WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 27 January 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:07.440 The Skying Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Hello, Happy 0:00:07.480 --> 0:00:09.800 public holiday all around the country. Come on into the 0:00:09.800 --> 0:00:12.799 man Cave. If this is your first time of reconnecting 0:00:12.800 --> 0:00:14.520 with the news after a summer break, I hope you've 0:00:14.520 --> 0:00:16.160 had fun. We've been going for a couple of weeks 0:00:16.480 --> 0:00:19.400 where he's Sunday through Thursday. You can always find highlights 0:00:19.440 --> 0:00:21.520 of everything we've got to say and do. It's Goynews 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:24.599 dot com dot Au Tonight, big one on the show. 0:00:24.720 --> 0:00:27.720 No shooks, no lefties looking forward to this. Also, I'm 0:00:27.760 --> 0:00:30.560 going to explain to you why lefties are freaking out 0:00:30.560 --> 0:00:33.040 about just enterprise taking an even bigger role in the 0:00:33.080 --> 0:00:36.240 upcoming federal election. To one of them at Cole Flint, 0:00:36.280 --> 0:00:38.800 who is going to try to take back a seat 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:40.320 that she had in the Federal Parliament for a while 0:00:40.320 --> 0:00:43.879 Boothby in South Australia. Well, if the covalation needs to 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:45.879 get close, she needs to win. We'll have a chat 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:47.320 to her about her plan to do so in a 0:00:47.320 --> 0:00:49.800 moment or two time. And the Great Donald Trump, the 0:00:49.880 --> 0:00:54.640 man is winning even when at times he's not even trying. 0:00:56.080 --> 0:00:59.800 The new broom that is sweeping the world. Now, I 0:00:59.840 --> 0:01:03.120 know we've heard all day about News Poll. We told you, 0:01:03.160 --> 0:01:05.520 of course about it first last night. That's why Sunday 0:01:05.600 --> 0:01:08.000 Night hard cause it doesn't matter if they're sport on 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:10.760 another thing. The final of this the semi five. Make 0:01:10.760 --> 0:01:12.920 sure that you series link this program if you're watching 0:01:12.920 --> 0:01:15.160 it and can do so via Foxtel. Make sure that 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:16.800 your favorite it like it if you watch it in 0:01:16.840 --> 0:01:19.200 all the other platforms, and make sure that you get 0:01:19.240 --> 0:01:21.920 that podcast and suggest it to a friend. As we 0:01:22.000 --> 0:01:25.000 told you, the Liberal Party back in front after the 0:01:25.000 --> 0:01:27.200 summer summer. That was yet again another reset for the 0:01:27.240 --> 0:01:30.800 Prime Minister. But I want to take some time to 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:33.520 talk about some of the other things that are deeper 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:37.759 inside the poll, including people's perceptions of what is about 0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:41.440 to happen at the federal election now primary vote. Under 0:01:41.520 --> 0:01:45.400 the News Poll, it is down from the last election 0:01:45.840 --> 0:01:47.880 for the Labor Party, down by a couple of points 0:01:48.320 --> 0:01:51.400 for the Libs anounce it is up by quite a 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:53.639 few points as you can see there, up to thirty 0:01:53.720 --> 0:01:57.480 nine down to thirty one. The two party preferred is 0:01:57.480 --> 0:02:01.440 now ALP forty nine and the Coalition at fifty one. 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:04.480 But the angle that Simon Benson put on the story 0:02:04.600 --> 0:02:07.200 about the poll has been much of the discussion today 0:02:07.680 --> 0:02:10.280 that a majority of voters now believe that the coalition 0:02:10.400 --> 0:02:13.200 is going to win the next election. Now, remember the 0:02:13.200 --> 0:02:15.839 poles have been pointing this way. The bookies think that's 0:02:15.880 --> 0:02:18.959 the case. And forty seven percent of people say that 0:02:19.000 --> 0:02:21.360 a Labor government majority or minority will end up being 0:02:21.360 --> 0:02:23.440 the one put in place, or it's going to be 0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:27.880 a Liberal National government to the tone of fifty three percent. 0:02:29.440 --> 0:02:30.840 I lacked out the numbers for you if you want 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:34.440 me to, but there we go forty seven. Interestingly, fifty 0:02:34.480 --> 0:02:36.560 one percent of Labor voters think that their government the 0:02:36.560 --> 0:02:39.200 best they can do is form a minority. But I 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:40.800 want everyone to sit down and have a chat. Who 0:02:40.840 --> 0:02:42.760 would like to see a change of government? And the 0:02:42.800 --> 0:02:45.880 Liberal National Party being the one that formed forty six 0:02:45.919 --> 0:02:48.600 percent of people told news poll of Liberal and National 0:02:48.639 --> 0:02:51.000 voters that they think that they won't just get their 0:02:51.080 --> 0:02:56.079 via minority, they'll get their majority. Okay, there's also a 0:02:56.120 --> 0:02:57.680 bit of a gender split here. You know how the 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:00.600 Liberal Party's got a problem with women are not quiet. 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:03.079 You see, men think that Labor will get there via 0:03:03.040 --> 0:03:06.560 a minority at fifty one percent versus forty nine, and 0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:10.359 it is women who believe that the Liberal National Party will 0:03:10.400 --> 0:03:13.280 be the next government of Australia fifty eight percent to 0:03:13.400 --> 0:03:16.960 forty two. Oh, but the Liberals have a problem with women. 0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:18.640 Get ready for that to be one of the tactics 0:03:18.639 --> 0:03:23.320 that Labor plays and plays hard in the next little while. Now, 0:03:24.480 --> 0:03:26.480 the reason I want to have a chat with you 0:03:26.480 --> 0:03:28.880 about this tonight is that I want to deliver a 0:03:29.040 --> 0:03:33.440 reality check. Not because I don't think the government is terrible, 0:03:33.760 --> 0:03:35.720 not because I don't think that the issues are going 0:03:35.760 --> 0:03:38.920 their way, not because I think that at no other 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:42.800 point in time has the establishment and access media sources 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:46.960 been as ignored as they are right now. But more so, 0:03:47.800 --> 0:03:49.880 I want you to understand the hill that needs to 0:03:49.920 --> 0:03:55.200 be climbed because it is quite significant for the LMP. 0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:58.920 Let me explain here. So you need seventy six seats 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:02.520 to form a majority. LAID currently has seventy eight, meaning 0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:05.120 of course that they can lose two seats and still 0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:08.360 be in a majority. Lose three they go into a minority. 0:04:08.520 --> 0:04:10.880 But with the Greens you now start to see the 0:04:10.960 --> 0:04:16.880 numbers have to push down to like seventy four seats, 0:04:17.080 --> 0:04:19.520 or even if they start to push down to seventy two, 0:04:19.560 --> 0:04:22.520 the Greens would be able to save them, depending on 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:25.240 how many of the Teals stick around. Well, that two 0:04:25.600 --> 0:04:28.360 could mean that we're not talking about losing four here 0:04:28.400 --> 0:04:31.440 and four there. They could end up losing almost ten 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:37.040 and still have a pretty viable, negotiable path back into government. 0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:41.440 Now that means that what you do with your preferences 0:04:41.480 --> 0:04:45.160 matters more than ever before, because it's not just about 0:04:45.200 --> 0:04:46.960 the seats that the Liberal Party will win in its 0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:49.920 own right or return back to the fold. Places like 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:52.719 a being Along in New South Wales or a Gilmour 0:04:52.800 --> 0:04:55.320 in New South Wales. Both were sites that were seats 0:04:55.320 --> 0:04:58.159 that were decided by about one thousand or even less 0:04:58.200 --> 0:05:02.359 than five hundred votes in the of Gilmour, which is 0:05:02.400 --> 0:05:07.560 in and around Bateman's Bay and the South Coast. But 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:10.480 they do need preferences to go their way. Meaning if 0:05:10.480 --> 0:05:12.360 you are somebody who is about the twenty percent of 0:05:12.360 --> 0:05:16.160 Australians that are currently sitting outside of Team Read or 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.080 Team Blue, well what you do with your number two 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:22.159 is going to determine what happens here now. Interestingly, some 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:25.039 eageroid people have noticed about the opinion polls and about 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:27.480 how they have been pulled apart and how we get 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:30.440 to say fifty one forty nine is that we end 0:05:30.520 --> 0:05:35.800 up getting there because it's based off the preferences at 0:05:35.800 --> 0:05:41.240 the last election. Now, in two thousand and nineteen, the 0:05:41.600 --> 0:05:44.760 surprise election result was because people who didn't vote for 0:05:44.760 --> 0:05:47.880 the Liberal and National Party first did put them at 0:05:47.920 --> 0:05:51.239 number two, meaning that preferences were flowing let's roughly say 0:05:51.560 --> 0:05:54.640 two thirds back to the coalition, and that meant that 0:05:54.680 --> 0:05:56.640 they were able to get enough seats to get a 0:05:56.680 --> 0:05:58.760 majority in their own right. Now, there were no teals 0:05:59.080 --> 0:06:03.400 back then, but still that is the mats in twenty 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:05.720 twenty two, when some of the messaging that was out 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.479 there was bugger them all, kind of two out of 0:06:08.520 --> 0:06:12.280 three ended up not going back. They may have eventually, 0:06:12.320 --> 0:06:14.440 but they were sent on a very long journey. It 0:06:14.520 --> 0:06:16.920 meant that say some local independence were able to end 0:06:17.000 --> 0:06:19.520 up getting to the two party runoff with Labor as 0:06:19.560 --> 0:06:24.920 opposed to the Liberal and National Party. But again I 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.640 want you to understand that where it sits right now 0:06:27.760 --> 0:06:32.080 is not Hallelujah, this is going to happen. The spin 0:06:32.120 --> 0:06:34.679 that was put on it today from experienced people writing 0:06:34.680 --> 0:06:36.440 at news dot com. Do you say that the best 0:06:36.480 --> 0:06:39.320 interpretation of the polls is a potential win of between 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:43.520 seven and fourteen seats. Now, as you can see, the 0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:47.080 coalition desperately does need an awful lot more seats than 0:06:47.080 --> 0:06:49.599 that to be able to get close enough to a 0:06:49.640 --> 0:06:52.720 position where literally they have to have more seats than 0:06:52.760 --> 0:06:57.040 the Labor Party, And then the Teals and Independence and 0:06:57.080 --> 0:06:59.280 people like Rebecca Sharky, who most likely would get re 0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:02.200 elected in the seat Mayo in South Australia, and Bob 0:07:02.279 --> 0:07:05.120 Catter have all sort of said that basically, the team 0:07:05.160 --> 0:07:06.960 that has the most number of seats is the one 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:08.520 with the first right to govern, and that's out the 0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:14.120 negotiations begin. Remember that Anthony Alvenizi's job at one of 0:07:14.120 --> 0:07:17.800 them in twenty ten to twenty thirteen was to wrangle 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:20.720 the cross Beach. Now, of course he was easily able 0:07:20.720 --> 0:07:23.680 to do it because there were turncoats like Oakshot and 0:07:23.760 --> 0:07:27.440 Windsor who would do anything to deny their former party 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:30.840 any path towards government. But we all know that that 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:34.280 twenty ten to twenty thirteen period led to the massive 0:07:34.400 --> 0:07:37.200 win of Tony Abbott, only to be squandered by twenty 0:07:37.360 --> 0:07:41.760 sixteen when again preferences and primary votes started to change. 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:44.480 So let's have a look here last night on and 0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:46.640 every Sunday night. Again a reason why I want you 0:07:46.680 --> 0:07:49.160 to watch that Sunday night show, Record that Sunday Night show, 0:07:49.160 --> 0:07:51.480 watch it the next day, whatever, but be here on 0:07:51.520 --> 0:07:53.280 Sunday night, because we're going to do a segment every 0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:56.000 Sunday night. We've done this since we came back a 0:07:56.000 --> 0:07:58.960 couple of weeks ago, where we sit down with Michael Kroger, 0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:02.360 who knows and the best case scenario for those who 0:08:02.360 --> 0:08:04.240 want to see a change in government. But we also 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:06.520 have a chat to the people from Redbridge. These are 0:08:06.520 --> 0:08:11.080 the people who are doing serious data and analysis. They're 0:08:11.120 --> 0:08:13.920 not just doing polls, They're doing focus groups, and they 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:17.960 are at the moment the people who are willing to 0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:19.960 tell us a lot of what's happening behind the scenes 0:08:20.000 --> 0:08:22.560 when it comes to part of the data. Now, the 0:08:22.560 --> 0:08:24.400 Red Brig group will join us each and every Sunday 0:08:24.480 --> 0:08:27.440 night to go through the very latest data and also 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:30.480 what they are hearing out of the focus groups. Now, again, 0:08:30.560 --> 0:08:33.160 none of this is an exact science. As we've said before. 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:35.480 With the United States, look at where the bookies are 0:08:35.480 --> 0:08:37.360 probably more so than the Poles, but all of the 0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:39.720 bookies right now. So there will be a change of government. 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:43.000 So if that's going to come from somewhere, where does 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:48.120 it come from? This was their suggestion last night. The 0:08:48.200 --> 0:08:50.160 election is going to be decided in New South Wales 0:08:50.320 --> 0:08:54.120 and Victoria. Lives could pick up a couple of seats 0:08:54.240 --> 0:08:56.640 in WI, but it's only a couple of that you're 0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:59.120 going to make up the eighteen seats. So you need numbers, 0:08:59.200 --> 0:09:00.800 you need those big number, So those pig numbs are 0:09:00.800 --> 0:09:03.719 in New South Wales and Victoria. So I had to 0:09:03.760 --> 0:09:05.880 look at this today of all of the seats that 0:09:05.920 --> 0:09:10.480 are needed to get the coalition into a majority government. 0:09:10.520 --> 0:09:13.120 So again the most unlikely of the scenarios, but the 0:09:13.120 --> 0:09:16.200 best case scenario for Peter Dutton and his supporters and 0:09:16.280 --> 0:09:18.120 no doubt many people watching right now who would like 0:09:18.160 --> 0:09:21.560 that to be the case. Well, where are the most 0:09:21.559 --> 0:09:25.080 marginal seats? I had to look at about eighteen of 0:09:25.160 --> 0:09:27.240 the most marginal seats for the Labor Party and this 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:30.000 is what it shows you That six of them are 0:09:30.000 --> 0:09:32.480 in New South Wales, six of them are in Victoria. 0:09:33.040 --> 0:09:36.360 Twelve seats is great, but twelve seats may not get 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:38.160 you into a position where you have more seats than 0:09:38.200 --> 0:09:39.880 the Labor Party, and the Labor Party would then be 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:43.360 in the box seat to be able to potentially negotiate 0:09:43.440 --> 0:09:45.280 its way back to power. It would be a terrible 0:09:45.280 --> 0:09:49.439 inferior government. But I'm trying to temper the expectation. If 0:09:49.880 --> 0:09:52.240 the largest number of people who plan to vote for 0:09:52.280 --> 0:09:55.800 the coalition are saying that their expectation is a Labor sorry, 0:09:55.840 --> 0:09:58.640 a coalition majority, there's a lot more work to do 0:09:58.760 --> 0:10:03.040 outside of New Southwald Victoria. Potentially two of the most 0:10:03.080 --> 0:10:05.880 vulnerable seats for we are in Western Australia for Labour 0:10:06.080 --> 0:10:09.440 two in Tasmania taking the clean sweep all the way 0:10:09.480 --> 0:10:13.440 from the north down to half way through Tasmania. They 0:10:13.480 --> 0:10:17.240 don't have many seats up for grabs. In Queensland one 0:10:17.800 --> 0:10:21.240 is the one most likely and again Boothby in South Australia. 0:10:21.320 --> 0:10:25.000 Put all that together, yeah, you get to a coalition majority. 0:10:25.520 --> 0:10:27.920 But as you can see, we have to try to 0:10:27.920 --> 0:10:29.880 have a look at what is happening state by state, 0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:33.719 which takes us over to the resolve political monitor. These 0:10:33.760 --> 0:10:35.920 are the polls that come out on the Channel nine 0:10:36.400 --> 0:10:41.520 websites and newspapers, and it shows that nationally Peter Dutton 0:10:41.640 --> 0:10:45.280 is the preferred prime minister right now, thirty nine to 0:10:45.320 --> 0:10:49.680 thirty four. In the seats where twelve are up for grabs, 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:55.400 Dutton is leading by a huge number in New South Wales, 0:10:55.520 --> 0:10:58.400 a very strong number in Victoria. And then once you 0:10:58.440 --> 0:11:02.520 start to add a thirteenth seats, say in Queensland, Dutton 0:11:02.600 --> 0:11:07.520 is absolutely thumping home there. But again let me caution you, 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:11.560 thirteen seats does not a majority make the rest of 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:15.720 Australia by a slim margin. So we're talking about Western Australia, 0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:18.200 South Australia, Tasmania and the Northern Territory, but not too 0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:21.080 much polling happens in the Northern Territory. And yes there's 0:11:21.080 --> 0:11:22.880 a seat up for grabs in the Northern Territory and 0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:25.760 two in South Australia, and sorry, two in Tasmania, and 0:11:25.760 --> 0:11:27.840 two in South Australia and two in West Australia. And 0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:30.120 if all that goes their way, then of course a 0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:32.720 majority government. But it's so fascinating to look at the 0:11:32.760 --> 0:11:37.280 picture that nationally, the strength on the east coast of 0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:40.280 the mainland is pretty obvious here where the lot bulk 0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:42.240 of the seats are, and a couple of surprises might 0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:45.240 turn up that that is where the best shot of 0:11:45.280 --> 0:11:47.280 pulling it all together is because that's the most number 0:11:47.280 --> 0:11:51.160 of seats, the most number of contented contested seats, and 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.800 the most number of population. But the wrinkle is that 0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:57.600 outside of those areas, still and ever so slightly, it 0:11:57.679 --> 0:12:01.679 is Albaneze who is the preferred prime minister. So watch 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:04.600 this space now again. The purpose of this show and 0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:06.240 the purpose of what we try to do here each 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:08.720 and every night is I've got a very strong opinion 0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:11.360 and i am going to chase these people as hard 0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:13.480 as I've ever chased them because the future of the 0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:17.120 country is at risk. Three more years after the three 0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:19.800 years that we had cannot be tolerated. Will not be 0:12:19.880 --> 0:12:23.800 acceptable to the vast majority of Australians who have been 0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.719 doing it, particularly tough demographics and a whole bunch of 0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:31.520 other reasons, including that block of teals is the difference. 0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:35.080 But I'm also not going to hide from you the data, 0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:38.600 the polling in the context of other polling that is 0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:42.360 going to give us a slightly clearer picture of how 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.959 realistic the options are. The four options on the table 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:49.800 from labor majority to labor minority to liberal national minority 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:55.000 to liberal national majority. Now increasingly in polls there are 0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:58.280 lots of undecideds. When they are breaking, they are breaking 0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:00.360 the coalition's way. But we are only at the start 0:13:00.360 --> 0:13:02.840 of a process, the start of a process where the 0:13:02.840 --> 0:13:05.280 Prime Minister has attempted yet another reset and it hasn't 0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:07.800 moved the needle. But you know the air cover he's 0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:09.680 going to get from his mates in the press and 0:13:09.720 --> 0:13:12.400 the activists who will promise to make life hell. You've 0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:15.800 got to hope that people will see the difference between 0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:19.280 the two teams and make a conclusion that obviously you 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:21.400 and I would be hoping for. But I'm not going 0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:23.000 to muck around, and I'm not going to happy talk. 0:13:23.000 --> 0:13:25.079 I'm going to tell you what's really going on. And 0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:27.400 yes I'll have my opinion, and we'll point out plenty 0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:30.040 of holes in everything that they've done. But my promise 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.840 to you is to always tell you what's really going on, 0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:34.680 not just to times what we like to be going 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:37.120 on or the message that we would just love to 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:41.240 float amongst the population. So it was cautionary to me 0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:44.280 to see the people who are voting Liberal National who 0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:46.240 think they're going to go for a majority. Great, keep 0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:49.600 up the confidence, but you've got to convince your neighbor. 0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:52.520 You've got to convince your friend about their preferences. You've 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:55.360 got to do that work to amplify some of the 0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:58.720 facts that you hear on this program. By sharing some 0:13:58.800 --> 0:14:01.000 of the content, you do all of that skynews dot 0:14:01.040 --> 0:14:03.400 com dot you and share on any and all of 0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:07.120 your socials. Of course, cost of living number one issue 0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.600 in the country. It doesn't matter what pole when it's 0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:11.320 been the same for the past few years. Of course 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.680 it was before the last election. And never forget the 0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:17.400 promise that Anthony Albernezi had made. It is one that 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.200 I think some I don't know whether our production team 0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:23.480 can get access to a printer a three poster. I'm 0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.680 going to whack it behind me to remind everyone. Their 0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:28.400 promise was a labor government will lower the cost of living. 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.680 That was the promise. But the reality is interest rates 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:36.080 up twelve times on their watch. When you go to 0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:39.160 the supermarket, does anything cost less than it did the 0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:43.840 best part of three years ago. Petrol ever hitting new highs. 0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.120 It's so frequently got a two in front of it. 0:14:46.560 --> 0:14:48.600 Albanzi was trying to score political points back when it 0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:51.600 was a dollar seventy five. He's increased taxes by the 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:54.880 way on things like petrol. But that's all right, no 0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.280 one's going to notice. You're going to focus on how 0:14:58.040 --> 0:15:02.200 scary and trumpy and Peter Dunton please. And then there's 0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:06.880 the explosion in excise tax. The excise tax which exists 0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:12.080 on things like tobacco and beer, the types of things 0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.760 that some people might choose to do. Not amazing for 0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:16.680 your health, certainly in the case of smoking when it 0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:20.000 comes to your own recreation, but you know that it's 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:22.880 a pint, a pot or a glass. And even as 0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.000 an on drinker, I notice how expensive this stuff can 0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:26.960 has become. And I want to say, well under the 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:30.000 good people of bunderberg Rum, because as I have shown 0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:35.080 you many times before, this wonderful special personalized bottle of 0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:39.520 bunderberg Rum is a perfect symbol of how the excise 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:42.840 tax under this government has got wildly out of control. 0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:47.600 And they are deciding not just to let people know 0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:50.520 once they go around and find the details, they've decided 0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:53.880 to launch a new website and a campaign through the 0:15:53.880 --> 0:15:56.960 federal election. Hurts. Some radio adds about this and it 0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.440 tells you that that bottle of Bundy that I just 0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:04.120 held up. Sixty three percent of it is tax. Now, 0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:07.160 of course, at some point in time businesses that have 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:11.840 that are making things, but the actual sticker price more 0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:16.400 than half sixty three percent of which in fact isn't 0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.520 going back to that company to employ people to up 0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:22.560 their operations in Bundy and around the country. No, it's 0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:26.440 going straight to the tax man. Now, we all understand 0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:29.520 that nobody wants to pay higher income taxes. A national 0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:32.960 debate about increasing the GST, while in my view valuable 0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:36.000 or changes when it comes to company tax probably not 0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:37.880 going to be accepted. So they are all these sly 0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:42.920 little ways that they introduce extra taxes. This mob that says, oh, 0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:44.800 we're all about cost of living, We're totally focused on 0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:47.640 cost of living. They have made the decisions to increase 0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:52.640 the taxes on everything from Bundy to petrol. All of 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:56.080 that has made life in Australia harder. But the Prime 0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:59.960 Minister now getting into a standoff with the Reserve Bank, 0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:04.119 who have previously said that things like government spending like 0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:08.840 hiring more public servants than ever before, giving pay rises 0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.560 that is the highest in a decade, not to mention 0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:14.800 all of the money that is going on projects around 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:19.840 the country. Well, it keeps the inflation high. If inflation 0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:23.639 remains high, then interest rates don't come down. Now this 0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:25.960 government has said, oh we've got on top of inflation yet, 0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.800 but remember it's not the real number. The number of 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.800 inflation is artificial at the moment because of the three 0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:36.480 hundred dollars for mansions through the one bedroom units in 0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:39.600 the bush. When it comes to power prices, you don't 0:17:39.600 --> 0:17:42.120 see that money. It's given to the power companies. Then 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.399 the artificial reduction in price is put up as a 0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:48.520 reason why inflation is getting better, but it is not. 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:51.359 Now figures cross. It does get better because that's what 0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:53.199 Australians want, but it's not going to be because of 0:17:53.240 --> 0:17:55.560 this government. But this government knowing that it is run 0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:58.080 out of time and two little too late tax cuts 0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:02.280 and removing fifteen hundred dollars for ten million taxpayers in 0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.760 one of their first acts as a government, and increasing 0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:09.359 the tax on beer, on wine, on cigarettes and on 0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.680 petrol has made their life harder. Now they're just outright 0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:16.800 bsing you and again they will play the game where 0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.240 it's the reserve banks fold not the governments. That inflation 0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:22.800 is not where it should be. When it is where 0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:25.720 it should be in other countries around the world. 0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.960 We have done all we can is a government to 0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:36.680 create better conditions for monetary policy to work together with 0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:38.560 what the governor has done. 0:18:38.760 --> 0:18:41.520 I couldn't disagree more. We've got the receipts. If you've 0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.199 watched this show every night, then you know it by 0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:46.320 chapter and verse. If you check it out once a week, 0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:48.680 you know it by chapter and verse. If you pass 0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:51.240 by us every few weeks, you know it in chapter 0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:54.159 and verse. Because you are living it, you know it 0:18:54.200 --> 0:18:56.920 and you know how hard life has become. The promise 0:18:57.080 --> 0:19:00.520 was for it to get better. It got worse. How 0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:04.120 would our national media have reacted if Tony Abbert promises 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:06.840 to stop the boat's boats, but more boats ended up 0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.800 turning up. We know exactly what would be the case. 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.399 It's interesting that in all of the promise trackers that 0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:15.680 say the government has delivered on many of its commitments, 0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:18.359 I noticed the one to promise that cost of living 0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:22.679 would go down is never counted. Jeez, I wonder why. 0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.040 Something that also happened over the long weekend was Peter 0:19:26.119 --> 0:19:28.040 Dutton rearranged some of the people that are taking on 0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:31.320 the federal government at the upcoming election in the shadow 0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:35.359 minister or portfolios most importantly and most noted. And I 0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.080 know you've seen this with everyone else, and it's great 0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:39.800 to see everyone back and firing it to full cylinders 0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:42.040 here at Sky News. Remember from five PM with Chris 0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:44.840 all the way through to reader at eleven o'clock, we 0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:49.080 are on all cylinders here at Sky News. Juice the 0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.119 Price moves out of the Indigenous Afairs portfolio. She is 0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:57.000 now moving into the specific responsibility of going after government waste. 0:19:57.080 --> 0:20:01.040 Now this most importantly means that rather than the media 0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:04.080 seeking her out to only speak on the specific policy 0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:08.439 areas of Indigenous Australia, she now has a wider portfolio 0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:10.760 to be able to go after the government. And as 0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:13.679 she showed when it came to the debate with the Voice, 0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:17.080 she is formidable. There are few politicians that I have 0:20:17.320 --> 0:20:21.040 ever seen in my life that can draw a crowd, 0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:25.720 draw attention, or convince a room with the clarity that 0:20:25.760 --> 0:20:28.960 your sin to Nampa Jumper Price does. He's Peter Dunt't 0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:29.919 explaining her promotion. 0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:34.320 She will take on the important role of shadow Minister 0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:36.919 for government efficiency. Work that you sent it will do, 0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:40.520 which will come under the prime Minister and cabinet portfolio 0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:44.680 in government will be to find Labour's waste. 0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:47.600 Now important to note in all of this here that 0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:51.840 going after government waste in government is nothing new. There 0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:54.280 have been multiple people that have been fighting this front 0:20:54.400 --> 0:20:58.439 on multiple sides of the political aisle with named portfolios 0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:02.760