1 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: From the Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey. 2 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: It's Friday, February twenty one. Anthony Albanezi and South Australian 3 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: Premier Peter Malinowskis have unveiled a two point four billion 4 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: dollar package to save why Our Steel Works. The vast 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: majority of that money will be used to upgrade the 6 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: steel mill so it can become a major producer of 7 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: green steel under a new owner. To find out what 8 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,160 Speaker 1: that means, go to the Australian dot com dot au. 9 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: Donald Trump versus Volodim Zelenski, an end to the US 10 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: europe Alliance in support of Ukraine, warnings of World War 11 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: III and Russian glee. That's the fast moving situation ripping 12 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: through the war in Ukraine today. What Donald Trump says 13 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: and what he means. Karon Stewart is the Australian's chief 14 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: international correspondent, and it seems in recent days cam we're 15 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: seeing a dramatic shift in the war in Ukraine or 16 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: what could potentially be the peace process for the war 17 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: in Ukraine. Let's go back a couple of days to 18 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: a press conference Donald Trump gave at Mara Lago in Florida, 19 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 1: where he said something that he said a few times before, 20 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 1: that this war would have never started if he had 21 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: been president at the time, and that he could have 22 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: made a deal. 23 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 2: I could have made a deal for Ukraine that would 24 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 2: have given him almost all of the land everything, almost 25 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: all of the land, and no people would have been killed, 26 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: and no city would have been demolished, and one dorm 27 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 2: would have been knocked down. But they chose not to 28 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: do it that way. 29 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: Do you think that's right. 30 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 3: No, I don't think there's any evidence to suggest that 31 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 3: that would be right. Claire. I don't think that American 32 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 3: position on Ukraine was in any way a factor for 33 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 3: Putent invading Ukraine at the time that he did. I 34 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 3: think that is Trump thumping his chest to a degree 35 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 3: and just saying, you know, he has the ass of 36 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 3: the deal. He has said a lot of things wouldn't 37 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 3: have happened had he been president during Joe Biden's presidency. 38 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 3: I think that's just a bit of a chairmanship on 39 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 3: Trump's part. 40 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: President Puttin and I would talk about Ukraine. It was 41 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: the apple of his eye, I will tell you that. 42 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: But he never there was never a chance of him 43 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 2: going in and they told him you better not go in. 44 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: Don't go in, don't go in, and he understood that, 45 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 2: he understood it fully. But I'm only interested. I want 46 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 2: to see if I can save maybe millions of lives. 47 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 2: This could even end up in a World War three. 48 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 2: I'm to be honest with you. You've been hearing now 49 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 2: Europe said, well, I think we're going to go in, 50 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 2: and we're going to go all of a sudden, you 51 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 2: can end up in World War three over something that 52 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: should have never happened. And you know it's a very 53 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 2: sad situation. Yeah, listen, what. 54 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: Do you think about that? Is there any suggestion that 55 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: of a European states I'm going to have boots on 56 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: the ground, or that it's going to escalate to a 57 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: wider europe wide conflict? 58 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 3: Again, I don't think there is any evidence to suggest that. 59 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 3: I mean, the war is very very bogged down, has 60 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 3: been bogged down on a very defined front line for 61 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 3: really over a year now with only marginal changes to 62 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 3: that front line. That Russians don't have the manpower or 63 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 3: the resources to continue this war forever, but they have 64 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 3: many more men and resources to continue it compared to Ukraine. 65 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 3: There really is no suggestion. I think that this war 66 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 3: would expand if it kept going the way that it is. 67 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: The next thing that has happened is that Donald Trump 68 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: has taken to his platform Truth, Social and to X 69 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 1: to make some quite remarkable claims about voladimes Alenski. He's 70 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: a voice actor reading Donald Trump's words. 71 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 4: Think of it a modestly successful comedian. Voladimir Zelenski chuck 72 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 4: the United States of America into spending three hundred and 73 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 4: fifty billion dollars to go into a war that couldn't 74 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 4: be won, that never had to start, but a war 75 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 4: that he without the US and Trump will never be 76 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 4: able to settle. 77 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: Trump said only he could successfully negotiate an end to 78 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 1: the war with Russia. 79 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 4: Biden never tried. Europe has failed to bring peace, and 80 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 4: Zelensky probably wants to keep the gravy train going. I 81 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 4: love Ukraine, but Zelensky has done a terrible job. His 82 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:37,159 Speaker 4: country is shattered and millions have unnecessarily died, and so 83 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 4: it continues. 84 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 3: Europe has been quite shocked by the approach of the 85 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 3: Trump administration has taken this week. It started with the 86 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,919 Speaker 3: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who said that there'd be no 87 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 3: US troops stationed in Ukraine in any peace deal, that 88 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 3: Ukraine could not expect to get its old borders back. 89 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 3: In other words, the territory Russia has taken, and Trane 90 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 3: could not expect to be a member of NATO after 91 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 3: this war. Now only a matter of days later, as 92 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 3: you say, Trump has almost confirmed this with an extraordinary 93 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 3: attack on Zelensky, claiming that he is a dictator without elections, 94 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 3: which is ironic given that Putin is exactly a dictator 95 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 3: without elections, and you know, teasing him as being a 96 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 3: modestly successful comedian. 97 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 4: On top of this, Zelensky admits that half of the 98 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 4: money we sent him is missing. He refuses to have elections, 99 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 4: is very low in Ukrainian polls, and the only thing 100 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 4: he was good at was playing Biden like a fiddle. 101 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,919 Speaker 4: A dictator without elections, Zelensky better move fast or he 102 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 4: is not going to have a country left. 103 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 3: And of course Ukraine was locked out of the first 104 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 3: negotiating talks between Russia and the US in Saudi Arabia. 105 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: So he put all these factors together, and there is 106 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 3: I think genuine lama amongst many European nations, and of 107 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 3: course in Ukraine, that the way that the Trump administration 108 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:11,479 Speaker 3: is going about these negotiations is initially hugely favoring Russia. 109 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 2: I don't want all these people killed anymore. I'm looking 110 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 2: at people that are being killed, and they're Russian and 111 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:21,559 Speaker 2: Ukrainian people, but they're people, doesn't matter where they're from, 112 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,720 Speaker 2: on the whole planet. And I think I have the 113 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 2: power to end this war. 114 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:30,600 Speaker 3: And what does that ultimately mean for any peace deal 115 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,359 Speaker 3: that is struck. Does it really mean that Putin gets 116 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 3: punished for his invasion? Does he pay any price whatsoever 117 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,919 Speaker 3: for his behavior in relation to Ukraine? Or does he 118 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 3: walk away with the twenty percent of Ukraine, no security 119 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 3: guarantees for Ukraine in the future, and no real punishment 120 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 3: for Putin. That certainly is the fear that has been 121 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:53,280 Speaker 3: engendered by the events this week. 122 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: Ken One interpretation of the way Donald Trump is speaking 123 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,239 Speaker 1: is that this is a either the way he thinks 124 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: that he genuinely does believe that Vladimir Zelenski is a 125 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: thief and a liar and that he has ripped off 126 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: the United States. 127 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 2: But today I heard, oh, we weren't invaded, Well, you've 128 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 2: been there for three years. You should have ended it 129 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 2: three years, you should have never started and you could 130 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 2: have made a deal. 131 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: Or the other way to interpret it is that this 132 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: is a big Donald Trump sound and fury, dramatic moment, 133 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: and it's aimed at changing Vladimir Zelenski's expectations of what 134 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 1: he can get from a peace process. That he would 135 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 1: then be able to bring Zelenski to the table with 136 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 1: an expectation that he's not going to get everything he wants. 137 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: He's going to have to seed some territory. Which of 138 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: those two things do you think is more likely? 139 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 3: Look, I think Donald Trump is definitely playing the game 140 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 3: of being the noisy deal maker to try to get 141 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 3: both sides to fall into line and get into a 142 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 3: position where a deal can actually be made. I mean, 143 00:07:56,600 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 3: he's certainly telling Ukraine that it's unrealistic to have the 144 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 3: expectations it does have in this war, and that is 145 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 3: to have NATO membership and to reclaim the territory it's 146 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 3: lost in this war. And I think that Trump is 147 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 3: correct in saying that's unrealistic for Ukraine to do this. 148 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 3: The thing, though, is that they've said this in public 149 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 3: rather than as a negotiating tactic behind closed doors, and 150 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 3: that is the area where a lot of people in 151 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 3: Europe are saying, well, hold it that you've just given 152 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 3: away these concessions publicly without even starting negotiations with Russia. 153 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 3: So this only works from Trump's perspective if the Russians 154 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 3: then give something in return. And what the Russians would 155 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 3: have to give is an acceptance of some sort of 156 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 3: security guarantee for Ukraine short of NATO membership. But that 157 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 3: would satisfy Ukraine and would satisfy Europe, and there certainly 158 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 3: is no early sign that this will be the case. 159 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 3: The Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, in the talks in Saudi 160 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 3: Arabia said he would not Russia would not agree to 161 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 3: European troops being stationed in Ukraine as part of any 162 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 3: peace agreement. Now that's the case, that's a non starter 163 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:07,320 Speaker 3: for Europe. So what we've seen already is Trump telling 164 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 3: Ukraine that it's going to have to have a lot 165 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 3: of concessions and not getting any concessions that we're aware 166 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 3: of from Russia. And that's very concerning, I think. 167 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 1: Coming up what Vladimir Putin and Vladimir is Lensky say. 168 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: Vladimir's Zlensky responded to those claims overnight, saying Donald Trump 169 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 1: has fallen for Russian disinformation. 170 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 5: We have seen this disinformation. We understand that this is 171 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 5: coming from Russia. We understand this, and we have evidence 172 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 5: that these numbers are being discussed between America and Russia. Unfortunately, 173 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 5: President Trump, with who we have great respect as a leader. 174 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 5: I'm the American people who support us, but unfortunately he 175 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 5: lives in this disinformation space. 176 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: Vladimir Putin says nobody is excluding Ukraine, that it will 177 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: be included in negotiations, and is called Zelensky hysterical. Finally 178 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: came in the background to all of this is a 179 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: dispute over Ukraine's rare earths. Ukraine has much of the 180 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: world's sources of critical minerals that are important for things 181 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:30,199 Speaker 1: like semiconductors. US officials, according to American media, suggested to 182 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 1: volodimme Zelenski that the US could be granted fifty percent 183 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: ownership of those rare earths, and that's something that Zelenski declined. 184 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: That's before this onslaught of criticism from Donald Trump. 185 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 3: What is that, Well, it's interesting. Trump seems to be 186 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:50,959 Speaker 3: suggesting that Ukraine owes America a great financial favor because 187 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:54,200 Speaker 3: it's been supporting its military with billions and billions of 188 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 3: dollars over the whole three year war, and Trump is 189 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 3: more or less saying, look, you os four what we've 190 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 3: given you. And so that attempted deal with the rare 191 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 3: earths was a part of Trump basically trying to get 192 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 3: something back for the United States for what it has 193 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 3: given the Ukraine. But of course the Ukrainians and Zelenski said, well, 194 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 3: we're not going to do that without security arrangements being 195 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 3: attached to that deal. You know, if you want a 196 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 3: good deal on rare earths, then you need to give 197 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 3: us the security guarantees we need to proceed. And so 198 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 3: that's why it's a non starter with Zelenski. But I 199 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 3: think the fact that Trump even tried this with Ukraine 200 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 3: just shows that he really sees that Ukraine owes America 201 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:41,680 Speaker 3: for the support that it's given it over the war. 202 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: Cameron Stewart is The Australian's chief international correspondent. Thanks for 203 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 1: joining us on the front. For all the best journalism 204 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 1: from Australia and the world, join our subscribers at the 205 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:04,439 Speaker 1: Australian dot com