1 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey. 2 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, February eleventh. Chris Dawson's lawyers are seeking leave 3 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: to appeal to the High Court against his conviction for 4 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: murdering his wife, Lynette Simms. The former footballer who was 5 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: charged after The Australian's podcast The Teacher's Pet, says the 6 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: criminal courts have got it wrong and he couldn't get 7 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: a fair trial because police took nearly four decades to 8 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: charge him. Ancient cave paintings on the Knullyball Plane in 9 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: South Australia are at serious risk of decay. That's according 10 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: to scientists and indigenous owners. Research and conservation have been 11 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:49,840 Speaker 1: halted because two groups of traditional owners and native title 12 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: holders can't agree on who should oversee the painstaking work. 13 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: Those exclusives alive now at the Australian dot Com dot 14 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: a U. The pressure's on for Anthony Albnezy and Ambassador 15 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: Kevin Rudd to persuade Donald Trump to exempt Australia from 16 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 1: sweeping twenty five percent tariffs on steel and aluminium. The 17 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: Prime Minister says he's got a phone call lined up 18 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: with the White House, but in the policy whirlwind of Washington, DC, 19 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:27,559 Speaker 1: Will Australia's please be heard? That's today's episode. Before we start, 20 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 1: there's a bit of Billy Connolly and therefore some swearing 21 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:35,959 Speaker 1: in this episode. We want yes and that, we demand 22 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: the share of that and most of that, some of 23 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 1: this and fucking all of that. This episode of the 24 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: Front is about Donald Trump, but sometimes the person to 25 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: best sum up the mood of the moment is Billy Connolly. 26 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 2: And another thing, we want no, I want it, yes 27 00:01:54,880 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: are they? I want fucking lord tomorrow and the demands 28 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 2: will all be changed. A fucking stairwek. 29 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: The Scottish comedic genius, was talking about the women's movement 30 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: back in the eighties, but he could have been talking 31 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: about the first three weeks of the Trump administration. Reducks. 32 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 3: I'm having an early morning shock every single day, Claire. 33 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 3: It's the most remarkable news cycle I can recall in 34 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 3: forty years of journalism. Donald Trump mark two is not 35 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 3: just one announcement a day. It's about seven different major 36 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 3: announcements a day. It's been absolutely spectacular. 37 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 1: That's Cameron Stewart, the Australian's chief international correspondent, and we're 38 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: talking about Trump's latest big announcement. Mad to board Air 39 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: Force One as he traveled to the Super Bowl in 40 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 1: New Orleans, the first sitting president to attend America's most 41 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: sacred sporting day. Trump was mid sentence in his leather 42 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: armchair chatting to a group of reporters when an announcement 43 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: came from the cockpit. 44 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 4: Ya, in a gentleman, if you could please direct your 45 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 4: opinion out the right flout of the aircraft. The Air 46 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 4: Force One is currently in international waters the first time 47 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 4: in history, applying over the recently renamed tom of America. 48 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 2: Wow, who did that? Well again, that's all we care about. Okay, 49 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: here we go. 50 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: In the days since we did our last episode about 51 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, the President has renamed the Gulf of Mexico. 52 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: He's announced the United States will own Gaza. He's reintroducing 53 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: plastic straws, sacking thousands of federal public servants, sanctioning the 54 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: International Criminal Court, negotiating between Live Golf and the PGA, 55 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: releasing water from Californian dams to fight wildfires. And this 56 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: is the bit that sent international markets and the Australian 57 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: government into Defcon one. 58 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: We will also be announcing steel tariffs on Mondays, while Monday, 59 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: yuh tomorrow, pot Patris Wile has gone everybody Steell, including Canada, 60 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 2: Eddy Steele coming into the United States is going to 61 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 2: have a twenty five percent going to do a little 62 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 2: bit to twenty percent. 63 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 1: Or just like that, the President sent markets into meltdown 64 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: with a new iteration of his ideas on free trade 65 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: and protectionism. Last year, Australia sent about a billion dollars 66 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: worth of steel and aluminium to the United States that. 67 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 3: Would be in Australian jobs would be lost, it would 68 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 3: be a real problem for the Australian economy and it 69 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 3: would be a major, major bilateral issue between the two countries. 70 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 3: So we are basically looking at a situation clear where 71 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 3: all the things that have been speculated about the Trump 72 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 3: administration and Australia, we will find some big answers in 73 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 3: the next couple of days as to exactly what Donald 74 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 3: Trump thinks of Australia, exactly what he thinks of the friendship, 75 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 3: the alliance, and exactly how far he wants to push. 76 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 1: Things in his first administration, Trump talked like an old 77 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: school protectionist. I'm here for American jobs and tariffs are 78 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: a tool to protect American manufacturing from cheap foreign imports. 79 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: Last week, it looked like Trump was using tariffs as 80 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: a lever a tool of political pressure. Columbia wouldn't accept 81 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: military flights full of deportees, so Trump threatened a giant 82 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 1: tariff on all Colombian goods. Trump said Canada wasn't doing 83 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: enough to stop the flow of drugs like fentanyl over 84 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 1: the border, so he slapped them with tariffs on air 85 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: Force one. Trump said, any country that imposes tariffs on 86 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 1: American goods will get a taste of its own medicine. 87 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:48,359 Speaker 2: I'll be announcing probably Tuesday, on Wednesday at a newscar 88 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 2: forms reciprocal tariffs, and very simply, if they charge us, 89 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 2: we charged them. 90 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 3: Of course. In twenty eighteen, Trump tried to put tariffs 91 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 3: on a bunch of countries for steel aliminium, exactly the 92 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 3: same concept. He exempted Australia at that point, in part 93 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 3: because a US has a trade surplus with Australia, so 94 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 3: we don't fall into the category of a problem child 95 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 3: when it comes to other countries trading with America. We 96 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 3: have a free trade agreement, America has a healthy trade surplus, 97 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 3: so there's not really any concept for Trump to get 98 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 3: angry at Australia in the same way it gets angry 99 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 3: with other countries which have a trade deficit. So that 100 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 3: is hugely to Australia's advantage economically, quite apart from the 101 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 3: fact that we are the closest military alliance to United 102 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 3: States really of almost any country in the world. So 103 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 3: there are so many arguments which the government can throw 104 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 3: towards Donald Trump to argue for an exemption, but of 105 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 3: course that doesn't guarantee anything. 106 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: That's why Anthony Albanezi is now scrambling to get Trump 107 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: on the phone. Australia's biggest steelmaker, blue Scope, which makes coloor, bond, 108 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: roof and fencing sheets, has a huge steel mill in 109 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: Ohio and employees about four thousand people. 110 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 3: In theory, this be a non starter for this tariff 111 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 3: threat from Trump to Australia because of the security and 112 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 3: economic situation between the two countries. But you never know, 113 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 3: that's absolutely not a guarantee with Donald Trump. Mark too. 114 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 3: I mean, just go and ask Canada. I mean, there 115 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 3: you have a country as friendly as you could ever 116 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:19,239 Speaker 3: be with the United States that's facing twenty five percent 117 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 3: tariffs not just on overall, but also on their still 118 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 3: and now luminium as well. So the friendship factor with 119 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 3: Trump in the second term is still a very opaque one. 120 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 3: It's very, very hard to get a reading on where 121 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 3: America's good friends stand. And that's why it's hard to 122 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 3: get a reading on this with Australia because we are 123 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 3: going to come across his radar for the first time 124 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 3: in his presidency in a big way with this policy. 125 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 1: Coming up. Can Anthony Albanezi and his ambassador secure a 126 00:07:52,920 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: deal with be ultimate deal maker? It feels like a 127 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 1: million years ago, but it was Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull 128 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: who negotiated Australia an exemption from exactly this tariff last 129 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:20,559 Speaker 1: time it was proposed. His ambassador was Joe Hockey, who 130 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 1: famously had a kind of golf relationship with Donald Trump. 131 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: They were kind of buddies. Now Anthony Albernese's ambassador in Washington, 132 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: DC is Kevin Rudd, who has been very prickly about 133 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, and it would seem that the feeling is mutual. 134 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,439 Speaker 1: What do you think this says about Anthony Albanese's choice 135 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,079 Speaker 1: of Kevin Radd and his decision to stick with him. 136 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: In the Trump administration. 137 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 3: I think Anthony Albanese's decision to appoint Kevin Rudd was 138 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 3: always slightly risky given and Albanese's previous criticism off Trump. 139 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 3: But then you know, the Vice President JD. Evans criticized 140 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 3: Trump a lot, so did Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, 141 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 3: So it's certainly not a disqualifying factor, and at that 142 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 3: point in time, to be fair, Trump was not really 143 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 3: in the picture for a second term. Look, I think 144 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 3: that a lot of this stuff about the personalities when 145 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 3: we talked about Albanesi and Rudd and Trump are overblown. 146 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 3: I think that these decisions get made fundamentally on issues 147 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 3: on realities rather than personalities. Yes, they're not of the 148 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 3: same stripe politically as Trump compared to Malcolm Turnbull and 149 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 3: Joe Hockey, but I mean Albanesi had a very friendly 150 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,439 Speaker 3: first phone call with Donald Trump. Rudd has subsequently met 151 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 3: with Trump, is certainly very well connected to a lot 152 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 3: of Republicans. So I think personally that these issues of 153 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 3: politics and personality are more overblown than they should be, 154 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 3: and that really this decision will come down to fairly 155 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 3: hard nuts decisions about the interest of various countries, and 156 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 3: I think Trump will be persuaded that Australia should get 157 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 3: an exemption because it's in America's interest as much as Australia's. 158 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: Something that's changed since last time Donald Trump was in 159 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: the White House is the Orchest Treaty between Australia, the U, 160 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: the United States and the UK, which of course involves 161 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 1: building nuclear submarines here in Australia. How much will that 162 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: play into this, if at all. 163 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 3: Well, this actually increases Australia's leverage in this argument compared 164 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 3: to twenty eighteen, when, of course AUCUST didn't exist. And 165 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 3: it's quite good timing in one sense, Claire, because we've 166 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 3: just had Richard Miles go over the Defense Minister and 167 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:26,720 Speaker 3: give several hundred million dollars towards the American nuclear submarine project. 168 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 3: Because Australia is tipping in US three billion dollars to 169 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 3: help the US submarine nuclear production in the United States 170 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,439 Speaker 3: as part of August, that is a very big selling 171 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 3: point for Donald Trump. Now remember this is the same 172 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 3: president who exempted Australia last time without AUCUST. So I 173 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 3: think if you look just at the facts, there is 174 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:49,560 Speaker 3: a greater argument for Donald Trump to exempt Australia this 175 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 3: time round than there was before. 176 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 4: Now. 177 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 3: The only rider I would put to this is that 178 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 3: Donald Trump is a different president at this time round. 179 00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 3: He loves taris even more than a get in his 180 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 3: first term. So the question is that how much does 181 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 3: he love his tariffs. In theory, Australia should get off, 182 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 3: but we just don't know. 183 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 1: Cameron Stewart is The Australian's chief international correspondent. You can 184 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:22,079 Speaker 1: read all our analysis of what this means for Australian 185 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 1: business and everyone else right now at the Australian dot 186 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:26,959 Speaker 1: com dot au