1 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm 2 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: James Kirby, the editor at The Australian. 3 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 2: Welcome aboard everybody, you know. 4 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: I think the most common question I get asked, and 5 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 1: that gets asked across the broad world of investment, certainly 6 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: in Australia, certainly at this time, is how much should 7 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: I have in super? Now? What is the answer to that? 8 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: A lot of that depends on who you are, what 9 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: age you are. The short answer is, by the way, 10 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: you don't need anything. Okay, you can get twenty six 11 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: thousand a year from the government in the age pension 12 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: if you know super whatsoever. Zero That is not going 13 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: to be enough for most people most of the time. 14 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: I know that. 15 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: And then you say, well, what did the experts say? 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: The ASPA, the Association of Superinnovation Funds, says for a 17 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: modest retirement, a person should have one hundred thousand dollars 18 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: for a comfortable retirement. A person a person being a 19 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: single individual. And I'll talk about when we talk about 20 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: numbers throughout this show today. On this issue, we're talking 21 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 1: about a single individual, okay, before it gets complicated with 22 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: couples and everything. 23 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 3: Else. 24 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: So single individual comfortable retirement five hundred and ninety five 25 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. Okay, so that's what you're supposed to have 26 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 1: at sixty seven. There's a lot of issues around this number. 27 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: People genuinely want to know the answer. They want a 28 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: simple answer. There is no simple answer. They want a 29 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: quick answer. There isn't a quick answer. 30 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 2: Reader. 31 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: Perhaps the best answer is you know as much as 32 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: you possibly can, and when you get to one point 33 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 1: nine million, and you can start to worry. When you 34 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: get to one point nine million, you can start thinking 35 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 1: about how how you'll get around the fact that you 36 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: might have to pay tax from that point on. I 37 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 1: read a terrific piece of work, and I read on 38 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: this issue all the time, but I read a fresh 39 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:08,639 Speaker 1: thinking on this issue from Ashley Owen from Owen Analytics. 40 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,840 Speaker 1: He's well known in the investment space as an investment manager. 41 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 1: Over the years, he's on various committees. He's on the 42 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: Third Link Investment Committee, which you would know of course, 43 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: that's the fund that funnels money to charity. Very admirable 44 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 1: exercise going there, and I thought it'd be really good 45 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: to have on the show on this subject and to 46 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 1: answer some questions as well, how. 47 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: Are you Ashley? 48 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 3: Fantastic? Doing well? 49 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: Very good to have you on the show. I have 50 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: a theory that we could run a piece in the Australian. 51 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: I don't know what the ultimate elasticity of this piece, 52 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: but I can tell you every single time we run 53 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: a piece which says how much did you have in Super? 54 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: It rates very very well. It seems this is endless 55 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: appetite for that. Tell me what you thought of my 56 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: preamble there when I was saying there's no answer, there's 57 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: no warn answer? 58 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 2: Is that the case? How much should you happen super? 59 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 3: It's the number one question that everyone always asks. You 60 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 3: raise some good points and Australia is one of the 61 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 3: luckiest countries in the world. And we've got this index 62 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 3: Pension for Life. Bever in mind that two thirds, sixty 63 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 3: four percent of Australians of pensionable age are on the 64 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 3: age pension. So despite thirty two or three years of 65 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 3: compulsory super post ninety ninety one and it's now eleven 66 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,079 Speaker 3: percent and going up to eleven and a half percent 67 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 3: this year, thirty years of that and it's a good start. 68 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 3: So sixty four percent of Australians of pensionable age over 69 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 3: sixty seven years old on the Australian. 70 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: Government pension to some degree. 71 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 3: About half of those are on the full pension, and 72 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 3: about half of the or a third of retirees or 73 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 3: on the full pension, about a third of retirees or 74 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:51,839 Speaker 3: on a part pension. Bear in mind, you can still 75 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 3: earn sixty three thousand dollars and get a pension in Australia. 76 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 3: Well a couple can earn one hundred and six thousand dollars, 77 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 3: so it's quite generous. Only so two thirds of Australia 78 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 3: are on the public payroll. They've got their handout. You 79 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 3: and I are paying for it all. Now they can say, 80 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 3: of course they've paid tax all their life and they've 81 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 3: earned it. So we're not going to get into those arguments. 82 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 3: But basically, after thirty years of compulsory super in Australia, 83 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 3: best system in the world, biggest system in the world 84 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 3: if you look at them, just looking at the ACTS 85 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 3: site now, the average or the median retirement balance superbalance 86 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 3: for a sixty five year old in Australia today is 87 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 3: about two hundred and one thousand dollars for females and 88 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 3: about two hundred and eleven thousand dollars for males. Most 89 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 3: people use that to payoff debt and go on the benson. 90 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 3: So it's been an interesting exercise, but it has been 91 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 3: not a failure. But it hasn't built the wealth that 92 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 3: it's got three and a half trillion dollars, which is 93 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,159 Speaker 3: a lot of wealth, but most of that's at the 94 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 3: big end of town. The average balance is one and 95 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,040 Speaker 3: a half million, but the median balance is only two 96 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 3: hundred thousand, which means most of the money is in 97 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 3: the lumpy end of the multi millionaires and billionaires who 98 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 3: just use it for a tax dodge. Ordinary Australians have 99 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,480 Speaker 3: a couple hundred thousand dollars when they retire at sixty 100 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 3: sixty five years old, which is the medium balance and 101 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 3: super today most of the music to pay off debt 102 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 3: and then go on to pension. So you're right in 103 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 3: saying how much you need the enter zero because if 104 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 3: you happen to rely on the public pension for life, 105 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 3: then you don't need anything. It's index for life. There's 106 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 3: a public problems with that. First one, for example, is 107 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 3: I've got a ninety six year old mother who's been 108 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 3: in four nursing homes and two hospices in the last 109 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 3: year and a half. That's costing about one hundred and 110 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 3: fifty thousand dollars after tax, and insurance covers nothing. So 111 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty thousand dollars you've got to find 112 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 3: from somewhere after tax, and that could go on for 113 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 3: years and years and years, so pincuer doesn't cover that. Yes, 114 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 3: you can tell your house and do other things, but 115 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 3: that upset to other people and you got other family members. 116 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 3: So it's okay to say, yes, the pension's there, but 117 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 3: you and I know you don't want to rely on 118 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 3: the pension. I want to rely on the welfare of 119 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 3: taxpayers future taxpayers for the next twenty thirty years of 120 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 3: your life. The next point is that you make very well. 121 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 3: Is that ASPHA, which is the Australian's Supernuation industry body, 122 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 3: which produces a lot of numbers and a lot of 123 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 3: people use it. If you go on to the website 124 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 3: of any industry fund from Australian super so you know 125 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 3: Hester and SeaBus, they all use the same numbers and 126 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 3: they talk about the comfortable retirement lifestyle, which is about 127 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 3: sixty four thousand dollars a year, and that requires six 128 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 3: hundred and forty thousand dollars, so ten. So to say, 129 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 3: if your spending budget is sixty four thousand dollars a year, 130 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 3: which is and they describe exactly how many times you 131 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 3: go out to what restaurants and how many times you 132 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 3: travel late, I itemize that if that is your comfortable 133 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 3: lifestyle of sixty four thousand dollars as a starting point, 134 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,919 Speaker 3: then they say you need about ten times that I 135 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,719 Speaker 3: eat six hundred and forty thousand dollars to live a 136 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 3: comfortable lifestyle to have enough capital to afford their comfortable lifestyle. 137 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 3: So that's not a bad starting point. And every super 138 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 3: fund in Australia, all the banks and the amps, they 139 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 3: all use exactly the same calculators, which a couple of 140 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 3: things go on in there. First of all, if you 141 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 3: look at that sixty four thousand dollars comfortable lifestyle, I 142 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 3: wouldn't last two weeks on that, and a lot of 143 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 3: people would not be had if you actually listen out 144 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 3: then items it's actually it's a pretty poor lifestyle. So 145 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 3: sixty four thousand dollars sounds a lot, but it actually 146 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 3: doesn't go fast, so it's a good starting point for conversations. 147 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 2: Okay, yes, The first step. 148 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 3: I always ask people is what is your spending budget? 149 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 3: Most people I asked don't know. So now it's first 150 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 3: week of July. You've got to wait for your statements 151 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 3: to come before you start your tax return stuff. It's 152 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 3: not a bad time to do two things. One is 153 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 3: to look back at the last year to June, and 154 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 3: so how is my funds returned? And the second point 155 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 3: is to say, well, what am I spending or what's 156 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 3: my spending budget? Has my spending budget gone up? Has 157 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 3: the increasing power bills and petrol prices? Has that actually 158 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 3: made mind spending budget go from sixty thousand to seventy thousand? 159 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 3: And what are my travel plans? So it's not a 160 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 3: bad time to start your tax work. And while you're 161 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 3: waiting for that, to start looking at your spending budget. 162 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 3: Everyone must have a spending budget, so when you talk 163 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 3: about how much do you need, it comes down to 164 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 3: a multiple of your spending budget. Some people are happy 165 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 3: to spend fifty thousand dollars a year. Of course, you've 166 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 3: got travel and fridge's break and cars need replacing, so 167 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 3: you've got a budget. All that in so you're spending 168 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 3: roughly x thousand dollars per year. If you don't have 169 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 3: a spending budget or an estimator spending budget, that's not 170 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 3: a bad time to spend a weekend estimating what you 171 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 3: spent last year. Look at your credit card bills, look 172 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 3: at your bank statements. Will work out what is your 173 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 3: spending budget in rough territory? What is it you need 174 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 3: to do that because that's the starting point for how 175 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 3: much multiple of that do you need? 176 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 2: Are you saying whatever that is, you multiply it by ten. 177 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,319 Speaker 3: No, What I'm saying is the first variable is a 178 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 3: spending budget. The second big variable is how many times 179 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 3: that do you need? Now the ASPHA and all the 180 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 3: industry funds, all the banks, all the funbanage, you use 181 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 3: the same model, which basically says you need a round 182 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:52,320 Speaker 3: about if you're sixty to sixty five years old and 183 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 3: ready to retire, then they say you need around ten 184 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 3: times you're spending budget. Now, there's a lot of assumptions 185 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 3: in there. The first assumption, which is the key assumption, 186 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 3: is they all assume you run down new capital to 187 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 3: zero and then go on the full pension. They all 188 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 3: make that assumption in their fine print on the back page. 189 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 3: They all assume that includes the entire pension. That's not 190 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:19,959 Speaker 3: about assumption because two thirds of Australias do that, So 191 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 3: that's just describing what happens in real life. But it 192 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,439 Speaker 3: does mean that you realize that you're actually running down 193 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 3: your capital, and the idea of running into eating into capital, 194 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 3: running down the capital terrifies a lot of people, including myself. Yes, 195 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 3: one of the problems is you look at the life 196 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 3: table and the median life table. For I'm sixty five, 197 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 3: my Australian government published median life expectancy is eighty five. 198 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 3: Big problem is that's a median. Half of us are 199 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 3: going to live longer, yes, and half of us are 200 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 3: going to live shorter. I mean, everyone's trying to get 201 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 3: healthy and fit and looking at nutrition, looking at diet 202 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:01,680 Speaker 3: and exercise why to live longer, But that requires more capital. 203 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 3: So if you're lucky enough to live longer, you're going 204 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 3: to be in that half of people who are more 205 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 3: than the median, and therefore we're going to live to 206 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:10,839 Speaker 3: more than eighty five years old. My mother's ninety six 207 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 3: and she's still going So that's the big assumption. It 208 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 3: assumes you live to your target date on your wrist, 209 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:20,079 Speaker 3: which in my case is eighty five. If I want 210 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 3: to live longer than that, I'm going to have more 211 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,719 Speaker 3: captain need more capital to actually fund that. That's a 212 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 3: big assumption that people get wrong. 213 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: Okay, we'll just take a break there and we'll come back. 214 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: I want to really want to zone in on this. 215 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: It's really really good so far. Thank you very much. 216 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:38,560 Speaker 1: I had some questions pre prepared for what you're saying 217 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 1: as sort of challenging even those, so we'll be back at. 218 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 2: The moment of folks. 219 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: Hello and welcome back to The Australian's Money Positive podcast. 220 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 1: I'm James Kirby and I'm talking to Ashley Owen, analystics 221 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: own is an investment manager and expert and it serves 222 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: on several investment boards and a particular interest in superannuation 223 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: and some of his recent work really caught my eye 224 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: because on the enduring, endless and endlessly scary question of 225 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 1: how much do you need in super We get this 226 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: question all the time. We get it on the podcast, 227 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 1: we get it in the paper of The Australian, and 228 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: I get it socially and so does Ashley. The answer 229 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: is going to be a formula, and to some extent 230 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: that formula will be tailored or customized to you. Some 231 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: of the points actually was making at the start of 232 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 1: the show in the first part is that these assumptions 233 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: about comfortable retirement amount five hundred and ninety five thousand 234 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: dollars average age, life expectancy eighty five if you were 235 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 1: in your early sixties right now, for instance, et cetera, 236 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: et cetera. They're all fine, except that you know your 237 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: life might not be average at all. You might live 238 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 1: to be Ashley is mentioning his mom is I think 239 00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 1: in ninety five, my dad's ninety he had no idea 240 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:02,559 Speaker 1: he was going to be retired for thirty years and 241 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 1: his income. We still have to work on that. Every 242 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: time I go back, we sit down and we go 243 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,199 Speaker 1: through his investments and how it's all working. So something 244 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 1: that goes on a long time. So I want to 245 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 1: add on this segment. I'm going to try and look 246 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 1: at the issue of the big questions like how long 247 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: should we assume that we live and though the big 248 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: funds and all the stakeholders in the industry, their assumptions 249 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: assumes that we spend our core capital down to zero. 250 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 1: A lot of people don't want to do that, and 251 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 1: maybe they don't have to do it, so let's find out. Actually, 252 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: so tell us, wouldn't it make sense to say, okay, 253 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 1: I'll assume I live to one hundred and work backwards 254 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: from there. Is that silly or sensible? 255 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 3: It's not silly. The life tables, which these calculations are 256 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 3: all based on snapshots in time. We also already talked 257 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 3: about the fact that the meeting is only just the 258 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 3: middle person half a lit longer and half a live less. 259 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 3: So you got to a shoe. This is it. This 260 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 3: is all you've got. You're on this planet once. You 261 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 3: want to make sure you make the best of it. 262 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:05,839 Speaker 3: So you've got to plan to be in that second 263 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 3: half if you want to be, or at least you're 264 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:09,320 Speaker 3: dependent or your partner's going to be there. So if 265 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 3: it's not you, it's going to be your partner. So 266 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 3: the problem is these snapshots in time, and the ABS 267 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:19,439 Speaker 3: publishes these numbers every year. These snapshots move over time. 268 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 3: In the average person's lifetime, that curve moves about three 269 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 3: decades to the right. So, for example, my mother born 270 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 3: in nineteen twenty eight. I looked at the ABS, and 271 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 3: beauty of the ABS is you can go and get 272 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 3: the nineteen twenty eight year book which is published on 273 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 3: the ABS and look at the life tables on about 274 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 3: page three hundred. I've got it in my article. You 275 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 3: look up somebody born in nineteen twenty eight female, Her 276 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 3: life expectancy was sixty four years old. Today she's ninety 277 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 3: six and she's still going, so that curve has moved 278 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 3: three decades in a lifetime. I was born in a 279 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:04,200 Speaker 3: poor Asian country in the late fifties, and my life 280 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:07,199 Speaker 3: expectancy at birth was probably about forty or fifty at best. 281 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 3: I moved to Australia, which is great. Somebody born in 282 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 3: nine fifty eight in Australia, a male, if you look 283 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,679 Speaker 3: at the yearbook, would have been I think sixty eight 284 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 3: years old. Currently my life expectancy is eighty five, so 285 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 3: it's already moved two decades to the right and I'm 286 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 3: still going. So I could do the same thing with 287 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 3: any person. The beauty of the ABS is they publish 288 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 3: yearbooks going back to nineteen oh one. You can look 289 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 3: at your own year and say when I was born, 290 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 3: my life expectancy table was X. What is it now? 291 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 3: The life expectancy tables shift right. I down the old 292 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 3: age in about three decades during the lifetime. So don't 293 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 3: base anything on the current snapshot because it's going to 294 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:46,640 Speaker 3: move right. 295 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 1: Because we're probably under estimating our life expectancy, are we? 296 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: You are? I talked to a lot of clients and 297 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 3: I have done the many many years, and I always 298 00:14:56,880 --> 00:15:00,200 Speaker 3: insist on looking to the male and female together would 299 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:04,160 Speaker 3: be Jack and Jill, and I say one of you 300 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 3: might live to one hundred. I look at Jack and say, 301 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 3: and it ain't going to be you. It's more like 302 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 3: you're going to be the female because often the female 303 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 3: is younger, and often the female life tables are longer anyway, 304 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 3: So someone's going to live to one hundred if it's 305 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 3: not you, at your partner. So you don't want to 306 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 3: get to eighty five, ninety years old and running out 307 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 3: of money. You can't get back to work, you can't 308 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 3: earn more. This is it. This is your time on 309 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 3: the planet. So thank on living to one hundred. If 310 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 3: you don't, that's good. If you live longer, that's even better. 311 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: Can I ask you then about the core capital, like 312 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 1: you were saying all those estimates when people go on 313 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 1: all those calculators, the calculators are I won't say misleading, 314 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 1: but they're incomplete right because they assume that you run 315 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 1: down your capital, like you mentioned your mom. If my 316 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 1: own dad had run down his capital, it would be 317 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: a big trouble. Now big trouble this is he's been 318 00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: retired for thirty years solid. So what do you suggest 319 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: on that issue. 320 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 3: I got an email the other day from a reader 321 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 3: who says he's eighty and his wife is sixty five. 322 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 3: They have no dependents, they don't see any charities worth 323 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 3: getting money too. They've given two houses to his school, 324 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 3: and this is a live question. And he said, look, 325 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 3: I want to run down my capital. I'm eighty years old. 326 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 3: Let's say I'm going to live to one hundred. What's 327 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 3: my formula to run down the capital to one hundred? 328 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 3: And I said, first of all, it's not about you. 329 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 3: Your wife is sixty five. She might have forty years, 330 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 3: so it's not about you anymore. It's actually about her. 331 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 3: So if she's sixty five years old, which is a 332 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 3: live case, and he's planning on her living to one hundred, 333 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 3: I said, look, the maths is not that accurate. If 334 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,120 Speaker 3: I'm running a portfolio for a forty year time arise 335 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 3: and to amortize it over forty years, financially, mathematically, that's 336 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 3: as good as running a perpetual portfolio, which I do 337 00:16:56,040 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 3: for charities. Charities are perpetual portfolio. So that basis is 338 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 3: you assume you retain your capital. In real terms, life 339 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 3: is too variable to actually calculate the lengths of the 340 00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 3: runway over forty years. So rather than trying to calculate 341 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 3: the lengths of the runway to land at one hundred, 342 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 3: assuming a capital is going to last forever, because forty 343 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 3: years is effectively forever in financial terms. So that comes 344 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 3: back to my point. You're going to live to one hundred, 345 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 3: You're going to rely on your capital. You're going to 346 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,359 Speaker 3: make sure that capital keeps growing for inflation and the 347 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 3: withdrawals off it keep growing for inflation, which means you're 348 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 3: running it a petual fund. 349 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's your core point. Then perpetual capital not to 350 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 1: run down on the core capital unless, of course, and 351 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 1: our listeners would know that there are rules in super 352 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 1: that you actually must take out a certain amount each 353 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: year and compulsory drawdowns but would allow for that. Okay, 354 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,359 Speaker 1: So just it's very hard to do this in I 355 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: think the Shaublin has been really good to do this 356 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: all the same, and it's got some fresh thinking I 357 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: think here on this issue of how much people should 358 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: have in SUPER. The other thing I supposed on a 359 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 1: practical terms for younger listeners, there was a time you 360 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 1: could put enormous amount. You could put any amount into 361 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,679 Speaker 1: SUPER and believe it or not, about ten years ago 362 00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: you could put in as much as you can put in. Today, 363 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:17,199 Speaker 1: for instance, it hasn't changed. In fact, it's shrunk and 364 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,640 Speaker 1: only through inflation indexing has it gone back up. What 365 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 1: do you recommend in terms of contributions? Do you generally 366 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: recommend that people put in the max that they can 367 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: if they can't. 368 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 3: It's a tax look, and there are tremendous tax advantages. 369 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 3: As it's turned out, it's a tax loerk for the 370 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 3: rich and therefore labor as they probably should are taking 371 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 3: the big end of town. How they're doing it is 372 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 3: interesting with the new division two nine six tax if 373 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,679 Speaker 3: it gets in and what will happen. But the idea 374 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 3: is it is very tax advantageous in a lot of ways. 375 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 3: So you may as well take advantage of that with 376 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 3: as much money as you can the other side of 377 00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 3: the coin is for young people who are encourage to 378 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 3: put it as much a way as possible over and 379 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 3: above the eleven and a half percent is they're trying 380 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,640 Speaker 3: to buy a house. Even buying a house is difficult 381 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 3: these days, so there's a big move on to divert 382 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:13,680 Speaker 3: money from Super into buying a house, or even dip 383 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 3: into SUPER to buy a house. 384 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:16,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, there is. 385 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,639 Speaker 3: It's a difficult argument to go into and it's different 386 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 3: for everybody, but I would say, still giving you eleven 387 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 3: and a half percent going into Super, make sure you 388 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 3: use that as much as possible. So it's compulsory savings 389 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 3: for employees. Unfortunately, a good part of the workforce is 390 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 3: not employees. There's small business and if you look at 391 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:39,159 Speaker 3: the numbers of Super coming out the other end, I'm guessing, 392 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,880 Speaker 3: but I'm saying most small business people it's the last 393 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 3: thing on their plate they get to June thirty, there's 394 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 3: cash leader they've got to find. It's the thing that 395 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:49,439 Speaker 3: they forget on June thirty. So the people at the 396 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 3: poor end of the SUPER scale in the median balances 397 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 3: when they retire a people typically who've been in small 398 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,439 Speaker 3: businesses or self employed for thirty forty years, because it's 399 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 3: not something that your employee does compulsorily. So the missed 400 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,919 Speaker 3: out yep. So having seen that experience many many times, 401 00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:05,880 Speaker 3: I would say, if you've got the chance, to make 402 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 3: sure you use a system as much as you can, 403 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 3: because it's locked the way, it's out of harm's way, 404 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 3: and it's going to be there in some shape or 405 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 3: form when you really need it when you're sixty seventy 406 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 3: eighty years old. If you rely on your own self 407 00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 3: discipline to do it when you're a small business operator, 408 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 3: invariably it doesn't get done and you reach the age 409 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 3: where you look back and say, if only had done that. 410 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 3: The good thing is, though, that a lot of small 411 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 3: business own two or three or four properties, and properties 412 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:32,919 Speaker 3: are just as powerful as SUPER is. 413 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: Yes, there just two points there we might make to listeners. 414 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,479 Speaker 1: Actually is talking about eleven and a half percent. If 415 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 1: you record eleven and a half percent, the amount you 416 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: must put into SUPER on a compulsory basis from July 417 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 1: one that's just passed. 418 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 2: Now. 419 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: The maximum you can put into SUPER on a pre 420 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 1: tax basis is thirty thousands. So what you do is 421 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,159 Speaker 1: you can put in whatever eleven and a half percent 422 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 1: of your salary is that goes into SUPER, and then 423 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 1: there's a gap between that and thirty thousands, you can 424 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 1: put that amount in. So let's say you're eleven and 425 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: a half percent works out at fifteen thousand, then in 426 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: theory you can put in another fifteen pre tax into SUPER. 427 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 1: That's the real tax advantage. So keep that in mind, folks. 428 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 1: And also a lot of people now in consultants, gig 429 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: workers in any way that you might be not if 430 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: you are employed outside the traditional staff employer type situation 431 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: where you simply get a pay packet every month, but 432 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 1: you're super in it. As Ashley said, be careful there 433 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: and if you can it's I know it's hard to 434 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: be self disciplined, but to be able to contribute to 435 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: SUPER you. 436 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:35,920 Speaker 2: Can do it. 437 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 1: You can do it just like anyone in staff can 438 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: do it. You simply just make an application and you 439 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,560 Speaker 1: put in the amount into SUPER on the same terms. 440 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 1: And of course, obviously people who have property in the business, 441 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 1: that's a different business. The direct real property can be 442 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: included into super fund. It's one of the great tricks 443 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 1: for small business and any small business who can do it, 444 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,120 Speaker 1: that can get their building that they own and their 445 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,280 Speaker 1: business into it, and that business in building into their superfund. 446 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 2: It's a fabulous it's. 447 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 1: A fabulous thing if you're able to do it. They 448 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: call it direct property in the super circus. Okay, that's 449 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,119 Speaker 1: about as far as we can go on this issue. 450 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll come back to it. I'm sure we'll 451 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: have lots of questions. I wanted to raise it. I 452 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 1: wanted to give our version of what the answer is 453 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: to how much you should have in super I think 454 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:22,919 Speaker 1: Ashley's idea about how much you spend a year and 455 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 1: then thinking about the multiples of that as a guidance 456 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 1: it is very useful. Also his idea that whatever the 457 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 1: calculators say, do your own calculations and don't assume that 458 00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 1: you're going to spend down your core capital because you 459 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: might live a lot lot longer than you ever expected. 460 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:41,679 Speaker 1: All right, well, take a short break. We've got a 461 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: great question to be back in a moment. Hello, Welcome 462 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,359 Speaker 1: back to the Australians Money Puzzle podcast. James Kirby talking 463 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 1: to Ashley Owen Analytics. I've got three questions here, folks. 464 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: Two interesting enough around super and one is kind of 465 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: on super I'll just read the first one. It's from 466 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,400 Speaker 1: Rohan who says, a few weeks ago you had Chris 467 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: Joy on the show and he said he expects consolidation 468 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 1: in the superfund sector. It seems to me consolidation is 469 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 1: in the interest of every super fund member, especially for 470 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 1: people in poorly performing funds. Do you think the government 471 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: should be accelerating this consolidation. Well, I think it's a market, 472 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: and the more the government encourages their market to act 473 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,840 Speaker 1: as a market in super the better. And I think 474 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:37,119 Speaker 1: very quickly we are getting lots of consolidation in super 475 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: I wouldn't actually fancy being in some super funds when 476 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 1: they do merge with other ones behind the scenes, I 477 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 1: think there's often problems that don't get highlighted there. But 478 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,440 Speaker 1: the other thing is, I don't know about you, actually, 479 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: but it seems to me in the end we're going 480 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:53,479 Speaker 1: to have about ten megafunds that will really dominate everything. 481 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 2: What do you think. 482 00:23:55,480 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 3: I don't really have a view. There are a dozen 483 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:06,320 Speaker 3: megafunds and there are dozens of smaller ones. Now it 484 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 3: should be a free market and the market should desire. 485 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 3: But it's not a free market because it's compulsorily taken 486 00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 3: out of people's pay from when they're sixteen, eighteen to 487 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 3: twenty years old, bits and pieces half cents in court 488 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:23,880 Speaker 3: of sense. No one cares or looks at it. Even today, 489 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 3: the number of people who actually don't know how to 490 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:28,439 Speaker 3: find their balance little and what it is and what 491 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,160 Speaker 3: it means or whether it's enough. It's just mind buggling. 492 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 3: So it's not something that they have any interest or 493 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 3: knowledge of. It's compulsorily taken out. It disappears somewhere and 494 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 3: they look at it maybe once every ten years, and 495 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 3: they get they start to look at it seriously when 496 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 3: they're about fifty years old. So the fact that it's 497 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,600 Speaker 3: out of sight, out of mind, means it's free for 498 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 3: all who want to do what they want with it. 499 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:54,720 Speaker 3: So I'm in favor of regulation and oversight because simply 500 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,159 Speaker 3: it is so far it's three trillion dollars, which is 501 00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,200 Speaker 3: completely out of people's minds or side or knowledge out 502 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 3: what to do with it or how to fix it 503 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,600 Speaker 3: or whether it actually needs to be fixed. So I'm 504 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,600 Speaker 3: in flavorance of regulation. There's a lot of tests nowadays 505 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 3: that OPRA apply to performance for super funds, and those 506 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,440 Speaker 3: that fail the test a couple of years in a 507 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 3: row get closed down and get told to merge. The 508 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 3: test itself is a very blunt instrument and it's very 509 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 3: strange how the test works and how it can be gamed, 510 00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,920 Speaker 3: but it has closed down dozens of funds that are 511 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 3: poor performing on their particular measures for that particular period. 512 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 3: It's a blood instrument. It's probably not a bad idea 513 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,879 Speaker 3: to clean out the poorer performers. The measurement should be 514 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 3: much more sensible and inclusive, and it's easy to game 515 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:44,639 Speaker 3: the measurement currently, but it'll improve over time. There's people 516 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,159 Speaker 3: that say, look, why don't you do what Singapore and 517 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 3: Norway do and just have one fund run by the government. 518 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 3: We've got one called the Future Fund, and the Future 519 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,680 Speaker 3: Fund's done a pretty good job over twenty seven years. Yes, 520 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,120 Speaker 3: no industry fund has beaten the Future Fund. It's got 521 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 3: funny rules and disclosure requirements, and it's got funny things 522 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 3: that go on in the Future Fund. But basically something 523 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,480 Speaker 3: like that is big and ugly, or was he super 524 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 3: There's one or two big ones which you've got to say, 525 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 3: why don't you just use that one? But of course 526 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 3: if that blows up, then you've got no others. So 527 00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 3: you relying too much on one institution looking after twenty 528 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:17,439 Speaker 3: million Australians. 529 00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:18,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the thing. 530 00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 3: So I'm in favor of regulation and scrutiny in cleaning 531 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 3: out bad operators, but I'm also wary of one behemous 532 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 3: fund which has got everyone's savings. 533 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I take your point, all right, Yeah, and I 534 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,159 Speaker 1: would tend to I would sortually agree with that. I 535 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 1: think if it does end up that we have ten 536 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,400 Speaker 1: huge funds and they're all damn good, then that will 537 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,959 Speaker 1: be fine. All right, final question, But there was two 538 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,680 Speaker 1: questions on Division two nine three tax. Division two nine 539 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,600 Speaker 1: three tax. By the way, is the tax you if 540 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 1: we were talking about super contributions and the tax concessions, 541 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: the problem is if you are in more than two 542 00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,280 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty thousand, there's a clawback. Would you believe 543 00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:01,439 Speaker 1: on the on the concessions that you get in Super? 544 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 1: So Greg asked about judges and their special place in Super. 545 00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:10,879 Speaker 1: That's that's that's another show. 546 00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:11,280 Speaker 2: Greg. 547 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 1: A lot of most judges are on defined benefits and 548 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: they have their world within a world, and they are 549 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 1: going to hang out to their Super really hard, and 550 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: you can see them lobbying desperately not to get caught 551 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: in the three million tax net which is coming through. 552 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: That's called division two ninety six. On the basis of 553 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 1: division two nine three, the one that matters here, Rob says, 554 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:30,880 Speaker 1: I listen every week quite often I hear your guest 555 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 1: talk about catchups Super. This makes sense, of course. My 556 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:40,880 Speaker 1: understanding is capital gains and concessions SUPER contributions are considered 557 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 1: for division two nine three. This may catch many people out, 558 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,199 Speaker 1: given the threshold for division two nine three is two 559 00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty thousand. 560 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 2: Is this correct? 561 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,679 Speaker 1: Yes, it is, It's correct, Rob, And I suppose the 562 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 1: worst situation is if you were bang on two fifty 563 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: thousand and you were contributing to Super at the max, 564 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 1: and you you just bring yourself over the two fifty 565 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 1: by doing so, maybe some profit on that anything else around, 566 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,360 Speaker 1: it would certainly find yourself in division two nine three. 567 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: And it's a clawback. It's not index to either. Is 568 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 1: there anything you want to add to that? 569 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:15,160 Speaker 2: Actually? 570 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: About division two nine three, do people realize, you know, 571 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 1: what about us? And do they read those there's an 572 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 1: extra super tax that we really hardly ever hear about 573 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: col Division two nine three. 574 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 3: Yes, it's been around for decades. The idea that you 575 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,439 Speaker 3: pay an extra fifteen percent. You pay fifteen percent on 576 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:34,600 Speaker 3: concessional contributions on the way in into tax, and then 577 00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 3: you if your income including super for particular year is 578 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 3: over two fifty thousand dollars, which any trading would be on. 579 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 3: So it's quite widespread nowadays. 580 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 1: Well and maybe not all of them, but a hell 581 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:46,640 Speaker 1: of a lot of them. 582 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, then you get tax an extra fifteen percent on 583 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 3: your concessional contribution. It used to be something that's for 584 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 3: rich people only, but it's not index so two fifty 585 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 3: now catches a lot of people, and so they just 586 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 3: get paid thirty percent. It's still not bad because the 587 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 3: marginal rate is higher than thirty percent, so it's not bad. 588 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 3: It's a small taxt break, but it is an additional 589 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 3: tax you pay based on your entire income including super 590 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 3: for each particular year. 591 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,280 Speaker 1: Yes, so basically, folks, if you make two hundred and 592 00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 1: fifty thousand or more, the tax advantages of contributing to 593 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: Super are pinched basically by this tax. And as actually 594 00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: was saying, once upon a time when they designed this tax, 595 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: it was designed for the rich per se these days, 596 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 1: of course, because it's not indexed, every year, more and 597 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: more people get into the net what they call bracket creep. 598 00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: And on this particular case, you might call it superannuation 599 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: tax bracket creep, which is just as insiduous as all 600 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 1: the other bracket creep. Income tax bracket creep is the 601 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 1: main one, of course we hear about all the time. Hey, 602 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,440 Speaker 1: thank you very much, Ashley Owen of Owen Analytics. That 603 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 1: was very very interesting. It really met people think there's 604 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: no simple answer for how much you should have in super. 605 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:04,480 Speaker 1: There are key principles you should think about, including how 606 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 1: long you will live, what sort of lifestyle do you want? 607 00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:09,360 Speaker 1: How is that link to how much do you spend 608 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 1: at the moment each year? Do you know how much 609 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 1: you spent? Can you achieve that in super? And also 610 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 1: you're probably going to live a lot longer than than 611 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 1: you think, certainly our parents did. 612 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,040 Speaker 2: All right, hey, thank you very much, Ashley. 613 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 3: My last little closing point would be bracket creepy is 614 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,240 Speaker 3: only one of the many creeps in camera. 615 00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 2: Thank you very much. 616 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:35,000 Speaker 1: All right, folks, that was Ashley over and over and analytics. 617 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 2: First time on the show and now the last time. 618 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:37,560 Speaker 2: I'm sure all right. 619 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:42,240 Speaker 1: Do keep those pieces of correspondence coming in. I have 620 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,720 Speaker 1: lots of questions on property at the moment. I could 621 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: do with more and happy to answer more on wider issues. 622 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,440 Speaker 1: So there's a call out the money puzzle at the 623 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 1: Australian dot com dot au. 624 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 2: Talk to you soon. 625 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:00,800 Speaker 3: Four