1 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: It's Wednesday, the twenty ninth of January twenty twenty five. 2 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed, 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 1: where we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: need to know in just five minutes. I'm Michael Thompson 5 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: and good morning Sean Aylmer. 6 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 2: Good morning Michael, Sean. 7 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: Five stories to get through in five minutes and story 8 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: number one as a whopper. The emergence of China based 9 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,600 Speaker 1: Deep Seek has sent tech stocks around the globe tumbling, 10 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,639 Speaker 1: with Leader and Video at one point losing close to 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,880 Speaker 1: one trillion dollars in value. That is the biggest loss 12 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:36,880 Speaker 1: in value terms ever by a company in just one session. 13 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 2: Deep Seak's AI Assistant is a chatbot to rival chat GPT. 14 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 2: It was the most downloaded app on Apple's iPhone store 15 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 2: on Monday. What's ged investors is that a China startup 16 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,519 Speaker 2: has caught up with American cut with American companies at 17 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 2: a fraction of the cost. If that's the case, then 18 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: has the vast amounts of money US tech companies have 19 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: spent on data centers and chips and ai actually been 20 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 2: worth it. The Chinese haven't got a better chip or 21 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: a better chatbot. It's just a much, much cheaper one. 22 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 2: It's also open source, free to use, so other developers 23 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 2: can jump on board. Significantly, it uses Nvidio chips to 24 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 2: train the system, but not as many as rivals such 25 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: as chat GPT. They're not even the highest performing chips. 26 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 2: If true, the world may not need as many nvideo chips, 27 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 2: hence the big sell off. Yesterday, and Vidia released a 28 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 2: statement saying deep Seak's work was an excellent AI advancement. 29 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 2: How to wrap this up, It's kind of like the 30 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 2: equivalent of why by tesla when a BYD will do. 31 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: China isn't as far behind in the tech arms race 32 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:35,119 Speaker 2: as the US thought. 33 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: So what's it mean then, sean for investment markets, that's 34 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: probably the big question. 35 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's booked them. I mean it's a bit unclear 36 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 2: exactly how the veracity of some of these reports. Clearly 37 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 2: it hit N Video shares hard. China can create a 38 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 2: chat GPT equivalent at a much lower cost, and we're 39 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 2: talking about a six million US dollar cost as opposed 40 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 2: to hundreds of billions of dollars. What else can they do? 41 00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 2: Are the big Wall Street tech companies really worth as 42 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 2: much as we thought? Do we need as many data centers? 43 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 2: Do we need as much energy as we thought? That 44 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 2: has a flows through to all sorts of sectors. Of course, 45 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: the magnificent text stocks are the big players in global investing. 46 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 2: Are they actually worth as much as we thought they were? 47 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 2: That's what we still got to find out. 48 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:18,920 Speaker 1: Okay, moving on to story number two. Now, Sean, it 49 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: is a big, big day today, I day, I suppose 50 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: we'll call it. With inflation figures due for release at 51 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 1: eleven thirty am. What are markets predicting will actually happen? 52 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 2: Well? The three year bond rate, which shows expectations of 53 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 2: interest rates on average over the next three years, hit 54 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 2: its lowest point in six weeks yesterday three point eight 55 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 2: two percent. In fact, bond markets reckon there's a sixty 56 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 2: eight percent chance of a rate cut next month, one 57 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 2: hundred percent chance by the end of April. The shock 58 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,239 Speaker 2: in the tech stocks that I've just talked about, that's 59 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 2: kind of helping this argument that the Reserve Bank needs 60 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: to cut rates. The figures are out late this morning. 61 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,240 Speaker 2: If we get half, if you get zero point five 62 00:02:56,280 --> 00:03:00,040 Speaker 2: percent quarterly underlying reading, well, a rate cut is on 63 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 2: point seven percent. Rate cuts off zero point six percent. 64 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 2: Well depends how you ask. 65 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: All right, story number three, The AFL sean would significantly 66 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: increase the amount of money it takes from wagering on 67 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: the sport under a proposal that its administrators have put 68 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: to the country's big bookmakers. 69 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: The AFL is negotiating with major gambling companies, including tab 70 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 2: Corps sports bet Entain on a deal that wouldn't allow 71 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: them to keep offering sports betting products in exchange for 72 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,239 Speaker 2: giving the sport a cut of the proceeds. According to 73 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 2: report in The fin Review, they're known as product fees. 74 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 2: It's pretty common across sports and bookmakers around the world. 75 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: The Australian Rugby League has an agreement so to the 76 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 2: A League the Australian Open Tennis. Now, the AFL makes 77 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 2: up to forty million dollars in product fees from bookmakers 78 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 2: every year, but it only gets point nine percent, not 79 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 2: one point five percent of turnover. What's a turnover, Well, 80 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: that's actually the book maker's turnover or total revenue. So 81 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 2: it wants to go from point nine to one point five. 82 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 2: At the moment, forty million NURL receives fifty million. Will 83 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 2: keep an eye on this story. 84 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: Indeed, we will. Story number four. Japan's Honda Motor Company 85 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: has set a target of capturing fifty percent of the 86 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: world's motorcycle market by twenty thirty. That's a lofty goal. 87 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 2: It certainly is. They say sixty million units will be 88 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 2: sold by twenty thirty. That's electric and petrol. Currently, Honda 89 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 2: sells about twenty million a year, which is about forty 90 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 2: percent of the market. Wants to get to fifty percent 91 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 2: of the market. Their focus is on India, Indonesia, Philippines, Brazil. 92 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 2: It hopes to have thirty E models globally by twenty thirty. 93 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 2: It wants to sell four million e bikes. Not a 94 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 2: motorbike rider myself, but I reckon half the fun of 95 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: a motorbike is the noise. I don't think an E 96 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 2: bike's going to give. 97 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: Me that, you know, looking for a hum there, Sean, 98 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 1: just no, no ray not The story number five is 99 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: an early contender for my favorite story of the week. 100 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 1: Sean a prototype of a passenger jet meant to succeed. 101 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: The concord was due to attempt to break the sound 102 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 1: barrier for the first time overnight. That's more than one 103 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: two hundred and forty kilometers per hour. That is quick. 104 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 2: Boom is the company. It's supersonic XB one demonstrator was 105 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 2: due to exceed the barrier in a series of four 106 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 2: minute runs above the Mahave Desert in California. The US 107 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: firm hopes it will pave the way for the introduction 108 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 2: of passenger services early next decade. According to the Telegraph 109 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 2: of London, what I thought was pretty cool. Michael Boom's 110 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 2: jet was flying in the same airspace where Chuck Jaeger 111 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 2: became the first person to exceed the speed of sound 112 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 2: back in nineteen forty seven. Last Night's plane is one 113 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 2: third size of Boom's potential passenger jet, which when manufactured, 114 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 2: will carry about sixty five passengers, cost around four hundred 115 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 2: million dollars and get people from point A to B 116 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:40,599 Speaker 2: very very quickly. 117 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 1: That is a great story that one sean. There we 118 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 1: go the top five business stories in five minutes. 119 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:46,719 Speaker 2: Thank you very much, Thank you, Michael. 120 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: It is Wednesday, the twenty ninth of January twenty twenty five. 121 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: Remember to hit follow on the podcast, and if five 122 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: minutes isn't enough, you can find our longer daily show 123 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: called Fear and Greed wherever you listen to podcasts. I'm 124 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and that was the Fast five Business Sneeze 125 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: by Fear and Great. Have a great day.