WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 14 May

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<v Speaker 1>From the Skyinging Center.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Paul Murray life.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you KG to everyone on our camber team. All

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<v Speaker 1>right now, no more bs, no more mucking around, no

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<v Speaker 1>more sitting on the fence. The barefoot investor Scott Paper

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<v Speaker 1>is a man who many people turn to for some

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<v Speaker 1>financial advice or somebody they read often. He today did

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<v Speaker 1>the first thing he's done in twenty years when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to a federal budget. He didn't bother going to

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<v Speaker 1>Canberra because as you have all learnt by now, it's

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<v Speaker 1>all handed out and leaked and mentioned, and even the

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<v Speaker 1>budget surplus was known in the papers this morning. He

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<v Speaker 1>refers to it essentially a sort of really boring political theater.

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<v Speaker 1>And in that spirit, let's begin this evening. While we

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<v Speaker 1>will get serious and we'll have our debates, let's also

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<v Speaker 1>poke fun at these people who pretend they are changing

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<v Speaker 1>anyone's life, when, of course, all this document is about

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<v Speaker 1>every year, regardless of who the politician is, it's about

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<v Speaker 1>saving their backside, about telling you that your world's going

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<v Speaker 1>to get better because woos seventy five bucks every three months.

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<v Speaker 2>You know this garbage.

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<v Speaker 1>Jim Chalmers did something that no treasurer I have seen

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<v Speaker 1>in the past has done. He invited the cameras in

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<v Speaker 1>to watch him like a gladiator, leave his office and

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<v Speaker 1>walk into the Parliament. And it's the best bit of

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<v Speaker 1>TV I've seen since Goldberg was wrestling back in w

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<v Speaker 1>c W.

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<v Speaker 3>If you're a in them, you can see.

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<v Speaker 2>The wide screen.

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<v Speaker 1>Without the pyro and not quite as interesting and probably

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<v Speaker 1>just as fake. Now tonight we're going to have an

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<v Speaker 1>all star panel of Sky News mates and friends and colleagues.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm so pleased, Chris Kenny and Andrew BOLTI here, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>so pleased. We're going to have the team Red Blue.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll hear a lot of reaction that's coming in as well.

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<v Speaker 1>But right off the top our budget tradition, the five

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<v Speaker 1>things you need to know about this federal budget. Number one,

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<v Speaker 1>the reality here is that every household getting a three

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<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars power rebate means that you, in actual fact,

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be paying for midionaires to be able

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<v Speaker 1>to take three hundred bucks off their power bills. The Treasurer,

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<v Speaker 1>in order to take a line politically out of this budget,

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<v Speaker 1>has said every household.

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<v Speaker 2>Will get three hundred dollars. Wait till I tell you

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<v Speaker 2>how that three hundred dollars is being doled out.

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<v Speaker 4>Just as every Australian tax player will get a tax cut,

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<v Speaker 4>every Australian household will get energy price relief. From July one,

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<v Speaker 4>Australians will receive an energy rebate of three hundred dollars

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<v Speaker 4>and one million small businesses will get a little bit more.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right, this bloke who thinks he'll be the prime

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<v Speaker 1>minister one day. The working class hero thinks there is

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<v Speaker 1>no difference in cost of living pain between this house

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<v Speaker 1>in the suburbs of his own electorate, or this house

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<v Speaker 1>and every other mansion in the country. That's what every

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<v Speaker 1>household means.

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<v Speaker 2>Now. The reality is is that people at the.

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<v Speaker 1>Rich end of town have largely been the ones that

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<v Speaker 1>have been spending and spending and spending. They're still going

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<v Speaker 1>on overseas holidays, They're still buying new tellies, while people

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<v Speaker 1>at the other end are cutting back on medicine, cutting

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<v Speaker 1>back on food, and because the Reserve Bank only has

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<v Speaker 1>one leave at a pull, they put up the rates

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<v Speaker 1>in part. That's why because of the spending that has

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<v Speaker 1>been done by those who have the money to spend

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<v Speaker 1>to slow the entire economy, you in suburban Australia have

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<v Speaker 1>had the python around you thirteen times in all but

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<v Speaker 1>a dozen since this government came to power. Also, the

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<v Speaker 1>reality of all of this. Now they're going to get

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<v Speaker 1>the headline and it's going to cost billions of dollars

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<v Speaker 1>of taxpayers money that three hundred dollars power bill gift

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<v Speaker 1>from the federal government. But as Andrew Clenell explained in

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<v Speaker 1>our coverage a little earlier this evening, this is how

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<v Speaker 1>it will actually work. And maybe the fireworks just become

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<v Speaker 1>a bit of a sparkler that's running out and.

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<v Speaker 5>You get seventy five a quarter. All of us, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>Gena Reinhart gets it, Twiggy Forest gets it, we all

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<v Speaker 5>get it. Everyone watching gets it. And I think it

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<v Speaker 5>just rolls pretty much straight onto your bill.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know about you, but I will never forget

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<v Speaker 1>this day, just like the great days in history where

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<v Speaker 1>you know where you were, well, you will.

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<v Speaker 2>Forever say to yourself, where.

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<v Speaker 1>Was I on the fourteenth of May in twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four when this government ended the cost of living crisis

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<v Speaker 1>by handing power companies seventy five dollars a quarter. You

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<v Speaker 1>don't get the money, and then if you choose to

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<v Speaker 1>spend it on something else you can. No, No, it

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<v Speaker 1>goes to the power companies. The lefties will blop about

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<v Speaker 1>it because it's fossil fuel companies. But that's the change

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<v Speaker 1>to your life, because just like tax cuts, you don't

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<v Speaker 1>pay an annual power bill. You pay a quarterly one.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you pay a monthly one, it's twenty five dollars. Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, doctor Jim. You've solved all my problems. What

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<v Speaker 1>this is actually about is about trying to get around

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<v Speaker 1>the key broken promise of the last election, the one

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<v Speaker 1>when the Prime Minister said this.

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<v Speaker 6>Households will benefit by two hundred and seventy five dollars

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<v Speaker 6>on average, reducing power prices by two hundred and seventy

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<v Speaker 6>five dollars prices two hundred and seventy five dollars, two

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<v Speaker 6>hundred and seventy five dollars, two hundred and seventy five

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<v Speaker 6>dollars a year, two hundred and seventy five dollars, two

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<v Speaker 6>hundred and seventy five dollars a year.

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<v Speaker 1>See, because they think you're stupid, they think you have

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<v Speaker 1>no memory. They think somehow they can tell you, they

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<v Speaker 1>can gaslight you on a detail. Enough that you will

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<v Speaker 1>forget the reality power prices since those promises were made

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<v Speaker 1>are up by the best part of one thousand dollars. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're going to find a way to bring it

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<v Speaker 1>down for one year only for three hundred dollars, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's better than our two seventy five prom No. No,

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<v Speaker 1>the two to seventy prime promise was on the power

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<v Speaker 1>prices of May in twenty twenty one, not on the

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<v Speaker 1>power prices of May twenty twenty four. And when challenged

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<v Speaker 1>on the two seventy five number, this is what the

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<v Speaker 1>treasurers said to again Kieran Gilbert in our coverage early

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<v Speaker 1>It's to night.

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<v Speaker 4>The number you're referring to is a forecast in twenty

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<v Speaker 4>one about an outcome in twenty five. We're providing energy

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<v Speaker 4>bill relief in the here and now, we did in

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<v Speaker 4>the last budget, we are again in the next budget.

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<v Speaker 4>But there'll be more relief for more people in this budget.

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<v Speaker 2>No, No, that wasn't modeling. That was a promise.

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<v Speaker 1>One so much so that we could feel the entire

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<v Speaker 1>extra thirty minutes of this show, in the full ninety

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<v Speaker 1>minutes to show you how many times they said it.

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<v Speaker 1>But now they didn't say it, and twenty five dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a month is apparently going to make you completely forget

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<v Speaker 1>the your power bill has gone up by how much

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<v Speaker 1>since this mob came to Power number two. No matter

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<v Speaker 1>the spin, what we've told you about the tax cuts

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<v Speaker 1>remains as true today as the first day we said it.

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<v Speaker 1>In the real world, the tax cuts are too little,

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<v Speaker 1>too late. They do not change the lived experience of Australians.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>For workers around the country, they don't pay their tax annually.

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<v Speaker 1>You pay your tax weekly, fortnightly or monthly. So when

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<v Speaker 1>they turn around and talk up to the big number

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<v Speaker 1>about the end of the year, that's not how you

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<v Speaker 1>actually pay tax. So in the same way they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to say three hundred dollars off power bills, it's not

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<v Speaker 1>three hundred dollars off power bills. It's twenty five dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a month off power bills. And you don't get the money.

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<v Speaker 1>The power company gets the money. The reality of the

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<v Speaker 1>too little, too late tax cut was that if you

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<v Speaker 1>earn forty five thousand dollars, you're only going to get

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen dollars a week, twenty two dollars a week if

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<v Speaker 1>you earn sixty grand thirty two dollars a week if

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<v Speaker 1>you earn eighty grand or forty one thousand dollars, if

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<v Speaker 1>you earn forty one dollars, if you earn one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars, it won't be that generous to them.

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<v Speaker 2>That'll be next year's giveaway if they're still waiting for

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<v Speaker 2>an election.

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<v Speaker 1>But again the treasurer, who has been spinning the annual

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<v Speaker 1>figure the penny, has dropped that the lived experience of

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<v Speaker 1>people and why they don't buy the bs about the

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<v Speaker 1>tax cuts is because you pay it weekly, fortnightly or monthly.

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<v Speaker 1>So by the Treasurer's own admissions, he now says what

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<v Speaker 1>the average figure is going to be for the tax

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<v Speaker 1>cut per week, and think about whether this even touches

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<v Speaker 1>the sides of the middle of the financial problems you're facing.

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<v Speaker 4>The average benefit is one eight hundred and eighty eight

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<v Speaker 4>dollars a year.

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<v Speaker 2>Which is thirty six dollars a week.

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<v Speaker 4>Our tax cuts are better for families and communities, women

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<v Speaker 4>and young people. They are better for business, and they

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<v Speaker 4>are better for the economy.

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<v Speaker 1>Now remember how way back when when the Howard government

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<v Speaker 1>handed out a tax cut and they were able to

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<v Speaker 1>break it down by the fifty two weeks a year.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a milk choke and a hamburger. Well, this

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<v Speaker 1>might be slightly more generous, but it again doesn't change

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<v Speaker 1>your life. Let me put this in terms that Australians

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<v Speaker 1>will understand. The number one beer in the country is

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<v Speaker 1>Great Northern. You cannot buy a case of Great Northern

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<v Speaker 1>with this tax cut each week. And if you're somebody

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<v Speaker 1>who really has the backside out of their strides, you

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't even be able to afford a six pack a

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<v Speaker 1>week of Great Northern.

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<v Speaker 2>So they will go around the country saying everyone gets

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<v Speaker 2>a tax.

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<v Speaker 1>Cut, it's not enough for a case of beer. Everyone

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<v Speaker 1>gets a power cut. You're paying power companies to subsidize millionaires.

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<v Speaker 1>And even if you think it's a good idea, it's

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five dollars a month. Number three, the budget doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>actually put out the other inflation fires. Now, obviously, look,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to be crass, but imagine the least

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<v Speaker 1>effective amount of liquid that you can put towards a fire.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is even less.

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<v Speaker 1>Why because despite the fact that Jim Chalmers said this

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<v Speaker 1>as many times as he possibly could during his speech.

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<v Speaker 4>Cost of Living, Cost of living, cost of living, cost

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<v Speaker 4>of living, cost of living, cost of living, cost of living,

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<v Speaker 4>cost of living.

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<v Speaker 1>In the last month, the inflation figures on a whole

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of things that Australians have to.

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<v Speaker 2>Pay for are why higher.

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<v Speaker 1>Than the dream of somewhere between two and three percent inflation.

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<v Speaker 2>Have a look.

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<v Speaker 1>Tobacco is up twelve percent, insurance is up eight percent,

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<v Speaker 1>fuel is up eight percent, Rent is up seven percent,

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<v Speaker 1>bread and cereal, alcohol and tobacco, non alcoholic, housing, electricy.

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<v Speaker 2>Go on and on and on and on and on.

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<v Speaker 1>Nothing in this budget helps you pay those bills. Nothing.

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<v Speaker 1>And if they think that the not even case of

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<v Speaker 1>beer tax cut is enough, well guess what. It's immediately

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<v Speaker 1>washed out by any one of those other increases, including

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<v Speaker 1>petrol tax that they have refused to cut. And wait

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<v Speaker 1>till they explain why. In a moment or two's time.

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<v Speaker 1>Four smokers, drinkers and drivers, Congratulations, thank you, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>cuddle in the mail. Why because you are the only

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<v Speaker 1>reason this mob can post a surplus. The surplus is

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<v Speaker 1>nine point three million dollars. It's the first back to

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<v Speaker 1>back surplus in decades, and isn't Jim Chalmer's amazing and

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<v Speaker 1>all the rest of it.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll get to the future in a second.

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<v Speaker 1>But that nine point three billion is only achieved because

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<v Speaker 1>the taxes they got this year, or do they expect

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<v Speaker 1>to get this year out of petrol is seven point

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<v Speaker 1>three billion dollars, which is why they won't cut the

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<v Speaker 1>petrol tax. Diesel seventeen point four billion, which is why

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<v Speaker 1>they won't cut that fuel tax. Tobacco eleven point five billion,

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<v Speaker 1>which in and of itself alone keeps them in surplus. Literally,

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<v Speaker 1>the tobacco tax in Australia is the only reason we're

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<v Speaker 1>in a surplus. Hardly gold stars for great economic management right,

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<v Speaker 1>let alone the bier which a tax cut still can't afford.

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<v Speaker 1>If it's we're talking about a case or a sixty

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<v Speaker 1>if you're earning forty five grand or spirits, well, remember

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<v Speaker 1>a bottle of Bundy rum is more than sixty percent tax.

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<v Speaker 1>The well forty two billion dollars in petrol, diesel, tobacco,

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<v Speaker 1>beer and spirit taxes. That's the only reason they're in

0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:10.640
<v Speaker 1>a surplus and the only reason the deficit isn't thirty

0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:16.440
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars today, which brings me to point number five.

0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Things are going to get worse and I mean really

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:23.080
<v Speaker 1>worse than the next of a while. Bear it inside

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 1>the documents. Something nobody will say in the little five

0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:29.160
<v Speaker 1>minute guard to the budget on the website. The expectation

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 1>of an interest rate rise is interest rate cut is

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.240
<v Speaker 1>nothing this year. It's in fact not until the middle

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:38.840
<v Speaker 1>of next year. So currently, people who are having to

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 1>find anywhere between an extra fifteen and thirty thousand dollars

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.400
<v Speaker 1>to pay off their home no relief whatsoever.

0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:47.880
<v Speaker 7>But please vote for us because every household gets a

0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 7>power bill cut, every worker gets a tax cut, and

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 7>in terms of jobs, a shocking number of Australians are

0:13:56.920 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 7>going to lose their job in the next twelve months.

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>It's not me saying it, it's the Treasurer saying it

0:14:02.920 --> 0:14:04.120
<v Speaker 1>in the speech.

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 4>Slower growth means a softer labor market, with unemployment expected

0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:12.720
<v Speaker 4>to rise slightly to four and a half percent next year,

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 4>even as we create tens of thousands of new jobs.

0:14:17.200 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 1>Let me explain it this way. Current unemployment three three

0:14:20.080 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>point nine percent. Expectation in this budget is that it

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.320
<v Speaker 1>goes up to four point five. It stays above four

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:28.320
<v Speaker 1>as far as the eye can see. If we hit

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a four point five percent unemployment rate. That's one hundred

0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 1>and three thousand, six hundred people who will lose their jobs.

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:37.640
<v Speaker 1>Oh but every household gets a power bill, and every

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 1>worker is going to get a tax cut. And then

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:45.000
<v Speaker 1>there's the actual government itself, because as I've shown you,

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the only way they got to surplus even with all

0:14:47.000 --> 0:14:48.680
<v Speaker 1>of those taxes. Guess how deep they're going to go

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 1>into deficit next year, the year after and as far

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 1>as the eye can see.

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 7>Have a look at this.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>This year surplus is nine point three billion, next is

0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 1>deficit is twenty eight billion. The year after that forty two,

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>then twenty six billion, because magically everything changes, and then

0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:09.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty four billion dollars. So while the treasurer will say,

0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 1>how good have I been, I've saved a bit of

0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 1>money on the debt. Okay, let's say one hundred percent

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.120
<v Speaker 1>of what he says is true. So the eighty biding

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>that apparently cut from the debt will now be replaced

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:25.680
<v Speaker 1>by an increase in federal government debt that will now

0:15:25.720 --> 0:15:29.000
<v Speaker 1>take us to one point two trillion. All those deficits

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:31.120
<v Speaker 1>added together on top of the current debt takes us

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 1>to one point one trillion dollars.

0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 7>Oh but there's a power cut for every household, and

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 7>there's a tax cut for every worker.

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 1>That won't be able to change anything about your life.

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:46.400
<v Speaker 1>So those are my five things. I'm can you know

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:48.480
<v Speaker 1>what yours are? To send me in my pulitsgunews dot

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>com dot are you. Here are my dear friends and

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 1>colleagues from the Kenny Report, which you can see five

0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:54.800
<v Speaker 1>o'clock Eastern each and every night. Primetime starts with the

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Great Chris Kenny, none other than the King amongst us.

0:15:57.640 --> 0:15:59.880
<v Speaker 1>The Great Andrew Bolt joins us as well. Lads, let's

0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>get through all of this. So anything I missed.

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 2>Chris, No, you're on the money.

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 8>I'm never going to complain about your smoke again and

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 8>your cigars. I'm going to slap you on the back

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 8>and thank you for keeping the country going on. This

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:14.560
<v Speaker 8>is a government that was prepared to sell out Israel

0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 8>to try and save a handful of seats, So why

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 8>would we be surprised that they sell out the entire

0:16:20.400 --> 0:16:22.840
<v Speaker 8>budget strategy to try and win an election.

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 2>This is quite extraordinary.

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 8>They're maintaining historically high levels of taxation, historically high levels

0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 8>of spending, historically high levels of debt, and they say

0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 8>they're going to cut immigration but keep immigration at historically

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 8>high level. So all of the concerns that people have

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 8>are only going to be exacerbated in coming years.

0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:44.840
<v Speaker 3>And it's all pitched.

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 8>They pick a slogan and an election campaign ad, and

0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:51.840
<v Speaker 8>then they find our billions of dollars to pay for it.

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:53.480
<v Speaker 2>That's what I think of this election.

0:16:53.760 --> 0:16:56.560
<v Speaker 8>It's all about slogans funded by our tax dollar.

0:16:56.600 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 2>My oath.

0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Bolt joining us from Melbourne, great man, love you

0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:00.880
<v Speaker 1>to see you, tell me your thoughts and did I

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>get anything wrong?

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 9>Then? The basic bottom line is we've got good times,

0:17:09.400 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, despite the Treasurer trying to tell us, oh,

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 9>the overseas situation is not too good, which has been

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 9>saying every single budget. If there's something wrong here, I

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 9>was caused by overseas, never by labor. Things are pretty good.

0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:28.000
<v Speaker 9>We've got record amounts of tax coming into the government's coffers.

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 9>And what does the Treasurer produce four more years of

0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:38.239
<v Speaker 9>deficits one hundred and twelve twelve billion dollars added to

0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:42.760
<v Speaker 9>the reading that this country's already in I find that unbelievable.

0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:47.600
<v Speaker 9>And also he says unemployment's going to get worse. Inflation

0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:50.040
<v Speaker 9>is a little bit sticky. But oh, by the way,

0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 9>he says, I've just cutted by half a percent of

0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:58.639
<v Speaker 9>this this rent subsidy and this energy subsidy. By the way,

0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 9>both of them are and saving for labor mistakes by

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 9>taking money out of one of your pockets and putting

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:07.480
<v Speaker 9>it back in the other pocket. And you're supposed to

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 9>feel better off.

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:10.800
<v Speaker 2>I mean, what a joke.

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:15.400
<v Speaker 9>Look, the whole thing is, he says, the treasure's big hope, right,

0:18:15.600 --> 0:18:20.120
<v Speaker 9>is that this budget has taken pressure off the Reserve

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:25.160
<v Speaker 9>Bank and made it possible to lift to cut interest

0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 9>rates and cut your mortgage payments as well through that.

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 9>In fact, it won't because what it does, this is

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:36.800
<v Speaker 9>the biggest con in the budget. He has given this subsidy,

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:41.879
<v Speaker 9>the rent and the money for your to compensate for

0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:45.919
<v Speaker 9>the increases in your power bills thanks to global warming policies.

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:48.920
<v Speaker 9>People that are hard up, what do you think they're

0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 9>going to do with extra money? They're going to spend it.

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:55.359
<v Speaker 9>What's the Reserve Bank trying to do? Take money out

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:59.359
<v Speaker 9>of the economy. The Government's just added money to the economy.

0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:03.280
<v Speaker 9>Is going to mean the cut in interest rates that

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:07.400
<v Speaker 9>the government's hoping for will be delayed. This is just

0:19:07.920 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 9>smoke and mirrors, more debt, more joblessness and higher interest

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 9>rates for longer. That is what the government has done

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 9>with record income coming in. I can't believe it.

0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:22.639
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, let's put us in boxes, guys, because I want

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>everyone to be able to have a chat took across

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:26.639
<v Speaker 1>each other. It's mates talking on the telly to our

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:29.439
<v Speaker 1>mates watching at home, all right, So feel freebody at

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:34.399
<v Speaker 1>any time. Of course, Chris about the power side of things,

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:37.640
<v Speaker 1>there's a dirty little trick also in here. Remember Chris

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>Bowen has effectively done the trick with the NBN, which

0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:43.240
<v Speaker 1>is to move tens of billions.

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.159
<v Speaker 2>Of dollars off the budget so we never see it.

0:19:45.840 --> 0:19:47.880
<v Speaker 1>But you still have to borrow money for it, right,

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:54.120
<v Speaker 1>in order to build the renewable infrastructure that in part

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 1>has now seen and the cost of transition building this

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>stuff is why people's power bills in part have gone up.

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>I mean they can talk about Ukraine as much as

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:04.159
<v Speaker 1>they want. The moving from the car with four wheels

0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:06.359
<v Speaker 1>the car with three wheels and telling us it will

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 1>break the record of bathist is that's the cost of transition.

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:13.239
<v Speaker 1>It's a trillion dollars. Yet they turn around now and say, well,

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:15.280
<v Speaker 1>we're going to light the fire and compensate you for

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 1>the fire. It reminds me of Gillard with the carbon tax,

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>will introduce the tax and compensate you for it.

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 8>Well, it's like they're treating us as hostages, you know,

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 8>and they're denying us our liberties, and then they're saying, oh,

0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:29.120
<v Speaker 8>here you are, here's a little glass of water.

0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:30.159
<v Speaker 3>It would be grateful for us.

0:20:30.520 --> 0:20:34.480
<v Speaker 8>The national self harm here in this energy policy is extraordinary.

0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:38.640
<v Speaker 8>We have got historically high, the highest electricity prices we've

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 8>ever had in this country. The reason we've got them

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 8>is because labor and other governments have been subsidizing renewables,

0:20:45.720 --> 0:20:49.400
<v Speaker 8>that've been subsidizing the transmission to connect the renewables, that've

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.680
<v Speaker 8>been subsidizing the batteries to try and store the renewables.

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.159
<v Speaker 8>Then they realize that they didn't have enough energy, so

0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 8>they're now subsidizing the coal generators to try and maintain

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:04.200
<v Speaker 8>the power. And they've given us this unprecedented electricity cost burden.

0:21:04.640 --> 0:21:08.440
<v Speaker 8>So now they're subsidizing people's power bills to try and

0:21:08.840 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 8>let us get through the power price increases. They've inflicted

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:14.880
<v Speaker 8>on us. And to make it worse, as you pointed out,

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:19.080
<v Speaker 8>these subsidies which will pay the power bills partially on

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 8>behalf of us to the power companies, will go to

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 8>millionaires as well. They will go to millionaires Malcolm Turbul,

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 8>Cake Blanchett, Clive Palmer, they will get the.

0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:31.800
<v Speaker 3>Three hundred dollars rebate. It's obscene and absurd.

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 1>But also I mean remember what they were doing, this

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Labor Party complaining Andrew about when paper in a leave

0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 1>an Tony Abbott was trying to put in both.

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 2>Oh we subsidizing of the millionaires and all the rest

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:41.720
<v Speaker 2>of it.

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:44.920
<v Speaker 1>But the argument of Jim Chalmers is, oh well, cost

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.119
<v Speaker 1>of living affects everyone, up and down the power scale,

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 1>up and down the economic scale. I think this is

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 1>going to be an issue. I mean, you see that

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>the Liberal Party in their early response tonight is that

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>they're going to wave it through because they don't want

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:00.360
<v Speaker 1>to get caught in that they voted against power relief thing.

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:03.320
<v Speaker 1>But then you heard some of those senators saying this

0:22:03.359 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 1>isn't going to work. Is this going to be the

0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 1>Amber claim? That means the compensation goes through and the

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:14.840
<v Speaker 1>Senate will amend it, or they just think that the

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:20.679
<v Speaker 1>politics become so difficult because Peter Dutton voted against a

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 1>reduction in power bills for every Australian household.

0:22:26.480 --> 0:22:31.240
<v Speaker 9>Listen, a lot of the millionaires you're talking about, of course,

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:34.680
<v Speaker 9>were dudded of the tax cuts that they were promised

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 9>four or five years ago. Now it won't make up

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 9>make up a toinious fraction of the bracket creep that

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:46.320
<v Speaker 9>has given the government billions and billions.

0:22:46.320 --> 0:22:47.760
<v Speaker 3>More So, I'm not going.

0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:52.399
<v Speaker 9>To be too upset that people you pay the vast

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:55.679
<v Speaker 9>majority of the country's taxes, going to three hundred bucks

0:22:55.720 --> 0:22:59.399
<v Speaker 9>back will be do I mean, the basic bottom line

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:04.119
<v Speaker 9>is here labor unable to curb its spending. And also,

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 9>to pick up on what Chris was saying, it's quite right.

0:23:07.520 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 9>You know, we've had all these green policies inflicted on

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:14.960
<v Speaker 9>us to insulate us from just a fraction of that pain.

0:23:15.320 --> 0:23:18.959
<v Speaker 9>They're giving a three hundred dollars bailout on energy bills,

0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:23.159
<v Speaker 9>that's it right. But meanwhile they're doubling down with a

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 9>Hail Mary, w your bets or nothing, bet the house

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:31.879
<v Speaker 9>on your last race. Green hydrogen. The happiest man in

0:23:31.920 --> 0:23:36.640
<v Speaker 9>Australia with this budget is Andrew Forrest, you know, a

0:23:36.680 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 9>billionaire green investor.

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 8>Government thinking millions of dollars of subsidies.

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:47.879
<v Speaker 9>And marine hydrogen. No no, but it's come the government

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:51.920
<v Speaker 9>into green hydrogen in this budget. Right. The government's already

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 9>our government's already tried to back other forms. I tried

0:23:57.280 --> 0:24:01.960
<v Speaker 9>geothermal power, which was supported by Tim Flanner, flopped, failed.

0:24:02.359 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 9>They tried wave generators, three projects all failed. They've tried

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:12.080
<v Speaker 9>all sorts of things, you know, solar and wind cutting it.

0:24:12.880 --> 0:24:15.160
<v Speaker 9>So they've got to go for more gas explosion. They're

0:24:15.240 --> 0:24:18.399
<v Speaker 9>big hal mirry. Now we're going to invest not in

0:24:18.440 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 9>that wicked nuclear power. It's going to be in green hydrogen,

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:25.439
<v Speaker 9>which has been proven at scale nowhere in the world.

0:24:25.720 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 9>And it's pouring tens of billions of dollars into this stuff,

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:33.439
<v Speaker 9>which is a gamble, and that apparently is going to

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:37.119
<v Speaker 9>fix your power bills and solve the lack of power

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 9>in this country, cause by net zero policies it won't.

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 9>It's a disaster. And boy, we'll get the bill later

0:24:44.960 --> 0:24:45.600
<v Speaker 9>down the track.

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:48.800
<v Speaker 1>I've been wilentless on this for as long as we've

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:52.640
<v Speaker 1>had access to the microphone that I just again, I'm

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:54.600
<v Speaker 1>not going to use the crudism, but you know that

0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:58.680
<v Speaker 1>concept of being wet upon from up high and they

0:24:58.720 --> 0:25:03.000
<v Speaker 1>tell you it's rain. I get this feeling right that Again,

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:05.399
<v Speaker 1>when you're sitting around and you're putting together a budget,

0:25:05.680 --> 0:25:07.760
<v Speaker 1>the Treasury is all very excited because a billion here

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:10.200
<v Speaker 1>and a billion there and six point four billion here,

0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:12.320
<v Speaker 1>and they're able to sit back and say, you know,

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 1>the tax cuts cost US one hundred and whatever billion

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 1>dollars over ten years, and the power bill relief it

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 1>costs X billion dollars over years.

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 2>But I go back to the.

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Lived experience of the consequences of the promise right now.

0:25:25.240 --> 0:25:27.400
<v Speaker 1>All of that means they've got a talking point, right,

0:25:27.400 --> 0:25:28.800
<v Speaker 1>and they're going to hammer it and hammer it and

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:31.719
<v Speaker 1>hammer it and hammer it about every household and every worker.

0:25:32.040 --> 0:25:35.640
<v Speaker 1>But Chris, one of the reasons I've relentlessly talked about

0:25:35.640 --> 0:25:37.280
<v Speaker 1>too little, too late when it comes to the tax

0:25:37.320 --> 0:25:40.800
<v Speaker 1>cut is if at the moment, your average power bill

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:44.399
<v Speaker 1>in Australia I'm looking one of those consumer websites is

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 1>nineteen hundred dollars a year. The three hundred dollars you're

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:51.040
<v Speaker 1>not going to notice, right because it comes out in

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 1>seventy five dollars chunks. If the average tax cut is

0:25:54.560 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine dollars a week, are you going to notice

0:25:57.520 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>it now?

0:25:58.000 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 2>Instantly?

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:00.160
<v Speaker 1>People are going to say, well, on what about the

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 1>the people on ultra low incomes? Well, yes, those people

0:26:03.600 --> 0:26:05.880
<v Speaker 1>will notice, but it won't change their life.

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:06.360
<v Speaker 2>And that's what.

0:26:06.320 --> 0:26:09.639
<v Speaker 1>Annoys me, because the politics is we've changed your life.

0:26:09.720 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 1>They have not.

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:12.159
<v Speaker 2>No, they haven't.

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:14.680
<v Speaker 8>But any tax cut is a good tax cut, and

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:18.680
<v Speaker 8>these are coalition tax cuts. Effectively, although labor reshaped them.

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:21.080
<v Speaker 8>Make sure that nobody over one hundred and forty seven

0:26:21.160 --> 0:26:23.160
<v Speaker 8>grand I think gets it gets as much as they

0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 8>are going to get, and that takes away the aspiration.

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:29.800
<v Speaker 8>But the thing here is with the electricity rebate, right,

0:26:30.200 --> 0:26:32.879
<v Speaker 8>they're doing nothing, as Andrews said that doubling down on

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 8>these green programs. They're investing tens and tens of billions

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:39.920
<v Speaker 8>of dollars of our money into more of these hail

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 8>mary programs, and they won't look at the reliable energy

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 8>we need. So our energy crisis is going to continue.

0:26:46.920 --> 0:26:49.120
<v Speaker 8>Power bills are going to continue to go up. They're

0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:53.040
<v Speaker 8>doing nothing about the fundamentals. So this one year three

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.719
<v Speaker 8>hundred dollars rebate that doesn't even make up for how

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:58.800
<v Speaker 8>much they've increased in the last two years, is just

0:26:58.840 --> 0:27:01.359
<v Speaker 8>going to disappear like peace in the wind. Sorry to

0:27:01.400 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 8>be so crude, please, and I do not improve of

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 8>problem only gets worse. It can only get worse, it

0:27:07.240 --> 0:27:10.640
<v Speaker 8>will only get worse. And labor there's not a policy

0:27:11.000 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 8>in this budget that seems to cast its mind more

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 8>than six months down the track.

0:27:15.200 --> 0:27:18.119
<v Speaker 1>Well, so let's talk about the future here, Andrew where

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>if they're telling us now that it's deficit next year,

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:26.480
<v Speaker 1>deeper deficit the year after that, that they've saved us

0:27:27.000 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 1>from the dead of the evil Morrison government. Remember this

0:27:29.320 --> 0:27:31.439
<v Speaker 1>is the bloke when he was the shadow treasurer one

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>of the taxpayer buy virgin airlines. Okay, they wanted that

0:27:35.400 --> 0:27:37.639
<v Speaker 1>to go even deeper, job keeper to go forever, all

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 1>the rest of it, right, but still this government is

0:27:40.280 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be the one that's going to take us

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:44.400
<v Speaker 1>over a trillion. It's going to take us to one

0:27:44.400 --> 0:27:47.040
<v Speaker 1>point one trillion in the next couple of years.

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:47.320
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>The politics they're going to try to play here is oh, well,

0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 1>the deficit we said was going to be really bad,

0:27:52.119 --> 0:27:54.960
<v Speaker 1>but it's only this bad next year, or we were

0:27:55.080 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 1>able to squeeze it into a surplus.

0:27:57.040 --> 0:27:58.160
<v Speaker 2>But if the reality of.

0:27:58.119 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 1>The key economic document that the governman has said is

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 1>one hundred thousand people lose their jobs and the country's

0:28:03.320 --> 0:28:07.480
<v Speaker 1>going to one point one trillion dollars, how does anyone

0:28:07.560 --> 0:28:09.480
<v Speaker 1>who even wants to hold water for the Labor party

0:28:09.520 --> 0:28:10.760
<v Speaker 1>say this is a great document.

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:18.360
<v Speaker 9>I know, I mean it's based it's the best dishonest budget,

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:22.840
<v Speaker 9>the craziest budget I've seen forever. For federal budget, I mean,

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:27.040
<v Speaker 9>the Victorian state budget takes some believing too, but federally,

0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:30.000
<v Speaker 9>this is the most amazing budget I've seen, and it's

0:28:30.040 --> 0:28:33.159
<v Speaker 9>based on deceit. I mean, to pick up on what

0:28:33.240 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 9>Chris is saying right here, we've had green policies and

0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:42.280
<v Speaker 9>their state and federal labor green policies on global warming

0:28:42.640 --> 0:28:45.640
<v Speaker 9>have caused power prices to go through the roof, and

0:28:45.680 --> 0:28:49.840
<v Speaker 9>the government says, to compensate for that idiocy that we

0:28:50.040 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 9>have created, we are going to give you three hundred

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:59.920
<v Speaker 9>three billion dollars three hundred dollars per perse per household,

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:03.600
<v Speaker 9>three hundred dollars per household relief from your power bills

0:29:04.640 --> 0:29:07.640
<v Speaker 9>of money that we're actually taking from you. I mean,

0:29:08.000 --> 0:29:12.760
<v Speaker 9>in what universe is it power? Is it relief? To

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:15.680
<v Speaker 9>have money taken from you and then given back to

0:29:15.760 --> 0:29:19.280
<v Speaker 9>you to compensate for the extra even more money that

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 9>you've had to pay because of this government's errors. And

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:26.720
<v Speaker 9>let's not forget the other handout here of the debt relief,

0:29:26.800 --> 0:29:29.320
<v Speaker 9>which is what one point three billion dollars more. I

0:29:29.320 --> 0:29:32.320
<v Speaker 9>mean the money that they're just checking out comes, that

0:29:32.680 --> 0:29:36.400
<v Speaker 9>is for low income people who are struggling to meet

0:29:36.440 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 9>their rent.

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 3>What has caused the.

0:29:38.760 --> 0:29:44.360
<v Speaker 9>Explosion in rent immigrants another labor mistake, the immigration five

0:29:44.440 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 9>hundred and fifty thousand people in a single year without

0:29:49.240 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 9>building the houses to accommodate them. And so the mortgages

0:29:57.080 --> 0:30:01.720
<v Speaker 9>and mortgages have gone up, sorry, house prices have gone up,

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:04.960
<v Speaker 9>and also rents have gone up. And to compensate for

0:30:05.040 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 9>this labor error, some people are going to get a

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:13.000
<v Speaker 9>little help with their rent relief. I mean, seriously, seriously,

0:30:13.280 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 9>it is a con fix immigration, fix your power. They

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:19.760
<v Speaker 9>won't do policies.

0:30:20.240 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 1>This is my point about it. That we're treating is

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:22.959
<v Speaker 1>like hostages.

0:30:23.160 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 3>Andrew.

0:30:23.560 --> 0:30:26.000
<v Speaker 8>It's like they want us all to be dependent on

0:30:26.040 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 8>some government handout or some government repay and no repay

0:30:29.720 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 8>remetter how much they punish us with their bad policies,

0:30:32.640 --> 0:30:34.960
<v Speaker 8>We're supposed to be grateful for the little crumbs they

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 8>throw back at us of our money. It's outrageous and

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 8>the hope to see.

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:40.200
<v Speaker 3>It through it.

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:43.680
<v Speaker 9>But as you said, Chris, right, you know, if I'm

0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:46.040
<v Speaker 9>still some repentance in this budget, it's say, oh, well,

0:30:46.520 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 9>fainth heavens have seen the error of their ways. No,

0:30:50.680 --> 0:30:54.640
<v Speaker 9>they're compensating us, yes, for their global warming policies.

0:30:54.240 --> 0:30:55.400
<v Speaker 3>But doubling down on them.

0:30:55.560 --> 0:30:58.160
<v Speaker 9>And an immigration they say, all right, look, all right,

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 9>you know you got us. We're going to the immigration rate.

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:06.040
<v Speaker 9>When they have the immigration rate. Know this, it'll still

0:31:06.080 --> 0:31:10.600
<v Speaker 9>be more than double the long term immigration that we've had.

0:31:10.880 --> 0:31:13.680
<v Speaker 9>It'll still be much more than we need. It will

0:31:13.800 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 9>still drive prices, rents and house prices through the roof.

0:31:18.200 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 9>It will still crowd your cities. I mean, where is

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:24.160
<v Speaker 9>the lessons being learned here?

0:31:24.680 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about the question that is being discussed

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 1>amongst the bubble, which is is this the precursor to

0:31:31.720 --> 0:31:36.040
<v Speaker 1>an election? I think that it gives them a chance

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:38.760
<v Speaker 1>at one. Right, it's about trying to now again, prime

0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Minister will decide when the Prime Minister decides. Now he's

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:44.440
<v Speaker 1>able to do so from August under the rules about

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>when you can have an election and you can go

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 1>all the way to a few months into next year.

0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:48.920
<v Speaker 2>That's the reality, right.

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:55.640
<v Speaker 1>But their hope is that tax returns start to change

0:31:55.680 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 1>after July, that the first of your bills is slightly

0:31:59.320 --> 0:32:01.280
<v Speaker 1>down after the first quarter.

0:32:01.400 --> 0:32:02.080
<v Speaker 2>After July.

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 1>The hope is that the political message will be boomborm worm.

0:32:06.520 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 2>About every household, every taxpayer.

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:12.480
<v Speaker 1>And on top of that, don't forget they're spending forty

0:32:12.840 --> 0:32:15.840
<v Speaker 1>million dollars of your money to remind you about the

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:18.320
<v Speaker 1>two little too late tax cuts and how amazing they are.

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:23.680
<v Speaker 1>So who knows, but Chris, does it seem like they're

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:27.720
<v Speaker 1>giving themselves a window if they think this is the

0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:30.880
<v Speaker 1>moment to go before this.

0:32:30.880 --> 0:32:32.680
<v Speaker 2>Year is done. Undoubtedly, Paul.

0:32:32.720 --> 0:32:33.960
<v Speaker 8>Now, as you know, I've been saying to you for

0:32:34.040 --> 0:32:36.240
<v Speaker 8>quite some time that I thought an election later this

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:38.520
<v Speaker 8>year is very much on the cards. And one of

0:32:38.560 --> 0:32:41.160
<v Speaker 8>the reasons I've been saying that is because we've been lucky.

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:43.080
<v Speaker 8>The whole country has been lucky with a couple of

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:46.680
<v Speaker 8>mild summers. If we get a normal summer, we are

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 8>going to run short of electricity. We're going to have

0:32:48.600 --> 0:32:51.400
<v Speaker 8>a February March where we don't have enough power in

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:53.720
<v Speaker 8>this country. That's what all the experts tell us. We've

0:32:53.760 --> 0:32:55.800
<v Speaker 8>just been lucky with the weather. So I've always thought

0:32:55.880 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 8>labor would be very, very nervous about going to an

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.480
<v Speaker 8>election on the back of US summer of blackouts and

0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:06.160
<v Speaker 8>electricity crisis. And now take the step back to this budget,

0:33:06.760 --> 0:33:09.080
<v Speaker 8>all of this plays into it. There's the tax cups

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 8>come through this electricity handout. They'll try and hope that

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:17.040
<v Speaker 8>there's a little bit of a dip in inflation for

0:33:17.080 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 8>a while at least, that interest rates don't go up

0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:22.400
<v Speaker 8>between now and Christmas. And you get the Queensland election

0:33:22.480 --> 0:33:24.200
<v Speaker 8>out of the way in October, and there is a

0:33:24.280 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 8>window there for late November or even early December. Now,

0:33:28.600 --> 0:33:30.520
<v Speaker 8>they wouldn't have made up their minds yet. You've got

0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:32.440
<v Speaker 8>to wait and see how the cookie crumbles. But I

0:33:32.480 --> 0:33:35.800
<v Speaker 8>think there's absolutely a chance that if these things line up,

0:33:35.840 --> 0:33:38.360
<v Speaker 8>but before things go pair shape for them, they'll try

0:33:38.360 --> 0:33:39.960
<v Speaker 8>to run off to the polls before the end of

0:33:40.000 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 8>the year.

0:33:40.440 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Because again, Andrew, let's talk about the truth here about

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:47.800
<v Speaker 1>how Labour used the next election, which is, even if

0:33:47.840 --> 0:33:50.880
<v Speaker 1>they lose a few seats, even if they go into minority,

0:33:50.880 --> 0:33:52.800
<v Speaker 1>there's enough people on the cross bench before you get

0:33:52.800 --> 0:33:54.280
<v Speaker 1>to the Greens that'll be able to prop them up.

0:33:54.320 --> 0:33:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Right current Newspole they could lose four, which puts them

0:33:57.600 --> 0:34:01.760
<v Speaker 1>two into a minority. Well, I mean literally, Rebecca Sharky, Bobcatter.

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:06.120
<v Speaker 1>There's a whole bunch of options before you start to

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:08.719
<v Speaker 1>get to Teals and Greens. And their assumption is the

0:34:08.760 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Teals aren't going anywhere. So no matter what happens, no

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 1>matter what we say, the Liberals can't get anywhere near

0:34:14.600 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 1>seventy six. Given that scenario, does the government then think, okay,

0:34:19.680 --> 0:34:23.320
<v Speaker 1>we can kind of you know, put back a little stuff,

0:34:23.360 --> 0:34:24.920
<v Speaker 1>a little bit in the horse, but it's going to

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:26.360
<v Speaker 1>be enough to get us over the line.

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:32.880
<v Speaker 9>Look, they'd rather be in government and coalition with the

0:34:32.880 --> 0:34:35.719
<v Speaker 9>Devil than not being government at all. But I'll tell

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:37.920
<v Speaker 9>you what if they're in coalition, if they rely on

0:34:38.040 --> 0:34:41.680
<v Speaker 9>Green votes, not necessarily in coalition, but you know they

0:34:41.719 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 9>have to dance to the Greens tunes, that's going to

0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:48.120
<v Speaker 9>be terrible for Labor for the next election, and terrible

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:51.279
<v Speaker 9>for the country. They would rather avoid that. But when

0:34:51.320 --> 0:34:54.160
<v Speaker 9>an election will be will be totally now dependent. I mean,

0:34:54.200 --> 0:34:56.760
<v Speaker 9>as both of you say, there is a window now

0:34:57.120 --> 0:35:00.920
<v Speaker 9>for an election this year, but it will be totally

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:05.239
<v Speaker 9>dependent on two things, or essentially really. One one will

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:08.399
<v Speaker 9>be what are interest rates going to do? If they

0:35:08.440 --> 0:35:11.560
<v Speaker 9>look like not coming down the government's in real troubles.

0:35:11.600 --> 0:35:13.880
<v Speaker 9>They look like going up, that's fatal. They've got to

0:35:13.920 --> 0:35:17.239
<v Speaker 9>go before that, absolutely. And the other is of course

0:35:17.320 --> 0:35:20.799
<v Speaker 9>the poles. So it's pole watch now. From now on

0:35:20.880 --> 0:35:24.719
<v Speaker 9>it is pole watch. But I have to say when

0:35:24.760 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 9>you have a look at the structure of this where

0:35:26.520 --> 0:35:29.399
<v Speaker 9>they're saying it's going to be black ink sorry read

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:35.000
<v Speaker 9>ink from now on four years of huge deficits, rising unemployment,

0:35:36.520 --> 0:35:41.440
<v Speaker 9>maybe not interest rate relief and this compensation for the

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:43.680
<v Speaker 9>power bills will last precisely one year.

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:45.239
<v Speaker 2>That's it. One year.

0:35:45.600 --> 0:35:46.520
<v Speaker 3>That's all that's for.

0:35:48.000 --> 0:35:50.400
<v Speaker 9>I don't know that there are many good times coming,

0:35:50.880 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 9>particularly if China slows or the money for our exports

0:35:57.040 --> 0:36:01.280
<v Speaker 9>of iron ore and coal for even more. So i'd

0:36:01.280 --> 0:36:04.960
<v Speaker 9>suggest that they're from now on it's a live well

0:36:05.120 --> 0:36:08.759
<v Speaker 9>from August or so, it's a very live option. But

0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:11.040
<v Speaker 9>everything now depends on the polls.

0:36:11.280 --> 0:36:13.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, Thank you guys, love you both very much.

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:15.120
<v Speaker 1>Of course, it's always tough to do it in real

0:36:15.160 --> 0:36:16.799
<v Speaker 1>time because we don't go into the room and read

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 1>it all for seven hours. I appreciate all of the

0:36:19.239 --> 0:36:20.920
<v Speaker 1>brains you've brought to the show this evening. We of

0:36:20.920 --> 0:36:22.879
<v Speaker 1>course see you at five o'clock and seven o'clock tomorrow

0:36:22.960 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 1>night with a great Pety Britain on at six.

0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:25.680
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, guys, do appreciate it.

0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:27.360
<v Speaker 1>All right, quick break back with more plenty more to

0:36:27.360 --> 0:36:30.400
<v Speaker 1>talk about here ninety minute edition of Paul Murray Live.

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:31.759
<v Speaker 1>We go all the way to the next top of

0:36:31.800 --> 0:36:33.640
<v Speaker 1>the hour, and then the late debate will be here

0:36:33.680 --> 0:36:35.520
<v Speaker 1>as well, so no one's going anywhere. I hope you've

0:36:35.520 --> 0:36:38.800
<v Speaker 1>got the nice groove because coming up Michael Kroger, Joe Hildebrand,

0:36:38.920 --> 0:36:40.160
<v Speaker 1>who will agree on nothing.

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 2>Looking forward to that next.

0:36:47.560 --> 0:36:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Let's keep it going special ninety minute edition of Paul

0:36:49.719 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 1>Murray Live. Thanks for sticking with us to talk about

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:52.400
<v Speaker 1>the budget.

0:36:53.239 --> 0:36:56.000
<v Speaker 2>The messages, the reality, and a whole lot or nothing

0:36:56.040 --> 0:36:56.919
<v Speaker 2>that's there as well.

0:36:57.080 --> 0:36:59.320
<v Speaker 1>Joe Hildebrand, of course, is from the Daily Telegraphed the

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:01.600
<v Speaker 1>Year of our to tell us that it's a great thing.

0:37:01.600 --> 0:37:04.040
<v Speaker 1>Evan Michael Kroger, the man with his ear to the

0:37:04.040 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>ground about how this really works. Let's get to it, okay,

0:37:07.520 --> 0:37:10.520
<v Speaker 1>So headline thoughts, Michael about what they've delivered here about

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:12.640
<v Speaker 1>whether it moves the needle. Is there anything in it

0:37:12.800 --> 0:37:17.560
<v Speaker 1>that legitimately is a great investment or changes people's minds

0:37:17.600 --> 0:37:18.280
<v Speaker 1>about the government.

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:19.400
<v Speaker 2>What do you think of the budget?

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:24.839
<v Speaker 10>Well, according to the Daily Telegraph poll, ten percent think

0:37:24.880 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 10>the budget was good or very good and seventy five

0:37:27.280 --> 0:37:29.400
<v Speaker 10>percent think it was poor or very poor. That's the

0:37:29.440 --> 0:37:30.719
<v Speaker 10>online poll at present, So.

0:37:30.840 --> 0:37:38.359
<v Speaker 3>That's a pretty good reason time. I think what it.

0:37:38.320 --> 0:37:42.640
<v Speaker 10>Tells you is there's less likelihood of an election this year.

0:37:43.440 --> 0:37:48.000
<v Speaker 10>I think that's very unlikely, very unlikely. I mean unless

0:37:48.000 --> 0:37:52.800
<v Speaker 10>the Reserve Bank reduced rates at the September meeting. Labor

0:37:52.880 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 10>can't go to the election without rates having come down.

0:37:56.840 --> 0:37:59.359
<v Speaker 10>So that's not going to be till early next year,

0:37:59.440 --> 0:38:04.399
<v Speaker 10>maybe November or December board meeting if Treasury forecasts are right.

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:07.480
<v Speaker 10>But they need rates to drop before they say to

0:38:07.480 --> 0:38:09.000
<v Speaker 10>the elected, hey, we know what we're doing.

0:38:09.640 --> 0:38:10.520
<v Speaker 3>The jury's out at.

0:38:10.480 --> 0:38:13.680
<v Speaker 10>The minute on this. Fellow Charmers writing looks good sounds

0:38:13.719 --> 0:38:17.920
<v Speaker 10>good that you know it's not very good, but they

0:38:17.960 --> 0:38:20.919
<v Speaker 10>don't quite know that. If interest rates don't come down,

0:38:21.920 --> 0:38:24.680
<v Speaker 10>they can't go to an election because they're going to think, La,

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:25.800
<v Speaker 10>we're being conned.

0:38:26.680 --> 0:38:29.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean Joe again, so that window of an election.

0:38:29.600 --> 0:38:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I heard your agreement, so I won't waste time asking,

0:38:32.280 --> 0:38:36.959
<v Speaker 1>but your sense of does it match the times we're

0:38:37.000 --> 0:38:40.319
<v Speaker 1>in because we know the anger that exists on costaly, Yes,

0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:44.359
<v Speaker 1>we know what limit government can play. Does it match

0:38:44.400 --> 0:38:45.120
<v Speaker 1>those times?

0:38:45.280 --> 0:38:45.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think the budget is actually meant to do

0:38:48.320 --> 0:38:51.280
<v Speaker 11>nothing and that's exactly what it does, and that's.

0:38:51.120 --> 0:38:51.640
<v Speaker 3>A good thing.

0:38:51.920 --> 0:38:54.040
<v Speaker 11>I'll give you an exclusive here. We were thinking about

0:38:54.719 --> 0:38:56.920
<v Speaker 11>going with Jim Chalmers's Jerry.

0:38:56.719 --> 0:38:59.000
<v Speaker 3>Seinfeld on the front page of the Telly and call.

0:38:58.840 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 11>You it's all about thing, and it kind of is

0:39:01.160 --> 0:39:04.279
<v Speaker 11>because he's caught an ultimate economic catch twenty two. If

0:39:04.280 --> 0:39:06.480
<v Speaker 11>he delivers relief for cost of living, which people are

0:39:06.480 --> 0:39:10.560
<v Speaker 11>crying out for, that risks fueling inflation, which then makes

0:39:10.600 --> 0:39:12.600
<v Speaker 11>things worse in the long term. And if you're an

0:39:12.640 --> 0:39:14.480
<v Speaker 11>altruist or if you're just trying to win an election

0:39:14.520 --> 0:39:15.640
<v Speaker 11>in a year's time.

0:39:15.520 --> 0:39:16.960
<v Speaker 3>That's a very very very bad thing.

0:39:17.040 --> 0:39:19.480
<v Speaker 11>So they can't do that, they don't want to do that,

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:21.960
<v Speaker 11>and they're not going to do that. And so you've

0:39:21.960 --> 0:39:24.319
<v Speaker 11>got people saying in the same breath often and often

0:39:24.400 --> 0:39:26.600
<v Speaker 11>the same people, either, you know, it's too much spending,

0:39:26.719 --> 0:39:29.000
<v Speaker 11>is too inflationary, but it's not enough, it's not providing

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.680
<v Speaker 11>enough relief. So that to me, as John Howard said,

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 11>when both sides are criticizing you, shows you've.

0:39:34.320 --> 0:39:35.879
<v Speaker 3>Probably got the balance about right.

0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:38.760
<v Speaker 11>I think the budget is pretty much a holding pattern,

0:39:39.120 --> 0:39:42.480
<v Speaker 11>just to keep things as they are and just to

0:39:42.520 --> 0:39:44.800
<v Speaker 11>hope that all those settings that are already in place

0:39:45.080 --> 0:39:48.040
<v Speaker 11>flow through. Michael is absolutely correct. There is no way

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:50.359
<v Speaker 11>on earth the government is going to go to an

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:54.640
<v Speaker 11>election before rates start coming down or before inflation, which

0:39:54.640 --> 0:39:58.480
<v Speaker 11>is next year, before inflation gets to that's right about

0:39:58.480 --> 0:40:02.359
<v Speaker 11>that three percent or below. The other interesting thing, of course,

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:05.920
<v Speaker 11>is this discrepancy between the Treasury forecast for inflation and

0:40:05.920 --> 0:40:09.399
<v Speaker 11>the RBA forecast for inflation. Now an important thing here

0:40:09.400 --> 0:40:11.440
<v Speaker 11>people saying, well, the Treasury is just making up treasures.

0:40:11.520 --> 0:40:12.720
<v Speaker 2>Rowing first, justica.

0:40:12.840 --> 0:40:15.520
<v Speaker 11>The justification has been, well, the RBA doesn't know what's

0:40:15.560 --> 0:40:19.080
<v Speaker 11>in the budget. Well everyone knows now, But this means

0:40:19.080 --> 0:40:22.680
<v Speaker 11>that Treasury thinks that far from being inflationary, this budget

0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:24.960
<v Speaker 11>is actually going to be counterinflationary.

0:40:25.000 --> 0:40:26.960
<v Speaker 3>That's actually going to bring inflation.

0:40:26.640 --> 0:40:30.120
<v Speaker 11>Down more than if things were basically kept at the

0:40:30.160 --> 0:40:32.560
<v Speaker 11>status quo. So I think that's an interesting thing as well.

0:40:32.560 --> 0:40:35.600
<v Speaker 11>But it's like the Hippocratic ith, first, do no harm.

0:40:35.719 --> 0:40:37.920
<v Speaker 11>This is a budget that just whatever it does, does

0:40:38.000 --> 0:40:38.960
<v Speaker 11>not want to make things worse.

0:40:39.160 --> 0:40:42.359
<v Speaker 1>Ven Michael just the devil's advocate on alls, right, which

0:40:42.400 --> 0:40:45.640
<v Speaker 1>is that that do no harm principle. But also if

0:40:45.640 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 1>you don't make anyone happy, if your standing has changed

0:40:49.040 --> 0:40:52.120
<v Speaker 1>since the last time you asked for the job, then

0:40:52.239 --> 0:40:54.520
<v Speaker 1>the number of directors that are going to sit around

0:40:54.840 --> 0:40:57.200
<v Speaker 1>and vote for you falls.

0:40:57.280 --> 0:40:58.680
<v Speaker 2>And this is a government that doesn't.

0:40:58.400 --> 0:41:01.120
<v Speaker 1>Have that huge backminch to be able to go to

0:41:01.160 --> 0:41:04.640
<v Speaker 1>an election in a diminished position. And it's going to

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:06.840
<v Speaker 1>be a relentless thing because it's how I view the world,

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:10.680
<v Speaker 1>which is all these big numbers said on TV tonight

0:41:10.760 --> 0:41:12.560
<v Speaker 1>and announced out of camera.

0:41:12.640 --> 0:41:15.640
<v Speaker 2>But if the lived experience is.

0:41:14.880 --> 0:41:19.200
<v Speaker 1>Seventy five dollars a quarter off your power bill and

0:41:19.280 --> 0:41:22.759
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine dollars a week as a tax car when

0:41:22.840 --> 0:41:25.360
<v Speaker 1>your car insurance has gone up by a couple hundred

0:41:25.400 --> 0:41:29.160
<v Speaker 1>bucks when your petrol goes up and confluctuate by fifty

0:41:29.160 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 1>bucks depending on what the week is. But the government's

0:41:33.560 --> 0:41:36.800
<v Speaker 1>saying we're doing something, we're doing something. Why would anyone

0:41:36.840 --> 0:41:41.200
<v Speaker 1>believe them?

0:41:41.640 --> 0:41:41.799
<v Speaker 7>Mate?

0:41:41.800 --> 0:41:44.120
<v Speaker 10>Gofilin once said of the Phraser government, it's a government

0:41:44.120 --> 0:41:46.959
<v Speaker 10>that can't arise above its origins, meaning it got into

0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:54.840
<v Speaker 10>government illicitly. Elbow can't arise above the origins of his government,

0:41:55.040 --> 0:41:59.400
<v Speaker 10>which were deeply rooted, deeply rooted in those thousand or

0:41:59.440 --> 0:42:06.400
<v Speaker 10>more quotes we've seen of Elbow, of charmers, the whole wong,

0:42:06.480 --> 0:42:09.239
<v Speaker 10>the whole lot of them saying there's a cost of

0:42:09.360 --> 0:42:13.799
<v Speaker 10>living crisis, crisis, crisis created by Scott Morrison. Right, they

0:42:13.880 --> 0:42:17.560
<v Speaker 10>kept using that phrase, cost of living crisis. I don't know, mate,

0:42:17.600 --> 0:42:19.160
<v Speaker 10>I heard it five times a day.

0:42:19.280 --> 0:42:19.440
<v Speaker 7>Right.

0:42:19.520 --> 0:42:21.880
<v Speaker 10>That was the talking point for months and months and months.

0:42:22.280 --> 0:42:22.840
<v Speaker 3>What did that do?

0:42:23.040 --> 0:42:26.240
<v Speaker 10>It created the expectation in the minds of the electorate.

0:42:26.800 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 10>Oh it's Scott Morrison. He's terrible. He's created this incredible

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:33.480
<v Speaker 10>crisis that Albow will be able to solve because he's

0:42:33.520 --> 0:42:36.080
<v Speaker 10>got a plan to solve it. Now, the electric will

0:42:36.080 --> 0:42:39.920
<v Speaker 10>not be taken for mugs right. They'll always work you out,

0:42:39.920 --> 0:42:42.720
<v Speaker 10>as rich O, our friend Richo says. What they've worked

0:42:42.719 --> 0:42:45.880
<v Speaker 10>out is this that Alba Nezi never had a plan.

0:42:46.920 --> 0:42:50.120
<v Speaker 10>This was bull dust, This was politics. How are we

0:42:50.120 --> 0:42:52.359
<v Speaker 10>going to undermine Morrison? The Poland would have said, Hey,

0:42:52.360 --> 0:42:54.520
<v Speaker 10>people a bit worried about cost of living, blame it

0:42:54.560 --> 0:42:57.560
<v Speaker 10>all on Morrison. Create a sense of crisis. Use the

0:42:57.600 --> 0:43:01.520
<v Speaker 10>word crisis in every center. Crisis has got to be

0:43:01.560 --> 0:43:03.880
<v Speaker 10>attached to the word cost of living. Okay, it was

0:43:03.920 --> 0:43:08.040
<v Speaker 10>all Morrison's fault. Albo could flick the switch and ease

0:43:08.120 --> 0:43:10.440
<v Speaker 10>it now. So the two hundred and seventy five dollars,

0:43:10.560 --> 0:43:12.839
<v Speaker 10>for example, which will be run by the Liberal Party

0:43:12.920 --> 0:43:15.799
<v Speaker 10>night at a million times during the election. This is

0:43:15.840 --> 0:43:18.760
<v Speaker 10>his problem. He cannot rise above his origins. He conned

0:43:18.800 --> 0:43:22.239
<v Speaker 10>people into thinking it was all Morrison's incompetence and he

0:43:22.360 --> 0:43:25.200
<v Speaker 10>could fix this very easily. I don't even worry about it.

0:43:25.440 --> 0:43:27.400
<v Speaker 10>The two seventy five of the checks in the mail,

0:43:28.080 --> 0:43:31.080
<v Speaker 10>that is his main problem. Made people think he's a liar.

0:43:31.560 --> 0:43:34.680
<v Speaker 10>People think he's a bulldos artist. People think the promises

0:43:34.719 --> 0:43:38.240
<v Speaker 10>he made during the election were written on toilet paper.

0:43:38.640 --> 0:43:41.080
<v Speaker 10>There was no modeling where's the modeling for two hundred

0:43:41.080 --> 0:43:42.839
<v Speaker 10>and seventy five dollars? On and on and on.

0:43:43.320 --> 0:43:47.160
<v Speaker 1>Well, and in fact about that particular promise. This is

0:43:47.200 --> 0:43:50.200
<v Speaker 1>how Jim Chalmers is going to try to pretend they

0:43:50.320 --> 0:43:51.080
<v Speaker 1>never made it.

0:43:51.280 --> 0:43:54.160
<v Speaker 4>Have a look, the number you're referring to is a

0:43:54.200 --> 0:43:57.520
<v Speaker 4>forecast in twenty one about an outcome in twenty five.

0:43:58.000 --> 0:44:00.440
<v Speaker 4>We're providing energy bill relief in the here and now.

0:44:00.480 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 4>We did in the last budget, we are again in

0:44:02.560 --> 0:44:04.480
<v Speaker 4>the next budget. But there'll be more relief for more

0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:06.520
<v Speaker 4>people in this budget.

0:44:07.440 --> 0:44:08.759
<v Speaker 2>Joe, and I'm going to be done on you. But

0:44:09.080 --> 0:44:11.240
<v Speaker 2>as somebody who is laborer.

0:44:12.520 --> 0:44:16.040
<v Speaker 1>On this, how does this work? Tony Abbott says, vote

0:44:16.040 --> 0:44:17.920
<v Speaker 1>for me and I'll stop the boats. Yeah, you have

0:44:17.960 --> 0:44:20.839
<v Speaker 1>to stop the boats. If you say to seventy five,

0:44:20.840 --> 0:44:22.400
<v Speaker 1>you have to deliver to seventy five. And now if

0:44:22.400 --> 0:44:24.759
<v Speaker 1>they say they're going to deliver three hundred, it's not.

0:44:25.440 --> 0:44:28.200
<v Speaker 1>It's three hundred off the high for one year only,

0:44:28.360 --> 0:44:31.600
<v Speaker 1>not a structural change. So are they allowed to really?

0:44:31.920 --> 0:44:33.799
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think that's where it's going.

0:44:33.840 --> 0:44:37.800
<v Speaker 11>I'm always very wary of making specific predictions of specific

0:44:37.800 --> 0:44:40.879
<v Speaker 11>amounts astment.

0:44:40.920 --> 0:44:42.120
<v Speaker 3>You're not going to get it. That's right.

0:44:42.200 --> 0:44:44.479
<v Speaker 11>But what they will say, so, well, we've just cut

0:44:44.520 --> 0:44:46.480
<v Speaker 11>power bills. Every time you say you said you're going

0:44:46.560 --> 0:44:48.520
<v Speaker 11>to power bills, we're going to go down by two.

0:44:48.480 --> 0:44:49.279
<v Speaker 3>Hundred and seventy five.

0:44:49.480 --> 0:44:51.520
<v Speaker 11>That can come back and say, well, we've already taken

0:44:51.560 --> 0:44:53.839
<v Speaker 11>them down by three hundred so more than that, we've

0:44:53.880 --> 0:44:56.040
<v Speaker 11>done that a lot. And they're already thinking in that

0:44:56.080 --> 0:44:59.360
<v Speaker 11>way because they've said that they're rental subsidies and the

0:44:59.440 --> 0:45:04.759
<v Speaker 11>power bill subsidies are actually bringing inflation down, so by

0:45:04.920 --> 0:45:07.240
<v Speaker 11>five percent, but it's not even that though, but because

0:45:07.400 --> 0:45:11.440
<v Speaker 11>the way they're framing it is that the government, by

0:45:11.480 --> 0:45:13.920
<v Speaker 11>absorbing the difference in the cost between what someone otherwise

0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:16.680
<v Speaker 11>would be paying, is a reduction in inflation, as though

0:45:16.719 --> 0:45:18.840
<v Speaker 11>the government is sort of playing the role of the

0:45:18.880 --> 0:45:21.200
<v Speaker 11>market economy. So that's a little bit of sort of

0:45:22.000 --> 0:45:25.520
<v Speaker 11>rubberiness there. But again I think that in terms of

0:45:25.960 --> 0:45:29.640
<v Speaker 11>what people reward the government for or punish it for, again,

0:45:29.640 --> 0:45:31.399
<v Speaker 11>they're not going to be making They're not walking into

0:45:31.400 --> 0:45:33.719
<v Speaker 11>the ballot box tomorrow or next week. It doesn't matter

0:45:33.760 --> 0:45:35.680
<v Speaker 11>whether there's a bounce in the poles. What matters is

0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:38.440
<v Speaker 11>whether people are seeing relief when the government goes the

0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:40.879
<v Speaker 11>poles probably in the later first half of next year,

0:45:41.160 --> 0:45:44.160
<v Speaker 11>and if there is an interest rate relief by then,

0:45:44.480 --> 0:45:47.400
<v Speaker 11>an interest rate cut by then, and if inflation is

0:45:47.560 --> 0:45:50.000
<v Speaker 11>sitting between two and three percent, so people think, right,

0:45:50.120 --> 0:45:52.560
<v Speaker 11>rates are going to keep coming down in the future. Right,

0:45:52.600 --> 0:45:54.399
<v Speaker 11>They're going to look back to that budget, the last

0:45:54.400 --> 0:45:56.520
<v Speaker 11>one that was sound down, said wow, the government got

0:45:56.520 --> 0:45:59.280
<v Speaker 11>it right, and that is that is what if anything

0:45:59.360 --> 0:46:01.560
<v Speaker 11>is going to get the most. It won't be this

0:46:01.640 --> 0:46:03.799
<v Speaker 11>seventy five dollars that I'm not really seeing coming off

0:46:03.880 --> 0:46:06.320
<v Speaker 11>my quarterly power bill, or as you say, the twenty

0:46:06.320 --> 0:46:07.759
<v Speaker 11>dollars a week tax cut, or whatever you want to

0:46:07.760 --> 0:46:08.040
<v Speaker 11>call it.

0:46:08.080 --> 0:46:12.719
<v Speaker 1>But my point is that it's Australian politics one of

0:46:12.719 --> 0:46:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the failures of its change over the past generation.

0:46:15.960 --> 0:46:17.600
<v Speaker 2>Okay, from when we had a lot.

0:46:17.400 --> 0:46:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Of money and they just came up with ways to

0:46:19.000 --> 0:46:21.319
<v Speaker 1>give it to you to where we sit today and

0:46:21.320 --> 0:46:24.479
<v Speaker 1>all the government's up and down and in between. This night,

0:46:25.160 --> 0:46:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Budget Night has been turned from from economic national statement

0:46:29.760 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 1>into what's in.

0:46:30.440 --> 0:46:30.879
<v Speaker 2>It for you?

0:46:31.520 --> 0:46:34.680
<v Speaker 1>Everyone has got used to, Michael in a political generation

0:46:35.480 --> 0:46:37.520
<v Speaker 1>that the next day your favorite news site will have

0:46:37.600 --> 0:46:40.040
<v Speaker 1>a little thing saying calculator put in how much you

0:46:40.120 --> 0:46:45.040
<v Speaker 1>earn and see what happens. Right, So governments are locked

0:46:45.200 --> 0:46:48.480
<v Speaker 1>in this death spiral, and I mean financial death spiral

0:46:48.520 --> 0:46:51.839
<v Speaker 1>and structural death spiral with the budget. The last people

0:46:51.880 --> 0:46:53.640
<v Speaker 1>to try and do something about it Joe Hockey, and

0:46:53.680 --> 0:46:55.960
<v Speaker 1>we all know the disgrace that was thrown in his

0:46:56.040 --> 0:46:59.120
<v Speaker 1>way when they were trying to fix the structure. They

0:46:59.120 --> 0:47:01.320
<v Speaker 1>were trying to cut the can answer, but the cancer

0:47:01.560 --> 0:47:02.840
<v Speaker 1>gets worse.

0:47:04.160 --> 0:47:05.960
<v Speaker 2>How do you think is it about?

0:47:06.400 --> 0:47:10.640
<v Speaker 1>Is the challenge now about the way people remember to

0:47:10.800 --> 0:47:11.560
<v Speaker 1>seventy five?

0:47:12.360 --> 0:47:12.600
<v Speaker 2>Is that?

0:47:12.760 --> 0:47:16.520
<v Speaker 1>Is it up to the marketing of labor versus the

0:47:16.560 --> 0:47:19.760
<v Speaker 1>marketing of the Liberal Party? Or is there a normal

0:47:19.920 --> 0:47:22.120
<v Speaker 1>X factor in the suburbs that says, hang on, mate,

0:47:22.280 --> 0:47:24.440
<v Speaker 1>you said you were going to stop the boats and

0:47:24.560 --> 0:47:30.840
<v Speaker 1>you did it, or in Abbot's case, yeah, did.

0:47:30.480 --> 0:47:30.839
<v Speaker 3>So matter?

0:47:30.840 --> 0:47:34.560
<v Speaker 10>It's many things. First of all, governments federally always get

0:47:34.560 --> 0:47:39.480
<v Speaker 10>a second term. Okay, that's not a law, but that's so.

0:47:39.560 --> 0:47:41.720
<v Speaker 10>The likelihood is he gets a second term because history

0:47:41.719 --> 0:47:45.680
<v Speaker 10>told you that, but in minority. Secondly, labor there'll be

0:47:45.719 --> 0:47:49.920
<v Speaker 10>in a minority. Secondly, they did a magnificent job tarnishing

0:47:49.960 --> 0:47:54.640
<v Speaker 10>Scott Morrison's credibility as explained in the Liberal Party federally,

0:47:54.640 --> 0:47:57.360
<v Speaker 10>by the way, we're hopeless and defending Morrison. Right, you

0:47:57.760 --> 0:47:59.560
<v Speaker 10>never see a Labor leader attacked in the way that

0:47:59.600 --> 0:48:03.279
<v Speaker 10>Scott was without the Labor Party coming out to defend them.

0:48:03.280 --> 0:48:07.440
<v Speaker 10>All Canons are bellowing in support of the leader. They

0:48:07.520 --> 0:48:10.200
<v Speaker 10>hardly lifted a finger to help to help Morrison's credibility,

0:48:10.200 --> 0:48:12.839
<v Speaker 10>which is one of the reasons they lost. But mate,

0:48:12.880 --> 0:48:16.440
<v Speaker 10>when you get into the government like this, right, no

0:48:16.440 --> 0:48:21.200
<v Speaker 10>one ever thought Alberanzi was hawk or a Keating or

0:48:21.239 --> 0:48:23.920
<v Speaker 10>even as good as Kevin Rudd. Right, But they were

0:48:23.920 --> 0:48:26.480
<v Speaker 10>off Morrison. They've been in government ten years, three prime ministers.

0:48:26.480 --> 0:48:29.399
<v Speaker 10>They were giving Alba a go because Richer and everyone said,

0:48:29.400 --> 0:48:31.600
<v Speaker 10>you conruined everything. He's a good blake, Albow give him

0:48:31.640 --> 0:48:34.480
<v Speaker 10>a goa. So we all give Alba a go. Now

0:48:34.520 --> 0:48:37.239
<v Speaker 10>the left it's thinking, is this blake any good? He

0:48:37.239 --> 0:48:39.640
<v Speaker 10>seems to have lost control of everything, the borders, the

0:48:39.640 --> 0:48:52.520
<v Speaker 10>immigration system, the detainees, inflation, government spending, crime is anti Semitism, Palestine,

0:48:54.239 --> 0:48:56.640
<v Speaker 10>This bloke, this did take your pick. This bloke doesn't

0:48:56.640 --> 0:48:58.839
<v Speaker 10>seem to be succeeding at anything. Now he's on this

0:48:58.880 --> 0:49:02.440
<v Speaker 10>green energy bin he's now a twenty two billion dollar

0:49:02.560 --> 0:49:05.400
<v Speaker 10>venture capitalists. He's smarter than all these venture capitalists around

0:49:05.400 --> 0:49:07.799
<v Speaker 10>the world. I think people are very worried about this

0:49:07.880 --> 0:49:10.800
<v Speaker 10>twenty You know, this made in Australia, billions and billions

0:49:10.800 --> 0:49:13.640
<v Speaker 10>flowing into venture capital that's basically where it is. Why

0:49:13.680 --> 0:49:15.560
<v Speaker 10>does he do something smarter? It give the twenty two

0:49:15.560 --> 0:49:19.080
<v Speaker 10>billion to industries in Australia where we have a competitive advantage.

0:49:19.640 --> 0:49:22.520
<v Speaker 10>Let all the other countries who are bigger and have

0:49:22.600 --> 0:49:25.160
<v Speaker 10>more money than us spend all their venture capital money

0:49:25.200 --> 0:49:29.800
<v Speaker 10>on green hydrogen et cetera. Right, and when they've wasted

0:49:29.840 --> 0:49:33.399
<v Speaker 10>it all because the fourth Incarnation gets it right, when

0:49:33.400 --> 0:49:35.719
<v Speaker 10>they've spent all that money blowing it all up and

0:49:35.760 --> 0:49:38.400
<v Speaker 10>they finally get it right, then we'll buy the technology.

0:49:38.600 --> 0:49:41.120
<v Speaker 10>But in the meantime, Elbow, let's spend money in the

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:47.200
<v Speaker 10>farming industry, the mining industry, the services, in all industries

0:49:47.239 --> 0:49:51.440
<v Speaker 10>where Australia has a competitive advantage, pharmaceuticals, et cetera.

0:49:52.320 --> 0:49:55.000
<v Speaker 1>I also think that when we're talking about you know,

0:49:55.080 --> 0:49:57.920
<v Speaker 1>priorities and governments making decisions about what to spend money on,

0:49:58.360 --> 0:50:01.200
<v Speaker 1>there's one sector and this this is just about decency.

0:50:01.400 --> 0:50:04.520
<v Speaker 1>It's not about votes, but I think if you want to,

0:50:04.560 --> 0:50:06.759
<v Speaker 1>I can make a case for the votes. I haven't

0:50:06.800 --> 0:50:08.880
<v Speaker 1>gone deep into the budget to see what happens here,

0:50:09.160 --> 0:50:11.640
<v Speaker 1>but rather than this sort of piecemeal this and that,

0:50:12.200 --> 0:50:14.600
<v Speaker 1>I would like to see if Australia isn't a cost

0:50:14.600 --> 0:50:17.440
<v Speaker 1>of in crisis, which we are, three point seven million

0:50:17.480 --> 0:50:21.759
<v Speaker 1>people haven't been able to be in feud in security

0:50:23.200 --> 0:50:26.239
<v Speaker 1>people literally remember the cost of living inquiry out of

0:50:26.520 --> 0:50:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Western Australia. When the FEDS went over there, they heard

0:50:29.080 --> 0:50:31.759
<v Speaker 1>stories about people who were freezing. All they wanted was

0:50:32.239 --> 0:50:35.200
<v Speaker 1>a block of frozen of ice so that it to

0:50:35.280 --> 0:50:36.840
<v Speaker 1>keep the food cold that was in the car, and

0:50:36.840 --> 0:50:39.160
<v Speaker 1>then it would melt and become the water they would drink.

0:50:39.000 --> 0:50:42.920
<v Speaker 2>The next day. Right, give money to charities.

0:50:42.920 --> 0:50:46.680
<v Speaker 1>Like give serious help to the people on the front lines,

0:50:47.120 --> 0:50:50.000
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that those who are like that bloke

0:50:50.040 --> 0:50:52.279
<v Speaker 1>that we showed you a couple of nights ago who

0:50:52.320 --> 0:50:54.320
<v Speaker 1>was talking to SBS that he was in a house.

0:50:54.800 --> 0:50:58.160
<v Speaker 1>He was in a house in Queensland, but his rent

0:50:58.160 --> 0:50:59.560
<v Speaker 1>went up, so now he's living.

0:50:59.280 --> 0:51:00.719
<v Speaker 2>By the side of the road.

0:51:01.000 --> 0:51:04.560
<v Speaker 1>I think that Australians want from politics at the moment.

0:51:05.120 --> 0:51:10.839
<v Speaker 1>They want a massive idea on housing affordability. I think

0:51:10.880 --> 0:51:15.040
<v Speaker 1>they want a massive idea on helping those that are

0:51:15.080 --> 0:51:20.520
<v Speaker 1>the most most unfortunate at the moment. And Joe, because

0:51:20.560 --> 0:51:23.080
<v Speaker 1>of the complications of inflation, et cetera, etc.

0:51:23.680 --> 0:51:24.319
<v Speaker 2>We don't get that.

0:51:25.040 --> 0:51:27.319
<v Speaker 1>If the government came out and said we're going to

0:51:27.320 --> 0:51:30.480
<v Speaker 1>pass a law to morrow that says no financial institution

0:51:30.560 --> 0:51:33.640
<v Speaker 1>can demand more than ten percent of deposit for your

0:51:33.640 --> 0:51:36.640
<v Speaker 1>house right now, again, the economs will be screaming, yelling

0:51:36.680 --> 0:51:38.960
<v Speaker 1>at the telly right now. But I'm saying that's what's

0:51:38.960 --> 0:51:41.000
<v Speaker 1>going to move the needle, this sort of garbage. And

0:51:41.560 --> 0:51:43.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm just while we're talking, I'm trying to look at

0:51:43.160 --> 0:51:45.200
<v Speaker 1>the news websites and one of the lefty.

0:51:44.880 --> 0:51:48.560
<v Speaker 2>Ones is saying huge cost of living relief when we

0:51:48.640 --> 0:51:49.239
<v Speaker 2>all know it ain't.

0:51:49.320 --> 0:51:51.760
<v Speaker 11>No, it's not huge costs of living relief. And again

0:51:52.360 --> 0:51:53.719
<v Speaker 11>it can't be. And I hate to sound like a

0:51:53.760 --> 0:51:55.640
<v Speaker 11>broken record, but they can't do I would love to

0:51:55.640 --> 0:51:57.719
<v Speaker 11>see them do some really big stuff on this like that,

0:51:57.760 --> 0:51:59.600
<v Speaker 11>but they kind of can't because of the environment. They

0:51:59.600 --> 0:52:03.840
<v Speaker 11>are doing really big things on indigenous housing and indigenous education.

0:52:03.719 --> 0:52:08.360
<v Speaker 1>Rather than hydrogen, which makes Twiggy Forest happy. Daniel Andrews Happy,

0:52:08.400 --> 0:52:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Malcolm Turnbull happy, as well as all of them getting.

0:52:11.480 --> 0:52:12.360
<v Speaker 2>Help with their power.

0:52:12.640 --> 0:52:14.799
<v Speaker 1>Look at why not move a billion dollars into the

0:52:14.880 --> 0:52:17.600
<v Speaker 1>charity sector, well, because so that the people we all

0:52:17.640 --> 0:52:19.360
<v Speaker 1>care about, you know, a.

0:52:19.360 --> 0:52:21.080
<v Speaker 11>Lot of what everyone was doing, a lot of stuff

0:52:21.080 --> 0:52:23.440
<v Speaker 11>that charities are doing anyway, So for example, rent assistance,

0:52:23.480 --> 0:52:24.359
<v Speaker 11>I mean, this is the sort of thing.

0:52:24.400 --> 0:52:27.239
<v Speaker 1>And again, but trying to invent green hydrogen as the

0:52:27.280 --> 0:52:28.440
<v Speaker 1>future of the world.

0:52:28.280 --> 0:52:30.719
<v Speaker 11>Come Honestly, if that plays off right, yes there is

0:52:30.719 --> 0:52:32.880
<v Speaker 11>a bit of risk, and sure if you can invent

0:52:34.280 --> 0:52:37.520
<v Speaker 11>if Australia in Australia becomes a green hydrogen leader, it

0:52:37.560 --> 0:52:40.920
<v Speaker 11>could be an absolute game changer. It is extraordinary the

0:52:40.920 --> 0:52:44.040
<v Speaker 11>potential we have because frankly, they're really heavy.

0:52:45.080 --> 0:52:47.680
<v Speaker 1>That's going to a structural deficit of tens of billions

0:52:47.760 --> 0:52:51.240
<v Speaker 1>of dollars. Is that the time to be trying to

0:52:51.400 --> 0:52:54.839
<v Speaker 1>reinvent the wheel, trying to say we will fund the

0:52:54.880 --> 0:52:59.000
<v Speaker 1>project that will you know, rediscover electricity.

0:52:58.480 --> 0:53:01.600
<v Speaker 11>Because what you want to be doing is if God willing,

0:53:01.600 --> 0:53:03.800
<v Speaker 11>there won't be But if there is a recession or

0:53:03.840 --> 0:53:05.600
<v Speaker 11>a softening of the economy, which is what going there

0:53:05.640 --> 0:53:07.239
<v Speaker 11>is definitely going to be a softening. Right, we're trying

0:53:07.239 --> 0:53:09.480
<v Speaker 11>to avoid a recession. What you want to do is

0:53:09.560 --> 0:53:13.000
<v Speaker 11>back end load all that big infrastructure spending to keep

0:53:13.040 --> 0:53:15.880
<v Speaker 11>the economy going and to make sure that it's going

0:53:15.920 --> 0:53:18.920
<v Speaker 11>in the areas that are Australia's strengths, and that is

0:53:18.920 --> 0:53:21.359
<v Speaker 11>in critical memorials, that is in someone law.

0:53:21.320 --> 0:53:26.120
<v Speaker 1>I venture capital funded because Twgg he's not doing Triggy

0:53:26.200 --> 0:53:28.800
<v Speaker 1>is doing it and asking for money, and this government's

0:53:28.800 --> 0:53:30.960
<v Speaker 1>going to turn around and give him and his political

0:53:30.960 --> 0:53:34.480
<v Speaker 1>mates Andrews and Turnbull money off their freaking power bills.

0:53:35.160 --> 0:53:36.960
<v Speaker 1>But if there's a great idea the.

0:53:38.760 --> 0:53:41.640
<v Speaker 3>Tax carts and get thousands of dollars in.

0:53:41.640 --> 0:53:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Tax coming, come on, come on, every household means the

0:53:44.640 --> 0:53:45.439
<v Speaker 1>richest one as well.

0:53:45.520 --> 0:53:47.240
<v Speaker 2>And you know, so that's that's.

0:53:47.239 --> 0:53:49.480
<v Speaker 11>You know, the they're getting far less than they were

0:53:49.480 --> 0:53:51.440
<v Speaker 11>going to under the previous government.

0:53:51.440 --> 0:53:53.560
<v Speaker 1>All Right, we've got plenty more quick break back with

0:53:53.640 --> 0:53:58.560
<v Speaker 1>more lots of talking about including well some announcement about supermarkets.

0:53:58.800 --> 0:54:01.640
<v Speaker 1>Does it actually move them, change anything? We'll find out

0:54:01.640 --> 0:54:03.319
<v Speaker 1>with the lads. Jane Hugh joins us in a second

0:54:03.320 --> 0:54:05.480
<v Speaker 1>as well. She's the shadow Finance Minister, no doubt she

0:54:05.520 --> 0:54:09.360
<v Speaker 1>wants to talk about thirty thousand extra public servants on

0:54:09.360 --> 0:54:17.120
<v Speaker 1>top of the record number that we currently have. We

0:54:17.200 --> 0:54:20.719
<v Speaker 1>know budgets are more about politics than economics, because the

0:54:20.719 --> 0:54:23.040
<v Speaker 1>reality is it's all about winners and losers, as you

0:54:23.080 --> 0:54:24.360
<v Speaker 1>see all over.

0:54:24.040 --> 0:54:24.800
<v Speaker 2>Much of the media.

0:54:25.239 --> 0:54:28.319
<v Speaker 1>It's also about the very simple messages that people are

0:54:28.320 --> 0:54:30.840
<v Speaker 1>going to argue about in the next little while between

0:54:30.880 --> 0:54:33.239
<v Speaker 1>Tim Red and Team Blue. The captain of Team Read

0:54:33.320 --> 0:54:36.480
<v Speaker 1>is the Prime Minister, and here he is with a message.

0:54:36.480 --> 0:54:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Just for you.

0:54:38.160 --> 0:54:38.359
<v Speaker 12>Hi.

0:54:38.600 --> 0:54:40.880
<v Speaker 13>I want to talk to you about one of the

0:54:40.960 --> 0:54:45.120
<v Speaker 13>major announcements we have in tonight's budget, and that's from

0:54:45.320 --> 0:54:49.520
<v Speaker 13>July one, every household will get three hundred dollars off

0:54:49.680 --> 0:54:54.520
<v Speaker 13>their energy bills. That's all households, not just some. Just

0:54:54.760 --> 0:54:59.160
<v Speaker 13>like every taxpayer will receive a tax cut from July

0:54:59.320 --> 0:55:01.360
<v Speaker 13>one thirteen point six.

0:55:01.239 --> 0:55:02.759
<v Speaker 2>Million, not just some.

0:55:03.719 --> 0:55:08.120
<v Speaker 13>That's part of our cost of living relief in tonight's budget,

0:55:08.239 --> 0:55:12.040
<v Speaker 13>which we know is the number one priority tax cut

0:55:12.360 --> 0:55:17.480
<v Speaker 13>for every taxpayer. Energy bill relief for every household.

0:55:17.520 --> 0:55:19.239
<v Speaker 2>Wouldn't spoken and authorized. You get the point.

0:55:19.320 --> 0:55:21.719
<v Speaker 1>Jane Hume is the Shadow Finance Minister Instituents US now

0:55:21.719 --> 0:55:24.360
<v Speaker 1>from Canberra, so you know what the line here is.

0:55:24.480 --> 0:55:28.680
<v Speaker 1>It's every household, it's every taxpayer. What's your response to

0:55:28.840 --> 0:55:32.880
<v Speaker 1>that premise and about the reality for the Australians that,

0:55:32.920 --> 0:55:35.719
<v Speaker 1>as the Treasurer said today, the tax cut is well

0:55:35.800 --> 0:55:38.400
<v Speaker 1>less than a carton of beer a week and the

0:55:38.520 --> 0:55:40.760
<v Speaker 1>energy relief is twenty five dollars a month.

0:55:42.640 --> 0:55:44.880
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think Albo was right on one thing that

0:55:45.160 --> 0:55:48.760
<v Speaker 12>was that this budget is a typical labor budget through

0:55:48.840 --> 0:55:52.960
<v Speaker 12>and through. It's big tax, big spend, and quite frankly,

0:55:53.120 --> 0:55:56.160
<v Speaker 12>it's a con job because it's not going to tackle

0:55:56.239 --> 0:55:59.320
<v Speaker 12>the number one issue being the cost of living, because

0:55:59.400 --> 0:56:04.279
<v Speaker 12>it can bring inflation down sustainably. It's throwing subsidies at

0:56:04.280 --> 0:56:07.480
<v Speaker 12>the problem rather than dealing with the problem at the source.

0:56:07.840 --> 0:56:12.719
<v Speaker 12>There's three hundred and fifteen billion dollars in additional spending

0:56:12.880 --> 0:56:17.480
<v Speaker 12>since labor came to government. That's an eye watering amount.

0:56:17.880 --> 0:56:21.319
<v Speaker 12>In fact, it's the biggest amount of spending that we've

0:56:21.400 --> 0:56:25.040
<v Speaker 12>seen in a budget by the pandemic years since for

0:56:25.320 --> 0:56:28.160
<v Speaker 12>about forty years since back in the Hawk and Keating

0:56:28.239 --> 0:56:31.200
<v Speaker 12>days at the beginning of the nineteen eighties. For every

0:56:32.000 --> 0:56:35.000
<v Speaker 12>four dollars, sorry, for every one dollar of savings that

0:56:35.000 --> 0:56:39.600
<v Speaker 12>they've made, they've actually spent four dollars. Now, the RBA

0:56:39.880 --> 0:56:43.040
<v Speaker 12>are no fools. As much as Jim Chalmers might like

0:56:43.120 --> 0:56:46.799
<v Speaker 12>to replace the board with people that he's picked, I'm

0:56:46.800 --> 0:56:49.880
<v Speaker 12>pretty sure that they know that any changes that they've

0:56:49.880 --> 0:56:52.520
<v Speaker 12>made in this budget aren't actually going to sustainably bring

0:56:52.560 --> 0:56:55.840
<v Speaker 12>inflation down. And because of that inflation. Because of that,

0:56:55.880 --> 0:56:58.040
<v Speaker 12>interest rates are going to stay higher for longer and

0:56:58.120 --> 0:57:01.160
<v Speaker 12>Australian particularly mortgage holders are going to pay the price.

0:57:01.640 --> 0:57:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Earlier in the show, when I was trying to go

0:57:02.960 --> 0:57:04.960
<v Speaker 1>through the five things that I've noticed about the budget,

0:57:05.320 --> 0:57:09.319
<v Speaker 1>I make this point that in this budget, if the

0:57:09.400 --> 0:57:11.400
<v Speaker 1>claim is electricity, and I don't believe.

0:57:11.160 --> 0:57:12.560
<v Speaker 2>It changes anything in that world.

0:57:13.400 --> 0:57:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Just look at the inflation figures from last month, right,

0:57:17.240 --> 0:57:24.600
<v Speaker 1>everything from tobacco, petrol, bread, rent, all of it way up. Now,

0:57:24.680 --> 0:57:27.439
<v Speaker 1>you've been chairing the cost of living committee that goes

0:57:27.480 --> 0:57:31.120
<v Speaker 1>around the country and the types of people who come

0:57:31.440 --> 0:57:35.720
<v Speaker 1>to those committees, we hear about how massive their concerns are.

0:57:35.760 --> 0:57:38.640
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about people with jobs who live in their car.

0:57:40.240 --> 0:57:45.080
<v Speaker 1>This budget does not change their life. Yet the Prime

0:57:45.160 --> 0:57:47.360
<v Speaker 1>Minister and the Treasurer are going to spend the next,

0:57:47.360 --> 0:57:51.640
<v Speaker 1>however many months telling us that everyone benefits despite the

0:57:51.640 --> 0:57:54.600
<v Speaker 1>fact that the people who truly, truly, truly, truly truly

0:57:54.680 --> 0:57:59.160
<v Speaker 1>need it are the working poor, and I can't see

0:57:59.200 --> 0:58:00.120
<v Speaker 1>anything here.

0:58:02.280 --> 0:58:02.480
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:58:02.560 --> 0:58:06.360
<v Speaker 12>The cost of living crisis is clearly the number one issue.

0:58:06.480 --> 0:58:10.840
<v Speaker 12>We are hearing the most horrendous stories of people coming

0:58:11.200 --> 0:58:13.960
<v Speaker 12>to seek services from charities that have never been there before.

0:58:14.000 --> 0:58:18.320
<v Speaker 12>People with two incomes, people with multiple jobs, people with

0:58:18.440 --> 0:58:21.360
<v Speaker 12>mortgages are now lining up at food bank to help

0:58:21.400 --> 0:58:25.120
<v Speaker 12>put food on the table. Leez twentymen, the Great Las Twentymen,

0:58:25.320 --> 0:58:28.480
<v Speaker 12>May he rest in peace, did appear before the committee,

0:58:28.480 --> 0:58:31.120
<v Speaker 12>before the Cost of Living Committee, just before he died, actually,

0:58:31.160 --> 0:58:33.960
<v Speaker 12>and told us the most saddest story, which was about

0:58:33.960 --> 0:58:36.800
<v Speaker 12>a woman that had pawned her wedding ring to pay

0:58:36.920 --> 0:58:40.520
<v Speaker 12>for kids' school uniforms. I reckon the announcements in tonight's

0:58:40.520 --> 0:58:45.600
<v Speaker 12>budgets are going to be cold comfort to families like that. Yes,

0:58:45.680 --> 0:58:48.800
<v Speaker 12>everyone's going to appreciate some energy bill relief, but in

0:58:48.840 --> 0:58:52.560
<v Speaker 12>the long term, that's not going to tackle the big issue.

0:58:52.640 --> 0:58:55.880
<v Speaker 12>It's only a band aid on a bullet hole. Unless

0:58:55.920 --> 0:59:00.240
<v Speaker 12>you can bring inflation down sustainably, well, it's simply not

0:59:00.320 --> 0:59:02.640
<v Speaker 12>going to make a dent in people's lives and the

0:59:02.720 --> 0:59:03.800
<v Speaker 12>only way you're going to be able to do that

0:59:03.840 --> 0:59:07.240
<v Speaker 12>with energy prices is to increase supply into the system,

0:59:07.840 --> 0:59:13.080
<v Speaker 12>not go on these ideological jawns into whatever you think

0:59:13.240 --> 0:59:15.400
<v Speaker 12>the future made in Australia might look like.

0:59:16.240 --> 0:59:18.080
<v Speaker 1>Now we know the noise the Labor Party made and

0:59:18.080 --> 0:59:19.680
<v Speaker 1>the lead up to the last election, and we're not

0:59:19.680 --> 0:59:22.080
<v Speaker 1>fighting the last election. The world is always looking forward.

0:59:22.120 --> 0:59:24.080
<v Speaker 1>And when I say well, I mean collectively Australia and

0:59:24.080 --> 0:59:27.040
<v Speaker 1>what we're going to be debating just in case the

0:59:27.120 --> 0:59:29.760
<v Speaker 1>umpires are going to run off to somebody that Karen's

0:59:29.760 --> 0:59:32.480
<v Speaker 1>going to run for the umpire, We've got the scenario

0:59:32.520 --> 0:59:34.520
<v Speaker 1>where a tridion dollars debt, a trilion dollars debt, A

0:59:34.560 --> 0:59:36.960
<v Speaker 1>trilion dollars debt is what they talked about before, by

0:59:37.000 --> 0:59:42.680
<v Speaker 1>their own forecasts. If they have paid off eighty ninety billion,

0:59:44.560 --> 0:59:47.120
<v Speaker 1>the budget goes into such deep deficits over the next

0:59:47.200 --> 0:59:50.640
<v Speaker 1>few years that we go back to a position of

0:59:50.680 --> 0:59:53.480
<v Speaker 1>being even worse than when they took over.

0:59:55.000 --> 0:59:56.320
<v Speaker 2>What does it say to you.

0:59:56.240 --> 1:00:01.240
<v Speaker 1>As a document about how the federal budget is put together,

1:00:01.760 --> 1:00:04.680
<v Speaker 1>that at its heart, apart from the sugar hits of

1:00:05.400 --> 1:00:11.400
<v Speaker 1>excise taxes and resources, that the joint is hundreds of

1:00:11.440 --> 1:00:13.320
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars in the wrong direction.

1:00:15.080 --> 1:00:17.160
<v Speaker 12>And you think, what a waste the last couple of

1:00:17.240 --> 1:00:19.560
<v Speaker 12>years have been, because there have been some pretty serious

1:00:19.680 --> 1:00:24.360
<v Speaker 12>windfall gains that have that have been presented in this

1:00:24.520 --> 1:00:27.400
<v Speaker 12>in this document to Jim Chalmers, to use his former

1:00:27.440 --> 1:00:31.800
<v Speaker 12>bosses or his former idols words, he has been hit

1:00:31.800 --> 1:00:36.120
<v Speaker 12>in the ass by a rainbow, those by those iron

1:00:36.160 --> 1:00:39.800
<v Speaker 12>ore and coal company tax receipts. You know, the commodity

1:00:39.800 --> 1:00:42.600
<v Speaker 12>prices have gone up so high that company tax receipts

1:00:42.640 --> 1:00:46.120
<v Speaker 12>have gone through the roof, and of course personal income

1:00:46.200 --> 1:00:49.800
<v Speaker 12>tax receipts have gone up too because of bracket creep.

1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:52.800
<v Speaker 12>Inflation is bad for all Australians, you know, it's the

1:00:52.880 --> 1:00:55.320
<v Speaker 12>thief in the night that eats away your savings and

1:00:55.360 --> 1:00:59.000
<v Speaker 12>erodes your purchasing power and reduces your standard of living.

1:00:59.000 --> 1:01:02.080
<v Speaker 12>But governments love it because it pushes everybody up into

1:01:02.080 --> 1:01:04.800
<v Speaker 12>that next higher tax bracket. And of course they get

1:01:05.760 --> 1:01:09.880
<v Speaker 12>more income receipts, more revenue, which is fantastic for your

1:01:09.880 --> 1:01:12.720
<v Speaker 12>budget bottom line, and that's what's returned the surfaces. But

1:01:12.960 --> 1:01:16.200
<v Speaker 12>rather than actually using that surplus to pay down the debt,

1:01:16.440 --> 1:01:20.440
<v Speaker 12>instead they've continued to spend and they've spent on things

1:01:20.440 --> 1:01:23.000
<v Speaker 12>that you know, quite frankly, we're not seeing the benefit

1:01:23.040 --> 1:01:23.960
<v Speaker 12>from one of them.

1:01:24.000 --> 1:01:24.640
<v Speaker 2>And the one that.

1:01:24.720 --> 1:01:29.160
<v Speaker 12>Really gets up my wig is thirty six thousand new

1:01:29.360 --> 1:01:33.320
<v Speaker 12>public servants. Thirty six thousand new public servants since laborcame

1:01:33.320 --> 1:01:33.800
<v Speaker 12>to government.

1:01:33.920 --> 1:01:34.440
<v Speaker 11>Now, just to.

1:01:34.400 --> 1:01:38.480
<v Speaker 12>Put that into perspective, that's more than all of the

1:01:38.520 --> 1:01:41.880
<v Speaker 12>people that work for Westpac. It's more than all of

1:01:41.880 --> 1:01:44.800
<v Speaker 12>the people all of the people that work for Telstra,

1:01:45.200 --> 1:01:48.720
<v Speaker 12>and they are now Canberra bureaucrats. It just hired in

1:01:48.760 --> 1:01:52.360
<v Speaker 12>the last two years alone. That is eyewatering because I

1:01:52.400 --> 1:01:54.400
<v Speaker 12>don't know about you, Paul, but I don't feel like

1:01:54.480 --> 1:01:58.760
<v Speaker 12>I'm getting thirty six thousand new public servants better off

1:01:59.040 --> 1:02:01.440
<v Speaker 12>in terms of service set up receiving from the government.

1:02:01.960 --> 1:02:02.560
<v Speaker 2>Not at all. To me.

1:02:02.640 --> 1:02:04.800
<v Speaker 1>It feels like it's again an extension of what we've

1:02:04.800 --> 1:02:07.600
<v Speaker 1>seen with say Daniel Andrews Palichet to a degree here,

1:02:07.600 --> 1:02:12.080
<v Speaker 1>which is Labour wants to build permanent majorities electoral majorities.

1:02:12.400 --> 1:02:15.320
<v Speaker 1>By you are either dependent on the government for your job,

1:02:15.920 --> 1:02:18.120
<v Speaker 1>or you are dependent on the government in terms of

1:02:18.160 --> 1:02:20.080
<v Speaker 1>the handout, or if you're a business, your biggest client

1:02:20.200 --> 1:02:22.840
<v Speaker 1>is the government right and hence we saw how that

1:02:22.880 --> 1:02:24.720
<v Speaker 1>has worked and in my view, to the detriment of

1:02:24.800 --> 1:02:27.760
<v Speaker 1>places like the great States of Victoria and Queensinne. Jane,

1:02:27.840 --> 1:02:29.080
<v Speaker 1>nice to talk to you. We're talking again soon.

1:02:30.520 --> 1:02:31.160
<v Speaker 12>Great to be with you.

1:02:31.200 --> 1:02:31.439
<v Speaker 9>Paul.

1:02:31.600 --> 1:02:34.240
<v Speaker 1>Jane hum the shadow Finance Minister, always on it and

1:02:34.280 --> 1:02:36.080
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate her joining us this evening.

1:02:36.240 --> 1:02:37.840
<v Speaker 2>Back to the debate with Michael and Joe.

1:02:37.880 --> 1:02:40.360
<v Speaker 1>Straight after this quick break on Paul Murray Live, not

1:02:40.360 --> 1:02:42.000
<v Speaker 1>even an edition of the show at the top of

1:02:42.040 --> 1:02:44.880
<v Speaker 1>the hour, the late Debate is pulling the late shift tonight.

1:02:50.560 --> 1:02:52.560
<v Speaker 1>I really appreciate you being here this evening, as well

1:02:52.640 --> 1:02:54.800
<v Speaker 1>as the wonderful Michael Kroger and the equally wonderful Joe

1:02:54.840 --> 1:02:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Hilda Brand Getting late for some but not for us.

1:02:56.920 --> 1:02:57.840
<v Speaker 2>We're just getting started.

1:02:57.840 --> 1:03:01.320
<v Speaker 11>As always, we don it all night Alive, average live

1:03:01.480 --> 1:03:04.120
<v Speaker 11>rolling coverage of the world's most boring budget.

1:03:04.840 --> 1:03:07.520
<v Speaker 3>Could I just say you, guys, happier freedom. I was

1:03:07.560 --> 1:03:11.080
<v Speaker 3>in the locker for six hour, No I come here,

1:03:12.960 --> 1:03:13.320
<v Speaker 3>I know.

1:03:13.520 --> 1:03:15.360
<v Speaker 1>And they're all walking away going, well have you seen

1:03:15.360 --> 1:03:16.320
<v Speaker 1>paid seventy six?

1:03:16.360 --> 1:03:18.000
<v Speaker 3>And you go okay, right, we all those people of

1:03:18.040 --> 1:03:19.240
<v Speaker 3>the Australian.

1:03:18.840 --> 1:03:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, all right, God, love the os love all right.

1:03:21.960 --> 1:03:22.080
<v Speaker 12>Love.

1:03:22.680 --> 1:03:24.120
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that was in the was in

1:03:24.160 --> 1:03:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the treasurist's speech again obviously one of the issues in

1:03:27.200 --> 1:03:29.200
<v Speaker 1>and around cost of living, but particularly groceries.

1:03:29.280 --> 1:03:29.440
<v Speaker 2>Right.

1:03:30.080 --> 1:03:32.280
<v Speaker 1>I want to play part of his speech and then

1:03:32.360 --> 1:03:34.840
<v Speaker 1>try to decode what the hell is saying because again,

1:03:35.000 --> 1:03:37.120
<v Speaker 1>normal people don't sit around and watch this speech at

1:03:37.160 --> 1:03:39.800
<v Speaker 1>seven thirty, but the government trying to front load it.

1:03:39.840 --> 1:03:42.440
<v Speaker 1>There's something you should know about means I wanted to

1:03:42.480 --> 1:03:45.000
<v Speaker 1>code it, roll tape speaker.

1:03:45.080 --> 1:03:48.320
<v Speaker 4>We know that Australians are feeling the pinch at the checkout.

1:03:48.560 --> 1:03:52.760
<v Speaker 4>That's why we empowered the Competition Watchdog to hold supermarkets accountable.

1:03:53.200 --> 1:03:54.000
<v Speaker 3>That's why we're.

1:03:53.840 --> 1:03:56.800
<v Speaker 4>Taking steps to make the Food and Grocery Code mandatory

1:03:57.160 --> 1:04:01.520
<v Speaker 4>and making our economy more competitive across aboard by strengthening

1:04:01.520 --> 1:04:05.640
<v Speaker 4>the mergers regime and abolishing nuisance tariffs and reducing compliance

1:04:05.680 --> 1:04:10.360
<v Speaker 4>costs for business. Because more competition means more choices, means

1:04:10.400 --> 1:04:15.120
<v Speaker 4>lower prices and better services and better jobs means.

1:04:14.880 --> 1:04:16.919
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to pay less for me this year.

1:04:17.120 --> 1:04:18.840
<v Speaker 3>Joe means it's not his fault.

1:04:19.760 --> 1:04:21.959
<v Speaker 11>Buddy should bring this up because I had the great

1:04:22.000 --> 1:04:24.560
<v Speaker 11>priv I think it's under my name. Otherwise the cover's blown.

1:04:25.080 --> 1:04:28.280
<v Speaker 11>The Daily Telegraph always does what he said, what he meant. Yes,

1:04:28.280 --> 1:04:32.200
<v Speaker 11>it's me and Tim Blair often take turns doing it,

1:04:32.240 --> 1:04:36.360
<v Speaker 11>but Tim was feeling a bit lazy today. So that

1:04:36.520 --> 1:04:39.440
<v Speaker 11>was one of the quotes that I plucked out, and

1:04:39.680 --> 1:04:42.320
<v Speaker 11>the other one was, of course this you know, there's

1:04:42.360 --> 1:04:45.360
<v Speaker 11>international turmoil, these are very feebrile times and.

1:04:45.360 --> 1:04:47.080
<v Speaker 2>All this Trump's going to be president.

1:04:47.480 --> 1:04:50.560
<v Speaker 11>Basically, basically what he's saying is, I don't know if

1:04:50.600 --> 1:04:53.360
<v Speaker 11>you've seen the movie Good Will Hold Hunting a very

1:04:53.400 --> 1:04:58.200
<v Speaker 11>famous scene where Robin Williams counselor character grabs Matt Damon.

1:04:57.880 --> 1:05:01.200
<v Speaker 3>And says, it's not your file, it's not your failed.

1:05:02.520 --> 1:05:05.520
<v Speaker 11>And I had Jim Jarvis basically say that is what

1:05:05.960 --> 1:05:06.600
<v Speaker 11>I want.

1:05:06.400 --> 1:05:07.200
<v Speaker 3>You to do to me.

1:05:07.400 --> 1:05:08.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's not my fault, not his.

1:05:08.720 --> 1:05:12.200
<v Speaker 3>Fault, it's the supermarket's fault. It's you know, the nebulous

1:05:12.240 --> 1:05:13.200
<v Speaker 3>global forces fault.

1:05:13.200 --> 1:05:15.960
<v Speaker 11>And to a very large extent, he is right, that's

1:05:16.000 --> 1:05:16.640
<v Speaker 11>definitely the mess.

1:05:16.680 --> 1:05:18.280
<v Speaker 1>But it has it was in twenty two, but again

1:05:18.320 --> 1:05:22.240
<v Speaker 1>everything was personal there, cyclical. Michael, Again, how do you

1:05:22.320 --> 1:05:26.440
<v Speaker 1>decode that language, because again, it is just a whole

1:05:26.640 --> 1:05:30.280
<v Speaker 1>series of things that make it seem like you know,

1:05:31.360 --> 1:05:33.840
<v Speaker 1>ice cream is going to be less, But I don't

1:05:33.840 --> 1:05:34.720
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be.

1:05:36.720 --> 1:05:37.200
<v Speaker 3>So mate.

1:05:37.520 --> 1:05:40.760
<v Speaker 10>You know, Joe's absolutely right. This government's never made a mistake.

1:05:40.800 --> 1:05:43.240
<v Speaker 10>They've never got anything wrong. We heard one minister ever

1:05:43.320 --> 1:05:47.200
<v Speaker 10>say we mess this up, even in take an extreme example,

1:05:47.400 --> 1:05:50.600
<v Speaker 10>this fellow Giles, Andrew Giles. Nope is he going anywhere?

1:05:50.600 --> 1:05:50.920
<v Speaker 6>And nope?

1:05:51.040 --> 1:05:51.600
<v Speaker 10>Is he resigning?

1:05:51.720 --> 1:05:52.160
<v Speaker 6>Nope?

1:05:52.640 --> 1:05:53.720
<v Speaker 10>No eastting where he is?

1:05:53.720 --> 1:05:54.840
<v Speaker 3>Clara and El Nope.

1:05:55.280 --> 1:05:57.080
<v Speaker 10>I mean, no one's made of mistake and no one's

1:05:57.080 --> 1:05:58.720
<v Speaker 10>got anything wrong, which is why it was I said

1:05:58.760 --> 1:06:01.640
<v Speaker 10>earlier on. People are very the jury's out. They're looking

1:06:01.640 --> 1:06:04.080
<v Speaker 10>at this bloke oulm and easy saying I'm not sure

1:06:04.080 --> 1:06:06.400
<v Speaker 10>you're all that good. I didn't think you were all

1:06:06.400 --> 1:06:08.640
<v Speaker 10>that good as opposition later because you couldn't even remember

1:06:08.680 --> 1:06:12.040
<v Speaker 10>the unemployment rate. I'm not sure you're that smart. I

1:06:12.040 --> 1:06:15.800
<v Speaker 10>don't know your team's that good. I know the Morrison's expired,

1:06:15.840 --> 1:06:17.880
<v Speaker 10>the Morrison guns expiring. I've been sick of Scott and

1:06:17.920 --> 1:06:21.000
<v Speaker 10>the Liberals, so we'll give you a go. And you've

1:06:21.040 --> 1:06:24.240
<v Speaker 10>promised all these things. Maybe you are a genius. And

1:06:24.280 --> 1:06:27.640
<v Speaker 10>now they're looking at him thinking, you never admit a mistake.

1:06:27.720 --> 1:06:30.200
<v Speaker 10>You've cocked up so many things. You lied to us

1:06:30.200 --> 1:06:34.640
<v Speaker 10>about cost of living, all the stuff about inflation. We're

1:06:34.680 --> 1:06:37.840
<v Speaker 10>now being bought off by Jim Chalmers in eighty two

1:06:37.880 --> 1:06:41.680
<v Speaker 10>cents a day for our energy bills relief. You said

1:06:41.720 --> 1:06:43.800
<v Speaker 10>it was easy to fix cost of living. Why we

1:06:43.840 --> 1:06:45.400
<v Speaker 10>still got all this massive interest rate?

1:06:46.120 --> 1:06:46.320
<v Speaker 7>You know?

1:06:46.360 --> 1:06:49.600
<v Speaker 10>Why is interest rates home loans at six and seven percent? However,

1:06:49.760 --> 1:06:53.600
<v Speaker 10>you said all this was easy. So the jury are

1:06:53.600 --> 1:06:56.520
<v Speaker 10>now thinking, hey, and you know they work the stuff out.

1:06:57.360 --> 1:07:00.200
<v Speaker 10>They can't go to an election until interest rates have

1:07:00.320 --> 1:07:04.400
<v Speaker 10>gone down, probably two months in a row. Otherwise the

1:07:04.440 --> 1:07:07.800
<v Speaker 10>pun is out there thinking you are just pulled as artists. Yeah,

1:07:07.800 --> 1:07:09.240
<v Speaker 10>we don't believe a word you're telling us.

1:07:09.320 --> 1:07:11.800
<v Speaker 1>But even then, I was talking about this with a

1:07:11.840 --> 1:07:15.400
<v Speaker 1>friend before the show, which was okay. So the cost

1:07:15.400 --> 1:07:17.920
<v Speaker 1>of living squeeze or interest rates or whatever the problem

1:07:18.000 --> 1:07:22.760
<v Speaker 1>is that particularly concerns you. Right, The python is squeezing you,

1:07:22.840 --> 1:07:26.320
<v Speaker 1>so you're like raban a purple right. Oh, but you're

1:07:26.360 --> 1:07:29.640
<v Speaker 1>only now going to be ever so slightly violent, so

1:07:29.680 --> 1:07:31.560
<v Speaker 1>they think they're going to vote for you. That's what

1:07:31.600 --> 1:07:34.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't understand, right, which is that it's not as

1:07:34.280 --> 1:07:35.160
<v Speaker 1>bad as it was.

1:07:35.520 --> 1:07:37.760
<v Speaker 2>Is never really a great tactic to win over a room.

1:07:37.920 --> 1:07:39.240
<v Speaker 1>But I want to go through a couple of other

1:07:39.440 --> 1:07:43.840
<v Speaker 1>things before we finish, including university places. Now, it seemed

1:07:44.000 --> 1:07:47.040
<v Speaker 1>that the treasurer was talking about even more people being

1:07:47.080 --> 1:07:50.400
<v Speaker 1>able to go to university. Now again, this is fine

1:07:50.680 --> 1:07:54.920
<v Speaker 1>if the university degree equals a qualification for a job.

1:07:55.160 --> 1:07:57.640
<v Speaker 1>That means you don't have to import another person from overseas.

1:07:57.880 --> 1:08:00.360
<v Speaker 1>But I'm not entirely sure that's what he said. Again,

1:08:00.560 --> 1:08:03.200
<v Speaker 1>let us decode tonight.

1:08:03.280 --> 1:08:06.080
<v Speaker 4>We're setting a national target of eight out of ten

1:08:06.160 --> 1:08:10.720
<v Speaker 4>workers achieving a tertiary qualification by twenty fifty, and we're

1:08:10.760 --> 1:08:12.840
<v Speaker 4>backing it in with new funding reforms.

1:08:13.200 --> 1:08:14.160
<v Speaker 2>To meet this goal.

1:08:15.000 --> 1:08:17.840
<v Speaker 4>We're investing three hundred and fifty million dollars for fee

1:08:17.920 --> 1:08:21.559
<v Speaker 4>free UNI ready courses. These courses give those who would

1:08:21.560 --> 1:08:24.120
<v Speaker 4>have missed out on studying a degree of foot in

1:08:24.160 --> 1:08:24.479
<v Speaker 4>the door.

1:08:25.240 --> 1:08:27.920
<v Speaker 1>Now in Finnis, tertiary education does also mean trades, but

1:08:27.960 --> 1:08:29.479
<v Speaker 1>that's not what his focus was.

1:08:29.600 --> 1:08:32.439
<v Speaker 11>Joe to code, No, I think that is actually his

1:08:33.200 --> 1:08:34.599
<v Speaker 11>that is very much part of his focus.

1:08:34.600 --> 1:08:37.080
<v Speaker 1>And they had a be ready which didn't say had

1:08:37.720 --> 1:08:38.120
<v Speaker 1>they had.

1:08:38.000 --> 1:08:38.639
<v Speaker 3>A big package.

1:08:38.680 --> 1:08:40.519
<v Speaker 11>Well, the Union, it is where a lot of the

1:08:40.600 --> 1:08:43.920
<v Speaker 11>new sort of high end high tech jobs or coming in.

1:08:44.080 --> 1:08:46.559
<v Speaker 3>So that's that's right, the STEM stuff. So it's going

1:08:46.560 --> 1:08:46.960
<v Speaker 3>to be that, and.

1:08:46.960 --> 1:08:49.040
<v Speaker 11>It's going to be the service. The service INDUS is

1:08:49.240 --> 1:08:51.400
<v Speaker 11>age care, childcare. That's where all the big demand is

1:08:51.479 --> 1:08:53.280
<v Speaker 11>going to be. But you know, people are going to

1:08:53.320 --> 1:08:56.640
<v Speaker 11>have to to use the unfortunate phrase of Hillary Clinton.

1:08:56.400 --> 1:09:01.000
<v Speaker 3>Learn to code. So thank god I'll be before that happens.

1:09:01.040 --> 1:09:05.280
<v Speaker 11>But so it is very much a focus on UNI,

1:09:05.320 --> 1:09:07.680
<v Speaker 11>it is very much focused on TAFE as well, and

1:09:07.800 --> 1:09:11.400
<v Speaker 11>Jason Claire is absolutely evangelical mission. I was shocked to

1:09:11.439 --> 1:09:14.160
<v Speaker 11>learn this, but the rate of people actually even just

1:09:14.200 --> 1:09:17.000
<v Speaker 11>getting to the end of high school has dropped by

1:09:17.080 --> 1:09:21.080
<v Speaker 11>about ten percent even more if you count, from about

1:09:21.360 --> 1:09:24.360
<v Speaker 11>eighty three percent in public schools to now seventy three

1:09:24.400 --> 1:09:26.840
<v Speaker 11>percent in public schools. So people aren't even getting their

1:09:27.000 --> 1:09:29.439
<v Speaker 11>HSC let alone getting into UNI. So to have eighty

1:09:29.479 --> 1:09:33.160
<v Speaker 11>percent of people actually get a tertiary qualification TAFE or UNI,

1:09:33.280 --> 1:09:36.400
<v Speaker 11>whatever it may be, is actually on top of that again,

1:09:36.400 --> 1:09:38.840
<v Speaker 11>because that's finishing year twelve and then going on further study,

1:09:38.880 --> 1:09:41.080
<v Speaker 11>and that is what people will need to do to

1:09:41.200 --> 1:09:44.200
<v Speaker 11>be job ready and to get those jobs. And that

1:09:44.360 --> 1:09:46.559
<v Speaker 11>is a real I can promise you that is a.

1:09:46.520 --> 1:09:48.360
<v Speaker 3>Really genuine man on a mission.

1:09:49.280 --> 1:09:51.120
<v Speaker 2>And look, I hope achieves that.

1:09:51.200 --> 1:09:54.839
<v Speaker 1>But Michael, isn't the reality too that we need builders

1:09:54.840 --> 1:09:57.720
<v Speaker 1>and electricians and welders and a whole bunch of other

1:09:57.720 --> 1:10:00.719
<v Speaker 1>people because the bigger the country gets, the more things

1:10:00.760 --> 1:10:01.360
<v Speaker 1>need to be built.

1:10:01.400 --> 1:10:03.400
<v Speaker 2>And you know, God forbid those.

1:10:03.280 --> 1:10:05.560
<v Speaker 1>Of us who don't have new houses need them renovated

1:10:05.600 --> 1:10:06.200
<v Speaker 1>and fixed up.

1:10:06.240 --> 1:10:09.040
<v Speaker 2>So to me, you know, labor always goes back.

1:10:08.880 --> 1:10:11.800
<v Speaker 1>To this university thing. And while Joe says that yes

1:10:11.800 --> 1:10:13.920
<v Speaker 1>there's detail there about Taife, I think if you're trying

1:10:13.920 --> 1:10:16.439
<v Speaker 1>to talk to normal Australia saying it's OK for your

1:10:16.520 --> 1:10:19.080
<v Speaker 1>kid to pick up a tool and we'll be more

1:10:19.160 --> 1:10:20.720
<v Speaker 1>than happy to back them in and will help them

1:10:20.760 --> 1:10:22.479
<v Speaker 1>do it because there's a good chance they'll be.

1:10:22.400 --> 1:10:24.240
<v Speaker 2>Eating more than the Prime minister at one point in

1:10:24.280 --> 1:10:24.639
<v Speaker 2>their look.

1:10:25.040 --> 1:10:29.800
<v Speaker 10>Maybe well, pre Whitlam, they didn't luck the university students

1:10:29.800 --> 1:10:32.559
<v Speaker 10>because they've hated liberal and the trade has voted labor.

1:10:32.640 --> 1:10:35.280
<v Speaker 10>After Whitlam, it's gone the other way. So all the

1:10:35.320 --> 1:10:37.840
<v Speaker 10>working class trade is a self employed et cetera tending

1:10:37.840 --> 1:10:42.240
<v Speaker 10>to vote for the Conservative Party, and all a majority

1:10:42.280 --> 1:10:45.759
<v Speaker 10>of the students attending to vote the terch for students

1:10:46.520 --> 1:10:48.880
<v Speaker 10>attending to vote for the Labor Party. So yeah, there

1:10:48.920 --> 1:10:53.200
<v Speaker 10>are it's a strange juxtaposition to hear a labor government

1:10:53.640 --> 1:10:56.680
<v Speaker 10>not championing, you know, the skills of those people that

1:10:56.680 --> 1:10:59.080
<v Speaker 10>can work with the hands. I mean, I wish i'd

1:10:59.840 --> 1:11:02.160
<v Speaker 10>be great with the hands of soul, you know, I

1:11:02.200 --> 1:11:04.559
<v Speaker 10>watch I watched carpenters at work and I had a

1:11:04.560 --> 1:11:06.040
<v Speaker 10>block around the other day. I was just in awe

1:11:06.120 --> 1:11:09.280
<v Speaker 10>of his skill. I mean, these joiners, these people that

1:11:09.360 --> 1:11:12.400
<v Speaker 10>can cut wood and fix it. These people are freaks.

1:11:12.400 --> 1:11:15.760
<v Speaker 10>They're geniuses, you know, much better smarter than you know,

1:11:16.080 --> 1:11:19.200
<v Speaker 10>lawyers that I used to be. These these guys are

1:11:19.240 --> 1:11:21.719
<v Speaker 10>you know, and women should be on pedestals. So labor,

1:11:21.920 --> 1:11:23.960
<v Speaker 10>labor seemed to you know, it's part of this what's

1:11:23.960 --> 1:11:26.280
<v Speaker 10>happened from the seventies onwards is sort of you know,

1:11:27.520 --> 1:11:29.360
<v Speaker 10>sort of you know, it's to be frowned upon. You know,

1:11:29.360 --> 1:11:31.280
<v Speaker 10>we're the working class. No, no, we're part of that.

1:11:31.479 --> 1:11:34.559
<v Speaker 10>Is labor morphed into this sort of whitlam, you know,

1:11:35.160 --> 1:11:38.519
<v Speaker 10>upper middle class, sort of upper class, inner city, woke

1:11:38.680 --> 1:11:41.320
<v Speaker 10>sort of world in a party set where you know

1:11:41.360 --> 1:11:45.000
<v Speaker 10>it's all about It's all about you know. They're the

1:11:45.000 --> 1:11:47.680
<v Speaker 10>people I mix with now Kate Blanchets, that mixed with

1:11:47.760 --> 1:11:49.840
<v Speaker 10>Kate and Guarant said, baby, we.

1:11:49.840 --> 1:11:50.080
<v Speaker 7>Call the.

1:11:51.800 --> 1:11:55.439
<v Speaker 3>Rest assured. Michael. Your concerns, I would be.

1:11:55.640 --> 1:11:58.040
<v Speaker 11>I've been working overtime to try to reverse that dread

1:11:58.240 --> 1:11:59.040
<v Speaker 11>but labor to it's great.

1:11:59.080 --> 1:11:59.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to just put a lot.

1:11:59.920 --> 1:12:02.280
<v Speaker 11>Of money into type fee free type to get those

1:12:02.280 --> 1:12:02.760
<v Speaker 11>skills up.

1:12:02.800 --> 1:12:03.920
<v Speaker 3>So it has really been doing it.

1:12:03.920 --> 1:12:04.479
<v Speaker 2>I got a jump.

1:12:04.479 --> 1:12:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Thank you guys doing it.

1:12:05.080 --> 1:12:05.840
<v Speaker 2>Wei shout it tonight.

1:12:05.960 --> 1:12:07.760
<v Speaker 1>I've got plenty more to say so on the other

1:12:07.800 --> 1:12:10.360
<v Speaker 1>side ahead of the late debate about five minutes away

1:12:10.360 --> 1:12:16.960
<v Speaker 1>here on Sky News. It is the privilege of a

1:12:17.000 --> 1:12:19.439
<v Speaker 1>lifetime to have this job. It is particular privilege each

1:12:19.439 --> 1:12:21.360
<v Speaker 1>and every year to be able to tell you exactly

1:12:21.360 --> 1:12:24.160
<v Speaker 1>what I think about the people in power and how

1:12:24.200 --> 1:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>they use your money. I appreciate being part of the

1:12:26.880 --> 1:12:29.240
<v Speaker 1>budget coverage here on Sky News and it continues now

1:12:29.320 --> 1:12:30.000
<v Speaker 1>with the late Debate