1 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: This is what the flux. 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 2: I'm Brett and I'm Justin and it's Monday the seventh. 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 1: Today, Pril Juzzy boy, it is tariff, central, left, right 4 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:16,119 Speaker 1: and the center. Now companies and investors are cleaning up 5 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: the mess from Liberation Day. In fact, last week, nearly 6 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: four trillion dollars was wiped from the NASDAQ one hundreds 7 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: and that's the biggest drop since twenty twenty. 8 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: We know what happened then, b Man Fox am March 9 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 2: on the ASEX was not a pretty month. It dropped 10 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 2: more than four percent, but there were still four companies 11 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 2: that saw their share price jump more than ten percent. 12 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,319 Speaker 2: And interestingly, there is one particular industry that dominated. We've 13 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: got it all covered in the Flux at this month, 14 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 2: So if you want to learn which industry outperform the rest, 15 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 2: make sure to check out and the Fox out. 16 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 1: Three spectacular stories today, Juzzy boy, let's do it for 17 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 1: our first. The owner of KFC stores in Australia, Collins Foods, 18 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: has seen it shares drop nearly three percent, as Trump's 19 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: tariffs might result in more beef eaters in Australia. 20 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 2: US politics actually changing how we pick up fast food 21 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 2: meals now b man anymore? 22 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: Well, Colin's Foods is the ASX listed restaurant operator that 23 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: runs KFC and Taco Bell restaurants. 24 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 2: We'd be talking more than two hundred and seventy five 25 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: kfsa's in Australia, sixteen in Germany, fifty six in the Netherlands. 26 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,119 Speaker 1: Don't you dare forget those twenty seven Taco bells. Juzzy 27 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 1: Boy irrelevant? 28 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,279 Speaker 2: Now me man. We know that Donald J. Trump whacked 29 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: a ten percent tariff on Australian goods, including beef exports, 30 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 2: and now the share price of Colin's Foods has dropped 31 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 2: nearly three percent. Interesting. Colin's Foods does chickens? How does 32 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 2: that wear well? 33 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: With Australian beef looking likely to become more expensive in 34 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: the US, Australian beef producers are looking likely to sell 35 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: beef domestically instead, and at more competitive prices. 36 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 2: Think two for one whoppers two dollars quarter pounders. It 37 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 2: is a burger bonanza. 38 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: And Juzzy Boy this aimed fingerlicking good use for Colin's 39 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: Foods investors. 40 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 2: No, they're more than a little worried about a price 41 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 2: war between fried chicken and burger. 42 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: Chains, and this could hurt the profit margins of fried 43 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: chicken big time. 44 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 2: Yep, So what is the key leading here? 45 00:01:55,800 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: When a major export destination becomes less attractive, supply often 46 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: shifts back to a domestic market. 47 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 2: Get this, bee Man. In twenty twenty four alone, nearly 48 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,359 Speaker 2: thirty percent of Australian beef exports were headed to the US. 49 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: And with a ten percent tariff on these exports, it 50 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 1: could lead to a sharp reduction in demand from the 51 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 1: US and. 52 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: A sharp reduction in the profit margin for Australian beef producers. Ultimately, 53 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 2: leading beef produces selling it cheaper locally. 54 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: Now, that's a win for burger chains like McDonald's and 55 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: Hungry Jacks, which may benefit from lower beef costs. 56 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 2: But for chicken centric businesses like Collins Foods, it's a 57 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 2: different story. 58 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: You see, approximately ninety five percent of Australia's chicken is 59 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: consumed domestically. 60 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: So the poultry industry's cost structures are already set up 61 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:40,679 Speaker 2: for the Australian market. 62 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 1: And they aren't set up for a trade war against 63 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: the big producers of beef. 64 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 2: So be Man. That means a switch from a Zingerberger 65 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: to a quarter pounder burger might become even more appealing. 66 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: For our second story, Nike has seen at share price 67 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: plummet after Donald Trump's new tariff on Vietnamese imports. 68 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: Jeez, just as Nike was limping already, be Man not 69 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 2: what they need right now, So tell me more. 70 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: Well, Josey boy, we know that DJT whacked tariffs on 71 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: more than ninety countries around the world on Thursday. 72 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: Kind of felt like he was picking names out of 73 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: a hat with his eyes closed. 74 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: Some countries, like Australia in the UK were hit with 75 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: ten percent standard tariffs. 76 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 2: While other countries were hit with much bigger tariffs, including Vietnam, 77 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: which was whacked with a forty six percent of tariff. 78 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: But now, Josey boy, Nike has seen its share price 79 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: tumble six percent after this big news. 80 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 2: That's because Nike produces fifty percent of a choose and 81 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: twenty eight percent of its apparel in you guessed, Vietnam. 82 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: And given this monstrous tariff, Nike needs to find a 83 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 1: way to bring its goods into the US at a 84 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 1: reasonable price and be man. 85 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 2: This continues from Nike's rocky March as well, where they 86 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: saw a twenty percent dip in their share price. 87 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: Guess it goes to show you you just got to 88 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: spread the love when it comes to manufacturing. 89 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here? 90 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: When companies rely heavily on one country for production, any 91 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: disruption can trigger big financial consequences. 92 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: It might be tariffs, it might be political tension. It 93 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 2: might even be the risk of an actual disaster in 94 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: that country. 95 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: And the irony is that Nike moved a lot of 96 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: its production to Vietnam during Trump's first presidency. 97 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 2: That was when trade tensions with China were heating up. 98 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: At the time, it was seen as a smart hedge 99 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: against relying too much on China. 100 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 2: But Beman, sometimes even friendly trading partners like Vietnam can 101 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 2: find themselves on the receiving end of economic pressure. 102 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 1: Ultimately, companies can diversify their supply chain to reduce their risk. 103 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 2: That means spreading production across multiple countries and even more regions. 104 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: And Jugie Boy Nike ain't the only clothing company that 105 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: invested big time in Vietnam. 106 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,040 Speaker 2: Now Addedas also produces nearly forty percent of its footwear 107 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 2: in Vietnam. But the man Nike's breathing a small sigh 108 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: of relief after Trump claimed he had a constructive call 109 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 2: with Vietnam, so maybe it won't hit them as hard 110 00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 2: as they thought. Neil for our third and final story, 111 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 2: Apple has become one of the biggest losers of the 112 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 2: global tariffs, with its largest one day valuation wipeout on record. 113 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: Apple shehare Price just experienced the same sinking feeling that 114 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: I feel when I dropped my iPhone face down on 115 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: the floor, A very scary moment, Juzzi Boy, So tell 116 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: me more. 117 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,679 Speaker 2: Okay, So we know Apple as the world's most valuable company. 118 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: We're talking hardware like iPhone and iPad, wearables like the 119 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: Apple Watch. 120 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 2: And software like Yicloud and even Apple TV Plus. 121 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,360 Speaker 1: In fact, Jazzy Boy, Apple's iPhone division alone is big 122 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: enough to rank in the Fortune five hundred's top thirty companies. 123 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 2: Wow, but now, b Man, Apple's lost over three hundred 124 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 2: billion US dollars in market value, and. 125 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 1: That's the biggest one day drop in history. 126 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 2: I'm assuming you're going to drop the big T word 127 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 2: for the reason, b Man, correct. 128 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: A mundo, Juzzy Boy. Trump has announced a thirty four 129 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: percent tariff on Chinese imports as part of Liberation Day 130 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 1: and while. 131 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 2: Apple loves to say it's products are designed in California, 132 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,679 Speaker 2: the assembly actually happens in China. 133 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: As a result, Apple was hit hard by this tariff. 134 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 2: In fact, did share price drop more than nine percent. 135 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 1: And while Apple's currently in the pain cave right now, 136 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: the ripple effect might hit consumers and competitors next. 137 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 2: Yep. So what is the key learning here? 138 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: Tariffs might start as a tax on imports, but they 139 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 1: end up as a tax on consumers. 140 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: You see, b man, When tariffs is slapt on imported goods, 141 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 2: businesses face high costs. 142 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: And let me tell you one thing, juzyboy, businesses don't 143 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 1: just happily absorb. 144 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: The hitt No, no, no, they raised their prices. 145 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: We'd be talking everything from phones and electronics to food 146 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 1: and household items. 147 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 2: And they man at tariffs tend to make everything more expensive. 148 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: In fact, take the twenty eighteen US China trade war. 149 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 2: During this period, the US impoves tariffs on a broad 150 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: range of Chinese imports. 151 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: And studies by the Fed Reserve Bank of New York 152 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: they actually showed that these tariffs were largely passed on 153 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: to consumers. 154 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 2: They estimated that by May twenty nineteen, these tariffs were 155 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 2: costing the average American household more than four hundred US 156 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 2: dollars per year. 157 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 1: And jugeboy, those tariffs were nothing compared to the Liberation 158 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:39,160 Speaker 1: Day tariffs. 159 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: Fox Am, there was one big industry that absolutely smashed 160 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,840 Speaker 2: the markets in March on the ASX and got many others. 161 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 2: If you want to learn what that industry was and 162 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 2: why and forth so well, make sure to check out 163 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 2: our article in the Flux out. 164 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and we'll see you on Wednesday