1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: It's Monday, the thirteenth of April twenty twenty six. Welcome 2 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed. 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: Whill we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: need to know in just five minutes. I'm Michael Thompson 5 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: and good morning Sean Aylmer. 6 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 2: Good morning, Michael, Sean. 7 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: Five stories in five minutes. Let's go with story number one. 8 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: The US and Iran have failed to make much headway 9 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: in negotiations for peace, putting pressure on the increasingly fragile 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: ceasefire and on the global economy, which is likely to 11 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,840 Speaker 1: feed through to higher inflation and lower economic growth. US 12 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: Vice President JD Vance left Pakistan yesterday Australian time, having 13 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: failed to win the concessions the US was after from 14 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 1: Iran over its nuclear power program. While the negotiations will continue, presumably, 15 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 1: though nothing is a certainty in this war, it seems 16 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: that the all important strait of Humus remains closed to 17 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: all vessels except the ones that Iran wants to let through. 18 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 2: Yes, so the failure to reach agreement clearly frustrated Donald Trump. 19 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 2: He immediately retweeted an article that suggested the US could 20 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 2: blockade Iran to pressure the nation to make a deal. 21 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 2: It's very hard to know exactly what's going on in 22 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 2: the Strait. The US military of the weekend said two 23 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 2: ships had traveled through it for mind clearing. Iran said 24 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: that hadn't happened. You know, a couple of Chinese in 25 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: a Greek vessel appeared to have made the journey. Figures. 26 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,279 Speaker 2: What is coming to the crunch point for Donald Trump 27 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: is gas prices are up twenty one percent in the 28 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,400 Speaker 2: last few weeks. It is becoming a domestic crisis for him, 29 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 2: and that will really give him an incentive to make 30 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 2: a deal. 31 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: You mentioned gas prices there. We've seen the impact of 32 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: the war on petrol prices, and experts are now saying 33 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: that we're soon to see it in food prices as well. 34 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: Global soft commodity prices essentially food products have surged since 35 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: the start of the war in the Middle East, and 36 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: they are actually already rising ahead of the turmoil due 37 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: to poor growing conditions that hit supply. It puts pressure 38 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 1: on growers and food manufacturer shorn to push up prices, 39 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: which then in turn feeds into inflation. This year, and 40 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: particularly since the beginning of the war, there have been 41 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:12,399 Speaker 1: big jumps in prices of palm oil, cheese and milk. Also, 42 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 1: we've seen a surge in soybeans, wheat, canola and rice 43 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: as well. 44 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 2: So experts reckon this is going to hit us in 45 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 2: two or three weeks time. We had the National Farmer's 46 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 2: Federation boss Hamish McIntire saying slightly to hit milk prices first, 47 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 2: then fruit and vegetables, then animal products. That means the 48 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 2: Reserve Bank will still have one figure on the interest 49 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 2: rate hike button. 50 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: Unfortunately, Michael Okay story number two. The last seven days 51 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: have been good for global markets thanks to the US 52 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,359 Speaker 1: and around announcing a ceasefire the seeming end hostilities sent 53 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 1: oil prices down around thirteen percent. Brand crew are sitting 54 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: just under one hundred US dollars a barrel. The Aussie 55 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: dollar is trading above seventy US since while last week, gold, bitcoin, 56 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: and copper all rows. 57 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, so the overwhelming hiver is oil prices. And that's 58 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: the straight off story that we've been talking about. We've 59 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 2: seen that in our market. So the ASX last week 60 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,959 Speaker 2: finished flat, but it was up about four point four percent. 61 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 2: So the miners did well, the banks did well, the 62 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 2: property companies did well, I reckon the real story in 63 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: this though, is it Lassian Ossie company listed on Wall Street, 64 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 2: down sixty three percent this year on fears that AI 65 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 2: will replace its business model at Lassian founder Mike Canan brooks. 66 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 2: He says, ahh, it'll help us. Investors aren't buying that though, 67 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 2: sixty three percent in about four months. 68 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: Ouch wow. Story number three Australia, This commercial property market 69 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: has effectively split in two sean office heavy parts of 70 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 1: the economy showing signs of stress, while industrial and logistics 71 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: property keeps powering ahead, according to new data from Credit 72 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: to Watch. The headline sounds obvious, but the numbers really 73 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 1: make it real here this is it's not commercial property 74 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: as one market anymore. It's two different cycles happening at 75 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: the same time. The big message from Credit to Watch 76 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: as new reporters the business failures, office vacancies and payment 77 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: defaults are rising in industries with lots of exposure to 78 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: office space. 79 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, and just before we leave property, the residential property market. 80 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: We talked about that last week was a really big 81 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 2: weekend for auctions. Clearance straight came in. The preliminary clean 82 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 2: strate came in about fifty eight percent. I'd call that 83 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 2: a pass certainly not a credit, not a fail, which 84 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 2: is good, and the final clearance rate will be over 85 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 2: fifty percent, which is also good, but still very lukewarm 86 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 2: residential property market. 87 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: Indeed, story number four American rather American big bank CEOs, 88 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: the boss of the Federal Reserved our own Power, and 89 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary Scott Besson gathered in Washington late last week 90 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: to discuss the destructive capabilities of Anthropics' latest AI model, 91 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: Claude Mythos. Anthropic is the developer of the claud large 92 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: language model of one of the big players in the 93 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: AI space. The fear is that Mythos can do deteched 94 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: cybersecurity flaws in operating systems and web browsers with exponentially 95 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 1: greater efficiency than human hackers sean and. 96 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 2: Ironically, one of the main reasons Mythos was built was 97 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 2: to protect companies from hackers. How dangerous is it well? 98 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 2: According to Axis Axios, which is a media outlet in 99 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 2: the US, officials believe Mythos can debilitate Fortune one hundred companies, 100 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 2: infiltrate national defense systems, and take down huge chunks of 101 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 2: the Internet. A security expert told Business Inside of the 102 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 2: team of humans can discover about one hundred critical flaws 103 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 2: with no immediate fixes per year. Mythos can find thousands. Now, 104 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 2: at this stage it's only been distributed to about forty companies, 105 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 2: but clearly Anthropic are doing the right thing too, making 106 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 2: sure that there is proper I don't know guardrails against 107 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 2: using it wrongly. 108 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: Last one, sorry, number five, just quickly. Levis, a brand 109 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 1: synonymous with shopping and denim jen Sean, has for the 110 00:05:55,360 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: first time reported more sales direct to consumers than made 111 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: via retailers. Now, Levi's third quarter results show that given 112 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:07,599 Speaker 1: tariffs on imported products, it could lift its prices in 113 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: the US and not lose customers. 114 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 2: A few reads. A few things about this story. I 115 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,200 Speaker 2: like the fact that it can lift prices and not 116 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 2: lose customers. It shows what's going on in that country. Also, 117 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:20,919 Speaker 2: jorts are back the nineties, stole georts, you gene shorts, 118 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: Apparently that's helping out. Country music's back, that's helping out. 119 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 2: And of course love story that show about Karen Bassett 120 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 2: and JFK Jr. She will Levi's the whole time that 121 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 2: helped out. There you go, I'd like. 122 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: To see you in a pair of georts. Sure that 123 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: would not be good for the Levi's brand. There we go, 124 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,559 Speaker 1: five minutes, top five business stories. Thank you very much, Sean. 125 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 2: Thanks Michael. 126 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: It is Monday, the thirteenth of April twenty twenty six. 127 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: Remember to hit follow on the podcast and five minutes 128 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: isn't enough. You can find our longer daily show called 129 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: Fear and Greed wherever you listen to podcasts. So I'm 130 00:06:58,160 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 1: trying to get that image out of my head. I'm 131 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: called Thompson that that was the fast by Business News 132 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 1: by Fear and Greed. Had a great day.