greed, Australia's most popular business podcast. I'm Sean Aylmer, 159 00:10:51,630 --> 00:10:52,320 Sean Aylmer: enjoy your day.