WEBVTT - Sharri | 24 March

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<v Speaker 1>Live on Sky News This is.

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<v Speaker 2>Sharry Good Evening.

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<v Speaker 3>Tonight's secret recordings have caught nine Star reporter Nick McKenzie

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<v Speaker 3>on tape claiming he engaged in unethical behavior during their

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<v Speaker 3>famous war crimes case.

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<v Speaker 4>Breaking us on his leadershiptu in perspected you.

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<v Speaker 3>Those shocking revelations. In a moment also tonight, TLMP Minick

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<v Speaker 3>Ryan apologizes after her husband tears down a liberal poster.

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<v Speaker 3>So much for a returning integrity to politics. Plus shame

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<v Speaker 3>on Victorian police as they seek to gag a pro

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<v Speaker 3>Israel advocate campaigning against anti Semitism. And we'll look at

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<v Speaker 3>which states are swinging in Dutton's favor with new polling

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<v Speaker 3>on the show That's tonight.

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<v Speaker 2>It's all coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>But first, it was called the defamation case of the century,

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<v Speaker 3>in which Ben Robertson went from a decorated VC winner

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<v Speaker 3>and national hero to a disgraced war criminal.

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<v Speaker 5>Today he is a day of justice. It's a day

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<v Speaker 5>of justice for those brave men of the Sas who

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<v Speaker 5>stood up and told the truth about who Ben Robert

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<v Speaker 5>Smith is. A war criminal, a bully and a liar.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a verdict.

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<v Speaker 3>The Afghan veteran is appealing but now secret audio recordings

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<v Speaker 3>have come to light, which casts doubt on the ethics

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<v Speaker 3>and even the legal process of part of the case

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<v Speaker 3>built against him.

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<v Speaker 6>No, I shouldn't tell you, I've just preached my ethics

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<v Speaker 6>in doing that. This is where like this is really

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<v Speaker 6>position now.

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<v Speaker 3>An explosive recording has caught nine Star reporter Nick Mackenzie

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<v Speaker 3>claiming he'd engaged in unethical behavior during their famous war

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<v Speaker 3>crime case by obtaining part of ben Robert Smith's legal

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<v Speaker 3>strategy from his ex wife and her friend. In the

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<v Speaker 3>secret recording that we've obtained, Mackenzie says knowing Robert Smith's

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<v Speaker 3>legal strategy had been helpful in Nine's case. He also

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<v Speaker 3>freely says that Robert Smith's ex wife, Emma Roberts, and

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<v Speaker 3>her friend Danniel Scott had been actively briefing us on

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<v Speaker 3>his legal strategy in respect to a witness.

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<v Speaker 4>Briefing us on his legal shifty and respected you.

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<v Speaker 3>And in devastating comments from Nine's most celebrated journalist, Mackenzie

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<v Speaker 3>also confesses this, No.

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<v Speaker 6>I shouldn't tell you, I've just preached my ethics and

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<v Speaker 6>doing that like this is where like this is to

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<v Speaker 6>leadership position now if they knew that.

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<v Speaker 4>And pet you that I can.

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<v Speaker 3>And there mackenzie is referring to Minter's Ellison solicitor Dean

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<v Speaker 3>Levetton and Minter's Ellison partner Peter Bartlett, who led the

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<v Speaker 3>defense team for nine in the defamation case brought by

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<v Speaker 3>Robert Smith, the former SAS corporal and Victoria Cross recipient.

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<v Speaker 3>Bartlett is the former chair of Minter Ellison and a

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<v Speaker 3>past chair and board member of the International Bar Association. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>there's no suggestion that any lawyers involved in the case

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<v Speaker 3>for nine were aware that any privileged information had been

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<v Speaker 3>accessed or of other wrongdoing. Now the recording captures a

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<v Speaker 3>conversation in early twenty twenty one between McKenzie and a

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<v Speaker 3>woman he was trying to encourage to cooperate in their

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<v Speaker 3>legal case, where they were defending the defamation suit brought

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<v Speaker 3>against them by Australia's highly decorated soldier. In the conversation,

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<v Speaker 3>McKenzie is trying to reassure the potential witness and encourage

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<v Speaker 3>her to give evidence in the trial.

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<v Speaker 2>On behalf of nine. Now, you're about to.

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<v Speaker 3>Hear mackenzie speak about Robert Smith's ex wife, Emma Roberts

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<v Speaker 3>and her friend Daniel Scott.

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<v Speaker 4>Daniel and end try let's say yet again, you work

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<v Speaker 4>for movie, sent a hotel.

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<v Speaker 7>The meme which.

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<v Speaker 4>They came actively like.

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<v Speaker 8>Breaking us on his legal ship to you and respected

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<v Speaker 8>you like the piece. And yet we're not learning like

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<v Speaker 8>we anticipated most of it. One or two things now

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<v Speaker 8>we know, which is helpful. But at the point there

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<v Speaker 8>is I told you that is to.

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<v Speaker 4>Say, like, you know, we've got this.

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<v Speaker 8>And and they're not hostile to years despite your worst fears,

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<v Speaker 8>they're not.

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<v Speaker 3>So as you heard there, that remark reveals that Mackenzie

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<v Speaker 3>and nine were not previously aware of aspect of Robert

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<v Speaker 3>Smith's legal strategy about a potential witness, which he said

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<v Speaker 3>was helpful to their own legal case. So listen to

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<v Speaker 3>that part again.

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<v Speaker 4>They came actively like.

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<v Speaker 8>Breaking us on his legal ship to you and respected

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<v Speaker 8>you because his And yet we're not learning about we

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<v Speaker 8>anticipated most of it.

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<v Speaker 4>One or two things now we know, which is helpful.

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<v Speaker 3>But and Mackenzie then goes on in the conversation to

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<v Speaker 3>claim that obtaining the details of Robert Smith's legal strategy

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<v Speaker 3>from his ex wife and her friend was a breach

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<v Speaker 3>of ethics.

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<v Speaker 8>But I've told you that, so many times now as well,

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<v Speaker 8>And I had to tell you that extra bit to

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<v Speaker 8>sort of prove it in your mind.

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<v Speaker 4>No, I shouldn't tell you. I've just breached my ethics

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<v Speaker 4>and doing that like this is where like this has

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<v Speaker 4>to leadership position. Now, if they knew that, and Peter

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<v Speaker 4>knew that I can, I wouldn't tell anyone else.

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<v Speaker 8>I haven't told anyone like no one else I'd tell this.

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<v Speaker 3>This is an extraordinary admission from a senior journalist that

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<v Speaker 3>he's breached his ethics, that it's put him in a

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<v Speaker 3>difficult position, and that his lawyers would be displeased. During

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<v Speaker 3>the trial, Robert Smith launched separate legal action acu his

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<v Speaker 3>ex wife Emma, of accessing an email account that he

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<v Speaker 3>used for confidential legal correspondence. He claimed information that only

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<v Speaker 3>originated in that email account had found its way to

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<v Speaker 3>nine and that it had the potential to contaminate the

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<v Speaker 3>trial will. Robert Smith's lawyers argue the account had been

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<v Speaker 3>accessed at least one hundred and one occasions, including by

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<v Speaker 3>Danielle Scott nine In Minter Ellison told the court they

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<v Speaker 3>had no documents to produce in response to subpoenas seeking

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<v Speaker 3>material that originated from Emma Roberts, but Emma later admitted

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<v Speaker 3>that she had allowed her close friend Danielle to access

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<v Speaker 3>her ex husband's email accounts, but only she said in

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<v Speaker 3>relation to their marriage breakdown. The judge, Justice Robert Bromwich

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<v Speaker 3>said the claims from Robert Smith that his emails were

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<v Speaker 3>accessed amounted to bear possibilities and suspicions and dismissed.

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<v Speaker 2>The legal challenge.

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<v Speaker 3>But now this shocking audio recording captures McKenzie claiming that

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<v Speaker 3>Emma and her friend Danielle did in fact provide details

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<v Speaker 3>of Robert Smith's legal strategy in relation to a witness,

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<v Speaker 3>and it raises questions about whether other legal strategy or

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<v Speaker 3>emails were also provided. I asked Emma Roberts a series

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<v Speaker 3>of questions, including whether she had organized or agreed for

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<v Speaker 3>Danielle to assist McKenzie and pass on information contained in

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<v Speaker 3>emails to him. Now, her lawyer said, our client thanks

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<v Speaker 3>you for the opportunity to comment, but so declients. This

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<v Speaker 3>recording will rock the legal fraternity media circles and could

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<v Speaker 3>have ramifications for the outcome of one of Australia's most

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<v Speaker 3>expensive cases in court proceedings. Both sides are able to

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<v Speaker 3>subpoena a wide range of documents, with the exception of

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<v Speaker 3>legal advice and strategy.

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<v Speaker 2>This is privileged information. Now.

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<v Speaker 3>I asked a senior experienced solicitor about the impact of

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<v Speaker 3>the revelations contained in this audio, and he said it

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<v Speaker 3>could have the potential to blow open the proceedings and

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<v Speaker 3>call into question not only the entire case, but the

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<v Speaker 3>evidence under oath of several important witnesses.

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<v Speaker 2>He said, if.

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<v Speaker 3>Nick mackenzie was being given Ben Robert Smith's confidential legal

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<v Speaker 3>advice that had been secretly taken from his emails and

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<v Speaker 3>using it to his advantage in the trial, that is

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<v Speaker 3>straight out cheating. We cannot now know how far that

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<v Speaker 3>poison may have spread throughout the proceedings. The solicitor said

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<v Speaker 3>that the case turned on the credibility of witnesses and

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<v Speaker 3>in his view, there are credit findings. He said, reading

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<v Speaker 3>the judgment, it is clear that there are credit findings

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<v Speaker 3>throughout that could be impacted by this new material. The

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<v Speaker 3>judgment must now be scrutinized in light of this information.

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<v Speaker 4>Now.

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<v Speaker 3>Aside from the court case, this also caused into question

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<v Speaker 3>the journalism practices at nine, including the protection of sources

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<v Speaker 3>and the handling of sensitive information about police investigations, because

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<v Speaker 3>in the audio, Mackenzie can also be heard sharing details

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<v Speaker 3>about an undercover police investigation that he claimed was both

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<v Speaker 3>active and current.

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<v Speaker 4>No one knows about the police investigation.

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<v Speaker 6>It's intensively if on going place investigation Bone Tabs task Force,

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<v Speaker 6>a whole new task.

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<v Speaker 4>Force has released the Love in Brisbane, the entire new

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<v Speaker 4>task force.

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<v Speaker 8>There's police living in his apartment block under resumed identities

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<v Speaker 8>as we speak by the.

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<v Speaker 3>Guides, Mackenzie could have jeopardized as sensitive police investigation, including

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<v Speaker 3>the safety of undercover officers, by speaking about it to

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<v Speaker 3>this unrelated witness and even extraordinarily revealing the existence of

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<v Speaker 3>phone taps. Now, Mackenzie didn't respond to a series of

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<v Speaker 3>specific questions, including.

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<v Speaker 2>What he meant by breaching his own ethics.

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<v Speaker 3>Instead, the Nine Network defended their legal strategy and their journalism,

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<v Speaker 3>with a Nine spokesperson saying, having reviewed the audio clip

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<v Speaker 3>with support from external council, we can confirm there is

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<v Speaker 3>no breach of legal privilege or ethical concerns. Nine has

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<v Speaker 3>full confidence in the reporting and actions of Nick Mackenzie,

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<v Speaker 3>an award winning reporter who enjoys the respect and admiration

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<v Speaker 3>of his editors and colleagues in the newsroom, MINTA. Ellison

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<v Speaker 3>didn't provide a separate response to our questions.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, Robert Smith has never been charged by police.

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<v Speaker 3>He sued nine over the twenty eighteen allegations that he

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<v Speaker 3>committed war crimes during his deployments in Afghanistan. The court

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<v Speaker 3>found in Nine's favor, holding that their imputations were substantially

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<v Speaker 3>true that Robert Smith was complicit in the unlawful killings

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<v Speaker 3>of four unarmed Afghan prisoners. He's now appealing the defamation judgment,

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<v Speaker 3>with a decision set to be released imminently.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 3>Mackenzie is renowned for his use of secret recordings in

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<v Speaker 3>his own award winning reports.

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<v Speaker 2>In fact, he's made a career out of it.

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<v Speaker 5>Here are some examples, and normally we'd never know what

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<v Speaker 5>goes on in the back rooms of Australian politics, but

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<v Speaker 5>we've obtained secret audio and video recordings that catch out

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<v Speaker 5>the real Adam Somyrek. Among the covids of Aali vision

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<v Speaker 5>we've managed to obtain, we can see things like a

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<v Speaker 5>notorious Hells Angels gangster. While it's clear business is booming

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<v Speaker 5>for the gangland figure, he's more secretive about how he

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<v Speaker 5>actually operates behind the scenes. This phone recording we've obtained

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<v Speaker 5>provides clue about his tactics.

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<v Speaker 3>But now a recording of his own has come back

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<v Speaker 3>to haunt him. Mackenzie's book on the Robert Smith case is.

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<v Speaker 2>Called Crossing the Line, and there will now be.

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<v Speaker 3>Questions about Weather Nine and Mackenzie crossed the line in

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<v Speaker 3>their pursuit of Australia's most famous Afghanistan War veteran.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, the Teals claim to support women.

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<v Speaker 3>They claimed that they'd bring integrity to politics, and yet

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<v Speaker 3>here was Manique Ryan's husband tearing down a poster of

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<v Speaker 3>her political rival, a young female Liberal candidate, Emilia Hamer.

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<v Speaker 4>So hang on, mate, what are you doing? I'm taking

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<v Speaker 4>a side out? Yeah, beg you, Perbin, I'm taking the

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<v Speaker 4>side out. What are you doing that for? It's on

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<v Speaker 4>public land.

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<v Speaker 9>I'm not saying who I am, who are you?

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<v Speaker 4>Or you wearing a Teal T shirt. I'll start to

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<v Speaker 4>film you. Are you?

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<v Speaker 9>Monik Ryan?

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<v Speaker 10>Supporter of ripping down people's signs?

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<v Speaker 9>Are you?

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<v Speaker 4>Is that what you're doing? It belongs to me. Hey,

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<v Speaker 4>you can take it off the property, but it belongs

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<v Speaker 4>to me.

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<v Speaker 11>If it goes back up, It'll be taken down again.

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<v Speaker 12>There you go, Monique Ryan, there you go community values.

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<v Speaker 3>Now, as you can see that he wouldn't say who

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<v Speaker 3>he was. Well, there was such outrage over this today

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<v Speaker 3>that both Minique Ryan and her husband had to apologize.

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<v Speaker 3>Minique Ryan said, I apologize for the removal of the sign.

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<v Speaker 2>It should not have happened.

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<v Speaker 3>All concerns about signage should be reported to counsel. And

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<v Speaker 3>mister Jordan said that he unreservedly apologizes for removing the sign.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a mistake. He said.

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<v Speaker 3>He believed the sign was illegally placed, but he should

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<v Speaker 3>have reported his concerns to counsel. Now, the Prime Minister

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<v Speaker 3>was very dismissive of this incident today.

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<v Speaker 13>So on a day where we've got a sixteen point

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<v Speaker 13>five billion dollar national education announcement, I'm asked about someone's

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<v Speaker 13>husband removing a Liberal Party sign on a road somewhere.

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<v Speaker 9>That has that what's.

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<v Speaker 7>A sign going to call an election?

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:16.160
<v Speaker 13>Is there any connection whatsoever with anyone in the Labor

0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:20.520
<v Speaker 13>Party with this alleged event, of which I did not know. No, okay,

0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 13>I think you've it's your question.

0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:26.880
<v Speaker 2>He's trivializing the matter. He thinks it's a joke.

0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 3>Is this how Manique Ryan and her husband should treat

0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 3>a woman trying to make her way in politics. Emilia

0:14:34.480 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 3>Heim is running for the seat of Couyong, Josh Friedenberg's

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:41.360
<v Speaker 3>old seat. She's a great candidate and she grew up

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:45.000
<v Speaker 3>with politics. Her great uncle was the Victorian premier, and

0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:49.040
<v Speaker 3>so was her great grandfather, Sir William McPherson, and her

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 3>grandfather was also a senator for Victoria. But she's young

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 3>in age, around thirty one years old, and Minique Bryan

0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:00.440
<v Speaker 3>could do better than to tear down her posters. We're

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 3>joining us now to discuss this. Sky News contributor Joe

0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 3>Hildebrand and Liberal Senator Holly Hughes.

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 2>Good evening, Welcome to you both.

0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 3>Great to be Joe, your mate, Albo. He took this

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:11.640
<v Speaker 3>a bit lightly today, didn't he. I mean, if this

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 3>was a female labor candidate who had her posters torn down,

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:17.480
<v Speaker 3>he would have reacted.

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, that's right.

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:19.680
<v Speaker 7>I think he's just making the point and said, look,

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 7>this is between the teals and the liberals.

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 9>It's nothing to do with us. I want to talk about.

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 7>Our great big sixteen and a half billion dollar education policy.

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 7>But certainly I have absolutely no love for the Teals.

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 7>I've always thought that they were nauseatingly holier than thou.

0:15:33.880 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 7>They pontificate about wanting and needing more integrity in politics,

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 7>but in fact they, as we've seen by this example,

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:44.160
<v Speaker 7>do not display the remotest amount of integrity themselves. We

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 7>know that the Teal contests were among the nastiest of

0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:52.600
<v Speaker 7>the last federal election, and particularly in Monique Ryan's seat

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:54.760
<v Speaker 7>of Couyong. We know there are people with connections to

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.680
<v Speaker 7>get up who have been involved into your campaigning, and

0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:02.160
<v Speaker 7>that they have a particularly nasty reputation when it comes

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:06.160
<v Speaker 7>to when it comes to the way they run campaigns,

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 7>and you can ask the Cole Flint.

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 9>About that in South Australia.

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 7>So I've always thought that the Teals were nauseating at

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 7>the best of times. But the fact that you've got

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 7>a Teal, you know, the Alpha Teal, Nick Ryan's husband,

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 7>going around like the lone ranger, tearing down opponents' campaign material,

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 7>that just strikes me as just the worst possible look.

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:34.480
<v Speaker 7>And no wonder they both just broke every land speed

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 7>record to issue groveling apologies and people should.

0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:44.000
<v Speaker 3>Know because it was cad on cameras an apology, yes,

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 3>not an apology right when he was caught in the act, Holly.

0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:51.600
<v Speaker 3>But you know, the Tears campaigned on integrity, they campaigned

0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 3>on better treatment of women at the Heimlie Rug for example, movement.

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:01.160
<v Speaker 2>Holly, what's your response this, it's ironic.

0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 14>Well, they were going to do politics differently, weren't they.

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:08.679
<v Speaker 14>They were the bastions of the moral center of the universe.

0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:12.280
<v Speaker 14>Yet their true colors are consistently seen. And I mean

0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:16.159
<v Speaker 14>I can just still hear on a Ryan yelling shame

0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:19.479
<v Speaker 14>on you across the chamber when she was standing up

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 14>wearing a mask, you know through COVID, and then the

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:26.000
<v Speaker 14>footage came out of her at a party without a

0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 14>mask around the same time. This is a woman who

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 14>we need to look at what she does, not what

0:17:31.600 --> 0:17:36.119
<v Speaker 14>she says. It's disgraceful behavior and for Alban easy to

0:17:36.200 --> 0:17:40.080
<v Speaker 14>brush it off. Though he was in Victoria, so he

0:17:40.200 --> 0:17:42.880
<v Speaker 14>may have made an announcement with Chris fully in the morning,

0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:45.399
<v Speaker 14>but clearly the VIP was ready to go because it

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:49.000
<v Speaker 14>was Rob Mitchell, the Member for McEwen, standing behind him

0:17:49.040 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 14>there in Victoria. So no wonder he was asked about

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 14>this and what you know, he was asked by Victorian

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 14>journalists standing in Victoria and the fact that he dismisses it.

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.439
<v Speaker 14>If it was a labor female candidate, we'd have the

0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:07.359
<v Speaker 14>me Too movement in a resurgency tonight. But again it

0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:10.760
<v Speaker 14>happens to a conservative woman, So nothing to see here.

0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:14.359
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, there is definitely a bit of political hypocrisy

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:16.800
<v Speaker 3>going on. Meanwhile, I want to talk about this shocking

0:18:16.800 --> 0:18:20.439
<v Speaker 3>development in Victoria. I was absolutely appalled to see this.

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 3>It's a major infringement on free speech by Victorian police.

0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:28.720
<v Speaker 3>Now they're taking action against an online antisemitism campaigner. Her

0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 3>name's Zara Cooper and they're applying Victorian Police applying for

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 3>personal safety intervention order on behalf of an anti Israel

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:43.199
<v Speaker 3>activist who you've probably heard of, called Sarah Schwartz. She

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 3>was behind that pro Dutton Jew slide that was so offensive.

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.159
<v Speaker 3>She heads up a left wing group that aligns itself

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 3>with the pro Palestinian movement. She's always speaking on the ABC,

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:58.520
<v Speaker 3>even though she doesn't represent the majority of Australian Jews. Now,

0:18:58.640 --> 0:19:01.880
<v Speaker 3>Zara Cooper has been critical of this group's legitimacy as

0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 3>the voice of Australian Jews, and she's done so through

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 3>her Instagram account. That's called Clammy fraud and she's right.

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:15.240
<v Speaker 3>Yet now Victorian police allege that Cooper's online commentary is

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:21.000
<v Speaker 3>severely affecting Sarah Schwartz's mental health. So this is effectively

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:23.960
<v Speaker 3>a gag order on a pro Israel advocate. It's a

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 3>blatant attack on free speech and its attempt an attempt

0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:31.480
<v Speaker 3>to silence the Jewish community. Now, Zara Cooper has never

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 3>threatened anyone its accounts like hers that are trying to

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:39.119
<v Speaker 3>make our country a safer place, and yet Victorian police

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 3>want to silence her. Joe, this is an outrageous infringement

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:44.959
<v Speaker 3>and free speech.

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think it is. I was stunned.

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 7>I came across this story very late last night and

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 7>I just could not actually below. It was one of

0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:54.960
<v Speaker 7>those things only in Victoria, obviously, where the police seem

0:19:55.040 --> 0:19:58.000
<v Speaker 7>to have become an arm of the political apparatus. It's very,

0:19:58.080 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 7>very strange, but it seemed to me absolutely shocking. I

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:06.480
<v Speaker 7>thought it's a classic example of sort of people on

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 7>the extreme left being cry bullies, where they will essentially

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 7>defame an entire community and accuse anyone who's pro Israel

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.679
<v Speaker 7>of being some kind of shill for Peter Dutton, or

0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 7>being a puppet for Peter Dutton. And then when someone says,

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:23.119
<v Speaker 7>we'll hang on a minute, you're not representative of the

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:24.359
<v Speaker 7>Jewish community, saying.

0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:26.640
<v Speaker 9>How could you now my mental health is being affected

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 9>because it chriticized me.

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 7>The only thing that raised even the slightest the only

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:31.920
<v Speaker 7>thing where I said, oh maybe there is something There

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:34.639
<v Speaker 7>was when there was talk about how the image of

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 7>a rat had been used in relation to Sarah Schwartz,

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 7>and I thought, all right, well that's a you know,

0:20:39.560 --> 0:20:41.159
<v Speaker 7>we know that the Greens have used the image of

0:20:41.160 --> 0:20:43.439
<v Speaker 7>the octopus to describe the Jewish comunity. That is a

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 7>Nazi trope from the Holocaust, used to dehumanize. And then

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:50.240
<v Speaker 7>I saw the actual image and it was a gift

0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 7>of a nose and a little quite a cute little

0:20:53.160 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 7>rat saying I smell a rat.

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:55.040
<v Speaker 4>I E.

0:20:55.280 --> 0:20:57.480
<v Speaker 7>I don't think you're being honest here. So if that

0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:01.520
<v Speaker 7>is the strongest case the police have in order to

0:21:01.600 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 7>take out effective sort of protection racket for for Sarah Schwartz,

0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:09.399
<v Speaker 7>I think maybe they might want to concentrate their efforts

0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 7>of there is also a youth crime crisis in Victoria,

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:14.360
<v Speaker 7>the police might want to direct their attention to where

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:17.960
<v Speaker 7>people are actually being attacked physically and hurt on the streets,

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:22.720
<v Speaker 7>rather than wasting their resources on an online activist whose.

0:21:22.520 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 9>Feelings have been hurt.

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:26.720
<v Speaker 2>You're one hundred percent right for once, Joe.

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 9>For once you get there.

0:21:28.280 --> 0:21:32.680
<v Speaker 3>Eventually, Wow, people are in fear in Melbourne, you know,

0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 3>worried about this crime wave that's been happening. But I

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:37.639
<v Speaker 3>want to ask you, Holly, at the same time, on

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:43.200
<v Speaker 3>the weekend, we saw Victorian police remove a Jewish pro

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:48.439
<v Speaker 3>Israel protest and allow the pro Palestinian aggressive protests that

0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 3>we're shouting all Zion as a terrorists to continue. So

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:55.160
<v Speaker 3>I feel really uncomfortable with how Victorian police are handling

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:57.480
<v Speaker 3>this entire issue.

0:21:58.160 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 14>Look, I'm really surprised to hear Joe though, say that

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:03.560
<v Speaker 14>he's shocked to hear that the Victorian police are an

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.399
<v Speaker 14>arm of the political wing. If you talk to anyone

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 14>who's been around Victorian politics for a length of time,

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.640
<v Speaker 14>they'll tell you that the Victorian police are very much

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:16.680
<v Speaker 14>an apparachi of the left wing political class in Victoria.

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 14>And you know, I don't think it's just Victoria.

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:20.440
<v Speaker 2>I think it's in New South Wales too.

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:23.399
<v Speaker 14>You know, remember on October ninth we have one person

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:26.280
<v Speaker 14>in Sydney with an Israeli flag and they were the

0:22:26.320 --> 0:22:31.239
<v Speaker 14>person that was moved on. This is absolutely insanity, but

0:22:31.320 --> 0:22:35.760
<v Speaker 14>we see it this left wing bent, anti Semitic bent

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 14>that they would target free speech around anti Semitism. They

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 14>target anyone who is pro Israel, that is a Zionist

0:22:45.359 --> 0:22:49.959
<v Speaker 14>who supports the release of the hostages whilst protecting I mean,

0:22:50.040 --> 0:22:51.800
<v Speaker 14>quite frankly, I'm not even going to say a name.

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:54.280
<v Speaker 14>I'm not going to give it a credibility because it's

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:57.560
<v Speaker 14>a one woman person claiming to be a counsel who

0:22:57.640 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 14>is trying to represent a far left wing Jewish group

0:23:02.560 --> 0:23:06.159
<v Speaker 14>which is not representative of the Jewish community in Australia.

0:23:06.240 --> 0:23:09.560
<v Speaker 14>I bet we wouldn't see her wearing the badge that

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 14>you know, you, I and others wear almost every day

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 14>with regards to support for the hostages. So it's pathetic.

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:18.960
<v Speaker 14>And if the Victorian police really have that much time

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.040
<v Speaker 14>on their hand, I can show them some of the

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:25.600
<v Speaker 14>mind and conservative women's social medias and if this woman's

0:23:25.640 --> 0:23:28.359
<v Speaker 14>being so impacted by her mental health by that meme

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:30.960
<v Speaker 14>of a small little mouse. She should just come and

0:23:31.000 --> 0:23:32.879
<v Speaker 14>cop a little bit of what we do for five

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:34.000
<v Speaker 14>minutes and see how you go.

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Love. And she might have members.

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:38.680
<v Speaker 3>Just picking up on that point where you said she's

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:41.320
<v Speaker 3>a one woman council, she might have members, maybe one

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 3>hundred members, I don't know. But it's definitely not representative

0:23:45.560 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 3>of the majority of views in the Jewish community.

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:49.919
<v Speaker 7>Just because you have a fax machine doesn't mean you're

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 7>a representative council for no exactly.

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:54.159
<v Speaker 3>All right, Joe, we were going to talk about your

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:56.400
<v Speaker 3>column in the Daily Telly, but I think we're out

0:23:56.440 --> 0:23:56.680
<v Speaker 3>of time.

0:23:57.080 --> 0:23:58.199
<v Speaker 9>It's brilliant just taking that word.

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:04.720
<v Speaker 2>It's very nice, Jolly Hughes. Great to see you, Joe.

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:06.440
<v Speaker 2>See you guys next Monday.

0:24:07.080 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 3>All right, Well, let's talk now about the budget which

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 3>is tomorrow night. Well, the headline in the Australian today

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 3>was into the red and no way out as Labor

0:24:16.119 --> 0:24:20.199
<v Speaker 3>accepts years of deficits and the Treasurer has conceded that

0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 3>Australia is in for years and years of deficit to come.

0:24:25.040 --> 0:24:29.399
<v Speaker 15>When do you anticipate an Australian government could next deliver

0:24:29.480 --> 0:24:30.080
<v Speaker 15>a surplus?

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:35.199
<v Speaker 12>Well, it remains to be seen. Our efforts have been

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 12>about trying to make the budget as responsible as we can,

0:24:37.840 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 12>some savings.

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:44.160
<v Speaker 3>And that's bringing now Judo Bank Chief Economist Warren Hogan, Warren,

0:24:44.240 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 3>good to see you again. Budgets tomorrow night. We've seen

0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:51.040
<v Speaker 3>a lot of pre election sweetness. But are you worried

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:54.360
<v Speaker 3>that this all amounts to increase spending that could put

0:24:54.400 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 3>pressure on inflation?

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:01.639
<v Speaker 10>Well, Hi, Jerry, yeah, good. Well, we're seeing, of course,

0:25:01.760 --> 0:25:05.400
<v Speaker 10>this process play out where the budget bottom line gets

0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:08.360
<v Speaker 10>some support from stronger economy. In this case it's likely

0:25:08.359 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 10>to be stronger personal income taxes, and then some portion

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:14.760
<v Speaker 10>of it's spent. And we know the magnitude of the

0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 10>extra spending over the course of this government. So the

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.400
<v Speaker 10>reality is is that we are going to see pre

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:23.920
<v Speaker 10>election spending measures and we're going to I think it's

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:27.640
<v Speaker 10>quite disheartening and that we're not even attempting to get

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 10>back to budget and that really is the break with

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:32.919
<v Speaker 10>the past. The last thirty years governments in Australia have

0:25:32.920 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 10>at least tried, even if it's ten years out, to

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:38.160
<v Speaker 10>have an ambition and that doesn't seem to be there anymore.

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:40.639
<v Speaker 3>And even we see in the US at the moment.

0:25:40.720 --> 0:25:45.440
<v Speaker 3>The Trump administration, you know, widely criticized, and yet part

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:48.600
<v Speaker 3>of the reason behind Elon Musk's doze is they are

0:25:48.720 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 3>trying to rain in the budget and cut spending, and

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:55.199
<v Speaker 3>that you know that attempt isn't even happening here. It

0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:58.120
<v Speaker 3>doesn't seem like Australian voters care about it anymore.

0:25:58.119 --> 0:25:59.840
<v Speaker 2>I mean, that's what the polls show.

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:02.600
<v Speaker 3>So do you think we are seeing some labor and

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 3>pace expressing support for fiscal restraint, But we're not likely

0:26:07.080 --> 0:26:09.280
<v Speaker 3>to see that, especially when this budget is right before

0:26:09.320 --> 0:26:09.800
<v Speaker 3>the election.

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 9>No, we're not.

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:14.360
<v Speaker 10>I don't think any of us are expecting to see

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:17.399
<v Speaker 10>any kind of restraint. There might be some restraint defined

0:26:17.440 --> 0:26:20.760
<v Speaker 10>as not spending all of the increasing government revenues they get,

0:26:20.760 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 10>but that all remains to be seen tomorrow and there

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:27.080
<v Speaker 10>will not be anything significant done. The reality is is

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 10>we have every bit as much of a problem with

0:26:29.520 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 10>size of government and size of government spending as America,

0:26:32.080 --> 0:26:35.960
<v Speaker 10>if not worse. And I imagine that the pressure on

0:26:36.080 --> 0:26:40.120
<v Speaker 10>the next government is to do something about the structural

0:26:40.240 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 10>increase in spending that's occurred will mount because we are

0:26:44.320 --> 0:26:49.560
<v Speaker 10>taxing this economy and that is going to force further problems,

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:53.640
<v Speaker 10>whether it be labor force participation, productivity, or just unfairness

0:26:53.640 --> 0:26:57.120
<v Speaker 10>on younger generations. This is not a sustainable situation.

0:26:58.240 --> 0:27:01.000
<v Speaker 3>On the other hand, we are seeing the Coalition match

0:27:01.720 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 3>many of Labour's announcements. Do you think the Coalition should

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:09.480
<v Speaker 3>be taking it different approach here, a more fiscally conservative approach.

0:27:10.760 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 10>Well, look, I think they are fiscally conservative at heart.

0:27:14.720 --> 0:27:17.880
<v Speaker 10>The reality is that they just don't want to get

0:27:17.880 --> 0:27:20.720
<v Speaker 10>in the way of a government that will maybe be

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:24.240
<v Speaker 10>kicked out. That's the reality of Australian politics. Bill Shorten

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:26.880
<v Speaker 10>showed in twenty nineteen that you put up a lot

0:27:26.880 --> 0:27:29.359
<v Speaker 10>of policy and you just make it harder for the

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:31.639
<v Speaker 10>Australian people to kick out a government they don't like.

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:33.160
<v Speaker 10>We saw it all the way back in ninety three

0:27:33.160 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 10>with John Houston. So I think they've just been politically

0:27:36.080 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 10>conservative and letting the Australian people make a judgment on

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 10>Albanezi in his government and at most people think that's enough.

0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:45.160
<v Speaker 10>It's what they do if they do get into power

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:47.600
<v Speaker 10>that matters. But to give you some idea, if we're

0:27:47.640 --> 0:27:49.399
<v Speaker 10>just going to give the bracket creep back to the

0:27:49.400 --> 0:27:52.600
<v Speaker 10>Australian people, for the last three years. It's fifty billion

0:27:52.640 --> 0:27:55.959
<v Speaker 10>a year in cutting and spending and that's just an

0:27:56.080 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 10>unpolitically acceptable thing to say before an election.

0:28:00.359 --> 0:28:03.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, Angus Taylor hasn't committed either to delivering a

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:05.800
<v Speaker 3>surplus if he becomes Treasurer. I mean, it would be

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:09.639
<v Speaker 3>a difficult promise. It would almost certainly be a broken

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 3>promise if he made it. But he has hinted that

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 3>there might be a big announcement in his Budget reply

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 3>speech on Thursday. Have you got any insights for us

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:20.120
<v Speaker 3>on what he could.

0:28:19.960 --> 0:28:21.879
<v Speaker 1>Be looking to do well.

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.400
<v Speaker 10>I think the two key policy leaders a look at

0:28:24.400 --> 0:28:26.959
<v Speaker 10>are either related to energy or defense, and both of

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 10>these two areas are critical for Australia. Right now, we

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 10>know the nuclear policies there, so is there a sort

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:35.880
<v Speaker 10>of a second phase to this around gas? And then

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 10>the other one will be a commitment to more a

0:28:38.960 --> 0:28:43.000
<v Speaker 10>significant increase in our defense expenditures because of the precarious

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 10>global situation. We'll wait and see, but it'll just highlight

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:49.480
<v Speaker 10>the point that there are fast becoming big priorities for

0:28:49.520 --> 0:28:52.200
<v Speaker 10>government spending and a lot of our increase and spendings

0:28:52.240 --> 0:28:55.280
<v Speaker 10>have been around the domestic scene, which I don't think

0:28:55.320 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 10>is sustainable.

0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:57.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I thought.

0:28:57.120 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 3>Chris Mitchell had an excellent column in the Australian Today

0:28:59.480 --> 0:29:02.720
<v Speaker 3>where he high i lighted some of the ludicrous areas

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 3>of government spedding. So if you haven't read that yet

0:29:05.560 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 3>at home, check it out in the Australian. All right,

0:29:07.520 --> 0:29:09.680
<v Speaker 3>Warren Hogan, good to see you, and no doubt we

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:13.040
<v Speaker 3>hear your commentary about the budget on Sky tomorrow night.

0:29:13.800 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 3>All Right, still to come? Could Jim Chalmers be the

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:19.600
<v Speaker 3>next Labor Party leader? Speculations heating up, plus new polling

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 3>shows which states are swinging in Dutton's favor.

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:28.080
<v Speaker 2>That's after the break, welcome back.

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:30.200
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's shaping up to be a seat by seat

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:34.160
<v Speaker 3>and state by state election battle in May's federal campaign.

0:29:34.600 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 3>The latest Freshwater Strategy polling shows that while the Coalition

0:29:38.360 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 3>is in front in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland,

0:29:42.440 --> 0:29:47.080
<v Speaker 3>it's lagging behind elsewhere, particularly in WA. Will take us

0:29:47.080 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 3>through this started joining me now is Freshwater Strategy director

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:50.760
<v Speaker 3>Leo Shanahan.

0:29:50.840 --> 0:29:52.080
<v Speaker 2>Leo, great to see you again.

0:29:52.520 --> 0:29:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for having me talk me through.

0:29:54.560 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 3>Which state is looking strongest for the Coalition at the

0:29:57.640 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 3>moment and where Albanese's working hardest.

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:04.480
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, well, I think Victoria is looking particularly strong for

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 16>the Coalition the first time in a long time.

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 2>Just approchate.

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:09.480
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, a real graveyard for the Coalition in recent years,

0:30:09.560 --> 0:30:12.360
<v Speaker 16>but they are coming back. A lot of people are

0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:15.320
<v Speaker 16>talking about the paucity of the government there, the Allen government,

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 16>but also there is a general pushback against the federal

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 16>government and I think Labour strategies have to be careful

0:30:21.760 --> 0:30:22.920
<v Speaker 16>just to blame the Allen government.

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:24.480
<v Speaker 1>There is a genuine.

0:30:24.240 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 16>Push on in Victoria for the Coalition. New South Wales

0:30:28.920 --> 0:30:30.640
<v Speaker 16>is looking very positive as well.

0:30:30.880 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 1>Two pp.

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:34.680
<v Speaker 16>That's actually higher than Victoria, but potential to pick up

0:30:34.720 --> 0:30:38.840
<v Speaker 16>more seats in Victoria is a very good opportunity for

0:30:38.880 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 16>the Coalition coming off a low base to be exactly exactly.

0:30:42.400 --> 0:30:45.520
<v Speaker 16>But if they can pick up those seats in Victoria,

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:48.560
<v Speaker 16>it then rolls on into New South Wales and that's

0:30:48.640 --> 0:30:51.240
<v Speaker 16>kind of really that path to victory that the Coalition.

0:30:50.880 --> 0:30:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Will then be talking about.

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 16>In Queensland, they're doing very well a forty five fifty

0:30:56.880 --> 0:30:59.440
<v Speaker 16>five two pp in Queensland.

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:01.080
<v Speaker 3>But fewer seats for them to be up because the Coalition,

0:31:01.200 --> 0:31:04.400
<v Speaker 3>I mean Queenslands are ready the stronger state exactly.

0:31:04.440 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 16>So where do they go In Queensland, there's a couple

0:31:06.440 --> 0:31:09.200
<v Speaker 16>of those Green seats to pick up. Perhaps Ryan was

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 16>a definite candidate there, but hold Labor out the problem

0:31:13.400 --> 0:31:15.760
<v Speaker 16>for them at the moment and where there was hope

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:18.120
<v Speaker 16>and look that's still there and I have to push on.

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:20.400
<v Speaker 16>This is why the campaign is going to matter is

0:31:20.440 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 16>Western Australia Labor government there the government held up extremely

0:31:24.800 --> 0:31:29.000
<v Speaker 16>well by and large in the state election, even though

0:31:29.000 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 16>there was a significant swing actually against the government.

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 1>They just didn't lose that many seats.

0:31:33.840 --> 0:31:34.240
<v Speaker 4>Is about it.

0:31:34.640 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 3>So I mean, in a way, that's a reflection, isn't

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:40.520
<v Speaker 3>it of the cost of living crisis, which doesn't seem

0:31:40.600 --> 0:31:43.560
<v Speaker 3>to be biting wly way as hard as the East

0:31:43.600 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 3>Coast states.

0:31:44.400 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, and it's a very good point because when you

0:31:46.360 --> 0:31:49.280
<v Speaker 16>look at right direction wrong direction, which is a very

0:31:49.280 --> 0:31:52.240
<v Speaker 16>good indicator of where people are at in the country,

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 16>it's those states New South Wales fifty four percent of

0:31:56.440 --> 0:31:57.920
<v Speaker 16>people say that go in the wrong direction.

0:31:58.280 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Fifty seven percent of people say we're going in the

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:06.080
<v Speaker 1>wrong direction. In Queensland. In Victoria it's sixty four percent

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 1>heading in the wrong stage.

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:10.360
<v Speaker 16>Country is heading the wrong direction it's just an indicator

0:32:10.360 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 16>of how hard people are doing it in that state

0:32:12.440 --> 0:32:13.480
<v Speaker 16>and how unhappy they up.

0:32:13.400 --> 0:32:13.840
<v Speaker 1>With the government.

0:32:14.080 --> 0:32:18.160
<v Speaker 16>West Australian it's only fifty three percent, and whilst that's

0:32:18.200 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 16>not significantly lower, it still shows that maybe West Australians

0:32:22.040 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 16>are as happy unhappy as the rest of us.

0:32:24.120 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:28.680
<v Speaker 3>Now, housing which is obviously closely linked housing affordability closely

0:32:28.720 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 3>linked to the cost of living crisis also issues about

0:32:32.080 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 3>high immigration, whether we've had too much immigration putting more

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:38.360
<v Speaker 3>pressure on housing supply. So now tell us about older

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 3>voters because this is surprisingly a key issue up with

0:32:44.480 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 3>the younger voters.

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:49.200
<v Speaker 16>The cost of housing and rent eclipses groceries as the

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 16>top priority when it comes to cost of living.

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Right among older voters.

0:32:55.840 --> 0:32:58.240
<v Speaker 16>Power bills are a massive issue now that goes to

0:32:58.280 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 16>priorities fixed costs.

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:00.800
<v Speaker 1>You know you're an older voter.

0:33:00.840 --> 0:33:03.800
<v Speaker 16>You probably own your own house already or have larger proportion,

0:33:04.160 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 16>but you're worried about those fixed costs. Younger voters are

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 16>very worried about their future in terms of their ability

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:13.560
<v Speaker 16>to buy housing in the future for themselves and their family.

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:17.040
<v Speaker 16>Older voters, interestingly are more concerned about availability than they

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 16>are about cost of housing as well, and I think

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 16>a lot of that's generational. Well, my family, my children

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:24.480
<v Speaker 16>won't be able to live in the same city as me.

0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:26.800
<v Speaker 16>If you want me to move, where am I going

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:27.200
<v Speaker 16>to move to?

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:30.000
<v Speaker 3>Or maybe in regional areas exactly might be the same city,

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:31.320
<v Speaker 3>same state.

0:33:31.120 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 16>But exactly having a seat to Younger people can move,

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 16>they're more mobile, so they worry.

0:33:35.640 --> 0:33:36.200
<v Speaker 1>About the cost.

0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 3>So leo based on I mean, you've been doing a

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:41.840
<v Speaker 3>series of polls, monthly polls. Now, where do you think

0:33:41.920 --> 0:33:42.960
<v Speaker 3>this election's going.

0:33:43.320 --> 0:33:45.239
<v Speaker 2>Are you going to put your neck out it?

0:33:45.360 --> 0:33:49.040
<v Speaker 3>Because everyone is just saying hung parliament or minority Labor government,

0:33:49.040 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 3>it's the safe prediction.

0:33:50.800 --> 0:33:52.920
<v Speaker 16>Well, I hate to be boring, but that is the

0:33:53.040 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 16>prediction I would give at the moment. I mean, the

0:33:56.520 --> 0:34:01.120
<v Speaker 16>coalition has had a less positive few weeks. Labour's had

0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:03.640
<v Speaker 16>a better couple of weeks. The Prime Minister was elevated

0:34:04.080 --> 0:34:07.920
<v Speaker 16>very much in that in that hurricane, in the cyclone

0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 16>situation that wasn't a cyclone in yet, but so that

0:34:10.760 --> 0:34:11.759
<v Speaker 16>helped him.

0:34:11.480 --> 0:34:14.680
<v Speaker 3>Somewhat bizarrely because he spent it in canber He wasn't

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 3>even in Queensland. Yeah, Well, with the people battling the

0:34:18.800 --> 0:34:19.680
<v Speaker 3>tropical cyclone.

0:34:19.680 --> 0:34:21.080
<v Speaker 2>But nonetheless, if he didn't give.

0:34:21.040 --> 0:34:23.480
<v Speaker 16>Him a boost, I think what will happen Sharry is

0:34:23.640 --> 0:34:25.839
<v Speaker 16>will get a good idea that in the next couple

0:34:25.880 --> 0:34:29.640
<v Speaker 16>of weeks where that vote is starting to move, no

0:34:29.680 --> 0:34:31.719
<v Speaker 16>doubt the campaign is really going to matter, and that's

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:35.239
<v Speaker 16>why campaigns do matter. The budget will be interesting. Queensland's

0:34:35.239 --> 0:34:38.760
<v Speaker 16>a good example. You can throw giveaways at the electorate.

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:41.920
<v Speaker 16>We saw in Queensland literal free lunches and bus rides.

0:34:42.440 --> 0:34:44.319
<v Speaker 16>The electric will take that, so thank you very much.

0:34:44.440 --> 0:34:46.120
<v Speaker 16>That doesn't mean they're going to vote for you.

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, and we have started to see some of that

0:34:48.560 --> 0:34:50.440
<v Speaker 3>free money with the promise of another one hundred and

0:34:50.480 --> 0:34:52.200
<v Speaker 3>fifty dollars off power bills.

0:34:52.239 --> 0:34:53.759
<v Speaker 2>I don't know who would believe it seeing his the

0:34:53.760 --> 0:34:54.280
<v Speaker 2>first two.

0:34:54.160 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 3>Hundred and seventy five dollars hasn't come off yet, but

0:34:56.960 --> 0:35:00.160
<v Speaker 3>you never know. Maybe people who don't watch Sky every night.

0:35:00.840 --> 0:35:04.520
<v Speaker 3>Thanks interviews Leash Shannon, I'm great to see you all.

0:35:04.600 --> 0:35:07.239
<v Speaker 3>Right after the break are the Prime Minister's days as

0:35:07.320 --> 0:35:11.160
<v Speaker 3>Labor leader numbered no matter the election Outcolm speculations already

0:35:11.400 --> 0:35:14.880
<v Speaker 3>starting at plus Our political panel give their prediction for

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:16.640
<v Speaker 3>where the campaign is headed.

0:35:16.680 --> 0:35:17.400
<v Speaker 2>That's next.

0:35:21.360 --> 0:35:23.960
<v Speaker 3>Welcome back. But we're now about to enter the most

0:35:23.960 --> 0:35:27.439
<v Speaker 3>crucial time in the election contest, with the polls set

0:35:27.440 --> 0:35:30.640
<v Speaker 3>to be called any day now. Now the Coalition just

0:35:30.719 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 3>can't afford train wreck interviews like this one where Angus

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:37.800
<v Speaker 3>Taylor struggled to specify just how much it would cost

0:35:38.120 --> 0:35:39.920
<v Speaker 3>to build a nuclear power plant.

0:35:40.040 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 17>Have a look what it's going to cost Australia to

0:35:43.600 --> 0:35:47.080
<v Speaker 17>build nuclear power forty four percent less than the alternative,

0:35:47.160 --> 0:35:50.160
<v Speaker 17>which is and this is the crucial point around. You

0:35:50.239 --> 0:35:52.239
<v Speaker 17>know those numbers they were put out by later around

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:55.240
<v Speaker 17>six hundred million dollars what your plan costs, so forty

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:58.160
<v Speaker 17>four percent less that the alternative we've put forward, which

0:35:58.200 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 17>we've modeled, We've put out the costings. So what is

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:03.320
<v Speaker 17>the forty four percent lower cost tells?

0:36:03.880 --> 0:36:06.280
<v Speaker 9>What's just how people can understand what the cost.

0:36:06.120 --> 0:36:08.800
<v Speaker 17>Is, well, forty four percent less labour six hundred billion

0:36:08.880 --> 0:36:11.120
<v Speaker 17>in total for the system through to twenty fifty.

0:36:12.480 --> 0:36:13.480
<v Speaker 9>Sixty billion on that.

0:36:14.680 --> 0:36:17.360
<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's bring in our Monday Political Panel with Scott

0:36:17.400 --> 0:36:21.759
<v Speaker 3>Morrison's former Media advisor, Headline Advisory Director Andrew Carswell and

0:36:21.800 --> 0:36:25.360
<v Speaker 3>Bill Shotton's form A chief of Staff GXO Strategies Director

0:36:25.520 --> 0:36:29.560
<v Speaker 3>Carara Milnat. Great to see you both now, Andrew. The

0:36:29.560 --> 0:36:34.280
<v Speaker 3>Coalition has to get its act together on these costing figures.

0:36:36.239 --> 0:36:38.920
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, Sharia, it was certainly a little sloppy and I

0:36:38.920 --> 0:36:40.839
<v Speaker 18>think has just got caught in the weeds a little

0:36:40.840 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 18>bit too much and you won't be able to get

0:36:42.480 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 18>away with that in the campaign. It's lucky that that's

0:36:44.520 --> 0:36:48.160
<v Speaker 18>kind of happening now. But there is no doubt that

0:36:48.200 --> 0:36:51.399
<v Speaker 18>the Coalition needs to be sharper on its messaging when

0:36:51.400 --> 0:36:53.319
<v Speaker 18>it comes to its energy plan. It needs to be

0:36:53.360 --> 0:36:56.760
<v Speaker 18>sharper when it comes to its messaging on the economy.

0:36:56.760 --> 0:36:58.880
<v Speaker 18>There is absolutely no doubt about that. But what I

0:36:59.000 --> 0:36:59.480
<v Speaker 18>do like.

0:37:00.040 --> 0:37:02.160
<v Speaker 9>What what I do like is that there.

0:37:02.040 --> 0:37:04.479
<v Speaker 18>Is an energy plan emerging from the Coalition, and maybe

0:37:04.480 --> 0:37:07.279
<v Speaker 18>a couple of weeks months late, but there is now

0:37:07.320 --> 0:37:11.120
<v Speaker 18>a coherent energy plan that they can put forward to

0:37:11.160 --> 0:37:14.280
<v Speaker 18>the Australian people, and that is threefold. It is energy

0:37:14.320 --> 0:37:17.839
<v Speaker 18>bill relief in the short term. It is getting more

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:20.680
<v Speaker 18>gas out of the ground and keeping more gas here

0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:24.279
<v Speaker 18>domestically that will bring prices down in the short term.

0:37:24.320 --> 0:37:26.280
<v Speaker 18>And it is the long term plan which we've always

0:37:26.280 --> 0:37:28.640
<v Speaker 18>talked about with their nuclear plans that will bring down

0:37:29.760 --> 0:37:32.120
<v Speaker 18>prices are the long term, so it's always been focused

0:37:32.120 --> 0:37:34.120
<v Speaker 18>on that long term issue. Now they're starting to build

0:37:34.160 --> 0:37:36.680
<v Speaker 18>out the capability in the short term. And the gas

0:37:36.760 --> 0:37:39.439
<v Speaker 18>plan is so critical to their messaging because it talks

0:37:39.440 --> 0:37:41.320
<v Speaker 18>about the here and now. How do we get energy

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:43.880
<v Speaker 18>prices down Now we get more gas out of the ground,

0:37:44.040 --> 0:37:46.720
<v Speaker 18>we keep more gas here because gas sets the price

0:37:47.120 --> 0:37:49.799
<v Speaker 18>in the Australian market at the moment because there's a

0:37:49.800 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 18>low supply. So the plan is on track, We've just

0:37:52.680 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 18>got to be able to explain it properly.

0:37:55.880 --> 0:37:56.280
<v Speaker 2>Cameron.

0:37:56.320 --> 0:37:58.719
<v Speaker 3>I think the change since the last selection is in

0:37:58.800 --> 0:38:02.279
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty two. You know, people seemed well, voters were

0:38:02.280 --> 0:38:04.640
<v Speaker 3>happy enough to go along with the renewable energy plan

0:38:04.680 --> 0:38:07.560
<v Speaker 3>that was being put forward by the likes of your

0:38:07.600 --> 0:38:10.719
<v Speaker 3>mate Chris Bowen. But now there's been a few years

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:14.280
<v Speaker 3>of a cost of living crisis. People want cheaper bills,

0:38:14.360 --> 0:38:16.719
<v Speaker 3>that's the focus. So they might be looking at a

0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:20.200
<v Speaker 3>nuclear energy policy if they do believe it's more cost

0:38:20.239 --> 0:38:24.800
<v Speaker 3>effective then going along with, you know, the vision that

0:38:24.880 --> 0:38:26.320
<v Speaker 3>Chris Bowen was selling before.

0:38:28.600 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 15>Well, I think nuclear has got a place. I think

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 15>we all support the fact that at least one political

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:34.399
<v Speaker 15>party has actually come to the modern age and said

0:38:34.480 --> 0:38:36.480
<v Speaker 15>nuclear should be there by twenty fifty and we should

0:38:36.480 --> 0:38:39.279
<v Speaker 15>get to net zero by using nuclear power along with renewables,

0:38:39.360 --> 0:38:43.120
<v Speaker 15>along with gas, along with other resources. But as Andrew

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:44.560
<v Speaker 15>and I were discussing the other night, it's about the

0:38:44.560 --> 0:38:46.840
<v Speaker 15>here now. The coalition has got to come up with

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:48.040
<v Speaker 15>a plan for the here and now, and I'm not

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:50.040
<v Speaker 15>sure it's just gas, Andrew. I think it's got to

0:38:50.040 --> 0:38:52.520
<v Speaker 15>be keeping coal for longer. I mean MINS is doing

0:38:52.560 --> 0:38:55.200
<v Speaker 15>it even to sit to Allen, and Victoria is extending

0:38:55.200 --> 0:38:57.640
<v Speaker 15>coal fire based load power. So labor governments are doing

0:38:57.680 --> 0:38:59.239
<v Speaker 15>it elsewhere. And I think if they got on the

0:38:59.239 --> 0:39:02.320
<v Speaker 15>bandwagon and said call for longer, to give that transition

0:39:02.400 --> 0:39:04.600
<v Speaker 15>to make sure we keep power prices down and people

0:39:04.640 --> 0:39:06.960
<v Speaker 15>in jobs and manufacturing Australia, then that would be a

0:39:07.000 --> 0:39:08.319
<v Speaker 15>really credible energy plan.

0:39:09.360 --> 0:39:13.560
<v Speaker 3>You said the other night, you're taking my Monday Night panel.

0:39:13.360 --> 0:39:15.400
<v Speaker 2>To the stage of the Opera House. You did a

0:39:15.440 --> 0:39:16.279
<v Speaker 2>live event at.

0:39:16.160 --> 0:39:19.600
<v Speaker 3>The Opera House, the panel from here. Wish we were there,

0:39:20.239 --> 0:39:22.560
<v Speaker 3>but good to see you. You picked up the debate.

0:39:22.840 --> 0:39:25.080
<v Speaker 3>Now I want to talk about the next labor leader

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:29.200
<v Speaker 3>for the federal party. Now there's a ready speculation about

0:39:29.400 --> 0:39:32.520
<v Speaker 3>you know, if which side loses the election, who's going

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:36.000
<v Speaker 3>to be the leader? Is dotting it a stay leader

0:39:36.040 --> 0:39:39.960
<v Speaker 3>if they lose. And likewise, if Albo loses or if

0:39:39.960 --> 0:39:43.040
<v Speaker 3>he wins Bob by a small margin margin, who's going

0:39:43.120 --> 0:39:43.920
<v Speaker 3>to take over?

0:39:44.000 --> 0:39:46.560
<v Speaker 2>Now. Jim Chalmers was asked about this yesterday. Have a look.

0:39:47.719 --> 0:39:51.000
<v Speaker 12>I spent absolutely no time thinking about what I would

0:39:51.080 --> 0:39:53.320
<v Speaker 12>do if we lost the election. I'd much rather be

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:55.640
<v Speaker 12>the Treasurer of Australia than the leader of the opposition.

0:39:55.719 --> 0:39:57.759
<v Speaker 12>And we've got a lot of good communicators in our

0:39:58.000 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 12>cabinet and in our party room broadly, and we work

0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:03.320
<v Speaker 12>together very very close.

0:40:04.400 --> 0:40:08.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Andrew Clenel did well in that interview. Andrew, what

0:40:08.160 --> 0:40:08.840
<v Speaker 2>do you think?

0:40:11.880 --> 0:40:14.880
<v Speaker 18>Well, I think I think Jim is the natural leader

0:40:15.760 --> 0:40:18.960
<v Speaker 18>that will come after Albow. Assuming Albout goes to a

0:40:18.960 --> 0:40:22.600
<v Speaker 18>minority government, you would anticipate it he would only last

0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:24.839
<v Speaker 18>twelve to eight a months. And then you look at

0:40:24.840 --> 0:40:28.160
<v Speaker 18>the likes of Jim. Jim is their best communicator. But

0:40:28.200 --> 0:40:30.280
<v Speaker 18>the problem with Jim is he doesn't have the supporting

0:40:30.320 --> 0:40:31.359
<v Speaker 18>caucus that others do.

0:40:32.640 --> 0:40:35.279
<v Speaker 9>You have to look at the likes of Tony.

0:40:35.280 --> 0:40:38.520
<v Speaker 18>Burt to realize where the power actually resides in the

0:40:38.560 --> 0:40:43.560
<v Speaker 18>in the caucus posts Anthony Albanesi. It doesn't reside with Jim,

0:40:44.360 --> 0:40:48.160
<v Speaker 18>it doesn't reside with It doesn't reside with Tanya plebisk,

0:40:48.200 --> 0:40:51.479
<v Speaker 18>It doesn't reside with Chris Bart. It resides with Tony Burke,

0:40:52.200 --> 0:40:55.520
<v Speaker 18>and not many people realize that. But when Anthony Abaneze

0:40:55.560 --> 0:40:58.320
<v Speaker 18>he finally decides to either handout of the rains or

0:40:58.400 --> 0:41:01.399
<v Speaker 18>is pushed out, his numbers will fall behind Tony Burke.

0:41:02.600 --> 0:41:04.640
<v Speaker 3>Cameron, what do you think about this? I mean, you'd

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:07.400
<v Speaker 3>think that the two candidates who would be most popular

0:41:07.440 --> 0:41:10.760
<v Speaker 3>with the electorate would be Tanya plebisk as a female

0:41:10.880 --> 0:41:12.680
<v Speaker 3>especially or Jim Chalmers.

0:41:12.719 --> 0:41:14.000
<v Speaker 2>But is that You're right?

0:41:14.120 --> 0:41:17.160
<v Speaker 3>Do you think the Labor Party numbers because of the

0:41:17.160 --> 0:41:20.759
<v Speaker 3>way the factions work, would support someone like Tony Burke.

0:41:22.960 --> 0:41:24.720
<v Speaker 15>I don't think Labour wants to go to another election

0:41:24.800 --> 0:41:28.279
<v Speaker 15>with a weak leader like Albanize ever. Again, I mean

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:30.239
<v Speaker 15>they are just living on teer hooks hoping that they

0:41:30.320 --> 0:41:33.280
<v Speaker 15>somehow hold on the minority government having kind of owned

0:41:33.280 --> 0:41:35.719
<v Speaker 15>this guy for the last three years and not done

0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:38.520
<v Speaker 15>what the rud Gillard rug, which was If you fail

0:41:38.560 --> 0:41:41.160
<v Speaker 15>as leader, you're out. This suld be the Labor Way

0:41:41.200 --> 0:41:43.480
<v Speaker 15>in rich O's day, if you failed, you were gone.

0:41:43.920 --> 0:41:47.319
<v Speaker 15>Somehow in this parallel universe, Alba's managed to survive, but

0:41:47.440 --> 0:41:49.720
<v Speaker 15>with three years to the next election, the Labor Caucus

0:41:49.800 --> 0:41:51.200
<v Speaker 15>is free to actually do what they need to do

0:41:51.440 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 15>and finish off Albow even if he survives as a

0:41:53.680 --> 0:41:56.359
<v Speaker 15>minority government leader. And then it comes down the choice

0:41:56.400 --> 0:41:58.919
<v Speaker 15>about who is the most popular and to Andrew's point,

0:41:59.000 --> 0:42:01.360
<v Speaker 15>the best communicator. And I think there's ten Y Pleba

0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:04.279
<v Speaker 15>Sick and there's Jim Chalmers. I think the two of

0:42:04.320 --> 0:42:06.839
<v Speaker 15>them on a dual ticket, either the leader or debu leader,

0:42:06.840 --> 0:42:09.640
<v Speaker 15>whichever way it works the floor against Tony Burke, who

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:11.640
<v Speaker 15>is an extremist, absolute extremist.

0:42:11.960 --> 0:42:15.400
<v Speaker 2>Agreed, completely agree with that. And you know it's.

0:42:15.200 --> 0:42:18.719
<v Speaker 3>Interesting because there is unity in the Labor Party at

0:42:18.760 --> 0:42:21.800
<v Speaker 3>the moment publicly, but behind the scenes.

0:42:22.120 --> 0:42:24.880
<v Speaker 2>You know, you're right, Cameron. People are so critical of

0:42:24.920 --> 0:42:25.520
<v Speaker 2>the Prime.

0:42:25.320 --> 0:42:28.320
<v Speaker 3>Minister of Anthony Alberinezi for being weak, for making Darton

0:42:28.360 --> 0:42:31.239
<v Speaker 3>look good because of Dudden's strength, although he does seem

0:42:31.280 --> 0:42:34.280
<v Speaker 3>to have lost momentum in the past few weeks.

0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:36.960
<v Speaker 2>Andrew, where does Peter Dutton go from here?

0:42:37.040 --> 0:42:40.400
<v Speaker 3>How does he regain the momentum that he's sort of

0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:42.160
<v Speaker 3>stalled on in the past couple of weeks.

0:42:43.680 --> 0:42:45.839
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, it's certainly been a tough couple of weeks. There's

0:42:45.880 --> 0:42:48.279
<v Speaker 18>been a lot of missteps. There's been a lot of

0:42:48.280 --> 0:42:52.759
<v Speaker 18>ill discipline kind of behavior. There's been thought bubbles, there's

0:42:52.800 --> 0:42:55.040
<v Speaker 18>been brain farts, there's been all sorts of things. It's

0:42:55.080 --> 0:42:57.120
<v Speaker 18>been a departure from the discipline we've seen all the

0:42:57.160 --> 0:43:01.600
<v Speaker 18>way through this term, where Dunton has managed to hold

0:43:01.600 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 18>things together very well in terms of discipline and unity.

0:43:06.080 --> 0:43:09.520
<v Speaker 18>But I think this is advantageous for the coalition. That

0:43:09.600 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 18>may seem strange, but better this is happening now than

0:43:12.320 --> 0:43:14.520
<v Speaker 18>in the midst of the campaign. Better that they're making

0:43:14.600 --> 0:43:18.040
<v Speaker 18>they're stumbling out of the blocks now than the first, second,

0:43:18.120 --> 0:43:20.719
<v Speaker 18>third week of the campaign where things actually matter, where

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:21.840
<v Speaker 18>people are actually watching.

0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:22.920
<v Speaker 9>They're not watching now.

0:43:23.239 --> 0:43:25.440
<v Speaker 18>So it's a huge advantage to the coalition to be

0:43:25.480 --> 0:43:26.839
<v Speaker 18>going through this process now.

0:43:27.120 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 2>And I was putting a very good spin on it.

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:32.160
<v Speaker 3>I have to say that's putting a very good spin

0:43:32.280 --> 0:43:33.680
<v Speaker 3>on the past couple of weeks.

0:43:33.840 --> 0:43:35.840
<v Speaker 18>It's going to work for that they're certainly going to

0:43:35.840 --> 0:43:36.279
<v Speaker 18>work for them.

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:39.400
<v Speaker 3>All right, we'll see Andrea Kazo, Camra Milner, thank you

0:43:39.400 --> 0:43:42.440
<v Speaker 3>boy so much. Now, after the break of big development

0:43:42.640 --> 0:43:46.040
<v Speaker 3>out of the Middle East, Army Horowitz will join us live.

0:43:50.320 --> 0:43:51.400
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Now, let's.

0:43:51.120 --> 0:43:53.759
<v Speaker 3>Turn to the Middle East, where they've been huge developments.

0:43:53.760 --> 0:43:58.120
<v Speaker 3>With Hamas being urged yet again to relinquish power, the

0:43:58.160 --> 0:44:02.400
<v Speaker 3>Palestinian Authority President mum Abas has urged the terror group

0:44:02.600 --> 0:44:05.840
<v Speaker 3>to see power in Gaza. He called an us to

0:44:05.880 --> 0:44:09.480
<v Speaker 3>step aside from governing and fully recognize that the battle

0:44:09.480 --> 0:44:13.360
<v Speaker 3>ahead will lead to the end of Palestinian's existence. Okay,

0:44:13.440 --> 0:44:16.359
<v Speaker 3>well to discuss, let's bring in now filmmaker and commentator

0:44:16.640 --> 0:44:19.239
<v Speaker 3>Army Herowitz. I'm be great to have you on the program.

0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:23.320
<v Speaker 3>You're in Israel right now. Look, the Palestinian Authority would

0:44:23.360 --> 0:44:27.520
<v Speaker 3>of course be better than Hamas. But benjaminette naw who

0:44:27.520 --> 0:44:30.319
<v Speaker 3>has said he doesn't think that this would be a

0:44:30.360 --> 0:44:33.520
<v Speaker 3>good outcome for the new governing body in Gaza, what's

0:44:33.560 --> 0:44:34.440
<v Speaker 3>your view here.

0:44:36.320 --> 0:44:39.040
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, let's be clear about a couple things. First thing

0:44:39.280 --> 0:44:43.880
<v Speaker 11>is the Palaly Authority was in lockstep with Kamas in

0:44:44.000 --> 0:44:46.560
<v Speaker 11>terms of the destruction of the state of Israel. An

0:44:46.560 --> 0:44:50.040
<v Speaker 11>attack Israeli citizens. Right, how do we know that first

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:53.080
<v Speaker 11>of all, many attacks prior talks Ober seventh, in fact

0:44:53.080 --> 0:44:56.040
<v Speaker 11>did M and eight from the Palasadi Authority, and the

0:44:56.080 --> 0:44:59.239
<v Speaker 11>Palsi Authority had up until a month ago. I wonder

0:44:59.320 --> 0:45:02.200
<v Speaker 11>what happened a month ago to change that dynamic was

0:45:02.239 --> 0:45:06.200
<v Speaker 11>paying Palastadian prisoners and their families who committed acts of

0:45:06.280 --> 0:45:08.279
<v Speaker 11>terror in the state of Israel. Well, they've changed their

0:45:08.320 --> 0:45:11.880
<v Speaker 11>tune a little bit. And that is not because or

0:45:11.920 --> 0:45:15.160
<v Speaker 11>I just say it is directly because Donald Trump is

0:45:15.239 --> 0:45:17.799
<v Speaker 11>President of the United States. They were held they were

0:45:17.800 --> 0:45:20.960
<v Speaker 11>not held accountable under the Biden administration. But now they

0:45:21.040 --> 0:45:24.120
<v Speaker 11>understand that Trump is here and in business, they're taking

0:45:24.160 --> 0:45:27.400
<v Speaker 11>a little bit more seriously and now trying to walk

0:45:27.440 --> 0:45:30.600
<v Speaker 11>away from Hamas. Also, I want to make something very clear,

0:45:30.640 --> 0:45:32.400
<v Speaker 11>like I've spent a lot of time in the Paladian

0:45:32.480 --> 0:45:36.280
<v Speaker 11>Authority after October seventh talking to Palestidians on the street,

0:45:36.840 --> 0:45:38.360
<v Speaker 11>and one thing I got to tell you is that

0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:43.360
<v Speaker 11>support from Hamas was steadfast across the Palaestindian population.

0:45:43.640 --> 0:45:46.360
<v Speaker 2>This is the way this is in the West.

0:45:46.239 --> 0:45:51.160
<v Speaker 11>West Bank, correct, that's right. They see hamas as striking

0:45:51.280 --> 0:45:54.520
<v Speaker 11>back against the Jews and against Israel and they love that.

0:45:55.560 --> 0:45:56.640
<v Speaker 2>Wow. So this is an issue.

0:45:56.719 --> 0:45:58.440
<v Speaker 3>And just to pick up on something you said that

0:45:58.560 --> 0:46:01.960
<v Speaker 3>you were talking about this pay for slay policy where

0:46:02.000 --> 0:46:08.080
<v Speaker 3>the Palestinian authority gives lifelong salaries or payments to the

0:46:08.120 --> 0:46:11.880
<v Speaker 3>families of people who commit who become martyrs, who commit

0:46:11.960 --> 0:46:15.160
<v Speaker 3>terror attacks, and so that's part of this perpetuating of

0:46:15.320 --> 0:46:18.120
<v Speaker 3>terrorism that's been such a problem. Now you've got a

0:46:18.160 --> 0:46:22.600
<v Speaker 3>new documentary examining the ethics of the IDF, the Israeli

0:46:22.640 --> 0:46:24.840
<v Speaker 3>Defense for US, Can you tell us what you found,

0:46:24.880 --> 0:46:28.040
<v Speaker 3>what you concluded during your reporting and filming.

0:46:29.680 --> 0:46:33.000
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, it's so interesting when you listen and talk to

0:46:33.160 --> 0:46:35.680
<v Speaker 11>people on the left or people who are ignorant about

0:46:35.680 --> 0:46:37.960
<v Speaker 11>actually what's happening on the ground in Gaza, and they

0:46:38.000 --> 0:46:41.359
<v Speaker 11>talk about, look have passed the children been killed? Of

0:46:41.360 --> 0:46:43.719
<v Speaker 11>course they have, this is war. But I think at

0:46:43.719 --> 0:46:44.719
<v Speaker 11>the end of the day, you had do do You

0:46:44.800 --> 0:46:46.200
<v Speaker 11>have to look at the statistics, You have to look

0:46:46.200 --> 0:46:50.280
<v Speaker 11>at data sets and see whether or not the IDF

0:46:50.360 --> 0:46:51.480
<v Speaker 11>is acting.

0:46:51.280 --> 0:46:53.080
<v Speaker 9>In a moral way or an immoral way.

0:46:53.080 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 11>And looking at the data points, I got to say

0:46:55.400 --> 0:46:58.120
<v Speaker 11>it's hard to make the argument the IDF, particularly in

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:00.480
<v Speaker 11>this conflict. I know it sounds crazy, but in this

0:47:00.560 --> 0:47:04.160
<v Speaker 11>conflict itself, and in conflicts prior, one can make the

0:47:04.280 --> 0:47:07.640
<v Speaker 11>argument they're the most ethical and moral army that has

0:47:07.680 --> 0:47:11.040
<v Speaker 11>ever existed. I'll give you an example. I'm talking about

0:47:11.360 --> 0:47:14.800
<v Speaker 11>one data point which puts anything to rest that in general,

0:47:14.840 --> 0:47:18.560
<v Speaker 11>when one goes to war, an urban warfare conflux, which

0:47:18.600 --> 0:47:21.920
<v Speaker 11>is the most devastating of all warfare, because you're essentially

0:47:22.280 --> 0:47:26.480
<v Speaker 11>fighting within a context of civilians surrounding everywhere you are,

0:47:26.560 --> 0:47:30.000
<v Speaker 11>everywhere you attack, everyey you bomb, you are within a

0:47:30.040 --> 0:47:33.880
<v Speaker 11>civilian population. By definition of urban warfare, that when NATO

0:47:34.000 --> 0:47:36.360
<v Speaker 11>goes to war, one will argue the most moral army

0:47:36.360 --> 0:47:38.640
<v Speaker 11>that ever existed, whether it be the Europeans of the

0:47:38.719 --> 0:47:42.600
<v Speaker 11>United States in Iraq or Afghanistan or in the Balkans,

0:47:43.160 --> 0:47:47.920
<v Speaker 11>that ninety percent, nine out of ten of all casualties

0:47:48.000 --> 0:47:50.719
<v Speaker 11>are in fact civilians, even though they're not trying to

0:47:50.719 --> 0:47:55.400
<v Speaker 11>target civilians. I'm like, let's say the Russians now in Gaza,

0:47:55.480 --> 0:48:00.680
<v Speaker 11>which is far more densely populated than Iraq or Afghanistan,

0:48:02.160 --> 0:48:06.719
<v Speaker 11>far more densely populated. Israel has a fifty percent casualty

0:48:06.800 --> 0:48:10.399
<v Speaker 11>rate of civilians. Fifty percent their targets of their people

0:48:10.400 --> 0:48:13.120
<v Speaker 11>who are killed are in fact who they're trying to target,

0:48:13.680 --> 0:48:17.399
<v Speaker 11>and that is an incredibly high number. But of course

0:48:17.560 --> 0:48:20.879
<v Speaker 11>Israel doesn't get any credit for that. They're called they're

0:48:20.920 --> 0:48:25.600
<v Speaker 11>called Nazis. They're saying they're indiscriminately killing, They're saying it's genocide.

0:48:26.040 --> 0:48:29.200
<v Speaker 11>Nothing could be further from the truth. And we went

0:48:29.280 --> 0:48:32.560
<v Speaker 11>into the area, We talked to the IDF, we look

0:48:32.600 --> 0:48:35.840
<v Speaker 11>at data sets, we talked to soldiers who were there

0:48:35.880 --> 0:48:39.600
<v Speaker 11>actually in the war itself, and they went through everything

0:48:39.640 --> 0:48:44.400
<v Speaker 11>they go through in order to avoid killing civilian civilian

0:48:44.440 --> 0:48:48.279
<v Speaker 11>people around Gaza. And in fact, we talked to US

0:48:48.360 --> 0:48:52.520
<v Speaker 11>military and European military leaders. They'll say Israel's giving away

0:48:53.200 --> 0:48:56.800
<v Speaker 11>tactical advantages by doing the things that they're doing, for example,

0:48:57.040 --> 0:48:59.480
<v Speaker 11>dropping leaflets, leaving maps where they're going.

0:48:59.440 --> 0:49:03.759
<v Speaker 2>To attack, next, next message.

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:05.000
<v Speaker 11>This billains gotta be attacked, and so forth and so on.

0:49:05.680 --> 0:49:10.120
<v Speaker 3>Yes, sending text messages as well to entire buildings very quickly.

0:49:10.160 --> 0:49:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Where can people see.

0:49:11.239 --> 0:49:13.040
<v Speaker 3>Your documentary, because I'm sure a lot of people are

0:49:13.120 --> 0:49:14.560
<v Speaker 3>very interested watching this now.

0:49:16.080 --> 0:49:19.320
<v Speaker 11>They can go on my YouTube and Amy Horowitz or

0:49:19.320 --> 0:49:22.719
<v Speaker 11>Prager use YouTube and they could watch the full one

0:49:22.760 --> 0:49:23.600
<v Speaker 11>there all right.

0:49:23.640 --> 0:49:24.920
<v Speaker 2>Great to have you on the show. Thank you so

0:49:25.000 --> 0:49:25.640
<v Speaker 2>much for your time.

0:49:26.800 --> 0:49:30.000
<v Speaker 3>Now, if you missed the start of my show tonight,

0:49:30.200 --> 0:49:34.839
<v Speaker 3>secret tapes capturing Top nine journalists speaking about breaching his

0:49:34.880 --> 0:49:37.319
<v Speaker 3>own ethics in relation to the Ben Robert Smith case,

0:49:37.640 --> 0:49:40.320
<v Speaker 3>head to our website. The video will be up shortly.

0:49:40.560 --> 0:49:43.440
<v Speaker 3>The story is already there. I'll see you all tomorrow night.

0:49:43.440 --> 0:49:45.880
<v Speaker 3>I'll be in camera for the budget. And here's Paul Murray.