1 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm 2 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: James Kirby, the World editor at The Australian. Welcome aboard everybody. 3 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: You do know that we have a budget coming up 4 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: in March March twenty five. Most people don't realize. They 5 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: expect the budget to be of course in May, but 6 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: because it's an election year, we have a pre election 7 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 1: budget penciled in from March twenty five and then we 8 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:39,159 Speaker 1: will have an election. Not only is there a budget 9 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: coming up sooner than you might have expected, but of 10 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 1: course we are going to have something of a giveaway budget. 11 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 1: We're pretty certain about that because that's the nature of 12 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 1: election era or election time budgets, especially when you have 13 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: an incumbent administration. Also, interestingly, of course we'll have a 14 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: new regime in our world. That is that Jim Charmers 15 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: will remain treasure, but it's goodbye. Stephen Jones, who was 16 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: Financial Services Minister and tried a lot of that rather 17 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 1: difficult parliamentary initiatives, such as they're trying to bring in 18 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 1: originally trying to bring in the super tax in its 19 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 1: original form. He also had a lot of issues with 20 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: the Big industry funds and Seeva's sort of running a 21 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: mock last in twenty twenty four, So that is a 22 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: very difficult job, to be honest, And then people say, oh, 23 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: Stephen Jones, you know he was a terrible financial services minister. 24 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: They say the same thing about Jane Hume. They said 25 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: the same thing about everyone I can ever remember. In 26 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: that job. It's a really hard job because the treasurer 27 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 1: gets to basically get all the glamour, and the Financial 28 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: Services minister, who was also in charge of super gets 29 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: to basically front up to all the difficult press conferences 30 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 1: and do a lot of really tough stuff behind the scenes. 31 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: So in my experience, that particular post is something of 32 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: a hospital pass politically, So keep that in mind in 33 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: any event, Budget's coming, What could we expect this time round? 34 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: And a few other things I want to talk to 35 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: do too about today. The ideal person, of course, is 36 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: my favorite budget guest and joins me every year for 37 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: the budget specially it's Will Hamilton of Hamilton with Partners. 38 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: How are you will very well? James? How are you? 39 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: Thank you for having me? 40 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 1: You all ready for March twenty five? You're ready to 41 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 1: do a mark? We have never done a March budget, 42 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: have we. We've had some funny ones in COVID. But yeah, 43 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 1: in fact, that whole thing about the federal budget always 44 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: being in first Tuesday in May has sort of been 45 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: sort of knocked around a lot this last year or two. 46 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:44,079 Speaker 1: But what in your world? I don't really want to 47 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: talk about this macro situation, you know, are we in 48 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 1: what's the situation? Are we in the radar or whatever, 49 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: et cetera. I'm thinking more in terms of measures. Is 50 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: there for investors? Is there any aspect that they should 51 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: keep an eye on? Do you think of this looming budget. 52 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 2: I don't think there's any nasties that people need to 53 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 2: be looking out for. The governments do not take away 54 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 2: during an election. Budget so as simple as that, So 55 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 2: increase taxes or introduce new taxes, or look at ways 56 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: I'm restricting what people can do, so I don't think 57 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 2: they'll be that, but be prepared just for's some window 58 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 2: dressing on the expenditure side, so extension of things like 59 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: the redbait on electricity and things like that. I really 60 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 2: think it's going to be a bit of a yawn, 61 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 2: But if anything, there will be a few goodies rather 62 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 2: than nasties here. 63 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: I never I take that attitude going into a budget, Will, 64 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you something without naming names. There are 65 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: people who go into the budget and they have decided 66 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: what they're going to do and what they're going to 67 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: write and what they're going to say before they go in. 68 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: I don't do that. I'm very old fashioned, and I 69 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: don't look at the press releases either for what it's worth. 70 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: I actually look at the budget measures and the budget 71 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: papers and I go through them systematically, and it is labor. 72 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: Let me tell you, it's hard work because these days, folks, 73 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: it's on a PDF. It's like a two hundred and 74 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: sixty page PDF, and you're locked in there for six 75 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: hours reading this pdf. But if you do dig in, 76 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: and if you are if you know how to read 77 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: those budget papers, there's always interesting things in there question 78 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: of finding them. One of the things I was thinking, Will, was, 79 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: you know, they did one very smart. I think it 80 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: was very smart how they cut personal taxes and then 81 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 1: how they got a second ring of the belt by 82 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: basically moving the by enhancing taxes in the middle brackets 83 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: and reneging on promises for higher salary tax cuts. They 84 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 1: did that in this in the recent times, and politically 85 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: I might be wrong, but I have a feeling that 86 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 1: might have been one of the smartest things that they 87 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,799 Speaker 1: have done in their entire time in this is the Abbot, 88 00:04:56,080 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 1: This is the Abbot, the Albans administry and the Chalmers administration. 89 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: It's interesting. I'm thinking of Chalmers and I'm thinking of 90 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,679 Speaker 1: a line he said in a profile recent He already 91 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 1: said I'm the treasure that Albanizi needs. And I said 92 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: to myself, that is a devilishly ambiguous line. What on 93 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:18,240 Speaker 1: earth does that really mean? What does that really mean? 94 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,040 Speaker 1: But we'll assume Chalmers is there, We'll assume he's in 95 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: this our same state of mind. Do you think that 96 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: in the way of giving out goodies as opposed to nasties, 97 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: which we can sort of assume is a theme of 98 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: this election, is there anything we might see on that? 99 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 1: So I do think is there anything you're hearing in 100 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: your world that people are braced. 101 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,479 Speaker 2: For not hearing now? And I think it's going to 102 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,039 Speaker 2: be a bit of a nothing, because we've also got 103 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: to remember that there are macro implications if they go 104 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 2: out handing out too much and you're going to bring 105 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 2: inflation back under focus again and therefore interest rates and 106 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: they're going to want to avoid that discussion. So there'll 107 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 2: be something here, is something there. I think the big 108 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 2: thing is post the election, and because I think it's 109 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: odds on that we're going to have a minority government. 110 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 2: I'm not saying which side because I think that's too 111 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:07,920 Speaker 2: difficult to predict, but. 112 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 1: As a financial operator, which would you regard as more difficult, 113 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,799 Speaker 1: this administration or a minority government? 114 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, no one likes minority governments because yeah, there's 115 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: been a difficult government with respectors of working in air industry. 116 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 2: But I think that if they're going into negotiations, you 117 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 2: just need to be very aware of what the other 118 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 2: side could be looking for. If they're looking into a 119 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:36,840 Speaker 2: minor minority government, So. 120 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: Are you assuming a labor minority government, a labor led 121 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 1: minority government. 122 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 2: Or if it's coalition, you know they'll be they'll be 123 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 2: negotiating with a handful of teals. 124 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: So that's right, a handful of teals. That's assuming there's 125 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: any teals left. It would be very interesting to see. 126 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: It would be very interesting to see, all right. And 127 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: I don't mean to be facetious there. I really don't. 128 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: But some of the you know, got in a very 129 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: slim margin, and you know it would be difficult to 130 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: get in again. I would think, all right, okay, now, also, 131 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: will I want something I just wanted to bring before 132 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: we go to the break. I wanted to ask you 133 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: one quick thing, which is and this is a totally 134 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 1: different subject, folks, it's about term deposits. 135 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:22,679 Speaker 2: We are. 136 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 1: In the era now of where rates have peaked and 137 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: their due to decline, and we all talk about how 138 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: decline with repeated cuts we hope in the future. So 139 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: we've all talked about that in terms of investment in 140 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: how its stokes investment. What about term deposits. You were 141 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: skeptical about sort of returns people were getting in any 142 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: event up to now. But what do you suggest to 143 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: people as term deposit rates inevitably start to get cut 144 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: in the backs of doing it already? 145 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 2: While as skeptical as we were saying, a lot of 146 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 2: people at the end of twenty three lock in five 147 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 2: percent two days, and they were going out as far 148 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 2: as six months because you could, you know, people could 149 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 2: could lock that in at that stage, and some people 150 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 2: thought getting five percent was fantastic. Yeah, it's rest free. 151 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 1: Well, it's government guaranteed risk free. 152 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,119 Speaker 2: I understand that, and you should always balance and looking 153 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:22,640 Speaker 2: at balancing risk and return and asset allocation and with 154 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: which we do and we think that's very important. But 155 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: by putting one hundred percent in two days at five percent, 156 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 2: I thought that was a bit silly. And yeah, when 157 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 2: you've seen the market rally since October twenty two, the 158 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 2: US market and US dollar terms, and I understand the 159 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 2: strand dollars gone down seventy percent versus you would have 160 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:43,359 Speaker 2: picked up approximately thirteen percent totally in returns in tds. 161 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 2: That's why asset allocation, that's why looking beyond just one 162 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 2: asset class, be at astrain equities as well. The fact 163 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 2: is you do need to diversify, you need to take 164 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 2: into account risk and I think that's very important. 165 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, all right, very good. All right, Well 166 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: take short break, folks, and we'll be back in one moment. Hello, 167 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: Welcome back to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm James 168 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:17,959 Speaker 1: Kerry talking to Will Hamilton, regular on the show. Hey, 169 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: well you mentioned I just want to clarify, but what 170 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 1: you were talking about there before the break about the 171 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: diversification and keeping things balanced, and you were skeptical about 172 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: five percent that basically what you're saying is five percent 173 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: is not as good as it sounds when you've got 174 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: inflation of whatever two and a half, et cetera. And 175 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 1: then you were saying about balance. Is there a risk 176 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 1: I haven't put this to anyone on the show, but 177 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 1: is there a risk that many of our listeners who 178 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: did listen to us all through the year, who did diversify, 179 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: who did actively diversify into US shares, particularly through ATFS 180 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: or whatever, that they are now out of balance because 181 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: they are equities and their shares and their American shares 182 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 1: particularly have surged and they've blown out. So as a 183 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: part of the pie, they've become not dangerously big, but 184 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: bigger than they were supposed to be. 185 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 2: Absolutely, so we are reviewing a strategic acid allocation at 186 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 2: the moment. 187 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: Now. 188 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 2: We do that. We look annually at what the long 189 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 2: term forecasts are. And you know the fact is that 190 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 2: US shares, global shares, but in particular US shares have 191 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 2: had a very very strong two and a big years. 192 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 2: The US is at a record level of its waiting 193 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 2: in the organ Stanley Capital Index AQUISO or country World 194 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 2: Index ex Australia, So that's the other thing that you 195 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: need to take into account. I do think that we 196 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 2: have an administration in the United States that is going 197 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 2: to be is definitely pro growth. But after two and 198 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 2: a big years of stellar growth performance in the US market, 199 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 2: don't expect to see another very strong year. I think 200 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 2: we're going to get a good year, but it's going 201 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 2: to be very bumpy. But the reason why you invest 202 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 2: in equities is for growth, and too many people invest 203 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: in the Australian market for dividends or income. And it's 204 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 2: interesting that the fact is there's been a lot written 205 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 2: about the decline in the size of the ASEC, as 206 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 2: there also has been in the UK. Yeah, and you 207 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 2: square Peg, for instance, when they came out with their 208 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 2: their announcements to the results at the end of thirty 209 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 2: first of December, said that. 210 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 1: If we just square Peg a square bigs. 211 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 2: Aventure capital company run by Pelbast but it's very widely 212 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 2: supported out there in the market. And they were sort 213 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 2: of talking about two of their investments in Fund one, 214 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 2: not Fund zero, which has got canvas in it. Fund 215 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 2: one rocked and air Wallocks of looking to monetize those 216 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 2: and they're looking at their full potential potential listings and 217 00:11:55,920 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 2: they're discussing Nasdaq. Like Atlasian didn't come on the AX, 218 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: it went to Narsdeck. Australian companies and they're looking at 219 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 2: they're looking at nas Deck as well. So people were 220 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 2: these growth companies, they're overlooking the AX and they're looking 221 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 2: at nars Deck. 222 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: That's a shame, isn't it. And then that's probably how 223 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: it's going to go. And you can see why that's 224 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: a problem all around the world. By the way, it's 225 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,199 Speaker 1: a problem all around the World's problem in London, it's 226 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 1: a problem in Dublin. It's a problem in some of 227 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,719 Speaker 1: the European exchanges. It's a problem in Hong Kong. This 228 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: sort of everything, well, as you say, will if seventy 229 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: percent of shares are in the US, it becomes self perpetuating. 230 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: Why would you list in your regional market when you 231 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 1: can go straight to the US. You mentioned too there. 232 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 1: I don't want to go too deep into that, but 233 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 1: one was Rocket. Now that's linked with the guy that 234 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 1: ran jet Star one time, isn't it, Bruce? And now 235 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 1: this is rocked RKT or OKT. What was the other company, 236 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 1: air well X air Warlex. Yes so too, the sort 237 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: of high growth unlisted companies the point being, folks, But 238 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:04,320 Speaker 1: is that the sort of hottest companies along with Canvas, 239 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 1: sort of big name unlisted companies that are sort of 240 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: great hopes of the local economy just now all talking 241 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: about going directly to the US to list. So what 242 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: does that mean for the ESX Because if they keep 243 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 1: getting big takeovers like Insignia and Sydney Airport and New 244 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 1: Crest and they don't get the new IPOs, then guess 245 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 1: what it shrinks and shrinks into a very small exchange. Okay, 246 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: one last thing, will does Everyone's had a crack at 247 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: this private credit. Liam Short was on the show. He 248 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: more or less said, don't touch it. Other people have 249 00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: more balanced because they say, oh look there's good and 250 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: there's bad in there. I wonder I just saw something 251 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:46,719 Speaker 1: this morning. I wanted to tell you this. I want 252 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 1: to have you heard of Hamilton Lane them being the 253 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 1: other they're the other financial advisors, but people don't know 254 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: them like they know you. Because Hamilton Nane is very 255 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 1: big and it's listed on the Nasdaq, which is an 256 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: interesting thing for a financial advice network to do. The 257 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: only reason I mentioned them is because they put out 258 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: a survey this morning. It says nearly one third of 259 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: financial advisors plan to alley case one fifth or more 260 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 1: of client portfolios to private markets in twenty twenty five. 261 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:18,079 Speaker 1: Now think about that. So we can't We've got to 262 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:21,119 Speaker 1: be very careful here about what we call private investing 263 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: on listed investing, and we have to separate the good 264 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: from the bad, and we have to separate private credit 265 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: from private equity, et cetera. But if I may, will 266 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: just on that single issue of private credits, which is 267 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: what's been put in front of many investors by their advisors, 268 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 1: and there's more of it to come. If these guys 269 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: are talking about this sort of level, what do you 270 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: say to people who have no experience of this area 271 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 1: if they are, if their advisor or an advertisement or 272 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:53,280 Speaker 1: anyone else puts it in front of them, what's your recommendation? 273 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 2: Know what you're doing. That's the first thing. Don't just 274 00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 2: take it because you broke is offering it. Remember, they 275 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: get a stamping fee. I think that you need to 276 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 2: ensure that even within indiversified credit or private credit. Week. Yes, 277 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 2: we've looked at it. We've supported a firm ten eleven, twelve, 278 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 2: ye or something like that. However, you know, we have 279 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 2: decreased property. We decreased that in October twenty two. We 280 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 2: decrease it again this month, whilst the liquidity is there, 281 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,240 Speaker 2: and I think that's a big thing. Look at the 282 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 2: liquidity and it's amazing. We've seen a lot of new 283 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 2: clients in the last month or so, and some of 284 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 2: them are with existing providers and then they say, oh, 285 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 2: but I'm in this fund and I'm locked up. And 286 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 2: it was a good thing at the time. They're sort 287 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 2: of not happy due to one or two other reasons. 288 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 2: They're looking to move and now they've got buyers remorse 289 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 2: because of the illiquidity of some of these funds. So 290 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 2: make sure you understand one hundred percent what you're investing 291 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 2: in and and the dispersion in the quality. You know, 292 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 2: even in the property sector between a tier one manager 293 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 2: and there's some really good ones, but there's also some 294 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 2: that yeah, I've just decided, well, property is running, Property 295 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 2: debts running, so I'm going into that will avoid them 296 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 2: like the plague or mezzanine debt. You know that there's 297 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 2: a story of one manager having to walk into a 298 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: project and the mesa has been written off and so 299 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 2: that's one hundred cents in the dollars. So suddenly you've 300 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 2: invested in the second tier debt and you've lost one 301 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 2: hundred percent of what you invested in. 302 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: So I think, folks, it's hard to go too deep here. 303 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: But a private credit it's fine for someone like Will 304 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 1: who went in ten years ago, who knows that area, 305 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 1: who knows who's who, and you know, who knows who 306 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 1: are the good ones and who are the bad ones. 307 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: And unfortunately there's not sort of one shop shop on 308 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 1: the internet where you can just have a look up 309 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 1: and say, well, who's good in private credit and who's bad? 310 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 1: What you can do? What you can do, I think 311 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: very usefully is keep an eye on financial media like ourselves, 312 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 1: the Australian or any other publications which are covering the area, 313 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: because there are incidents every other week of private credit 314 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 1: managers having to go in and take over projects of 315 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,200 Speaker 1: there's no way that they want to take over these projects. 316 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: That was not what their business is. Is just quickly 317 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 1: realized that. Did that rattle you? What's going on? These 318 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 1: stories we're seeing of private credit managers having to basically 319 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 1: take over property properties and try and sell them. Which 320 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 1: is that. I'm sure that's that is. They will tell 321 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: you it's all normal. I wouldn't like to hear that 322 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 1: if I had a fund. 323 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, first of all, if one of the things 324 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 2: we do is we want to know about the recovery process. 325 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:33,439 Speaker 2: So when we're when we're looking at a manager, so 326 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 2: how have they reacted? Have have they gone? What's the track record? 327 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 2: And never believe if a fund manager says to you 328 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 2: have never had a default, run. 329 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: Right, ask that's a very simple question. Then pick up 330 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 1: the phone. Just ask him one thing. Have you had faults? 331 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,120 Speaker 1: What were they? How did how did how did? How 332 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 1: did you deal with them? If they've never had one? 333 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 1: At such a good point, will I'll just close on that. 334 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,959 Speaker 1: I remember a very similar thing. I was on the 335 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:03,640 Speaker 1: board of a super fund once upon a time relating 336 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:07,680 Speaker 1: to a large newspaper group. I was like the very 337 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,199 Speaker 1: young I was just I was reporter. I want on it. 338 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:11,879 Speaker 1: I went down it for experience and I was like 339 00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: the worker rapp or whatever, and was that hedge funds 340 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 1: were just coming in, Yes, I think it was hedge funds, 341 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,440 Speaker 1: and they were all the rage. So this is going 342 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 1: back twenty years ago and someone came in and they 343 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 1: were launing theres Someone who was used to fund, was 344 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,719 Speaker 1: friends with, who had done other business with them, came 345 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 1: in and they were launching a head fund and there 346 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 1: was a long presentation about this hedge fund. And I 347 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 1: remember asking have you ever launched a hedge fund before? 348 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 1: Is this new to you? And they said no, we 349 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 1: haven't done one before. This is our first. I remember thinking, 350 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 1: I will say anything now, but when these guys go, 351 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 1: I'm just going to say, why on earth would you 352 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 1: go with someone who hasn't any experience when there's plenty 353 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:54,199 Speaker 1: who do. Okay, we will leave that tangled not to 354 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: one side for the moment and we will take a break. 355 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: I'll be back with some great questions. Hello, Welcome back 356 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm James Kirby talking 357 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: to Will Hamilton. Now, Will really good questions here. I'll 358 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 1: read the first one from Simeon and that's not Simon. 359 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: It's Simeon who sent a piece which was an article 360 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: and it says this article talks about pension fund exposure 361 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 1: to China and the difficulty they are having selling their 362 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: China acquisitions due to China's slowing economy and restrictive government policy. 363 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 1: I was wondering the extent to which Australian super funds 364 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: are exposed to China. Okay, Simeon, I'm just going to 365 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: break down that question and try and make it a 366 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:45,479 Speaker 1: bit more feasible for Will to answer. I mean, the 367 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: exposure to China from super funds comes in a million guises. 368 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,360 Speaker 1: I mean, if you had shares in Fortescue, well, you'd 369 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 1: have big exposure to China, right because that's their main business, 370 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,719 Speaker 1: shipping our north to China. So it comes in different guyses. 371 00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 1: But this very specific exposure in relation to pension big 372 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 1: pension funds going into China and having difficulty. To be honest, 373 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,399 Speaker 1: I can only tell you about the news right that 374 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:18,960 Speaker 1: I'm across, and last year several very large Australian pension funds, 375 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: among the biggest in the country that we all know, 376 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 1: the top five, several of them had big problems, big 377 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,239 Speaker 1: write offs. But it wasn't in China. It was in 378 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 1: the US smack in the middle of the main game. 379 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:35,919 Speaker 1: I haven't really seen any chakras out of China, have you? 380 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 2: Will not since Yeah, the Evergreen. 381 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:42,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, which was ago more. 382 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's going to take an index approach depending 383 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 2: on risk. The risk profile. Emerging markets is going to 384 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:53,640 Speaker 2: be six to eight percent of the total portfolio. China's 385 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,160 Speaker 2: thirty six thirty seven percent of them index, so you're 386 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 2: looking at probably two point seven to five to three 387 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 2: and a half percent probably index. Yeah, they're therefore total 388 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 2: exposure if they're at index. But a lot of a 389 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 2: lot of fund managers and they're and also the industry funds, 390 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 2: they're taking a negative view on China and an underweight 391 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:25,399 Speaker 2: view on China. So the exposure to China will be 392 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 2: I would say, significantly less than that. 393 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: Okay, that's interesting, And of course that was an international piece, Simeon. 394 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 1: And it would seem that our particular large pension funds 395 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 1: are not in terms of exposure in any way over exposed. 396 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 1: It would seem on that front. Rather that's an international problem. Okay, 397 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 1: hopefully that's useful to you. Can you see a question 398 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 1: from Tina? 399 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 2: I can. So I'm reading that property trusts A rates 400 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 2: are ready to rebound, especially if we have rate cuts. 401 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,320 Speaker 2: What do you think, Well, Tina, they're up fifty cent 402 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:00,920 Speaker 2: last year. 403 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,120 Speaker 1: So oh they really it was the sector the sub 404 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 1: industries was a fifty percent. 405 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 2: Really, so forty percent of the RADI index approximately is 406 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,720 Speaker 2: the Goodman Group. Oh, which is why they bounced me 407 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 2: on data centers, et cetera. So they've probably been bashed 408 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 2: around in the last twenty four to forty eight hours. Yeah, 409 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 2: that's exactly what happened. That a rates often look ahead. 410 00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,040 Speaker 2: They are liquid, remember, and so a lot of property 411 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 2: has been illiquid. Well, a lot of property is a 412 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 2: liquid and therefore people were looking ahead and that the 413 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,159 Speaker 2: next moving interest rates was down and that sector has 414 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:36,240 Speaker 2: run and it's run hard. 415 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: It's interconnectivity in some ways, it's kind of it's really 416 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:45,119 Speaker 1: it becomes ludicrous, doesn't it that the Goodman Group is 417 00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 1: a property trust in Australia were sold off midweek because 418 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,199 Speaker 1: the Chinese startup that no one had heard of some 419 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,639 Speaker 1: days ago. I'm sorry, not midweek, but if you remember 420 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: in at the very end of January, the Deep Seek 421 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: sell off, which was a Chinese startup that no one 422 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 1: had heard of, triggered a sell off because they seem 423 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: to challenge in Nvidia, and that triggered a sell off 424 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,359 Speaker 1: on a day not a huge sell off, but a 425 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 1: sell off in Goodman Group, which is the leading property 426 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 1: to us in Australia. So properties in Australia were downgraded 427 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 1: on the back of a Chinese startup that no one 428 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 1: ever heard of, suggesting and promising that they had taken 429 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 1: on in Vidia, a stock that no one had ever 430 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: heard of a few years ago but was briefly the 431 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 1: biggest stock in the world. That is what you call 432 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: interconnectivity at its barmeest Okay, last question from Mick, something 433 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:40,199 Speaker 1: I haven't been able to find a clear answer to. 434 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 1: I know the family home is exempt from the age 435 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: pension test in regards to pension eligibility, but due to 436 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 1: high house prices, my wife and I haven't been able 437 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,879 Speaker 1: to purchase in Sydney and we're looking at retiring abroad. 438 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: This is really interesting. Some are more affordable, most likely Italy. 439 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,960 Speaker 1: Is an owner occupied home that is located overseas still 440 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 1: considered exempt from the asset test if it is the 441 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 1: only property owned and it has been used as our 442 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 1: principal praise of residence. This is never advice, Mick, to 443 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 1: all the mix in the world out there who might 444 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 1: be thinking of moving from Australia. To your little Tuscan 445 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:22,359 Speaker 1: farmyard with your lasagna on the terrace. The question is 446 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 1: is your house and it may not Besily, Oh, it 447 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: could be Bali, it could be anywhere. It could be Vietnam. 448 00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 1: Is your house is still is your host exempt? I 449 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: have an over feeling it mightn't be. Have you any idea? 450 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 2: Well again I doubt it as well, But I think 451 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 2: what you've got to do is there are other It's 452 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,679 Speaker 2: not straightforward and what's happening in Europe at the moment, 453 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 2: especially with the state taxes and duties and changes in 454 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 2: government and the whole non dom, which is if you 455 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 2: live in a country and you have assets elsewhere, you 456 00:24:53,800 --> 00:25:00,119 Speaker 2: do need to get some very careful and detailed the 457 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 2: planning advice and texas because you, yeah, unfortunately one of 458 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 2: the things that is absolutely sure as we all die 459 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 2: or a state may become the property of the Italian government, So. 460 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 1: Very careful on that to making anyone else thinking about that. 461 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: And one an other. Sorry we didn't give you a 462 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 1: clear answer on that. We didn't give you clear answer 463 00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 1: on that because that is a very complicated question that 464 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:28,440 Speaker 1: unfortunately sometimes we can answer these, but not that one. 465 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: We don't know enough for a start about the whole situation. 466 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 1: But one thing I would add is that many older 467 00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: Australians I have discovered as they get older or whatever, 468 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 1: whether they're buying property overseas or spending time overseas maybe 469 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,000 Speaker 1: a month a year or whatever you like to do 470 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,400 Speaker 1: that increasingly as you get older you can't get insurance, 471 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:52,120 Speaker 1: and health insurance is particularly difficult. But there are particular 472 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 1: countries where there is reciprocal arrangements. Greece is one, and 473 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,840 Speaker 1: almost such initially is another, so are the UK and 474 00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: I And that is something that's really worth checking. If 475 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 1: you were thinking about as an older person moving overseas 476 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 1: or living there, check out whether there's reciprocal health arrangements. 477 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 1: That's really important because if there is, it's terrific, right, 478 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 1: so you're going to end up in hospital more often 479 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 1: than when you were younger. And if the country has 480 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 1: that's important as to whether you can be exempt from 481 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,360 Speaker 1: the age pension. I know there's there's days, isn't there's 482 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: so many days you can be overseas. You can't be 483 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:28,199 Speaker 1: overseas permanently. 484 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 2: Whether you then become correct, do you become a well, 485 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,840 Speaker 2: that's when the whole state tax thing also further kicks in. 486 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 2: So it's a really really it's really complex, and there's 487 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 2: set there's specialist lawyers and accountants in yeah, therese international 488 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:50,159 Speaker 2: matters and you're really I would get some very good advice, okay. 489 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 1: And there is a thing about how many days you 490 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,119 Speaker 1: are overseas and how many days you can be to 491 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 1: retain pension and pension entitlements and arrangements that I imagine would 492 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:01,640 Speaker 1: be pivotal for Mick and any thinking along those lines. Okay, 493 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:05,719 Speaker 1: but interesting question. We would like to come back to it. 494 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:08,760 Speaker 1: Maybe we got even more clarification on it than we 495 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 1: could have a better crack at answering it. Okay. Thank you, Mick, 496 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: Tina and Simeon, and thank you Will Hamilton. Great to 497 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:16,000 Speaker 1: talk to you. 498 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:18,159 Speaker 2: You're welcome, games, thanks for having me. 499 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,920 Speaker 1: We'll be by the time we get to the budget 500 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,680 Speaker 1: on the twenty fifth of March, we will be right 501 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,680 Speaker 1: up there and tuned up big time by the time 502 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,880 Speaker 1: we sit down together to do the Budget podcast. One 503 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,160 Speaker 1: of the favorites of the year. Okay, that was Will Hamilton. Well, partners, 504 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,639 Speaker 1: thank you very much for listening. Let's have some emails. 505 00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 1: The money puzzle at the Australian dot com DOTU. Today's 506 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,160 Speaker 1: show was produced by Leah Sammaglu. Talk to you Soon,