WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 17 September 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:06.680 From the Skying Center. This is Paul Murray life. It 0:00:06.760 --> 0:00:09.200 may not surprise you, but from time to time I 0:00:09.320 --> 0:00:12.680 have played cirkum machines. Oh no, terrible right, many of 0:00:12.720 --> 0:00:16.960 them are involved in RSL clubs. But is it time 0:00:17.000 --> 0:00:18.720 for the RSL club to be no longer called the 0:00:18.840 --> 0:00:20.800 RSL Club? We'll explain why in a moment or two. 0:00:20.800 --> 0:00:23.640 Is time. Nigel Farras joins us tonight. Cannot wait for it, 0:00:24.720 --> 0:00:27.120 and lots of more detail from what you've already heard 0:00:27.120 --> 0:00:30.240 about what Trump has had to say about what happened 0:00:30.240 --> 0:00:31.000 to him yesterday. 0:00:32.280 --> 0:00:34.920 I would have loved to have thank that last, but 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:37.279 but we decided let's get out of here. 0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:40.680 As you know, housing in this country is a very 0:00:40.680 --> 0:00:43.640 significant issue. There is not enough places for people to buy, 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:45.960 there is not enough places for people to rent, and 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:47.840 of course we have a system where we just bring 0:00:47.880 --> 0:00:50.360 on in hundreds of thousands of more people each and 0:00:50.400 --> 0:00:53.600 every year. The federal government thinks the way to solve 0:00:53.640 --> 0:00:55.320 all of this is, of course to throw more money 0:00:55.360 --> 0:00:57.880 at the problem, but specifically not really homes that you 0:00:57.920 --> 0:01:00.000 and I would be able to get access to. Of course, 0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:06.040 it's generally speaking about social housing. Housing Commission homes and 0:01:06.120 --> 0:01:07.840 the Prime Minister is not getting his way because the 0:01:07.840 --> 0:01:11.640 Greens are saying no, everyone else in the Parliament is 0:01:11.680 --> 0:01:15.960 saying no. So today Albow threw the ultimate toy out 0:01:15.959 --> 0:01:18.240 of the cot that any Australian Prime minister has the 0:01:18.240 --> 0:01:20.840 opportunity to do, and that is to threaten that if 0:01:20.840 --> 0:01:22.600 they don't get what they want out of the Senate 0:01:22.760 --> 0:01:24.679 and it is rejected twice, then we would be off 0:01:24.680 --> 0:01:28.800 to a double disillusion election. Try not to laugh. 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:33.560 You could go to a D day, though I probably 0:01:33.600 --> 0:01:36.240 won't go to a D day because it wouldn't be 0:01:36.280 --> 0:01:37.560 a great result for you, would it. 0:01:37.920 --> 0:01:40.920 Well, well, wait and see. 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:45.760 Now. Of course, the bad result that to Andrew was 0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:49.040 referring to there was that in a double disolution election, 0:01:49.120 --> 0:01:51.800 it doesn't really matter what happens downstairs, because it's still 0:01:52.160 --> 0:01:54.920 all of the normal seats. You need seventy six to 0:01:55.160 --> 0:01:58.280 become the government. But in a double disillusion what you 0:01:58.360 --> 0:02:01.280 do is, rather than have harm of the Senate up 0:02:01.320 --> 0:02:03.840 for grabs with the other half sitting around for another 0:02:03.880 --> 0:02:06.320 three years, you wipe everyone and you go back to 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:09.280 the start. Every spot in the Senate would become available. 0:02:10.000 --> 0:02:14.440 But as that other strategic political genius the ghost Malcolm 0:02:14.480 --> 0:02:18.080 Turnbull worked out if you have a double dissolution and 0:02:18.160 --> 0:02:20.560 all of the Senate is up for grabs, then the 0:02:20.600 --> 0:02:23.480 bar to actually get people elected to the Senate is halved. 0:02:23.960 --> 0:02:27.520 Literally half as many votes as you would need to 0:02:27.600 --> 0:02:30.679 get in on a half Senate or normal election would 0:02:30.720 --> 0:02:33.919 be the case in a double dissolution. Now that would mean, 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:38.520 given the current polls, there would be more Greens in 0:02:38.760 --> 0:02:41.920 the Upper House. It would potentially mean that there would 0:02:41.919 --> 0:02:48.000 be more Libs in the Upper House. Of course, the 0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:52.360 cross Bench two would most likely explode, just like it 0:02:52.400 --> 0:02:56.400 did again when that guy playing four D chess did 0:02:56.400 --> 0:03:00.680 it in twenty sixteen. And if you halved the quota 0:03:00.760 --> 0:03:02.760 for people to get into the Senate, there'd be more 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:05.320 people from one nation, more people from the Lambing network, 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:08.800 probably more people from United Australia Party, and definitely another 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:11.239 teal that would end up getting up, most likely in 0:03:11.280 --> 0:03:15.560 places like the Act. But there's other people who would 0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:19.600 be added to the cross beach. Now the Prime Minister thinks, 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:22.280 look more of the people who generally vote with me. 0:03:22.320 --> 0:03:24.640 Who cares? The problem is it could go in any 0:03:24.639 --> 0:03:29.000 different direction. Legalized cannabis most likely would get pretty close 0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:32.840 to winning a Senate seat. Their vote is very close, 0:03:32.880 --> 0:03:36.200 and they have representatives in the Victorian, New South Wales 0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:40.640 and Western Australian parliaments. What about the libertarian movement? Libertarian 0:03:40.680 --> 0:03:43.360 movement formerly of the Liberal Democrats, has had people elected 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:46.160 to the parliament before. They do okay in Victoria, they're 0:03:46.160 --> 0:03:49.160 doing particularly well in New South Wales. Could they end 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:52.080 up going in And of course, when you have a 0:03:52.120 --> 0:03:55.920 look at the overall trajectory of the polls, the Prime 0:03:55.960 --> 0:04:01.880 Minister can threaten all he wants, call is bluff because 0:04:01.880 --> 0:04:04.280 if there was an election, he would get his backside 0:04:04.520 --> 0:04:08.520 handed to him. He would lose majority, he would go 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:12.040 into minority. As we showed you last week or last night, 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:15.200 I should say, there's some analysis that both parties could 0:04:15.240 --> 0:04:18.040 end up in the minority position. Don't forget you want 0:04:18.040 --> 0:04:20.599 to talk about the poll's Prime Minister before you put 0:04:20.600 --> 0:04:24.719 out your piss week threats. Fifty seven percent of people 0:04:25.120 --> 0:04:28.080 have told the Red Bridge polling organization they cannot name 0:04:28.360 --> 0:04:34.720 one thing, not one thing that you have done since 0:04:34.760 --> 0:04:40.040 you became Prime minister to make people's life better. There is, 0:04:40.080 --> 0:04:42.359 of course the polling that exists, as you've already just 0:04:42.440 --> 0:04:47.120 seen from the resolve people. That show fifty three percent 0:04:47.160 --> 0:04:50.440 of people say the current prime minister's performance in most 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:55.000 recent weeks is poor or very poor. So good luck, Pale, 0:04:55.880 --> 0:04:58.760 make whatever threat you want, pour whatever sugar you need 0:04:58.800 --> 0:05:01.680 into the press. Galleries year that everything is just the 0:05:01.720 --> 0:05:04.040 same as it was before the twenty twenty two election, 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.800 because just as it wasn't the same as the twenty 0:05:07.080 --> 0:05:11.240 nineteen election, trying to turn the twenty and twenty five 0:05:11.279 --> 0:05:14.840 election into the twenty sixteen election will have exactly the 0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:19.599 same result. A first term government will get a whole 0:05:19.640 --> 0:05:23.640 collection of seats smashed out off their record. But unlike 0:05:23.800 --> 0:05:27.120 the Ghost who had a backbench thanks to the win 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:31.600 of Tony Abott in two and thirteen, you don't have 0:05:32.560 --> 0:05:36.760 any backbench to burn. You have a majority government of 0:05:36.920 --> 0:05:40.280 just two seats. It is inevitable that every first term 0:05:40.320 --> 0:05:45.320 government loses seats. We saw it in twenty ten with 0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:49.839 Gillard and Rudd. We saw it in two thousand, sorry, 0:05:49.880 --> 0:05:55.400 in nineteen ninety eight when it came to John Howard. 0:05:56.000 --> 0:05:59.480 We saw it in two thousand and sixteen when it 0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:01.919 was the Ghost. So good luck, you make your threats. 0:06:03.200 --> 0:06:04.919 The Greens think they're in a sweet spot when it 0:06:04.920 --> 0:06:08.239 comes to housing, particularly in and around Southeast Queensland, because 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:11.520 their focus is utterly on renters. The Opposition think that 0:06:11.560 --> 0:06:14.840 they're in a sweet spot because they believe that people 0:06:14.839 --> 0:06:17.040 should be able to access things like their superannuation to 0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:21.080 be able to get something resembling a deposit, to be 0:06:21.120 --> 0:06:24.120 able to buy a house. And while there is tens 0:06:24.120 --> 0:06:27.279 of thousands of people who are waiting on public housing 0:06:27.360 --> 0:06:31.080 waiting lists, I'm not sure too many of them don't 0:06:31.120 --> 0:06:35.120 already vote for your Prime minister. And then there's of 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:38.880 course two very different groups who would barely agree ever, 0:06:39.400 --> 0:06:42.400 who think the Prime Minister is the problem, who think 0:06:42.400 --> 0:06:46.320 that his government is the problem. And while he parties 0:06:46.360 --> 0:06:49.520 around thinking that he's the celebrity Prime Minister, the reality 0:06:49.720 --> 0:06:53.120 is that this is a guy who doesn't impress anyone. 0:06:55.080 --> 0:06:57.960 As you've heard tonight Chief Executives via the Business Council 0:06:58.000 --> 0:06:59.760 of Australia, they're having a dinner right now. The Prime 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:04.560 mint is coppying it between the eyes from the business community. 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:07.800 He also copped it between the eyes today for the 0:07:07.800 --> 0:07:11.080 man who led the ACTU when the Labor Party truly 0:07:11.200 --> 0:07:15.040 reformed the economy back in the nineteen eighties and nineteen nineties. 0:07:15.520 --> 0:07:17.520 Let's go back to what the bosses have had to say. 0:07:17.920 --> 0:07:20.400 Chief executives of the nation's biggest companies are warning that 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:25.560 Australia is losing our way and taking steps backwards. The 0:07:25.600 --> 0:07:28.920 person who represents the Business Council, who represents companies like BHP, 0:07:29.120 --> 0:07:34.280 the Banks, Accounting, First West, Farmers, Hancock, Prospecting, Telstra, Atlasian 0:07:34.640 --> 0:07:39.120 and Quantas, say the country is losing its way. Instead 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:42.040 of taking big steps on the things the matter, we're 0:07:42.040 --> 0:07:45.600 taking incremental but noticeable steps backwards. Of course, the Prime 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:50.840 Minister already had a response to these evil business leaders. 0:07:52.040 --> 0:07:55.680 Is it really the time to be hitting businesses with 0:07:55.800 --> 0:07:59.440 your wave of ir reforms, increasing red tape and requirements 0:07:59.440 --> 0:07:59.920 on business. 0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:05.160 Let's be very clear those reforms have passed and under 0:08:05.320 --> 0:08:10.160 those reforms. This Thursday, two days time, the clock's ticking 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.240 on whether we will reach one million new jobs being 0:08:14.320 --> 0:08:18.400 created since we're elected to government. So what we're seeing 0:08:18.480 --> 0:08:21.880 is more jobs being created. We are seeing higher wages, 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:26.800 We're seeing continued growth, We're seeing a continued rise in 0:08:26.920 --> 0:08:30.440 business investment. We're seeing all of those factors. 0:08:31.520 --> 0:08:33.600 Of Course, as I've shown you many times before. When 0:08:33.600 --> 0:08:35.640 it comes to the economic growth, this country is more 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:38.920 like the car that's out of tune, that's idling at 0:08:38.960 --> 0:08:43.160 the traffic lights and just slightly creeping forward. But then 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:46.360 there's Bill Kelty, former boss of the Australian and the 0:08:46.400 --> 0:08:49.520 Act you the Trade Union. He says that we need 0:08:49.559 --> 0:08:52.360 a labor party in which big issues are confronted, describing 0:08:52.360 --> 0:08:55.079 the other an easy government instead as mired and mediocrity. 0:08:55.440 --> 0:08:58.640 The government needs a greater dose of imagination. The Labor 0:08:58.640 --> 0:09:01.640 Party seems to have lost its way, so the bosses 0:09:01.800 --> 0:09:05.080 the unions are saying the same thing. The Prime Minister 0:09:05.400 --> 0:09:08.840 just thinks you're stupid and are too busy to notice. 0:09:10.480 --> 0:09:14.200 Well, I don't accept the premise because every indication is 0:09:14.240 --> 0:09:19.000 certainly not that. I'm very confident that when Australians focus 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:23.800 on what the next term is about, a government that's 0:09:23.840 --> 0:09:27.040 making a difference to the economy, a government that what's 0:09:27.040 --> 0:09:29.920 an economy to work for people, not the other way around. 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:33.960 Brother. Of course, the reality, this is what I've spoken 0:09:33.960 --> 0:09:38.200 about for years now, is that the economy that they 0:09:38.280 --> 0:09:42.960 talk about is the economy that the government's able to 0:09:42.960 --> 0:09:46.360 give itself a gold star for the one that talks about, say, 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:49.480 budget surpluses, not budget deficits. The economy in terms of 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:53.600 you and I is that we're in recession for six 0:09:53.880 --> 0:09:56.960 quarters in a row, the best part of eighteen months. 0:09:57.400 --> 0:10:01.360 We've all gone backwards. The only reason that we are 0:10:01.400 --> 0:10:03.680 sputtering in terms of growth is because of the number 0:10:03.679 --> 0:10:07.320 of public servants that have been hired, the pay rises 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:13.480 to the public servants, the amount of infrastructure spending that 0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:17.320 state governments are borrowing billions of dollars to build, which 0:10:17.320 --> 0:10:20.760 in part also is pushing up inflation, an inflation rate that, 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:24.360 by the way, in Australia is doing worse than places 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:27.720 like the United Kingdom, the United States or Canada. And 0:10:27.760 --> 0:10:30.920 when the Prime Minister talks about growth again, stats baby, 0:10:31.200 --> 0:10:33.440 we've got them here. We've got the data, not just 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:36.120 the opinion, not just the Catherine Wheel of showbiz. We've 0:10:36.160 --> 0:10:39.760 got the data to prove it. Powe. This is Australia 0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:44.240 in anemic growth. Remember as soon as there's a minus, as 0:10:44.240 --> 0:10:47.760 soon as you go under zero percent for two quarters 0:10:47.800 --> 0:10:50.319 in a row, then you're in a recession. We are 0:10:50.600 --> 0:10:55.120 barely barely growing. Yet the Prime Minister says, well, look 0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:58.160 at us one point five percent growth. We are doing 0:10:58.200 --> 0:11:00.840 better than insert country. Insert country, Well what about the 0:11:00.920 --> 0:11:04.480 United States? The United States were inflation at one point 0:11:04.559 --> 0:11:07.240 hit the best part of nine percent. It's the number 0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:10.880 one issue in the upcoming federal election and if anything, 0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:12.320 would be the sole reason why there may be a 0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:15.880 change of president. Look what their growth is compared to 0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:19.920 out growth right now. The Prime Minister likes to tell 0:11:20.040 --> 0:11:23.760 himself a whole collection of stories that he has a 0:11:23.880 --> 0:11:27.040 special connection with the Australian politics that Peter Dutton could 0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:32.040 never possibly replicate. That if he tells you that he's 0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:34.280 helped you out with two little too late tax cuts, 0:11:34.520 --> 0:11:38.000 you're too stupid to notice that despite the fact that 0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:40.839 he promised to cut your energy bill by two hundred 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:44.720 and seventy five dollars. Instead there's a twenty five dollar credit, 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.679 maybe for the next twelve months to get you through 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:52.480 an election. But of course that twenty five dollar credit 0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:54.720 comes after your bills are already gone up by the best 0:11:54.720 --> 0:11:59.280 part of one thousand dollars. The Prime Minister and the 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:05.079 people around need to understand that. In the same way, 0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:08.680 when you point to the stock market as an example 0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:12.760 of how amazing the economy is going, the reality of 0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:17.079 every day people's lives is all that matters. Because while 0:12:17.120 --> 0:12:20.360 the big companies may matter, and the big unions may matter, 0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:26.000 and the big media mates may matter, there's about seventeen 0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:29.160 million Australians who once every couple of years get the 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:32.079 chance to say whether they want to rehire or fire 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:37.280 a government. And the polls right now suggest that minority 0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:42.319 government is a virtual inevitability. You see Anthony Abernez, he 0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:44.440 may well think and the people around him that if 0:12:44.440 --> 0:12:46.520 they just show lots of black and white images of 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:50.520 Peter Dutton and say cut, cut, cut, and pretend that 0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:53.760 he wants to put a nuclear reactor in everyone's backyard. 0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:56.440 The reality is that when this government was hired, it 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.640 was under a promise of doing better. Instead everything got worse. 0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:03.920 There was one interest rate rise under the previous government. 0:13:04.000 --> 0:13:08.000 There have been twelve under this one. So you tell 0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:11.959 yourself your stories. The reporters will write them down, shove 0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:15.320 them through the air like you want them to. But 0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:17.240 the reality of the people sitting on the other end, 0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:22.800 they go, I'm sorry. Remember almost sixty percent of Australians 0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:26.280 cannot say one thing that this government has done to 0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:29.079 make their lives any better. Good luck with that proposition 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:33.800 at an election. Prime Minister. Meantime, I've got another bit 0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:36.440 of news for you in and around cost of living. Now, 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.440 some deep data thinkers have been having a look at 0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:41.320 whether people have been spending their two little too late 0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:43.640 tax cuts, and the assumption is no, they haven't been, 0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:45.960 which is good because it means it's not been pushed 0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:50.120 towards inflation. However, one of the reasons why people are 0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:52.320 holding on to what very little of the too little, 0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:56.160 too late that they had is because they are expecting 0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:59.720 mega tax bills to be coming their way. Those maybele 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.160 of all he started coming. We learned today by the 0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:05.600 Cidny Morning Herald that the Australian Tax Office is getting 0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:09.200 ready as we are all doing our returns, to come 0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:13.400 after business and individuals. They claim there's about one hundred 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:18.200 billion dollars in the Australian economy an unpaid tax. So 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:20.320 of course they will pretend they're going to shake down 0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:22.240 the companies. The reality is they will shake down the 0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:26.000 small business, the sole trader, anyone with an ABN, anyone 0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:30.680 who decides to claim as legally they can, the amount 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:33.120 that they use their car to go toward from work 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:38.960 put simply you. Meantime, we also learned today about several 0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:42.360 issues when it comes to housing. Again, nothing to see here. 0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:44.800 Housing is not a problem, it's all a problem. In 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:46.720 the Senate might have a double dissolution about it. No, 0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.040 the QE for renters. The queue for people to buy 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.680 houses gets longer because of this government's repeated obsession with 0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:58.320 bringing hundreds of thousands of people into the country. We 0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:01.520 learned today that figgers that were released to The Australian 0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:05.160 by the Liberal senator Dean Smith show there was evidence 0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:08.120 of mortgage stress, particularly in places like Tasmania, with a 0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:11.440 seventy two percent increase in the number of mortgage holders 0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:13.920 that were falling into arrears. On over the economy's amazing 0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:17.960 prime minister sixty four percent increase in South Australia, sixty 0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:21.080 two percent jump in Queensland, forty four percent rise in 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.760 Western Australia. And then there's of course the people who 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:29.120 are trying to build their dream home, because you see, 0:15:29.240 --> 0:15:31.440 the property market isn't just about people who want to 0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.360 buy their one bedroom unit, but maybe the people who 0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:36.120 want to buy the place for their family. They want 0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.160 it design just the way they like, so they say 0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:41.040 about their cash and they hire a builder. Now many 0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.680 builders have gone bus because the price they quoted you 0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:45.800 a year ago or two years ago, they can't deliver 0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:49.760 because guess what, the cost of building a house has 0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:54.840 gone up by forty percent and not bay up in 0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:58.600 the past twelve months. I'm saying before the pandemic, forty 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:01.760 percent higher than it was a couple of years ago. 0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:04.480 In fact, Australians are spending as much as fifty seven 0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:07.320 percent more to build a brand new house than before 0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:11.400 the pandemic. Most expensive places Victoria, what a surprise, least 0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:16.160 expensive Queensland. But don't think it's all rosy for people 0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:19.680 in Queensland, because we learn this week as well about 0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:23.840 people in Queensland, specifically Brisbane who actually live up the 0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:26.840 hill a little bit that they are still being slugged 0:16:27.560 --> 0:16:31.360 with huge increases in insurance premiums, which, as we've shown 0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.080 you many times over many months, over a couple of 0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:37.200 years now, is a massive factor in the inflation number 0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:41.440 that remember, is higher than other parts of the world. 0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:46.960 Some Brisbane people trying to ensure their home have seen 0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:52.120 a jump of up to ten times because of new 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:55.640 council maps, and it means that just because someone lives 0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:57.600 in the same local government area as you, but they 0:16:57.600 --> 0:16:59.160 live at bottom of the hill, but you live halfway 0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:00.760 up or on the top, then all of you will 0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.840 pay the same. Oh, but the economy is amazing, and 0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:06.320 if we have a double disillusion election, Labor will do 0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:10.840 so well. Such a tactical genius who can annoy both 0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:19.440 the business community and the union community. See nothing now. 0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:22.840 We earlier this year had the Queensland local government elections, 0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:24.919 and all the weekend just gone we had the new 0:17:24.960 --> 0:17:29.320 South Wales local council elections. Much of the headlines out 0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:31.040 of that were people talking about the Sidney Lord Mayor 0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:33.920 and Clover Moore winning an eight hundredth year in power. 0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.960 Does she buy herself a new choker every time? Who 0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:41.560 knows quite the collection. But some people are now starting 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.679 to dig into the other results that came out of 0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:47.760 the new local government elections, including that apparently the Labor 0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.040 Party was starting to get itself into a little bit 0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:52.960 of trouble, particularly in Western Sydney. But you know, the 0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:56.080 economy is amazing. Wouldn't everyone vote Labor at the next election. 0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:00.320 The political strategist to at one point in time work 0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.960 for the Labor Party who now does the red Bridge Pole, 0:18:03.000 --> 0:18:05.320 because Samaras said the party was struggling in this traditional 0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:07.840 heartland at western Sydney and the RBNZ government should be 0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:11.119 concerned about the next federally concerned he's trying to call 0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:16.400 on a double dissolution. Good luck meantime, With the Liberal 0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:21.840 Party unavailable due to their own stupidity and factional nonsense 0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:24.800 not being on the cards, there was a center right 0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:28.800 party that did particularly well, the Libertarian Party formerly the 0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:31.800 Liberal Democrats Party. They deserve a shout out that they 0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:33.720 should have got yesterday. I'm sorry I give it to 0:18:33.760 --> 0:18:36.439 them today because I was distracted by events in the 0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:39.520 United States. They won fifteen council seats and that's huge 0:18:40.160 --> 0:18:42.119 because put simply, they have one seat in the New 0:18:42.160 --> 0:18:44.200 so of Wales Parliament, but they they have one seat 0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:47.960 in the Victorian Parliament. They have clearly support and libertarianism 0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:49.960 I think is probably a little bit more popular once 0:18:50.000 --> 0:18:52.760 people actually know what it is. But the brand of 0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:56.159 the Libertarian Party did particularly well, and it did well 0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:59.000 in lots of different places, including in and around the 0:18:59.240 --> 0:19:03.800 outer fringes of Sydney in an area called Camden. Today 0:19:03.840 --> 0:19:06.560 as part of the celebration. They were out and about 0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:09.800 saying that literally every single development application that will be 0:19:09.800 --> 0:19:13.960 lodged by that candidate by that council will be approved 0:19:13.960 --> 0:19:17.000 by a libertarian because they believe in getting on with it. 0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:19.760 But the reason I talk about all of this now 0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:24.560 is there is a huge blind spot for the center 0:19:24.640 --> 0:19:28.760 right and right of Australian politics. Too often it is 0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:34.000 arrogant about the role local government plays now. In many ways, 0:19:34.040 --> 0:19:36.480 I have said to lots of people who've run lots 0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:38.680 of minor parties over the years, why don't you run 0:19:38.720 --> 0:19:43.879 candidates at local government? Just say roads rates rubbish and 0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:47.600 will keep Australia. Unsurprisingly, most people who don't know anything 0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:50.240 about whom they're voting for would probably vote for that 0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:53.920 because at least they know what they're getting. But there's 0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:58.720 a second reason why political parties should put effort into 0:19:58.760 --> 0:20:01.320 the people whom they a local council, not just to 0:20:01.359 --> 0:20:06.280 be counselors, but potentially mayors, because guess what happens when 0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:09.000 a local community gets to know and like a mayor, 0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:13.199 they can run for state parliament and they often end 0:20:13.280 --> 0:20:17.520 up winning seats in state parliament. The same could be 0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:20.200 said in federal Parliament. Christy McBain I think, is a 0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:24.240 rising star of the Labor Party, so former mayor, and 0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:25.879 she of course has won the seat of eden Minera, 0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:28.640 which apparently was remember the Bellweather seat, but it didn't matter. 0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:31.240 It's now locked in as virtually a safe seat. She 0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:33.080 was one of the mayors in and around that part 0:20:33.160 --> 0:20:35.240 of the south coast of New South Wales, in and 0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:40.560 around the fires. My point is this, everyone focuses on 0:20:40.600 --> 0:20:44.560 winning a Senate seat, because understandably that's a big game, 0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:50.640 but why not run more people with very clear traditional 0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:55.320 values at local council level. Maybe they can stop the 0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:58.680 local councils getting outside their lane. Maybe they can become 0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:01.040 the mayor, maybe they can be seen as somebody who's 0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:03.760 upholding a whole series of traditions. And then that base 0:21:03.840 --> 0:21:06.480 you get to work off to become a state MP 0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:10.080 and eventually a federal MP. Too many center right parties 0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:13.119 start at the Senate and yes it's always hard to 0:21:13.240 --> 0:21:16.960 find people, but even if you can't find candidates, why 0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:21.000 not do surveys of the candidates that are running and 0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:24.639 say this is the one that's most like us, this 0:21:24.680 --> 0:21:26.199 is the one who's promised to do the things that 0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:29.760 we've asked them to do. So world under the Libertarian Party, 0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.719 not just on their results, but on having the courage 0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:35.760 to actually go and start at the bottom of the 0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:40.720 political pyramid, because it does eventually bear fruit. It eventually 0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:45.000 produces federal members of Parliament. It means communities get to 0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:48.200 know you over years and years, and then the personal 0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:52.280 vote can often overcome whatever garbage is being thrown into 0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:55.639 a local area from a local or national media who 0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:59.480 frankly don't know what they're talking about. So well done 0:21:59.600 --> 0:22:03.479 again the Libertarian Party and everyone involved in it. The 0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:06.560 more you read about Libertarianism, the more sense it makes 0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:11.840 to me, at least Jeff Kennet when he has plenty 0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:14.520 to say, and he is an iconic figure of Australian politics. 0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:16.320 Of course, he hasn't been an elected office for a 0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:20.400 long time, but I love when he just remains part 0:22:20.440 --> 0:22:23.040 of the debate and fearless. He wrote a great piece 0:22:23.040 --> 0:22:24.760 today in the Herald Sign which was about why the 0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:28.320 Greens must go last. Now by extension, I would suggest 0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:31.320 that your preferences absolutely matter. They matter at every election 0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:34.399 and if you're somebody who goes well put them all last. 0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:36.080 Guess what you get end up with the Labour Party. 0:22:37.080 --> 0:22:38.679 But if you end up putting the party that you 0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:41.320 would like to be the government number two, then guess 0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:44.159 what you'll probably end up with them. We saw the 0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:47.080 difference between twenty twenty two put them all last in 0:22:47.080 --> 0:22:51.920 twenty nineteen, when preference discipline meant the revolution was delayed 0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:55.840 by three years. Jeff writes today about the Greens and 0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:58.720 the moral case for why they must go last. The 0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:00.399 last thing I want to see is a Minori government 0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:02.880 where the Greens hold the balance of influence. Their behavior 0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:07.560