1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: It's Friday, the seventeenth of May twenty twenty four. Welcome 2 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed, 3 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: where we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: need to know in five minutes. I'm Michael Thompson and 5 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: good morning Sean Aylmer. Good morning, Michael, Sean. Five stories, 6 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: five minutes. Let's go. Story number one. The unemployment rate 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: jumped to four point one percent last month following a 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:26,440 Speaker 1: surge in people looking for work. 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 2: The unemployment rate was a surprise given the number of 10 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 2: people employed grew by almost thirty nine thousand. According to 11 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 2: the Bureau Statistics. Both the growth of employment and the 12 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 2: unemployment rate were higher than economists expected. The March number 13 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 2: was also revised upwards. The two months demonstrate that the 14 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 2: data jumps around a fair bit. The message in all 15 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 2: this is that the trend is your friend, and definitely 16 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 2: the unemployment rate is trending higher. Isn't really a surprise. 17 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 2: In fact, what has caught the government the Reserve Bank 18 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 2: kind of wares is how well the labor market has done. 19 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: Of course, that helped the government delivery budget surplus, which 20 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 2: we heard about this week. April's employment gains were driven 21 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 2: by a forty four thy six hundred increase in part 22 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 2: time workers, slightly offset by a sixty one hundred drop 23 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 2: in full time employment. The high migration rates pushed the 24 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: participation rate to a near record high of sixty six 25 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: point seven percent. 26 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 1: Sean, just quickly. It's been quite a week, hasn't it. 27 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: In the economics world, we had the federal budget which 28 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,479 Speaker 1: was slightly inflationary, though the CPI rate will fall later 29 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: in the year. We had yesterday's labor force figures that 30 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 1: you just went through. We also had US inflation figures 31 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: come in lower than expected. What does it all mean 32 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: where do we stand on interest rates? 33 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: Well, financial markets, following everything that's happened in the past 34 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 2: two or three days, have no longer priced in any 35 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 2: chance of a rate high here in Australia. The next move, 36 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 2: according to traders, will be down. Could happen by the 37 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 2: end of the year. In fake bond trade is a 38 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 2: priced and a fifty percent chance of that happening. Everything 39 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 2: that happened over the past twenty four hours, it sent 40 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 2: the sheer market up nearly two percent. That's not that 41 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 2: far off a record high here in Australia. The Aussie 42 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 2: dollar jumped up to it was trading just under sixty 43 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 2: seven US cents. Very big twenty four hour or so 44 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: for markets. 45 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: Certainly was on to story number two now and the 46 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: Reserve Bank expects house prices and rents to keep rising 47 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: for some time, saying a perfect storm has prevented the 48 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: construction industry from building more homes, even though there is 49 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: plenty of demand spurred on by migration and working from home. 50 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 2: Reserve Bank Chief economist Sarah Hunter said there's no quick 51 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 2: fix for Australia's housing market ways as developers defer projects 52 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: due to high costs. Pretty simple really supply and demand 53 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 2: plenty of the ladder, not enough for the former. Normally 54 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 2: high demand will trigger a jumping instruction, but a few 55 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:35,359 Speaker 2: things have gotten in the way of the past couple 56 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 2: of years. Doctor Harter said the industry was already struggling 57 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 2: to get through its pipeline of residential projects that commenced 58 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: during the pandemic on the back of the home builder 59 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 2: project finishing trades are in short supply and the cost 60 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 2: of building a new home is up forty percent since 61 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: twenty nineteen. That's caused some developers and investors to delay 62 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 2: or scrap projects because they're no longer economic. She added 63 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: that supply and demand, much more so than interst rates, 64 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 2: determined how many as were built. 65 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: Story number three. The Government and the Greens have agreed 66 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: to pass a slew of legislation, including changes to the 67 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: petroleum Resource rent tax before Parliament rises for the end 68 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: of budget week. 69 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 2: Vehicle emission standards, changes, new offshore gas approval rules and 70 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 2: changes semming from the PwC tax leakeds scandal will pass 71 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 2: the Senate. As part of the deal, Labour has agreed 72 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 2: to carve out proposed new powers for the Resources Minister 73 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 2: to set rules related to offshore gas production. Also yesterday, 74 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: Prime Minister Anthony Albanezi criticized backbench Labour Senator Fatom of 75 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 2: payment after she recited the from the River to the 76 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: Sea slogan, which is being condemned as anti Semitic. The 77 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: government was forced to back a coalition Senate motion that 78 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: implicitly criticized Senator payment by calling on the senators to 79 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 2: refrain from inflammatory and divisive comments Senator payment. Of course, 80 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 2: she sparked a fracture within Labor over the Middle East 81 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 2: War by accusing Israel of committing genocide in Gaza on Wednesday. 82 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: Seawan story number four. Former Prime Minister Scot Morrison and 83 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump are somewhat unlikely bad fellows, 84 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: but they certainly are close, aren't they. With a former 85 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: prime minister visiting mister Trump in New York and calling 86 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: the current legal battles involving him a pylon. 87 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 2: Mister Morrison met mister Trump and his private residence and 88 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: afterwards said America's legal system risks damaging its reputation and 89 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 2: being viewed as similar to those in developing countries that 90 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 2: are politically compromised. Mister Trump is leading Democrat President Jane 91 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 2: Biden in the polls, but he faces more than ninety 92 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 2: criminal charges across four separate cases, mister Morrison said. Mister 93 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:39,040 Speaker 2: Trump indicated support for the Orchest submarine deal during the meeting. 94 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 2: The former Prime Minister is in the US launching his 95 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 2: book Plans for Your Good at Prime Minister's Testimony of 96 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 2: God's Faithfulness, with guests that include mister Trump's former Vice 97 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 2: president Mike Pence, and former Secretary of State Like Pompeo. 98 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: Last one, Story number five, how about gaming machine maker 99 00:04:56,080 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 1: Aristocrat Leisure? Yesterday? What a day at share price twelve 100 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: percent after a big increase in net profit. 101 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 2: Yes, it's net profit was up sixteen percent, meant a 102 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 2: high dividend, a boost for its share buyback program. Fascinating. 103 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: Company's got three arms. Traditional gaming machines what you find 104 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 2: in pubs, clubs and casinos, online, social online, real money gaming. 105 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 2: Aristocrats doing well in the US slot machine market, whereby 106 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 2: it effectively rents out the machines and takes a cut 107 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 2: of the money put through them. Particularly successful has been 108 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 2: the recent launch of six NFL branded machines that's making 109 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 2: him a lot of money. In the social gaming division, 110 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 2: which is called Pixel United, a seventeen percent increase in 111 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 2: profit was driven by growth in Aristocrats market share in 112 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 2: social Also a role playing video game called Raid Shadow 113 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 2: Legends very popular amongst gamers. 114 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: All right, now we go to the top five business 115 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 1: stories in five minutes. Thank you Sean, Thank you Michael. 116 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:53,720 Speaker 1: It's Friday, the seventeenth of May twenty twenty four. Remember 117 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: to hit follow on the podcast five minutes sasn't enough. 118 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: You can find our longer daily show called Fear and 119 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 1: Greed wherever you listen to podcasts. I'm Michael Thompson, and 120 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 1: that was the past. By Business News, by fear and greed, 121 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: Have a great day.