1 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: Rio Tinto is in talks to spend up to nine 2 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 1: billion dollars on a major lithium minor. The sheer market 3 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: closes at a near record high, and the auction clearance 4 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 1: rate falls to its lowest level in almost two years. 5 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fear and Greed, Daily business news for people 6 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: who make their own decisions. It is Tuesday, the eighth 7 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: of October twenty twenty four. I'm Michael Thompson, and good morning, 8 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 1: Sean Aylmer. 9 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 2: Good morning, Michael. I tell you what, half the country 10 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 2: had the day off yesterday, but it didn't seem that 11 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 2: weighs so much going on in the world of business. 12 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 1: There is so much to cover this morning, and the 13 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: main story this morning is a big one, isn't it. 14 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: This is and it's kind of exciting stuff. Rio Tinto 15 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 1: confirming that it's in talks to acquire arcadium lithium for 16 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: between four and six billion US dollars. 17 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 2: Is it about time we had a decent takeover to 18 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 2: talk about that? You reckon? 19 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: You know you are right, because it feels like there 20 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: hasn't actually been what we're talking about yesterday. The fact 21 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: there hasn't been much kind of much in the way 22 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: of IPOs and big deals and stuff to chat about 23 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: for quite a while. 24 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 2: And even the ones that we had BHP making a 25 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 2: bid for Anglo American got knocked back. You know, not 26 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: much to see. They're a bit disappointing anyway. Rio's bid 27 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 2: is worth between six and nine billion Aussie dollars for 28 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: the dual listed minor, which trades on Wall Street and locally. 29 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:25,960 Speaker 2: Undoubtedly it is opportunistic. Lithium prices have tumbled and Arcadium's 30 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 2: share prices down more than sixty percent twenty twenty four. 31 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 2: Already shareholders are calling for a higher offer. Rio started 32 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 2: talks in London to acquire Arcadium, with an offer expected 33 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 2: and I quote Rio, in the near future, we might 34 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 2: be able to talk about put up and shut up 35 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,479 Speaker 2: rules as well, Michael. They'd be exciting because you. 36 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: Know that is like I mean, I learned a lot 37 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: in this podcast, but that is one of the things 38 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: that has really really stayed with me. And that was 39 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: all because we were talking about BHP and Anglo American 40 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 1: and all that, and they put up and shut Up laws. 41 00:01:57,720 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: They're on the wall of the studio now, because that's right. 42 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: It is just the best name for a set of laws. 43 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 2: Basically, you've only got about a month if you're making 44 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 2: your bid, Otherwise it lapses anyway, Rio's comment about a 45 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 2: bid in the near future. So arcadiums share place up 46 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: forty six percent yesterday, which it puts it back to 47 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 2: where it was in June. Mind you, it is still 48 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 2: way below where it started. The Rio likes lithium, and 49 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 2: Arcadian's Argentinian assets are near Rio's lithium mine in that country. 50 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 2: Arcadian was created last year through the merger of Alcombe 51 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:36,799 Speaker 2: and live Ent and has assets across Argentina, the US, China, Japan, 52 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 2: Canada and Australia. It is a big lithium player. It's 53 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 2: expected to supply about five percent of the globe's supply 54 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 2: next year. 55 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: Sean, you mentioned that it's an opportunistic bid, and that's 56 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 1: kind of the key here, isn't it. Because lithium prices, 57 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: as you say, have tumbled. Will it actually get over 58 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: the line? 59 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 2: I don't know. But when you're a big miner like 60 00:02:56,280 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: Rio needing future growth, particularly outside iron ore and preferably 61 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: in the critical mineral sector, then downtrodden withim miners are 62 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 2: pretty attractive. While analysts don't expect lithium prices to surge 63 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 2: anytime soon. It could be years before you too much 64 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 2: supplied not enough demand issue is sorted out. There is 65 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: confidence that ultimately it will be sorted possibly later this decade, 66 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: so buying it these prices makes sense. Most big miners 67 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 2: want copper. That was a big play in BHP's unsuccessful 68 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 2: bid for Anglo American, but that's very expensive. With shareholders 69 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 2: already coming out saying they want more money for Arcadium, 70 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 2: it seems that that company is definitely in play and 71 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: for Rio to be successful, it probably will need to 72 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 2: pay more. But certainly this is a bid with real legs. 73 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: Indeed, it's a great story to talk about. It is 74 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: something just exciting, isn't Absolutely It's got a lot of 75 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 1: components to it. Local markets, Sean, Let's take a look 76 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: what happened yesterday. 77 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 2: It was a strong day in the markets, notwithstanding news 78 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 2: up while the ACT, South Australia and Queensland were closed, 79 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 2: the SMPA six two hundred finished up zero point seven 80 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 2: percent to eighty two hundred and five points, just seven 81 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 2: points from the record closed set last month. Training was 82 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: thin and the banks were the big winners. National Australia 83 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,719 Speaker 2: Bank in Westpac both rows two percent. Comonwealth Bank was 84 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 2: up one and a half percent. Big day for that 85 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 2: Lithium minors, no surprises there. The announcement dragged other stocks higher, 86 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 2: including Liontown Resources, which jumped eighteen percent, whilst they owned 87 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 2: a mining and Call Lithium both did well. Forest fu 88 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 2: Metals Group was another strong performer. Worst on the day 89 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 2: was West African Resources, down eighteen percent, despite affirming guidance 90 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 2: and reiterating that the Bikina Faso government was supportive of 91 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 2: its gold mining operations and that it was not aware 92 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 2: of any plans to withdraw permits. Just the fact that 93 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 2: a company comes out and says, I'm very confident that 94 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 2: the government we're working with, Bikina Faso is supportive of 95 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 2: our operations isn't a good look. 96 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: Why do you need to reassure people this is the 97 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: case suddenly? It just puts that doubt into people's minds, 98 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: doesn't it. Sean coming up after the show, and this 99 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: is really not relevant to gold mining operations or international 100 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: permits or anything. You have an interview coming up today 101 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 1: with Simon Kustin Maha from the Demographics Group. 102 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 2: Yes, it is fascinating. Anytime you talk to Simon, you 103 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 2: get great insights about what's going on in the world, 104 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 2: particularly among the population where we focus today is this 105 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 2: growing carehort of people, mostly male, between about fifteen, sixteen, 106 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 2: seventeen and mid twenties. I'm trying to think of the 107 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 2: term he called them neats. I think no education, no employment, 108 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 2: no training. So it's kind of people who aren't in 109 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 2: a job, who aren't learning a skill, and aren't at university. 110 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 2: What that means for the economy is quite remarkable, right 111 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 2: from economic growth through to marriage proposals and prospects of 112 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 2: these people getting married and stuff like that. It is 113 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 2: really fascinating. 114 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is a great conversation, so it as well 115 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: worth sticking around for that. It's coming up after the show. 116 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 1: What's happening in international market? 117 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 2: Sean Oh and Alas back in favor, couldn't keep it down. 118 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 2: The mineral is trading back above one hundred and ten 119 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 2: US dollars a ton on speculation Beijing will make further 120 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 2: announcements to stimulate the Chinese economy. Now there is a 121 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 2: briefing scheduled for today. Beijing announced a bunch of measures, 122 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 2: including interest rate cuts, and targeted support for the property sector. 123 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 2: Over a week ago, late last month, it was now China, Michael, 124 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:37,039 Speaker 2: if you were unaware, they've had a week long public 125 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 2: holiday that started last Yuesday finished yesterday. That means there 126 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 2: was no official announcements. I know you're getting very excited 127 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 2: about their whole prospect of a week long public holiday. 128 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: Goodness made. What does that do for just for general output, 129 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,119 Speaker 1: for productivity, for everything. Goodness may get a lot of sleep. 130 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: That's a great bit of downtime. I guarantee you even 131 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 1: if we had a week long public holiday, you would 132 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:07,040 Speaker 1: still make me turn up to the studio every single 133 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 1: day during that time. 134 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: Now do you know what the holiday is though. 135 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: No Golden Week. 136 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 2: It's called Golden Week. 137 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: Oh I think we talked about this last year. 138 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. It kind of begins this It's 139 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 2: the mid autumn festival. It's kind of up to eight 140 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 2: days long, and about half of those you get paid leave. 141 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 2: I mean, this is pretty good stuff. It was started 142 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 2: by the Chinese government in nineteen ninety nine, and the 143 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 2: idea was to help expand domestic tourisms. They get people 144 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 2: moving around the country and hopefully give the country itself 145 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 2: a boost, which I thought, Yeah, we did talk about 146 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 2: last year's fascinating. 147 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: That's why we were talking about it. We're talking about 148 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: it because there was a lot of people moving around 149 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 1: the country at the time. It might have even been 150 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: the previous year as well, because it was in to 151 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: do with all of the COVID lockdowns and the fact 152 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: that it was the first big test as China started 153 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: to lift a lot of their restrictions with people moving 154 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: around the country. It was a big, big, big test 155 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 1: for how much the country was going to be able 156 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: to get back to normal. 157 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 2: Anyway, I'll keep an eye out. I'll keep an eye 158 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: ex I don't know how many people moved around, but 159 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,559 Speaker 2: we're talking hundreds of millions of people taking holidays in China. 160 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 2: It's pretty amazing. 161 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, anyway, it's an entirely different scale to talk about here. 162 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 2: Totally, totally. Just before we leave international markets, golds steady 163 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 2: around twenty six to fifty US dollars announce and the 164 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 2: Aussie dollars buying around sixty eight US cents. 165 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: Excellent. Sean will be back in a moment with the 166 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 1: rest of the day's business news. Sean house sales are 167 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 1: falling fast with successful auctions now at a near two 168 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 1: year low. 169 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 2: The combined preliminary auction clearance rate last week came in 170 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 2: at sixty three point nine percent across capital cities, the 171 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 2: lowest level since December twenty twenty two. There were nineteen 172 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 2: hundred auctions held. The lower numbers last week can in 173 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: part be attributed to the Labour Day long weekend in 174 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: New South past ac teams Australia. Queens of Law sade 175 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 2: yesterday off that was actually the King's Birthday long weekend, 176 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:07,479 Speaker 2: not the Avery Day weekend for Queenslanders. A low preliminary 177 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 2: clearance rate in Sydney was the main drag sixty two 178 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 2: point seven percent, down from sixty six point one percent 179 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 2: in the previous week. Sixty four point four percent in Melbourne. 180 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 2: That was better than the previous week, of course, the 181 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 2: previous week was Grand Final week in Melbourne. Across the 182 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 2: smaller capitals, Bridzman came in at sixty one percent, Adelaide 183 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 2: was seventy percent, Cambridge just under fifty two percent. Things 184 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 2: get back to normal this week post long weekend and 185 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 2: football finals. About twenty six hundred houses going up for auction, 186 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 2: so we'll get a pretty good idea this time next 187 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 2: week about just how much of a slow down there's 188 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 2: been in the housing. 189 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: Market now, Shawn. The Australian government has evacuated nine hundred 190 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 1: and four Australian and immediate family members from Lebanon over 191 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: the past week, and Quantas says it flew a jet 192 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: to Cyprus yesterday to transport people home. 193 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 2: Yes So, Australian government assisted flights have been evacuating citizens, 194 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 2: permanent residence and immediate family members to Cyprus from Lebanon 195 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 2: as the war intensifies. Yesterday's Quantus flight is expected to 196 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 2: return back to Sydney Airport and Quantas has pledged to 197 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,959 Speaker 2: fly those passengers to their nearest home domestic airport at 198 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 2: no cost good on Quantas. In addition to the flight 199 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 2: in cabin crew, there will be a dedicated team on 200 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:22,079 Speaker 2: board to support the special assistance flight. Meanwhile, Hesbler has 201 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 2: praised pro Palestinian and pro Hesbla protests in Australia over 202 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 2: the weekend, posting pictures from the rallies on its telegram 203 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 2: channel with a caption from Australia to the world, stop 204 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 2: the Israeli aggression on Lebanon. There are also peaceful vigils 205 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 2: yesterday in Sydney and Melbourne from both Lebanese supporters and 206 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 2: Israeli supporters. 207 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: Rebel Senator Fatima Payman should hand back her seat to 208 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,679 Speaker 1: Labor and contest the next selection along with the other 209 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 1: candidates from her new party. According to Prime Minister Anthony Albernezi, the. 210 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 2: Western Australian senator plans to announce her new party this week, 211 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 2: and the PM said she should use it as an 212 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,959 Speaker 2: opportunity to test her own popularity as well and contest 213 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 2: the next election under her new banner. Now. Senator Payment 214 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: was elected as a Labour senator in twenty twenty two 215 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 2: for a six year term. She'd defected to the cross 216 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 2: bench in July this year, citing her disappointment with Labour's 217 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 2: stance towards the Arab Israeli conflict. Because she's in the 218 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 2: middle of her term, Senator Payment personally won't face the 219 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 2: voters at the next election due bi May next year. Now, Yesterday, 220 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 2: Senator Payment is said by creating a new party, she's 221 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:33,080 Speaker 2: allowing the population to pass judgment on her. Also, Senator 222 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 2: Payment yesterday released a statement to mark the first anniversary 223 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 2: of the terror attacks against Israel, in which twelve hundred 224 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 2: people were killed. She was overtly critical of Israel. She said, 225 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 2: and I quote, nothing justifies the killing of civilians. Nothing 226 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 2: justifies this laughter of twenty thousand children. Nothing justifies apartheid, 227 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 2: nothing justifies occupation. 228 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: Now, Sean, a little bit of economics here for you. 229 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 1: Australia's trade balance, which has been in surplus almost continually 230 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 1: since twenty seventeen, is heading lower, with both exports and 231 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: imports down. Over the month of August, the. 232 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 2: Goods trade surplus was five point six billion dollars for 233 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 2: the month. It's been that sort of five billion dollar 234 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 2: range for the past few months, but it's about half 235 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:14,800 Speaker 2: what it was at the start of the year. The 236 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 2: sliding surplus reflects lower commodity prices, particularly iron ore prices. 237 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 2: Still accounts for about twenty percent of all exports, and 238 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 2: eighty percent of those go to China. A trade surplus 239 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 2: means we're selling more stuff overseas and buying it from offshore, 240 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 2: so it's a positive for economic growth. However, recent signs 241 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 2: of a slow down in global manufacturing firms, particularly in China, 242 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 2: and falling international student visa approvals doesn't augur that well 243 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 2: for coming quarters. Sure. 244 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: I know we're twenty four hours out from the Fear 245 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: and Greed weekly newsletter now, which comes out on Wednesday morning, 246 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: tomorrow morning. Any kind of hints as to what you 247 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: are going to give us your unadulterated thoughts on, Well, I. 248 00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 2: Am going to talk about the housing market. Yes, what's 249 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:02,839 Speaker 2: happening there in terms of price rises and stuff like that. 250 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: Okay, You're not going to get stuck into Australia's trade balance. 251 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 2: Probably not. I mean it's exciting, there's no doubt. 252 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, to what extent we want to entice people to 253 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: subscribe to the newsletter. Look, you know what, maybe we'll 254 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: make that an Ironcloud commitment. There will be no discussion 255 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: on trade balance. 256 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 2: Okay, all right, my promise. 257 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: Head along to Fearangreed dot com dot au and sign 258 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 1: up for the free weekly newsletter. There's been a surge 259 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:31,719 Speaker 1: in people joining up in the last week Seawan ever 260 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 1: since you we both posted a couple of videos on 261 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 1: social media on LinkedIn and Everything featuring each of us 262 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: walking along talking about the newsletter. It's almost falling over 263 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 1: downstairs all that kind of thing. Goodness may be putting 264 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 1: our bodies on the line for Fear and greed. So 265 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:48,760 Speaker 1: sign up for the newsletter and make all of that 266 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:52,680 Speaker 1: worth it, Shawn. Financial advice not only provides investors with 267 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: guidance on money matters, it also helps improve the quality 268 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 1: of life for many people and increases their financial confidence 269 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 1: and satisfaction. 270 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 2: That's according to a Financial Advice Association Australia survey, which 271 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 2: also says that an adviser helps people feel more confident 272 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:13,079 Speaker 2: when managing health issues. Now we're big fans of financial 273 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 2: advisors on this show, absolutely though. The survey is very 274 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 2: very positive about financial advisers, including where did it come from? Againshawan, Yeah, 275 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 2: The Financial Advice Association Australia. Across the board, all age 276 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:28,560 Speaker 2: groups with advisors experienced and increased value in quality of life, 277 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: confidence and financial satisfaction over the last year. For those 278 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 2: without an advisor, quality of life decreased slightly. The survey 279 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 2: says that ninety one percent of clients earning one hundred 280 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: and twenty thousand dollars or less who had financial advisors 281 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 2: felt financially secure, higher than those who didn't have an advisor. 282 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 2: For advised clients, trust and satisfaction in their advisor had increased, 283 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 2: with two thirds of clients reporting their perceptions of the 284 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 2: value received from their advisor had improved. Over all. The 285 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 2: surveys suggests that financial advice protects finances, delivers peace of mind, 286 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 2: and support decision making. I would love one of these 287 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 2: surveys from a peak body to say, Yep, nap doesn't work. 288 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:09,720 Speaker 1: We've done a bit of research, and you know what, 289 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 1: it's not really necessary, irrelevant. You don't need financial advice. 290 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: Goodness me, and a lot of that really is common sense. 291 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 2: It is. I mean, I'm sure if you have a 292 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 2: financial advisor, it does give you peace of mind because 293 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 2: you know, at least someone is looking after my money. 294 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, it gives you a little bit of 295 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 1: control back and a little bit of kind of just 296 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: a sense that kind of time is not getting away 297 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: from you and the opportunity is not getting away from you. 298 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: Can you tell that I've talked to a financial advisor 299 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: in the last couple of weeks, clearly, and suddenly the 300 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: optimism and the enthusiasm is back. So I one hundred 301 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: percent agree with this survey. Now Regal Partner's bid for 302 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 1: Platinum Asset Management as well and truly alive, even though 303 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 1: it's been knocked back with Platinum allowing Regal Partners access 304 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 1: to its books. 305 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 2: Platinum wants a higher price and has granted Regal access 306 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 2: to do due diligence in the hopes of achieving a 307 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 2: better offer. The two asset managers confirmed they had entered 308 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 2: an initial period of non exclusive mutual due diligence with Platinum, 309 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 2: saying the process could allow Regal to improve the value 310 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 2: in terms of its proposal and allow Platinum to assess 311 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 2: the absolute and relative value of Regal share consideration and 312 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 2: the costs and benefits of any combination. Lots of words there. 313 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 2: What I'm trying to say is they're talking to each other. 314 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 2: Being their Platinum founder and major shareholder, Clon Nelson has 315 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,280 Speaker 2: yet to comment on Regal's offer. A bit of a 316 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 2: king maker in this one. There's no pun there because 317 00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 2: of course the person who is in charge of Regal 318 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:39,520 Speaker 2: Partners is Philip King. Anyway, I digress the board. Basically, 319 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 2: the Platinum board has set its open to offers, including 320 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 2: from third parties. 321 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: That's such a niche pun your making. 322 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 2: That's very good. 323 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 1: Such a specific audience that is going to understand that one. 324 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: Speaking of billionaires, how about this one at Lassian Co 325 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: founder Scott Farquah and his wife Kim Jackson have sold 326 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: their unu used Point Piper waterfront mansion A Lane for 327 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,680 Speaker 1: about one hundred and thirty million dollars. 328 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's the top deal of twenty twenty four 329 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 2: and at that price is either equal to or slightly 330 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,439 Speaker 2: above the current national house price record, according to the 331 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 2: Finn Review. The exact price is undisclosed, but the Finn's 332 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 2: reporting sources saying the property exchange for about the same 333 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 2: amount that the couple paid for another property close by. 334 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 2: That's where they're living. The far By Jackson's paid seventy 335 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 2: one million dollars for the eighteen sixty three built a 336 00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:34,239 Speaker 2: lane in April twenty seventeen. They haven't lived in it. 337 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 2: It's now a dilapidated residence. So you pay seventy one 338 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 2: million bucks, you don't live in. Australia's overall residential record 339 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 2: sits at one hundred and forty million dollars paid for 340 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 2: a combined penthouse and sub penthouse atop then leases one 341 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: Sydney Harbor at Bringaroo, purchased off the plan in twenty nineteen. 342 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 2: That one no one's living there. It's still yet to settle. 343 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 1: So they made about sixty million dollars out of this 344 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 1: over that time. 345 00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, seven years, sixty million dollars. 346 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,919 Speaker 1: It's not a bad little investment, was it? Selling The 347 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: Weekender hasn't even lived in run down old shack turn 348 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 1: into international news now Sean Donald Trump's economic plan so 349 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 1: forecast to raise the federal debt by roughly double the 350 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 1: increase expected if Karmala Harris is elected. 351 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 2: That's according to new analysis from the Committee for a 352 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:25,479 Speaker 2: Responsible Federal Budget, a non partisan group in Washington and 353 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 2: reported in The Financial Times. Through twenty thirty five, the 354 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 2: federal debt is projected to swell by seven point five 355 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 2: trillion dollars if the former president wins the White House 356 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 2: and follows through with his pledge to lower taxes for 357 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:42,199 Speaker 2: individuals and businesses, apply heavy tariffs on imported goods, and 358 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 2: deport millions of immigrants, amongst other proposals. Vice President KRMLA 359 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 2: Harris's platform features expanded tax credits for small businesses, improved 360 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 2: access to affordable childcare and housing, but higher corporate taxes. 361 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: It's estimated to increase the debt by about three and 362 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 2: a half trillion dollars over the same period. Indicate a 363 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 2: tight race between the two. What we're four weeks away, 364 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:08,920 Speaker 2: four weeks today till the election day. They've both made 365 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 2: the economy a focal point of their campaigns. 366 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: And finally showing. The death toll in the US from 367 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 1: Hurricane Helene has risen to more than two hundred and 368 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: twenty five, with many more unaccounted for. As communities across 369 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: six states reel from its effects, including several hundred thousand 370 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,440 Speaker 1: homes left without power and short of clean water. 371 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 2: Washington has deployed soldiers and military helicopters to help emergency 372 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: workers reach people stranded in remote towns. Flooding destroyed highways, 373 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 2: and trenchill rain unleashed mudslides on homes all over the place. 374 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 2: The toll was highest in North Carolina, where almost one 375 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 2: hundred fatalities were estimated, followed by South Carolina. The southern 376 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 2: states of Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, and Virginia were also badly affected. 377 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 2: The scientists have found that warming sea temperatures are linked 378 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,679 Speaker 2: to more intense hurricanes. According to the FT, A preliminary 379 00:19:56,680 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 2: study from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California found 380 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 2: that climate change may have boosted the amount of rainfall 381 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 2: over parts of Georgia and North Carolina by as much 382 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 2: as fifty percent as a hurricane dumped moisture collected over 383 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 2: the Gulf of Mexico, where record temperatures have been reached. 384 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: Okay, Up next Sean is the Fear and Greed Daily 385 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 1: interview with demographer Simon kusten Maher from the Demographics Group. 386 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 2: All about what's happening in society, but particularly this cohort 387 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,639 Speaker 2: of young men in particular from for fifteen sixteen seventy 388 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 2: to about their mid twenties and how their lifestyles have 389 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 2: changed and how that's impacting everything from the marriage market 390 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 2: to the economy. 391 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is a great chat. It is coming up 392 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 1: next to the Fear and Greed playlist on your podcast 393 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,560 Speaker 1: platform or at Fearangreed dot com, dot a you and 394 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: keep an eye on your playlist at around about midday 395 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 1: today when the new episode of Ask Fear and Greed 396 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 1: is released. That's where we answer listener questions. I can 397 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,639 Speaker 1: be on the economy, they can be on business, they 398 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:52,160 Speaker 1: can be on look, that could be on relationships, really, 399 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: that could be on pretty much anything. And we'll have 400 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 1: a crack at answering it, and today's question is a 401 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,080 Speaker 1: good one, but she'll have to come back at midday 402 00:20:58,320 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: to hear all about it. Thank you very much, Sean, 403 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 1: Thank you, Michael. It is Tuesday, the eighth of October 404 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Make sure you're following the podcast and 405 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: please join us online on LinkedIn, Instagram, x TikTok and Facebook. 406 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 1: I'm Michael Thompson and that was fear and greed. Have 407 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: a great day.