1 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Australians Money Puzzle podcast. I'm 2 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,079 Speaker 1: James Kirby, the world editre at The Australian, and I 3 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 1: want to come aboard everybody. Well, we're into the final 4 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: week of regular podcasts and today I want to open 5 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: up the show a little. We want to talk about 6 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: all things investing on the markets. Listed investments, banks, big companies, 7 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: big industrials. Property trusts, which are folks, if you're interested 8 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 1: in property on the listed side have become one of 9 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: the hottest areas of the year. The property trusts are 10 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 1: up about twenty five percent this year on the market, 11 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: which is quite a strong performance recovery performance. And two 12 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: of the more interesting stocks of the entire year are 13 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: the Goodman Group and also Digico, that big float, which 14 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: both are property trusts. But there are also proxies of 15 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: course for AI. So now, my colleague, Associate Editor of Business, 16 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: Eric Johnson's just emerged from the annual CEO survey that 17 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: we do at The Australian, where you get an exceptional 18 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: sort of line into dozens of leading CEOs from the 19 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: top two hundred. He's just been through that and I 20 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: thought it would be a great idea to have him 21 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: on the show and talk about what are the key 22 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 1: person the key CEOs in Australia and those same people 23 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: who are presented both the risk and opportunity to us 24 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: as investors. What are they thinking at the moment, what 25 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: are they thinking about the year ahead and what does 26 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: it tell us as investors. Great to have him back 27 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 1: on the show. How are you Eric? 28 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 2: Thanks very much, James, Really good to be here. 29 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: Good to have you on. Just in very broad terms, 30 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: what's the mood? What's the mood with these people considering 31 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: they've just had a fantastic year if they're listed. 32 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, so we spoke to it's approximately seven, just 33 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: over seventy of Australia's leading CEOs from every corner of 34 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 2: the market that you could think of, so from property, manufacturing, mining, 35 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 2: to banking, financial services, wealth management, super advisory, you name it, 36 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: we spoke to them. If you were to sum it 37 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 2: up in distill it in just to really pure form, 38 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,959 Speaker 2: I think the term would be cautious optimism going into 39 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. So the hardest period that they had, 40 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 2: when I say they the companies themselves, so what they 41 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: were seeing in their own businesses was pretty much the 42 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 2: September quarter, coming out of the June quarter, September quarter, 43 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 2: and they've sort of come through this period looking ahead 44 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 2: and looking into twenty twenty five. And these are the 45 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: CEOs thinking, okay, look what do we got ahead of 46 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: its now. Some of them like, for example, like let's 47 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: start from the very top. Okay, one of the biggest 48 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,080 Speaker 2: companies in Australia, Comme Weth Bank. Like Matt Common, the 49 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: CEO of common Wealth Bank. He's saying, so he's again 50 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: that theme of cautious optimism. He thinks interest rates are 51 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 2: going to start falling much quicker than many expect. He 52 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 2: hasn't put a specific timing around it, but it's certainly 53 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 2: early in the new year. However, what he is seeing, 54 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,839 Speaker 2: this is Matt Common of Komon Weth Bank years of 55 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 2: low growth, high costs, so inflation is really hurting his 56 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 2: customer base and that's sort of knocked confidence around. So 57 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 2: when we get some of that relief, which is inflation 58 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 2: pulling back, which we're starting to signs of, when we 59 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 2: get relief in rates, his expectation is that we'll bring 60 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 2: back the confidence and therefore people will start borrowing again. 61 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 2: So another theme that we're really sort of seeing going 62 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 2: into next year is also the idea companies now thinking 63 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 2: we've had this inflationary environment. It is hurting our customer base. 64 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 2: But they're also thinking about their own business and productivity 65 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 2: measures for productivity, how can they how can they grow 66 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 2: their business? 67 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: They're very weak by historical and international standards. 68 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, so with that, they're thinking about the tools and 69 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 2: the leavers that they can play, how they can play 70 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:19,239 Speaker 2: a role. So we have seen some quite large wage 71 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 2: rises in recent years, so they're looking to capture that. 72 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 2: And that's not and by all means, this is no 73 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 2: one's saying we're going to whole cell cut costs or 74 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 2: anything like that. Everyone's talking about investing and people are 75 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 2: companies are talking about investing in the tools, particularly technology, 76 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 2: to allow their workforce to achieve more from what they 77 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 2: have today. 78 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: And is an AI theme, Yeah very much. 79 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,839 Speaker 2: And that is and everyone's talking about AI. Is you 80 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 2: know this thing? But now it's what we're looking at 81 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: this year is the rubber hitting the road on AI. 82 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 1: The conversion of the promise. If it converts from promise. 83 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 2: That's right, So how is it going to start impacting 84 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 2: into my own business? So Australian Super. So that's just 85 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 2: that's the nation's biggest super fund. Probably many of your 86 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 2: listeners are members as well, just by default. The boss 87 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 2: of Australian Super Paul Schroder, saying he believes that AI 88 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 2: has some real productivity potential for the Australian economy. So 89 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: the idea of automating processes this is like menial tasks 90 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 2: that are happening back officers. This unleashes people to do 91 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 2: igh and value work, personalization of products and services and 92 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: streamline compliance. All that's going to deliver productivity gains. 93 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 1: So there's two big themes there then, one being the 94 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 1: if you like, the revival perhaps of the economy to 95 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: some extent, and the revival of financing of the economy 96 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: and lending to the economy by the major financials. And 97 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: then also this idea about productivity. And most investors don't 98 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: necessarily care about productivity, it's not something they obsessed about, 99 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: but the CEOs that run the listed companies certainly do 100 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: because because basically you have to get more value for 101 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: the wages that you pay. So I'm just thinking just 102 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 1: going back on looking at these two areas then, as 103 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: from a listed perspective. From an investor perspective, we think 104 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: about the banks. So they mentioned Matt at the Combank 105 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 1: looking out over at this economy which is somewhat subdued, 106 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 1: though even there as very low unemployment rates. His own 107 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,719 Speaker 1: bank then is flying right. It's fifty percent over priced 108 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: according to the consensus targets in the market. It's running 109 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: at about one hundred and fifty dollars. The brokers are 110 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: saying it's worth about one hundred. This stock itself surprised 111 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,159 Speaker 1: everybody because not so much that the Australian economy smashed 112 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 1: it out of the park. But it wasn't as bad 113 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: as they thought, so the bank was able to write 114 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 1: back some of the provisioning and that underpin the better 115 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: earnings and people expected for the big banks. Just ticking 116 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 1: out that layer, Eric, if we could just talk about 117 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 1: bank stocks for a moment. We have Combank, which is 118 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 1: sort of the King Kong of the bank sector and 119 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: would seem to be the most overpriced according to the analysts. 120 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 1: And then there are three other banks making up the 121 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: Big four, and a new broom growing through those banks, 122 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: new CEOs coming in at Day and Z of course, 123 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: and a Z and Westpac, And so what do you 124 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: think the outlook for bank stocks might be coming off 125 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 1: what the CEOs are saying. It would be very hard 126 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 1: for them to do that all over again next year. 127 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: You'd imagine, I mean, o the stocks, i'd regardless of 128 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: their performance on the street, if you know what I mean. 129 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 2: And CBA, as you pointed out, is a really interesting case, 130 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 2: and that was just flying. It's been one of the 131 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 2: hottest stocks in the world. But that in itself means 132 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 2: that CBA is also one of the most expensive bank 133 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 2: stocks in the world. There are no stock market analysts 134 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 2: and has a buy recommendation on CBA, not because I 135 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 2: think it's a it's not because I think it's a 136 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 2: bad business. They just say it's too expensive. It's way 137 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 2: too expensive for the share price, is too expensive for 138 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 2: the earnings to support what it is. However, they have 139 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 2: been wrong the entire way up for CBA. 140 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: They've been wrong. They've been wrong from one hundred dollars 141 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: to one hundred and fifty. 142 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 2: That's right, So they've been wrong at one hundred and ten. 143 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 2: There are wrong at one hundred and twenty and so on. 144 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 2: So there's soul surgeon going on in analysts look with CBA, 145 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 2: there is a bit of crowding out. CBA is a 146 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:31,119 Speaker 2: play on Australia. It's safe, it's a safe investment because 147 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 2: just the shiit size of it. It represents almost like 148 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 2: twenty percent of the economy in terms of mortgages and 149 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 2: business loans and so on. And you've seen a lot 150 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 2: of index funds also so back CBA, but also just 151 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 2: a lot of passive money just sitting in CBA. So 152 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 2: the real action going into twenty twenty five is going 153 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: to be in the non CBA banks. And as you 154 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 2: pointed out, so we've got each of these banks have 155 00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 2: got new CEOs, So Westpac, NAB and aan z Ainz's 156 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 2: new CEO, Shane Elliott, will step down in July, so 157 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:10,679 Speaker 2: it's a little bit further down the track. 158 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 1: The change of the guard are then at the big banks. 159 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, two of those appointments at west Pac and NAB 160 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:22,079 Speaker 2: they're virtually internal. Virtually they are internal appointments. So the strategy, 161 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 2: all things being equal, when you look as an investor, 162 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 2: you know what you're getting that the strategy is going 163 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 2: to be the same. Maybe some tweaks here and there, 164 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 2: but you're not going to see any shifts, any changes. 165 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 2: Westpac is an interesting story because it's been It's Anthony 166 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 2: Miller started this week as new CEO, and it's been 167 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 2: really through this period of introspection since it had its 168 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 2: ods Track scandal leading into the COVID pandemic. So it's 169 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: been sort of thrown off its balanced for those years, 170 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: totally internally focused, competitive where it can, but it's coming 171 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:57,359 Speaker 2: out of the other side of that. It's winning over regulators, 172 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 2: which means there's a potential for it to. It's been 173 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 2: operating under a capital penalty so that that potentially comes off, 174 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:05,959 Speaker 2: so it might get a little bit of a bump there. 175 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: So there's more potential in a company like Westpac. Then 176 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 2: you see, I can get the settings right because it 177 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 2: hasn't had that surge up the Combank has. It's not 178 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 2: going to be another combank that's just been a remarkable run. 179 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 2: Combank is like that because it's also well run. It's 180 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 2: highly efficient, it's well run. You know what you're getting, 181 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 2: and it's predictable. 182 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:29,079 Speaker 1: Okay, I just what do I do? Might hold it 183 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: right there? We take a short break and we'll come 184 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: back and we'll take a look at outside the banking sector. 185 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: But listeners, I'm sure that was useful to you on 186 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 1: the four banks. So interestingly, internal appointments being being particularly 187 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: popular with these banks because they are conservative and investors 188 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: like certainty. And there is, if you like, the role 189 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 1: model of that common who was taken internally some years 190 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 1: ago at a time when it was a very debatable 191 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 1: thing to do, because Combank, from a reputation point of view, 192 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: very low at a very low eb around the time 193 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 1: of the Heyin Rold commission, and his chair quite bravely 194 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 1: stuck with an internal appointment. So this is why the 195 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: banks do that. Now. The only issue, as Eric is saying, 196 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: is that there's nothing wrong with our banks. They're perfectly fine, 197 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: and their numbers are perfectly fine. Their problem is that 198 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:25,680 Speaker 1: they've been so enthusiastically bought up by investors that it's 199 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,680 Speaker 1: going to be very hard to justify the price levels 200 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 1: there at all. Right, we'll be back in a moment 201 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: and we're going to take a look at outside the banks. 202 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: We're going to take a look who's who in among 203 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 1: the big miners and some of the bigger industries. Back 204 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 1: in the moment, Hello, and welcome back to the Australian's 205 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: Money Puzzle podcast. I'm James Kirby, Wealth editor at The 206 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: Australia talking to a colleague from The Australian, Eric Johnson, 207 00:11:56,480 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 1: Associate Business Editor. He has been running the knobs and 208 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 1: talking to many dozens of the top CEOs in the 209 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: country and I thought would be really good idea to 210 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: take a look at who they are and what difference 211 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 1: they make at stocks. I suppose are we talked about 212 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 1: the banks there, that's an area of the market where 213 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: the personality of the CEO is least important. By that, 214 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 1: I mean a good blue chip company. The theory is 215 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: that the boss should be able to be run over 216 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 1: by a bus and the share price shouldn't be affected. 217 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: I mean that was traditionally inside big blue chip companies, 218 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: the sort of brutal concept. But the idea was obviously 219 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: that the company was more than a single person. Now 220 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 1: that's less so as you move away from banks and 221 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: you go to other parts of the economy, even the 222 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 1: big miners. Now the big two, the very big two 223 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,599 Speaker 1: obviously being Rio and BHP art to that extent, the 224 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: blue chip in that manner as well. And though we're 225 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,520 Speaker 1: all very fond of the CEOs and we like them. 226 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:55,120 Speaker 1: They could be run over by a bus and they 227 00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 1: would be replaced, and you would hope that the share 228 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:58,959 Speaker 1: price wouldn't go off the rails. Now that wouldn't be 229 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: the case necessarily a fortescue where forest is still very important, 230 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 1: or minrais for Chris Ellison is very important. This was 231 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: very important. I tell us what the big mining CEOs 232 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 1: have been, what their view has been or energy and 233 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 1: resources in that area? Is the view cautiously optimistic? I 234 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: would expect that they might be hoping for a better 235 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 1: year because they were the weakest part of the market 236 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 1: last year in terms of the overall return of stocks. 237 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: We had terrific year on banks, consumer discretionary, marvelous year 238 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 1: for it though it's a relatively small part of the 239 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: market in terms of market cap. But when you look 240 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: at the energy and materials it was quite weak. I 241 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 1: mean energy was substantially down by about twenty percent, which 242 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: were certainly not used to at all. But they had 243 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: a very weak They had a very weak year, and 244 00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 1: materials weren't much better minus thirteen percent. This is a market, 245 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: by the way, folks that went up eating so keep 246 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: that in mind. So is there an elevated optimism from 247 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,319 Speaker 1: the mining and resource energy people compared to the rest 248 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 1: of the market. Have you any sense of that. 249 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 2: Oh, look, when we started off talking about the term 250 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 2: cautious and with the miners, the emphasis, if you want 251 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 2: to draw a line, is probably more on the cautious 252 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 2: part of that phrase, particularly with those two big material stocks. 253 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 2: So it's BHP and RIO, they're pretty much like for like, 254 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:40,200 Speaker 2: except Rio has the aluminum play and that's a big differentiator. 255 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 2: BHP is probably more exposed to copper. In coming years, 256 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 2: it's going to have it's going to have potash. That's 257 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 2: a fertilizer play, which RIO doesn't have, which would be 258 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 2: an interesting one. How that changes going into this year. 259 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 2: And often it's funny when you speak to the CEOs 260 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 2: of these companies and they're thinking so long term, they're 261 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 2: not even thinking about You ask them, wow, what do 262 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 2: you think about the outlook? How's the coming year? And 263 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 2: they think what they are think. 264 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: They're thinking about minds. They're going to build an eye 265 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 1: of time ten. 266 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 2: Or fifteen years time. They're thinking kilometers ahead, but where 267 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 2: it is. But the theme is obviously China is the 268 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 2: driver of that, and China there is no doubt it's 269 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 2: not troubled, but it's certainly slowed. It's aiming for about 270 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 2: five percent growth this year. Whether it's sort of whether 271 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 2: it sort of hits that remains to be seen. But look, 272 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 2: activity is coming off in China, in particularly in the 273 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 2: consumer sector, and you can see the authorities they're trying 274 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 2: to pull some different levers. Nothing's really going to start 275 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 2: to happen until there's going to there's a change of 276 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 2: president in the US, So Trump comes in China starts 277 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 2: seeing what the landscape is, so it'll be a bit 278 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 2: premature for China to move before that. Then the other thing, 279 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 2: to the other factor which really complicates things is this 280 00:15:56,320 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 2: idea of Trump putting tariffs in and then there's retaliation. 281 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 2: That trigger is a trade war. That trigger is a 282 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,240 Speaker 2: slow down in activity in the global global world. So 283 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 2: again that may mean that players like b HPN, rio 284 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 2: sound sell less copper, sell less iron or But you 285 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 2: don't buy these You don't buy these stocks for what 286 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 2: they're going to do in twelve months time. You buy 287 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 2: these stocks for what they're doing in five years time. 288 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 2: So if you speak to them, what are they thinking about, 289 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 2: what are they really thinking about? It's copper. It all 290 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 2: comes down to copper, and they just see this huge right, 291 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: they just see a huge deficiting copper from the end 292 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 2: of this decade and the world not having enough accessible 293 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 2: copper supplies, and that's where they're trying to get onto. Okay, 294 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 2: your listeners are very big fans of gold. I'm sure 295 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 2: you've got a lot of gold. Yeah, well, look Northern Northern, 296 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 2: Northern Star Stuart Tonkin of Northern Stars Resources a gold 297 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 2: This is kind of interesting, so let's talk gold. He said, 298 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 2: we saw a bit of a pullback in the gold 299 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 2: price shortly after the US election, which was right. However, 300 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 2: he doesn't see that lasting for long over time. He 301 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 2: says Trump presidency likely leader trade tensions and increased US 302 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 2: government spending, which is likely to support a strong gold 303 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 2: price in both US store and Aussie dollar currency. So 304 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 2: he's trying to equate gold with bitcoin. So he's saying 305 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 2: that he reckons an ounce of goal will be worth 306 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 2: at least zero point one bitcoin in coming years. So 307 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 2: I'm not sure what that equation is, but I want 308 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:39,680 Speaker 2: to watch. 309 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: I think your gold CEOs will always be of the 310 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,919 Speaker 1: opinion that God is going to go up. Everyone Gould 311 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,640 Speaker 1: says that, but they were. I mean, certainly Northern Star did. 312 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:51,159 Speaker 1: It had a very good year, as gold did. Then 313 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 1: there was some real surprises. There was that amazing story 314 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:56,920 Speaker 1: during the year of Resolute and the CEO Toal hadn't 315 00:17:56,960 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 1: been being detained in Wizambique. So you have this surprises, 316 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: don't you. Even if we take it that the outlook 317 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: for gold is good, even if we take it that 318 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 1: it is the perfect setting for continued rise in the 319 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 1: gold price, particularly with the arrival of Trump, where we 320 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 1: could safely assume that his second and third year won't 321 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 1: be quite as won't be the honeymoon, that maybe his 322 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: first and second month will be as that any Republican 323 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 1: president or any president would face. That. So on that basis, 324 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 1: instability arrives. On that basis people refer to gold. But 325 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,239 Speaker 1: the issue for gold is really it's operational risk, isn't it. 326 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 1: With these guys, with these different miners and these different CEOs, 327 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 1: that seems to be that the real differentiator for Australian miners. 328 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 1: At least I can ask you something about stock's been 329 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 1: taken off the market. I really I wasn't joking about Newcrest. 330 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,719 Speaker 1: I mean if you think about it, until people are 331 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: kicking themselves. They had this superb opportunity, the biggest gold 332 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 1: stock in Australia, and you know, they come in and 333 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 1: the Americans basically come in and buy at the perfect time, 334 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 1: just as goes about to steam along. Similarly, we have 335 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 1: the private equity They just take one private equity player, 336 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 1: just one bain. So they come in, they buy Virgin Airlines, 337 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 1: then they buy STA and the hcare outfit and this 338 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: week being the last working week of the year, they 339 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:23,640 Speaker 1: snap up Insignia, the old IAF which has all sorts 340 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,160 Speaker 1: of assets, but it also has things like chad Forth 341 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 1: actually the dominant, the biggest player on our top one 342 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty advisors list. Part I'm making Eric is 343 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,680 Speaker 1: that we're investors. We're looking and we're listening to these 344 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 1: CEOs about their outlook, and we're very They're very important 345 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: because they drive the companies. And then there's them, and 346 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: then there are private equity operators sitting in New York, 347 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 1: and nor do they look at the Australian market and 348 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 1: the cherry pick there's no seems to me, there's no 349 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:57,120 Speaker 1: particular theme an airline and hecare operator, a wealth Manager, 350 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:00,679 Speaker 1: they just and Sydney Airport of course a big loss 351 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,400 Speaker 1: once upon a time, along with the Newcrest School. These 352 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:07,680 Speaker 1: are big absences when the when the market loses them, 353 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 1: will we lose more in the in the new year? 354 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: And how can a private investor, how do they? How 355 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 1: do they faces? Are they any sense of what's coming 356 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,639 Speaker 1: down the line? Will there be more of it? Of 357 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 1: the private equity arming if you like, just basically carving 358 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:23,840 Speaker 1: useful chunks out of the ax. 359 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,439 Speaker 2: I think you and when you talk about there's no 360 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 2: theme about about which which areas hot or not? But 361 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 2: I think that the theme is value and the thing 362 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: time and time again, your listeners have to remember much 363 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 2: most of the value happens when people go in when 364 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 2: people are running the other way. And that's the theme 365 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 2: that that keeps repeating through time. I remember as a 366 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 2: junior journalist going up to Secutor Road, to the old 367 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,679 Speaker 2: New Crest head headquarters when they announce her results and 368 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 2: no one was interested that. And this was when gold 369 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 2: was trumbling along and write two hundred dollars an ounce 370 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:04,640 Speaker 2: or something like that, and no one had any interest 371 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 2: in it. But as an investor in over time, you 372 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,920 Speaker 2: have to ask is this the way that the world 373 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 2: is going to stay forever? And also with companies as well, 374 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 2: Ampcor which is still listed, but now it's moved. It's 375 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:21,359 Speaker 2: listing to the United States, one of the worlds now 376 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 2: one of the world's biggest packaging companies. Again, in the 377 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 2: early two thousands, no one wanted to go near this 378 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 2: thing because it had a lot of internal troubles and 379 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 2: a lot of internal problems. Every broker had a sell 380 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:36,000 Speaker 2: recommendation on it. Likewise, you've seen a massive turnaround in 381 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 2: a company called ZIPC that's the buy now, pay later company. 382 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 2: It's been one of the best performers on the ASEX. 383 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 2: And again two years ago, no one wanted to go 384 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,879 Speaker 2: near these stocks, and rightly so. There were some really 385 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 2: unusual business models going on there. But if you can 386 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,160 Speaker 2: sort out and this is where the private equity often 387 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 2: looks for value, if you can sort out what the 388 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 2: value is, then your way. And then we're talking about 389 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:04,400 Speaker 2: rec respects. So even in airlines, you ask yourself about thematics. 390 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 2: Will Australia be a one airline country? Now? Why it's 391 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 2: a big economy. We do a lot of travel, do 392 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,360 Speaker 2: a lot of domestic travel, so that's if you can 393 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 2: trade the trough, you can ride the top. 394 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: Okay, can I ask you one thing about people, and 395 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,200 Speaker 1: you're talking to CEOs, to what extent do you, as 396 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 1: someone who corpors it very closely, to what extent do 397 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: you believe or take on board how important the key 398 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,639 Speaker 1: person is. You mentioned a couple of companies there that 399 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 1: really came around. You mentioned Acre, which, as you say, 400 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,440 Speaker 1: was drifting, and then Ken McKenzie came along and he 401 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 1: was just amazing and he got fantastic operational numbers out 402 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:54,160 Speaker 1: of that company, which transferred to Fantastic ship Press Performance. 403 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 1: You mentioned ZIP, which has leaved very much with Larry Diamond. 404 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,920 Speaker 1: We have other companies on the market, and then in 405 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 1: the next apport we're going to talk about the property trust. 406 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: But how important is the CEO? Is the CEO at 407 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,880 Speaker 1: the average Australian listed company more or less important than 408 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 1: they used to be? How crucial are they on But 409 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: if someone looks at a company, they can analyze the numbers. 410 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,719 Speaker 1: But ultimately that's the that's the quant part. The qualitative 411 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,240 Speaker 1: part is it's run by people. How important is the CEO? 412 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 2: I think? And you put it out like the aim 413 00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,440 Speaker 2: of a top company is for the CEO, although it's 414 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 2: bad for them if they fall under the bus or 415 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,159 Speaker 2: the or the Swanston Street tram. That then then the 416 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 2: company keeps taking along as though nothing happened. There was 417 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,880 Speaker 2: a saying, and this is about comm Wealth Bank too. 418 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 2: So the thing about com Wealth Bank is it's a 419 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:51,360 Speaker 2: big engine. It's a big it's a big train going 420 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 2: down the tracks and all you've got to do as 421 00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:57,639 Speaker 2: a CEO is just keep the oil topped up, an 422 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 2: eye on that and he'll just keep going and going. 423 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 2: And so that's the thing. So does the CEO have 424 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:07,000 Speaker 2: an influence? Well, look, the CEO sets sets the tone 425 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 2: and sets the culture. Is responsible for the culture and 426 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,119 Speaker 2: so is it a high performance culture? Is it a 427 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:19,200 Speaker 2: culture that is focused? And they do have a role 428 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 2: in doing that to do the people that turn up 429 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 2: to the building every day do they know what their 430 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 2: job is? And I think that's a really important thing. 431 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 2: And then there's a separate thing to this as well 432 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,679 Speaker 2: that we and I know that your listeners would be 433 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:36,359 Speaker 2: really thinking about these. A lot is founder lead companies 434 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 2: and there's quite still quite a few founder lead companies 435 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 2: with founders involved on the AX and they and they 436 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 2: certainly are performed, but we always have this disruption when 437 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 2: it's time for the founder to hand over the reins. 438 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:56,200 Speaker 2: So even in Fordescue, when we saw Andrew Forrest to 439 00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,359 Speaker 2: your forest build up Ford Toescue build up magnificently, he 440 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,639 Speaker 2: stepped back handed it over to CEOs. It was moving 441 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 2: for quite a while, and then with sort of succession 442 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 2: of troubles and Andrew Forrest jumping in and trying to 443 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 2: manage it as well. So it's still his company. And 444 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,159 Speaker 2: then obviously the min res when there is issues, like 445 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,680 Speaker 2: the CEO still drives it as a very entrepreneurial company. 446 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 2: But then sometimes when companies get big, they need different 447 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 2: skill sets, they need managers that can manage, they can 448 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 2: need predictability. We spoke about these big mining companies. These 449 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 2: CEOs are thinking years out, so they're not thinking about today. 450 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 2: So really interesting one to watch founder led companies. There's 451 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 2: two of just to point out to your listeners, both 452 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:49,160 Speaker 2: Melbourne based companies. One pro Medicus based in Richmond. The 453 00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 2: biggest company you've never heard of in Australia, which it's. 454 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,200 Speaker 1: Probably favored by institutions. 455 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:58,439 Speaker 2: I think it's now to about fifteen or sixteen billion 456 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 2: dollars in terms of market cap. It shares it just gone. 457 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:07,359 Speaker 2: It sells imaging software, which sounds pretty pretty dull, but 458 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,679 Speaker 2: just ruthlessly targets high end health networks in the United 459 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,480 Speaker 2: States and radiology imaging software that it develops. 460 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:20,919 Speaker 1: And there's no CEO. There's a CEO obviously there that 461 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: is Integrant, and. 462 00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 2: There's a CEO. One is a is a commercial director. 463 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 2: The other one is interesting to watch is ARB. You 464 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 2: would have I know that when you drive around the 465 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 2: streets are brighton with your with your Toyota high Likes. 466 00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 1: I have never been in. I've never been in a 467 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,840 Speaker 1: high Lox, but I have a spin in one. But anyway, yes, 468 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,200 Speaker 1: I know what they are. I know what a r 469 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:41,400 Speaker 1: BR I get your jok. 470 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 2: Yes, so they supply all the accessories for full drives 471 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 2: and newts like the one that you have when you 472 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 2: drive around the streets are. 473 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: Brighton stock great Stock. Deny it for a moment. 474 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,480 Speaker 2: This was started in in a garage in Melbourne's eastern suburbs, 475 00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 2: I think in Ringwood, and now it's sort of you know, 476 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,119 Speaker 2: sells it's it's products around the world. Still operates in 477 00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 2: kill Sithe for all of Melbourne's East and it has 478 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 2: managed to do the succession quite smarisly too in recent years. 479 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 2: So just so it can happen m M. 480 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,159 Speaker 1: Okay, So a r B is not led by the 481 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 1: it's not led by the original person that that built 482 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:20,640 Speaker 1: them anymore. 483 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 2: Nope, I see they are on the board. They are 484 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,760 Speaker 2: still involved in the board and obviously it's shareholded. 485 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:30,840 Speaker 1: Okay, very good. Look, we're going to take you short break, folks, 486 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:32,320 Speaker 1: and we're going to come back and look at the 487 00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: property scene and Property Trust in particular, and some pretty 488 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:39,800 Speaker 1: big personalities there. I can tell you that that are integral. 489 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: Would almost underestimate how important they are to the wider stuff. 490 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: Back in the moment. Hello, welcome back to the Australian's 491 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: Money Puzzle. I'm James Kirby talking to Eric Johnson. Hey, Eric, 492 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 1: two stocks have been just aching to ask you about. 493 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 1: One is Goodman, the amazing Goodman Group and Greg Goodman, 494 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 1: who has personified this company. And it would seem though 495 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 1: no company is run by one person, but they certainly 496 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:18,640 Speaker 1: can be led by one person, and he has led 497 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,680 Speaker 1: Goodman through thick and thin and early in the game 498 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 1: rebranded this Property Trust as a logistics player and a 499 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: player that was able to harness, if you like, or 500 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:34,199 Speaker 1: exploit the move to online that it was an advantage 501 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: rather than a disadvantage. And that's of course, it's just 502 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 1: been one of the best stocks in the market. It's 503 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: also a stoffwhare that is so closely identified with the leader. 504 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 1: I mean, we have Jerry Harvey at Harvey Norman with 505 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 1: Greg Goodman at Goodman Group. Is that a situation where 506 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 1: the CEO is almost too important for the company. 507 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 2: It is, and you would hope that he builds a 508 00:28:57,440 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 2: structure around him, so every say, I should be thinking 509 00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,440 Speaker 2: about it their exit from day from day one, how 510 00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 2: to build that structure around them so he can hand 511 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 2: it over and by seeing his company through good and 512 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 2: good and bad. And it was really knocked around during 513 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 2: the GFC Goodman Group. It had too much it was 514 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,680 Speaker 2: holding too much debt as a property trust and that 515 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 2: really changed the direction that Greg Goodman took on that 516 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 2: company on the journey he and now it has this 517 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 2: incredible moat around it in terms of the infrastructure that 518 00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 2: it builds, the warehousing and they just developed these big 519 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 2: warehouses and they're very hard to replicate and they. 520 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:42,520 Speaker 1: Had to have the Warren Buffett Molt the of the infrastructure, 521 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: their own infrastructure. 522 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,800 Speaker 2: And they're not just tin sheds out in the paddic. 523 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:48,840 Speaker 2: These are like because there's power. There's also there's also 524 00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 2: automation inside them as well that Goodman provides. So from 525 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 2: a company X, I can just turn up and there's 526 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 2: my warehouse and it's got all the automation ord ready 527 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 2: to go, and Goodman manages all this and it's really 528 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 2: really out there. They're a really important company transition. I 529 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 2: think so because the business model is predictable now, so 530 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,240 Speaker 2: he's not out there making the deals. He's certainly crunching 531 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 2: the numbers, but it doesn't trade on his name on 532 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 2: He doesn't need to open doors anymore because the model 533 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 2: has proven, the model is established, and I think that's 534 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 2: a difference. There's always an entrepreneurial streak with founder CEOs 535 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,720 Speaker 2: and they use that to open doors necessarily because that's 536 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,720 Speaker 2: what they've been doing all their life, trying to open doors. 537 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 2: I think that's a difference now with Goodman. 538 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 1: Okay, it's become institutionalized in the best sense of the word. 539 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 1: I want to look to questions because the first question 540 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 1: I want to pick out is smack on a most 541 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 1: delightful segue into the questions. This week, it's from George. George, 542 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: I'm sure and this is never advice, it's only information 543 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 1: and observation. But you might be relieved rather than nooid. 544 00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 1: Now anyway, George is an original piece of corresponding which 545 00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:04,600 Speaker 1: is probably oh ten days old. Lets it's about Digiico, 546 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,360 Speaker 1: which was the biggest float of the year folks, as 547 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:10,680 Speaker 1: you'll probably know, and that was a property trust Digico. 548 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,600 Speaker 1: So here's George's question. I'm extremely annoyed, to say the least, 549 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 1: the country's biggest bank has deliberately chosen to shaft retail 550 00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 1: investors in favor of the big end of town. And 551 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: he mentions comsec here, we're appointed joint lead co managers 552 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,080 Speaker 1: of the upcoming Digito IPO tip to be the biggest 553 00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 1: float on the AX for years, And indeed that is true, George. 554 00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: The only problem was, of course, it floated. We're talking 555 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,400 Speaker 1: on Tuesday. It floated last Friday, great expectations. I think 556 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: it was midday. I actually remember I tuned in at Miday, 557 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 1: Justice se because it was coming on of five dollars 558 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: and guess what it went nowhere. So anyway, in Georgie's case, 559 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,240 Speaker 1: he says, being a client, I thought I could access 560 00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,920 Speaker 1: the float, but I was told retail clients like myself 561 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 1: missed out because the broker allocation was all farmed out 562 00:31:55,880 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 1: to sophisticated investors maybe concept, consect and advice. How many 563 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 1: of those sophistications investors took up only the prospectus minimum 564 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,040 Speaker 1: application of two thousand borth of shares and amount set 565 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,880 Speaker 1: sufficiently low that it was obviously aimed at retail investors. Okay, 566 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 1: two things here. One nine times out of ten, the 567 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 1: Georges of this world are correct. You would be furious 568 00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:23,920 Speaker 1: when you want to be in an ipo, you know 569 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 1: it's coming down the line, you think it looks good, 570 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 1: and you don't get stuck. Now, I'm sure, comes secor 571 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:32,120 Speaker 1: Anni Broke, we'll have an explanation for why one person 572 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,080 Speaker 1: didn't get stuck. And there is a procedure in how 573 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: you lay out these IPOs. But what's particularly interesting with 574 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,960 Speaker 1: George's question is that on this occasion, it would seem 575 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 1: so far he would have been better off that he 576 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,000 Speaker 1: didn't get the stop, because he would have been a 577 00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,560 Speaker 1: loss straight away. And in fact, that the Digico is 578 00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 1: still below its IPO price, which was five bucks. I 579 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 1: think it is still below. 580 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 2: Eric for fifty. 581 00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, four fifty. Well, that's I'm disappointing, isn't it. What 582 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: does that tell us about property to us? And in 583 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 1: this case it had the CEO figure. The person behind 584 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 1: the float certainly was a man called David de Pillow, 585 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:18,480 Speaker 1: who has had great success so far. But this has 586 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 1: not been a great success in its initial phase of 587 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 1: the float. And who knows, this time next year we 588 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 1: may be sitting here saying, well it was even better 589 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: by at four fifty, but we don't know. What we 590 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 1: do know is that it was a failure. The biggest 591 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,480 Speaker 1: float of the year appears to be a failure. What's 592 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: that tell us about the market and the whole enterprise 593 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 1: of Digiko? 594 00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:41,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, I think this is more stock specific. And 595 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 2: although George points out about the sophisticated investors, it was 596 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 2: interesting with this one. It wasn't sold to institutional investors. 597 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,440 Speaker 2: So in a perfect world, when you take a company 598 00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,400 Speaker 2: to market, you want big institutional investors, a mix of 599 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:06,000 Speaker 2: big institutional investors as well as retail shareholders. So and 600 00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:11,759 Speaker 2: this one didn't for whatever reason, it didn't seem to 601 00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:14,719 Speaker 2: be marketed among the big institutions, so there's the big 602 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 2: fund managers. So it was became a real retail stock. 603 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 2: And it's the institutions can are the ones that can 604 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 2: sort of shift the dial in terms of support. Digit 605 00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 2: Co was is looking at trying to capitalize on the 606 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,799 Speaker 2: booming data centers that is around at the moment. This 607 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 2: is we have heard about mcquarie by selling its air 608 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 2: trunk business, you know for incredible. 609 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 1: Next DC of course always been mentioned on the show here, yeah, yeah, yep. 610 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 2: So so you know there's a real there's a real 611 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 2: thing going on and all the data that we're demanding 612 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 2: in AI is going to pull into it. Not all 613 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,360 Speaker 2: data centers are the like. Not all data centers of 614 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 2: the same summer commodities, and we spoke about Goodman. Goodman 615 00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 2: are and obviously in data centers as well, but they 616 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 2: provide all the power and all the infrastructure around it 617 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 2: as well. So so Digico with with that. So it's 618 00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 2: interesting what the real business is underneath. Look, who knows. 619 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 2: I think for your listeners, they've got to do their 620 00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:21,279 Speaker 2: homework and saying and really get into the into the 621 00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,239 Speaker 2: depths of it. And saying what are the contracts? 622 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,640 Speaker 1: Like this was a rapid rule up basically of corect 623 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:29,080 Speaker 1: center assets, wasn't it? And to some extent it came 624 00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 1: to the market quickly, and I think without doubt it 625 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,640 Speaker 1: was timed to get in before the end of the year. 626 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 1: It was literally the last what are the last rocking. 627 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,440 Speaker 2: Days that in terms of like analyzing it, you look 628 00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 2: at who are there, who is Digitico's customers, when are 629 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,720 Speaker 2: their contracts renewing? What it will there be a step 630 00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 2: up in contract or you know, let's say they do 631 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 2: I don't know, let's say they do have a contract 632 00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:56,680 Speaker 2: with Microsoft. Will it just roll over in five years time? 633 00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,560 Speaker 2: Or will Microsoft go to the next person? What's their 634 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 2: point of friends from the likes of good Men or 635 00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:05,840 Speaker 2: Amazon also find the same thing or even next day. See, 636 00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 2: so that's what That's what I'm work. 637 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:10,719 Speaker 1: You have to do instantly, Okay, okay, terrific And I 638 00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 1: suppose look, one of the lessons here, folks is and 639 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,200 Speaker 1: we always say it on the show that there's a 640 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 1: difference between investing and speculating, and there's an invest and 641 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: there's a difference between investing in trading or betting and 642 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:25,359 Speaker 1: to some extent in IPO, and I'm not talking about 643 00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 1: Digito and in particular im talking about any Ipo IPO. 644 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,560 Speaker 1: With Blue Sky Ipo, there is there is no trading 645 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:33,480 Speaker 1: history because it hasn't been a stock and it's a different, 646 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 1: very different world when you enter into the public space. 647 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,360 Speaker 1: And some entrepreneurs and CEOs that we've talked about the 648 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,880 Speaker 1: importance of CEOs to do. Some CEOs are terrific as 649 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,240 Speaker 1: long as the company is private and they are smart 650 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 1: enough to know that they shouldn't actually ever go public. 651 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,799 Speaker 1: And sometimes you question why people go public if they 652 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,279 Speaker 1: if they've been perfectly happy for many years. Sometimes it's 653 00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,279 Speaker 1: a way to get cash out. Sometimes it's a way 654 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 1: to let other people in the business get some skin 655 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 1: in the game, which is probably the healthiest way you see. 656 00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 1: And sometimes it's just an opportunity for people to say, look, ah, 657 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,800 Speaker 1: from here on, you know, I want to maximize what's 658 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,839 Speaker 1: left of my time in the business and what I've 659 00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,640 Speaker 1: built up. And it's a way for them to have 660 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,480 Speaker 1: what the brokers I like to call a liquidity event, 661 00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,839 Speaker 1: which is a lovely word which really means everyone gets 662 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:21,040 Speaker 1: PiZZ of money liquidity event. But the liquidity event didn't 663 00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: really happen at the Digitco, but maybe it will. Hopefully 664 00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:27,320 Speaker 1: it isn't a sign that the cautious optimism for the 665 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:32,479 Speaker 1: year ahead is too enthusiastic and not sufficiently cautious. We'll 666 00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,920 Speaker 1: find out. We'll find out in the months ahead. For 667 00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 1: the moment. Thank you very much, Eric Johnson for coming 668 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 1: on the show. Great to have you on. 669 00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 2: Thanks James, great to be here. 670 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:43,799 Speaker 1: Great to have Eric on. Eric. As you know is 671 00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:46,239 Speaker 1: it talks to the top people all the time and 672 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,680 Speaker 1: it's very important to know what they are thinking because 673 00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:50,360 Speaker 1: they are running big stocks. 674 00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 2: Before you go, we'll just encourage you all listeners. It's 675 00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,839 Speaker 2: all online on the Australian dot com some of their 676 00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,799 Speaker 2: responses for this CEO survey, So if you have a 677 00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:01,359 Speaker 2: specific company you're interested, you can click right through and 678 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:02,240 Speaker 2: find their responses. 679 00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and you want to know what the CEO 680 00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:07,239 Speaker 1: has to say? Okay, very good, all right, and the 681 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: emails please the money puzzle at the Australian dot Com 682 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,400 Speaker 1: dot AU. Today's show was produced by Lea Samog