1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Navigating market corrections with a long term game plan for 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: your financial goals and dreams. Welcome back to Sugar Mamma's fireplay. 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:12,559 Speaker 1: I am Financial Planner, Canna Campbell, and today we're diving 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: into a topic that's been on the minds of many 5 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: investors lately, that is market corrections and the importance of 6 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: sticking to a long term game plan. With rising fears 7 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: of recession, falling share markets and commodity prices, is easy 8 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: to feel unsettled right now. However, as an investor just 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 1: like you, it is crucial that you stay calm, rational 10 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 1: and focus on the bigger picture, which is of course 11 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: building long term, growing passive income streams for that financial 12 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,520 Speaker 1: independence and to be able to retire early. In fact, 13 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: let's be honest, market corrections actually present opportunities, sometimes once 14 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: in lifetime opportunities. So together, let's explore what is happening 15 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: in the economy right now and how you and I 16 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: can together navigate these uncertain times with confidence, information, and 17 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: of course always backed by fact, figures and recent insights. 18 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:26,319 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Sugar Mamma's fireplay. I am Financial Planner, 19 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 1: Canna Campbell, and today we're diving into a topic that 20 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: has been on the minds of many investors lately, that 21 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: is market corrections and the importance of sticking to a 22 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: long term game plan. With rising fears of recession, falling 23 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: share markets, and commodity prices, it is very easy to 24 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 1: feel unsettled right now. However, as an investor just like you, 25 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 1: it is absolutely crucial that we stay calm, rational and 26 00:01:56,200 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 1: focused on the bigger picture that is building up our 27 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: long term growing passive income streams, which will in turn 28 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 1: give us that financial independence and an early retirement. And 29 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:15,679 Speaker 1: let's be honest, market corrections quite often present opportunities, sometimes 30 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: once in a lifetime opportunities, so we need to have 31 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:23,399 Speaker 1: our eyes wide open here. So right now we're going 32 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: to explore what is happening in the economy right now 33 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,639 Speaker 1: and how you and I can both navigate these uncertain 34 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: times with confidence, of course, always supported by facts and 35 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: figures from recent economic insights. Now, as always, all of 36 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 1: my content is general in nature and educationally based. It 37 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: is never personal advice, which is why you should always 38 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 1: speak to a financial planner and ask them for personal 39 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: advice when it comes to your investing worth creation and 40 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: strategic needs. But in the meantime, let's focus on what 41 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: is happening in our economy right now, so we are 42 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: informed and educated, all right, So number one, it is 43 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: so important that we understand the current economic climate. Recent 44 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 1: e share markets have been hit really hard, particularly in 45 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 1: the US where we've seen a significant drop of around 46 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 1: about eight point five percent from record highs. Global shares 47 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,799 Speaker 1: are also down by about eight point nine percent, and 48 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: as you probably know, the Australian market has taken a 49 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: five point seven percent for bond yields, Commodity prices and 50 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 1: even the Australian dollar have dipped reflecting concerns over economic growth. 51 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: And this is felt worldwide. Now why is this happening, Well, 52 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: recession fears are back and they are pretty loud right now. 53 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: And these are not just speculative opinions. Several key indicators 54 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: are flashing red, particularly in the US, where the inverted 55 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: yield curve, which is a classic recession warning, has been 56 00:03:56,480 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: signaling trouble since about two thy twenty too. Historically, this 57 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: particular indicator, that is the inverted yield curve, has predicted 58 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 1: every US recession over the last sixty years. So while 59 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: the US economy has shown resilience until now. Risk of 60 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: recession remains realistically high, and this uncertainty is naturally driving 61 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 1: market volatility with so many investor emotions running high. But 62 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: hopefully after listening to this episode, your emotions will be 63 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: calm and rational. All right. So, how does the US 64 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: market and what is going on around the world with 65 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: these fears affect Australia so closer to home, Australia has 66 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: not been immune to what is going on right now. 67 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: Household debt servicing costs are at record highs, real households 68 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: spending has slowed yep, we're all tightening our belts, and 69 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: unemployment is starting to creep up, with it now sitting 70 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: around about four point one percent from a low of 71 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: three point five percent. While the risk of a recession 72 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: here is estimated to be about fifty percent, Australi could 73 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: follow the US into a downturn, which could affect both 74 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: our economy and the global demand for our exports. Central banks, 75 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: including our own RBA, are in a very tricky position. 76 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: You see, interest rates have been raised aggressively over the 77 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: last two years to help control inflation, but now there's 78 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 1: a risk that they've actually gone too far and if 79 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: inflation falls below target. We could in fact see some 80 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 1: rate cuts which may help the economy, but this is 81 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:46,720 Speaker 1: going to be a long term process and I really 82 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: don't think the RBA are going to have any knee 83 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: jerk reaction to what is going on in the US. 84 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: In fact, my biggest worries that the RBA may in 85 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:58,359 Speaker 1: fact be too slow to react and make those interest 86 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: rate cuts a little bit too late. But that's just 87 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: my personal opinion. As you know, in the meantime, so 88 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 1: many households are really suffering with so much financial stress 89 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:13,280 Speaker 1: and anxiety. So what do we need to do and 90 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,280 Speaker 1: what do we need to understand about what is happening 91 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 1: right now? Well, there are two things that you need 92 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 1: to know and understand to help make sure that you 93 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,600 Speaker 1: are making smart, intelligent decisions with your money and not 94 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: necessarily part of the herd mentality. So number one is 95 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: you've got to understand the importance of sticking to a 96 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: long term game plan. So, with all this uncertainty, it 97 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 1: is completely normal and natural to be feeling anxious right now, 98 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 1: but it is important you've got to remember that long 99 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 1: term investing is about weathering these storms. Shane Oliver, who's 100 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: one of my favorite economists to follow points out that 101 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 1: market corrections like the ones we're experiencing right now are stressful, 102 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: but they are also a very natural part of the 103 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 1: investment cycle. So please don't think this is abnormal. It 104 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: is healthy. It is just part and parcel. It is 105 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: just part of the game that is investing. And you see, 106 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: for long term investors, hopefully like yourself and of course 107 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: definitely me, I'm a long term investor, these dips are 108 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: actually opportunities, blessings in disguise. You see, Historically markets have 109 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: always bounced back from corrections and even recessions, rewarding those 110 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 1: investors who stayed the course, even if it meant just 111 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: sitting on their hands and doing nothing. It is incredibly 112 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: difficult to try and time the market, but sticking to 113 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: a well thought out strategy iteaally backed and created by 114 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 1: a financial planner can most definitely help payoff in the 115 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 1: long run. So please don't forget and of course let's 116 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: not forget that superination account so also designed with this 117 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: long term view in mind. Think about it, have you 118 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: ever really worried dramatically about your superannuation when there is 119 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: being a market correctional pullback? You probably haven't even got 120 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 1: a looked at your superannuation. So this is a long 121 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: term investment plan like super, So why are you treating 122 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: them differently? Think about them in the same category. And 123 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: in times of market volatility, it is essential that you 124 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: focus on your broader investment goals, whether it be building 125 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: up passive income like myself or just focusing on capital growth. 126 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: The most successful investors are the ones who stay patient 127 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: and don't react impulsively to these short term swings. As 128 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: the quote by Warren Buffett goes, the stock market is 129 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: the device of transferring money from the impatient to the impatient. 130 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: I want you to be the patient people with me, 131 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 1: and don't be afraid. The second important thing that you 132 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 1: need to understand about the market right now so that 133 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 1: this actually in turn benefits your financial situation and of 134 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 1: course your wealth goals. And that is the opportunity that 135 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: lies in these market corrections. That is the blessing in disguise. 136 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:13,719 Speaker 1: Recessions and market corrections often present buying opportunities. So many 137 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: times when you look at a chart of the market 138 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: and what it's done over the last twenty thirty forty years, 139 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: and you look at the wars, the terrorist attacks, the 140 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: healthcare crisises, they've actually presented incredible opportunities, that is, opportunities 141 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: to buy the same quality assets at a significant discount 142 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: and make some wealth even dare I say over the 143 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:39,440 Speaker 1: medium term. So for example, when share prices fall, oh 144 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: do the valuations that are valuations on a surface level. 145 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: It doesn't mean the value of the company has necessarily fallen. 146 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: So what this then means is you can sometimes buy 147 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:55,439 Speaker 1: these high quality companies at a significant discount. Think about 148 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: the companies with strong fundamentals and a history of weathering 149 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: economic downturns, for example, supermarkets during an economic crisis or recession. 150 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 1: Do we still go to the supermarket? Do we still 151 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: bry bread? Do we still buy milk? Yes we do? 152 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: Do we still put petrol in our cars? Do we 153 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: still use electricity? Yes? These were the companies that I'm 154 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:20,160 Speaker 1: talking about, strong fundamentals that are almost immune to these 155 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 1: economic downturns. Of course, they're not going to be perfect 156 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: at all times, but this is why it's so important 157 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: that you have a diversified investment portfolio. And as I said, 158 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: these are the ones that tend to bounce back stronger 159 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: once the storm has passed. Another thing to consider is 160 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 1: of course your dividend strategy. With Australian shares offering relatively 161 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: high yields in comparison to say international investments and shares, 162 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 1: investors still continue to earn income off their share portfolios 163 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: even if the capital value of their share portfolios has 164 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 1: dramatically fluctuated and is down in the short term. So 165 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 1: whilst your say supermarket stock is down, say five percent 166 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: or even ten percent, you're still getting the same amount 167 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: approximately in dividends each year. So what's the difference really? 168 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 1: And it is so important to remember that downturns can 169 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 1: help cool off inflation, which we all know is a 170 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:21,199 Speaker 1: problem right now, which then means lower costs of living 171 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 1: and potential interest rate cuts can now come back on 172 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: the table to be considered, which then of course help 173 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: ease the financial pressure on so many households and businesses 174 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:36,079 Speaker 1: right now, eventually then in turn boosting the economic activity 175 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 1: that we all need. So you can see now the 176 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: importance of thinking about your long term goals, which is 177 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: building up your passive income, whether every fifty thousand dollars 178 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 1: a year, eighty thousand dollars a year, one hundred thousand 179 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 1: dollars or two hundred thousand dollars a year, Focus on 180 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: what your goals are, turn down the volume, forget about 181 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: the white noise around you, and if you are feeling resilient, 182 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: brave and educated enough, look at the blessings in disguise. 183 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 1: Are you going to look back at this time right 184 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,439 Speaker 1: now and think, Gosh, I wish I invested more than 185 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 1: or I wish I had stayed and just sat on 186 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: my hands and let my portfolio do its thing. You 187 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: want to look at this as an opportunity. Is there 188 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 1: spare money potentially you can add to your portfolio or 189 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 1: even to your superhotion right now, if that's appropriate. So 190 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 1: whilst the economic environment might seem really frightening right now, 191 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: the best course of action for most investors like us 192 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:37,320 Speaker 1: is to stay focused on the long term horizon mark 193 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: A volatility whilst incredibly unsettling, it's an inherent part of 194 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 1: the investing journey. By staying calm and sticking to a 195 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: well structured getting plan, you will be well positioned to 196 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: take advantage of all these opportunities that arise around us. 197 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 1: And remember, successful investing isn't about avoiding or trying to 198 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 1: avoid downturns. Altogether. That's in fact possible. It's about how 199 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 1: you respond to them. Keep your eye on the future, 200 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: trust your strategy, invest time exploring what additional things you 201 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 1: can do for your strategy to make the most of 202 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 1: loopholes and opportunities, and do not let short term market 203 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:22,559 Speaker 1: noise derail your long term financial goals. So today's episode 204 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 1: is just a short but sweet one. Thank you so 205 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 1: much for tuning in. If you've found this episode helpful, 206 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: please don't forget to subscribe to Sugar Mama's fireplay and 207 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: make sure you share your thoughts with me on social media. 208 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,199 Speaker 1: And in the meantime, I'll see you next Monday morning, 209 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 1: where we will continue on exploring how you can take 210 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 1: control of your financial future, one smart investment at a time, 211 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: And never forget, investing is a marathon, not a sprint. 212 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 1: If you need to take a break, slow down, walk 213 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 1: a little bit, jog a little slower, take a sip 214 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: of water, stretch your muscles, that is perfectly fine. Just 215 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 1: keep going. All about sustainability, endurance, and perseverance. Trust me, 216 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: it is always worth it. In the meantime, stay informed, 217 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 1: stay calm, and most importantly, stay the course. As you 218 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 1: keep that financial fire burning