1 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fear and Greed Summer series, brought to 2 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: you by Vanter, specialists in compliance led growth. I'm Michael 3 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: Thompson and good morning Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 2: Good morning, Michael, and good. 5 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: Morning Adam Lang. 6 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 3: Good morning Michael. 7 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: Now five minutes that's what we've got on the clock 8 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: this morning, and in that time we're each going to 9 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: put forward a big story about politics, Australian politics, the 10 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 1: biggest political story of the year. At the end we're 11 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: going to decide who wins. Let's jump straight into it. Adam, 12 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: you have drawn the short straw and you get to 13 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: go first. 14 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 3: Alrighty, So for me, it's Prime Minister Anthony Albanisi and 15 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 3: how he's lost a bit of political mojo. Incumbent governments 16 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 3: worldwide have been at risk this year as global inflation, 17 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 3: higher interest rates, geopolitical tensions and war are all impacting 18 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 3: how people feel about their governments. Our hip pockets are 19 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 3: hurting and the finger of blame quickly turns to governments 20 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 3: when elections come on to our calendar. Twenty twenty five, 21 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 3: Australia has to have a federal election. We have persistent 22 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 3: inflationary pressure starting to come down, but interestrates remain at 23 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,279 Speaker 3: a twelve year high four point three five percent. Energy 24 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: costs surge higher with some help from government grants, and 25 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 3: we are behind schedule on the green energy transition. So 26 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 3: as we close the year, the Australian Financial Review and 27 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 3: Freshwater Strategy poll shows that most voters believe Australia will 28 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 3: have a minority government after the next election. There is 29 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 3: an expectation that Peter Dutton may be in charge. Anthony 30 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 3: Albanesi meanwhile, close to parliamentary year with a slew of 31 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 3: legislation getting passed. Still, the Australian population feels a hip 32 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 3: pocket hit from the cost of living and Albanesi has 33 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 3: lost his political mojo that he is the prime minister 34 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 3: to lead us. 35 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 1: Don't forget when he bought a three was it three 36 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: million dollar house in the middle of a housing crisis. 37 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: That wasn't a good. 38 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 3: Look coastal retreat. 39 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:55,639 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been quite. 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 4: An amazing fall for Anthony Alberanezi, who really had such 41 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 4: a great to begin with, remember all those foreign trips 42 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 4: and this year he has really lost his manjo, not 43 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 4: just externally but internally. Even ALP members are disappointed in 44 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 4: Anthony Alberanezi, I mean interesting six months, good story, but 45 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,639 Speaker 4: I think I'm getting a bit more nitty gritty for 46 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:18,959 Speaker 4: my being as political story. 47 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 2: I love it. 48 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 4: Into the dirt, the nuclear power debate, I don't know 49 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 4: what into the dirt. 50 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know whether you say that yeah. 51 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: Maybe uranium, Yeah, I think feels higher risk Blinky the 52 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: three eyed fish from the Simpsons. 53 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 4: Here and the whole push towards renewable energy. What the 54 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 4: nuclear power debate puts on the table one of the 55 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 4: biggest no goes in politics for decades, that's nuclear energy. 56 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 4: Opposition leader Peter Dutton deserves recognition for that. It needs 57 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 4: to be part of the debate. Even if you don't 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 4: like it. We should be debating it because nuclear can 59 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 4: create huge amounts of energy. In coming decades, we're going 60 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 4: to need huge amounts of energy. 61 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 2: The push to. 62 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 4: Renewables is inevitable now, even if Donald Trump wants to 63 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 4: drill more oil. But he's own in personal left standing 64 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 4: thinking that the push to renewables isn't inevitable. Part the 65 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,519 Speaker 4: costing for a moment under coalitions model, which involves seven 66 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 4: nuclear power plants as part of the mixed renewable energy 67 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 4: will still be the dominant source of power by twenty fifty, 68 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:22,639 Speaker 4: but about a third of power will be nuclear. Under 69 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 4: the government's policy, ninety ninety four percent of generation by 70 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 4: twenty fifty will be renewable energy. Labour's plan predicts ninety 71 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,839 Speaker 4: percent of coalified power will have exited the system by 72 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 4: twenty thirty four. Coal plays no long term role in 73 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 4: the coalition's plan either. They will take just a bit longer. 74 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 4: Australians now know what they're voting for in terms of 75 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 4: the energy transition when we go to the polls. I 76 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 4: think the energy transition is perhaps the greatest challenge facing 77 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 4: Australia over the next decade, particularly because we're going to 78 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 4: need more energy and now we have something to choose between. 79 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 4: I think that has been the political story of the year. 80 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: Oh that is a good one, but look, we are 81 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: a business podcast. We have a lot of business leaders 82 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: listening to us here, so this one is for you. 83 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 1: I would have to say that the biggest political story 84 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: of the year is the industrial relations reform that has 85 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: been introduced by the government. I don't know why I. 86 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 2: Paused for tumble weeks. 87 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I paused for effect. I don't know what I 88 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 1: was expecting, applause, just cheers or something. I don't know anyway. 89 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: These are laws that have been passed over the last 90 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: kind of eighteen months or so, but many have so 91 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: don't disqualify them though, seawn, because many have come into 92 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: effect this year. 93 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 2: Right, I'm with him, Yeah, they're okay, good. 94 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: One of the most prominent, one of the ones that's 95 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: really generated a lot of talk has been the right 96 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: to disconnect with employees, able to ignore calls or emails 97 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 1: or messages from the boss after work hours where reasonable, 98 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: without fear of punishment. Also major changes to the casual workforce, 99 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: where casuals are doing regular hours and they're technically not 100 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 1: casuals anymore, employee like conditions for the gig economy. Huge 101 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: huge changes for labor hire workers getting a big pay 102 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: rise under the same job, same pay wages, which kind 103 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: of disproportionately affects companies with a large contracted workforce like 104 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: our big miners IR reforms. They may not be in 105 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:21,720 Speaker 1: the headlines all the time, but businesses and employees are 106 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: working through these things every single day. This has been 107 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 1: a really, really big political story of the last twelve months. 108 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: I don't know why I'm getting all gestury on this 109 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 1: really kind of it's like a. 110 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 3: Enthusiasm I think it is. 111 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:38,480 Speaker 1: I don't know whether I've done enough to win that, 112 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: though I suspect it is probably Elbow losing his mojo 113 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:42,919 Speaker 1: as the winner. 114 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 2: Yeah. 115 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 4: You know what's interesting about Albert, It's like, you know, 116 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 4: we talk about the IR reforms, the NDIS reforms. There's 117 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 4: been all sorts of different funding like the Northern Australia 118 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 4: Fund and these sorts of things. They've actually done quite 119 00:05:55,680 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 4: a bit, but somehow he just has lost his major. Look. 120 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 4: All I can say is that I think the nuclear 121 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 4: debate is the bronze medal winner, and I accept that 122 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:06,239 Speaker 4: spot on the podium. 123 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 2: I can't decide between Ira and Albow. 124 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: Are you willing to share the medal or break it in? 125 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 3: I actually think I'll concede because, given particularly my productivity enthusiasm, 126 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 3: I do think industrial relations is the story me too. 127 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:26,919 Speaker 2: I was disappointed at Adam conceded so quickly. I mean, 128 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: I want you to fight for it, Adam. 129 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, especially when I had already given you the win 130 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:34,560 Speaker 1: one hand. I'd already declared Albow the winner. 131 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we all conceded in the last thirty seconds. 132 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 2: Well done. Come on, Michael wins. Adam next, then. 133 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 3: An unprecedented Christmas give. 134 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 2: A sexy bronze Medalist. 135 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 1: Now what tomorrow's episode. You have to bring the passion. 136 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: We've got to spark up a bit tomorrow and you 137 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:52,599 Speaker 1: have to try and win. 138 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 2: Win. Thank you very much, Sean, Thanks Michael. 139 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: I fight to the death tomorrow and thank you Adam. 140 00:06:58,560 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 3: Thank you Michael. 141 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 1: Make sure you hit follow on the podcast. This is 142 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: the Fear and Greed Summer Series, brought to you by Vantera. 143 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 1: Vant automates compliance for frameworks like ISO twenty seven one, 144 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:12,239 Speaker 1: SoC two, CPS two three four and Essential eight, saving 145 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: time and money while building trust. Join over eight thousand 146 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:21,239 Speaker 1: companies like Lassiandovetailfiant and Tactic dot io managing real time risk. 147 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: Get one thousand dollars off at vant dot com. Slash 148 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: Fear and Greed. I'm Michael Thompson and this is the 149 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: Fear and Greed Summer Series