1 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: This is what the flux. 2 00:00:06,600 --> 00:00:08,960 Speaker 2: I'm Brett and I'm Justin and it's Wednesday, the ninth 3 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 2: of June. 4 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 1: It is good to be back, Jusey boy. It has 5 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: been a lot of business news over the past few weeks. 6 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: I'm talking Quantus Haack, I'm talking Vergin Australia, I pos 7 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: Trump Tarim Stapp about and I must say, juzzy boy, 8 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: it's great to be back on the mic with you 9 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: and cannot wait to chat about that little cash rate 10 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: surprise as well. 11 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: Very good to be back by Man and flex AMM. 12 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 2: Just a reminder you can always get your finance fixed 13 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 2: from the Flex app as well from learning about cash 14 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: rate updates, financial concepts, managing your budget. We have it 15 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 2: all covered in the Flex app. To make sure to 16 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 2: check that out. 17 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: Three newborn stories today, jussy boy, let's do it for 18 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: our first. The Reserve Bank of Australia has thrown one 19 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 1: of the great surprises of twenty twenty five by pausing 20 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: the cash rate at three point eighty five percent. 21 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 2: Market's almost guaranteed a cart but the markets don't make 22 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 2: the decision, be Man, so tell me more. 23 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: So, Juzy boy. We know that the RBA brains trust 24 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: have put their heads together a few times this year already. 25 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: Yep, there have been two rate so far in twenty 26 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 2: twenty five, with the cash rate falling from four point 27 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 2: three five percent down to three point eight five. 28 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: And with the RBA meeting again on Monday and Tuesday 29 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: this week, the financial markets gave a ninety seven percent 30 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 1: chance of a rate cut. 31 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 2: In fact, they man just four out of thirty six 32 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: economists predicted the decision to keep rates on hold. 33 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: That's because trimmed mean inflation, the favorite figure of the RBA, 34 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: had slowed to two point four percent, which. 35 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 2: Is within the RBA's target range of two to three percent. 36 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: And Jazi wait. On top of this, retail sales had 37 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: also weakened, which should encourage the RBA to drop rates. 38 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 2: But obviously be man. The RBA doesn't want anyone knowing 39 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,119 Speaker 2: its next move now, so it paus the cash rate 40 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,559 Speaker 2: at three point eight five percent. 41 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: The Governor of the RBA said that the case was 42 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: not established for another rate cut. 43 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 2: It wanted to see a little bit more information before 44 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: moving on this cash rate. 45 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: In particular, it pointing to the US tariffs which are 46 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 1: still unknown, as. 47 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 2: Well as the policies that come out of the tariffs 48 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 2: from countries that are hit like China. 49 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 1: Aka Australia's biggest trading partner. So true, So what is 50 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:58,559 Speaker 1: the key learning here? When it comes to interest rates, 51 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: markets can speculate, central banks hold the cards. 52 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 2: Be Man, even if the economic data shows a slow down. 53 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 2: The RBA doesn't want to jump the gun. 54 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: Because jumping the gun could risk reigniting inflation. 55 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 2: And be Man. Despite those positive signs around inflation, we 56 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 2: know that Donald Trump's tariffs could change the whole world's 57 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 2: economy in an instance. 58 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 1: That's why the RBA is waiting for more consistent evidence 59 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 1: before making a change now. 60 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,519 Speaker 2: Interestingly, be Man, The RBA released the voting for the 61 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: very first time, and not all RBA board members agree. 62 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,079 Speaker 1: In fact, three board members voted for a cut, well 63 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: six voted for a pause. 64 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 2: Majority rules. So in this case, the RBA said it 65 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 2: wants more information before cutting again. 66 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 1: It's not a node to the rate cuts, it's more 67 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: of a maybe soon. 68 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 2: Once we get a read on Old Trumpy. 69 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: For our second story. Uber Australia's advertising business has grown 70 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: to over one hundred and fifty million bucks. As its 71 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: latest revenue stream did. 72 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 2: The delays became Uber's payd eight man. So what is 73 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 2: the story here? 74 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 1: So Uber is the OG of ride sharing and food 75 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: delivery services. 76 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 2: We all know the Uber story started in San Francisco 77 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: when Global Fast and launched in Australia in twenty twelve. 78 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: Since then, Uber has remained the dominant player in Australia's 79 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 1: ride sharing and food delivery scene. 80 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,079 Speaker 2: It also famously operated at a loss for years as 81 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 2: a result of its very aggressive growth strategy. 82 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 1: Well think about all those ads with Kim Kardashian, Magna Zubanski, 83 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: Sure Rebel, Wilson, plenty more. Yep. 84 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 2: But in twenty twenty two, b man Uber launching ad 85 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: business in its Australian arm. 86 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: Think as promoting specific restaurants above others, a bit like 87 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 1: Google sponsored ads in your Uber app, And in its. 88 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 2: First year it brought in an additional forty one million 89 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 2: bucks in revenue. 90 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: And fast forward two years later, Uber's ad business group 91 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 1: by fifty five percent to about one fifty mil And then, man. 92 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 2: These aren't your regular food ads. Now. 93 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: Uber uses its first party data like your age, your location, 94 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: your gender, and food habits to serve up really targeted 95 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: food ads. Hungover on a Sunday morning, oh, you better 96 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: believe uberno's and will offer you makers yep. In a 97 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: world where users are becoming more savvy with their data privacy, 98 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: Uber has found a way to monetize the mountain of 99 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: data it has yep. 100 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here? 101 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 1: Not all data sources are created equal, and first party 102 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: data has become a super valuable resource. 103 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 2: First party data is information that a company collects directly 104 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 2: from you. 105 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: For Uber, it might be your location, your purchase history, 106 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:08,839 Speaker 1: your food preferences. 107 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: It's accurate, it's reliable, and you've usually consented to it first, 108 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 2: even if it's in a long list of ts. 109 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: And cs yep, as opposed to third party data, which 110 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: is data collected by a data company or an aggregator 111 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: and then shared with other businesses. 112 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 2: Now, but man, you may remember back in twenty twenty one, 113 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 2: Apple cracked down on third party data collection to protect 114 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 2: user privacy. 115 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: And that meant a lot of advertisers lost access to 116 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 1: info that used to allow them to serve up targeted ads. 117 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 2: So now more than ever, first party data has become 118 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 2: a super valuable resource. 119 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:40,480 Speaker 1: And Uber's got the oodles of it. 120 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 2: So even though their core service is still ride sharing 121 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 2: and food delivery. Their new ad business is clearly very 122 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 2: scalable and very profitable year on year. 123 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: For our third and final story, Audi has launched a 124 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: home delivery service in Australia for the first time to 125 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: get a slice of that growing online grocery industry. 126 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 2: Colsonwill is booming online, so definitely may sense tell me. 127 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: What we man well Jauziboy. Aldi was founded in Germany 128 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: in nineteen forty six by two brothers. Audi has built. 129 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 2: A reputation for offering very low cost groceries and knockoffs 130 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:11,839 Speaker 2: of all the brands. 131 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: You know, Red Rock, Daili chips, how about Audi's Blackstone chips. 132 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 2: Instead, need head and shoulder shampoo, why not try Aldi's 133 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 2: Headstrong shampoo. 134 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: Audi landed in Australia in two thousand and one and 135 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: has grown to have nearly ten percent market share. 136 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: But the man. While has taken the challenge to Coles 137 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,599 Speaker 2: and Willies install, they've really fallen behind online. 138 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: You can't even buy a product from their website. 139 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 2: So now Audi's announced a new partnership with DoorDash that 140 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 2: will allow Aussie customers to purchase Audi products online. And 141 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 2: while it's not quite the same as their own online store. 142 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 2: It does solve a major problem for them, particularly when 143 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 2: the online grocery segment now counts for almost eleven percent 144 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 2: of the overall grocery market. 145 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here? 146 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,800 Speaker 2: Retailers face a tough balancing act between gaining market share 147 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 2: and maintaining profit. Market and Juziboy offering delivery has been 148 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 2: an effective way to grow market share, but it can 149 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 2: also eat into profits because of the huge additional logistics costs. 150 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: In fact, Woolly's new distribution center costs them more than 151 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 1: seven hundred million bucks to bill. 152 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 2: And be man. Audi has been historically hesitant to offer 153 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 2: home delivery because of the huge upfront costs. 154 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 1: That now the opportunity to enter the online space is 155 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: too juicy to ignore. 156 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 2: So instead of spending big on warehouses and tech, Audi's found. 157 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: A bit of a cheat code, partner with someone who 158 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 1: has already built it and lets. 159 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 2: Them stay competitive online. 160 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 1: In fact, Cole's online grocery shopping has grown twenty five 161 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: percent just in the last quarter, and Woolly's online sales 162 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: up more than twenty percent in the most recent quarter 163 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: as well. So if Audi wants to keep up, this 164 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 1: door dash deal might just be the thing Flux and everybody. 165 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,479 Speaker 2: Is shocked by the RBA's cashtray pause, one of the 166 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,919 Speaker 2: great surprises of twenty twenty five so far. We do 167 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 2: a whole deep dive in the Flux app why they 168 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 2: made the pause, what are they looked at, and what 169 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 2: might change next time. So if you want to learn 170 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 2: more about the cashwrake surprise, make sure to check out 171 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 2: the Flux app. 172 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:53,280 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Friday.