1 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm 2 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: James Kirkby. Welcome aboard everybody. Hey, how quickly sentiment swings 3 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:21,080 Speaker 1: a from one week to another. We have been skeptical 4 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: on the show, of course, for some time about Ray 5 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 1: Kutts and how many more there would be, and really 6 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: I think it seems to be consensus now that that's 7 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: it for Ray Cutts. I see my esteemed colleague James 8 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: Glynn of The Wall Street Journal and The Australian this 9 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: morning saying as much I agree with this that there 10 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: won't be any more Ray cuts I think they could 11 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 1: be flat for quite a while. But also I don't 12 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,480 Speaker 1: think in any way that will disturb house price bounce 13 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: we're getting just now. I'd be maybe more concerned about 14 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: things like CGT changing. There's a Senate inquiry led by 15 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: the Greens on that, or may I say overkilled maybe 16 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: on the grunt and assistance that has been sort of 17 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: directed towards young first home buyers, Not that I want 18 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: to be mean to them or anything, but economics would 19 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: suggest that it just lifts prices in that area, and 20 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: that's what we've seen already clearly. So to talk about 21 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: this and other matters. I have as my guest today 22 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: Cameron Kusher, well known of course because he was in 23 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: Core Logic, he was in a prop track and he 24 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: is now an independent consultant at Kusher Consulting. 25 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: How are you, Cameron, Well, thanks James, thanks for having 26 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 2: me here. 27 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: Great to have you on. So I mean some people 28 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:39,040 Speaker 1: of course. Paul Bloxham, HSBC chief Economist, a week ago 29 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 1: said it's time to lift rates and it's not the 30 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: only one. What do you think, with your deep expertise 31 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: the residential housing market in Australia it's link with rates. 32 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 1: What do you think the listeners should be thinking no 33 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: change for quite some time or even to be on 34 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: alert for a lift. 35 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 2: So my view is on a hope for quite some time. 36 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 2: At this point, I probably feel like the next move 37 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 2: is still down, but I don't think that it's likely 38 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 2: to well into next year. And the reason I think 39 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 2: that the next move is likely to be down mainly 40 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: comes down to the fact that the Reserve Bank are 41 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 2: only forecasting the unemployment rate to peak at four point 42 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:21,519 Speaker 2: four percent. I think we will be extremely lucky if 43 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 2: the unemployment rate only hangs at about four point four percent, 44 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 2: and I'm probably of the view that we're already seeing 45 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 2: the labor market weaken, and I think probably getting up 46 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: towards a five percent unemployment rate is somewhat more realistic. 47 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 2: And if that does occur, and if the jobs market 48 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 2: really starts to stall, then the Reserve Bank may have 49 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,799 Speaker 2: to cut interest rates to try and stimulate that area 50 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 2: of the economy. But I don't think we're getting any 51 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 2: rate cuts anytime soon. 52 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: So we'll meet the assumption that nothing will change flat 53 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: perhaps for quite quite a good quite certainly we're talking 54 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: well into next year. Okay, Now, this houseplace rebound which 55 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: is getting head owns everywhere. Are you convinced that there 56 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: is a house price rebound and residential property prices in 57 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: Australia and do you think the conditions are there for 58 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: it to extend. 59 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 2: I've definitely convinced that we're seeing a rebound in housing 60 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 2: prices and I do think it's going to carry on. 61 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: What I would say, though, is I think if you 62 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 2: go back to the middle of the year, the expectation 63 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 2: was that interest rates would probably be fifty basis points 64 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 2: lower than they're going to be by the end of 65 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 2: this year, and then we're probably going to get another 66 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 2: one or two cuts in twenty twenty six. So I 67 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 2: think that the fact that the Reserve Bank has made 68 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: it quite clear that there's no interest rate relief coming 69 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 2: in December, and there's probably not any coming for some time, 70 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: I think that could cause the rate of price growth 71 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 2: to slow. But I still expect we're going to see 72 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: prices rise, and that's purely a function of the fact 73 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 2: that we've got very strong demand for housing. People have 74 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: seen a significant increase in the equity in their homes, 75 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 2: maybe not so much in Melbourne and Hobart, but certainly 76 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 2: in other parts of the country, and I think that 77 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: is going to continue to drive more and more people 78 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 2: to want to upgrade, more and more people to want 79 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 2: to go and invest in residential property. And you've also 80 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: got the other factor is that there's just not much 81 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 2: property on the market. We're seeing low levels of supply 82 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 2: in most parts of the country as well. And when 83 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 2: you've got increasing demand and you've got low levels of supply, 84 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 2: those are the conditions that create higher house prices. 85 00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: So in terms of predictions banks et cetera, talking five 86 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: percent increase NICHE of mined twelve months is that. 87 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 3: How does that sound to you? 88 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 2: I think five percent actually sounds a little bit light on. 89 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 2: I think we'll be getting closer to sort of eight 90 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 2: nine percent price growth over the next twelve months. I 91 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 2: haven't put together my forecasts yet for next next calendar year. 92 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 2: I'll be doing that in the next month or so. 93 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 2: But yeah, I think, you know, a high single digit 94 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 2: figure and maybe in some markets double digits again. The 95 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 2: area is most likely to see double digit price growth 96 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 2: again is probably Perth, Brisbane, Southeast Queensland as a whole, 97 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 2: and Adelaide, which is crazy given how much prices have 98 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 2: already increased over the past five years. But you look 99 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 2: at those markets and there's just such a tiny amount 100 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 2: of supply on the market, and we're still seeing a 101 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: lot of people wanting to move into those areas and 102 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 2: buy properties at this point. 103 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: So is there a less nationwide? Is there less homes 104 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 1: for sale than there was this time last year? 105 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 2: We're seeing The total of these things are fairly similar. 106 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 2: I think from memory they're about within about one percent 107 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 2: of where they were twelve months ago. But if you 108 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 2: look in places like Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide, Darwin, they may 109 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 2: have increased a little bit. But if you go back 110 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 2: to even early on in the pandemic, the number of 111 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: properties on the markets down about twenty or thirty percent 112 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 2: from what we were seeing early on in the pandemic. 113 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 2: So you've just got really tight supply, and I think 114 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 2: there's a few things that are really driving this. I 115 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 2: think firstly, people know that they can sell their property 116 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 2: and get a really good price for it. But the 117 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 2: rental market are also so tight that people can't even 118 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:05,919 Speaker 2: transition through the rental market once they've sold their property 119 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 2: to buy their next property. So as a result of that, 120 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 2: people are just going, I can't find what I want 121 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,359 Speaker 2: to buy. I'm not sure that I'll be able to 122 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 2: rent a place that I want to are renting or 123 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 2: that's appropriate, so I'll just stay where I am. 124 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 3: This is fascinating. 125 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: It's a hidden cost of a rental vacancy rate of 126 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: one percent, which I've never heard before actually, And it's 127 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: a really original explanation as to why people aren't selling. 128 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: Because the irony is that you mentioned when you said 129 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:36,160 Speaker 1: people aren't where the stock supply is less, was mapping 130 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: straight on this areas where the prices were strongest, right 131 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: wa specifically Brisbane coastal Queensland and you would have said, hey, 132 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 1: you know, they've got higher prices, why wouldn't they sell? 133 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: So is that a key reason then that they're worried 134 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: about the transition as you say. 135 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so. I mean we were kind of 136 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 2: seeing this in Sydney and Melbourne back in twenty twenty 137 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:01,719 Speaker 2: twenty two of rectifying itself and if you look at 138 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 2: Sydney and Melbourne actually have somewhat higher rental vacancy rates 139 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: than the other parts of the country. So we think 140 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 2: obviously the tight rental market is really tough for people 141 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 2: that are renters and don't own homes. But a hidden 142 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 2: cost of that very tight rental market is that people 143 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: transitioning through the rental market after they've sold and are 144 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 2: looking to buy aren't able to easily do that. So 145 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 2: I think it actually courages people from selling because there's 146 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 2: nothing on the market at the moment that they can buy. 147 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 2: But there's also nowhere for them to go once they've 148 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 2: sold their property. 149 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, so they make at a good price, but they 150 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: don't know if they can rent or if around the corner. 151 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: And similarly, they don't know if there will be another 152 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: property being the type of property they wish to move too, 153 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: and in numbers on this or is this your Surmari 154 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: has just been across all the numbers. 155 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 2: It's basically from talking to people. But if you look 156 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 2: at if you look at Perth, Brisbane, well South East 157 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 2: Queenslander as a whole and Adelaid in particular, they're the 158 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 2: markets that have seen the strong list price growth, they 159 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 2: also have vacancy rates of around one percent, and they've 160 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 2: also the areas where we've seen the biggest drop in 161 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 2: the total amount of stock on the market. So it 162 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: plays through that when you think about vacancy rates, you know, 163 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 2: typically you're looking in a normal, healthy market at about 164 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 2: two and a half to three percent vacancy rate. So 165 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 2: vacancy rates are less than half what they are usually 166 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 2: at in a healthy market, and listing volumes are extremely 167 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 2: low as well, so it makes it very tough for people. 168 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 2: I mean it's hard to say tough because people have 169 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 2: seen a significant increase in the equity in their home. 170 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 2: But I think the other side of this is people 171 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 2: don't want to be out of the market. So if 172 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 2: they can't buy and sell straight away, Like what if 173 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 2: it takes me twelve months to buy? I miss out 174 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 2: on double digit price growth in the meantime, and people 175 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 2: don't want to run the risk of that happening. 176 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 1: That's really interesting and I've never heard that argument before, 177 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: And then immunity makes sense, very interesting. I wonder also, 178 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: I suppose it's been a case for a while, hasn't it. 179 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: And there's nothing to indicate that those kind ofs have 180 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:01,840 Speaker 1: got a changer immediately. 181 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 2: No, not at all. I mean, we are seeing obviously 182 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: more investor we'll find out later this week when we 183 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 2: do get the new lending data. But why all reports 184 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 2: there are investors coming back into the market, But you know, 185 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 2: new housing supply is still quite low. Invest that lending 186 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 2: is accelerating, but it's certainly not back to the levels 187 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 2: we were looking at back in sort of twenty fifteen, 188 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 2: twenty sixteen, when there are a lot of investors active 189 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 2: in the market. We also know that a lot of 190 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 2: investors are now starting to look outside of these markets 191 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 2: and targeting places like Melbourne because prices are cheaper, and 192 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 2: targeting more affordable housing markets as well. So I just 193 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 2: don't see that you're going to get the influx of 194 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 2: investors or the influx of new housing anytime soon. To 195 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 2: really ease that rental vacancy rate make renting easier in 196 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 2: those markets. The issue for the renters is just their 197 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 2: capacity to keep paying more and more rent because obviously 198 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 2: inflation's being high, the cost of livings gone enough, everything 199 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 2: costs more. They can only dedicate a certain amount of 200 00:09:57,840 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 2: their income to renting. 201 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 1: I suppose we do see the figures, we don't actually 202 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 1: see weather, and this would be very interesting the next phase, 203 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: if you like, where the investors tradition is zoned in 204 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: on the inner city, the inner circle, and you mentioned 205 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: there how they may be looking for opportunities in the 206 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: mid circle or outer circle where they didn't really hunt before. 207 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: Is there some evidence of that starting to occur or 208 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: becoming a trend. 209 00:10:25,840 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 2: We're definitely seeing that rental growth and rental demand has 210 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 2: moved out of the inner city areas and is moving 211 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 2: to the outer areas of the city. So if you 212 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 2: look in in Melbourne, for example, some of the strongest 213 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 2: growth in rents, some of the strongest demand for rentals 214 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 2: is in places like the southeast. Now that's not necessarily 215 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 2: where you would think people really necessarily want to rent, 216 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 2: but I think the cost of renting in those inner 217 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 2: city areas is driving people to look for more cheaper 218 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 2: alternatives and that's moving further out. You know, in Sydney, 219 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 2: places like black Town are seeing the strongest demand. Again 220 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 2: not sort of intuitively where you would go, that's where 221 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 2: people want to rent, but the cost of renting elsewhere 222 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 2: has become so elevated that people are having to sacrifice 223 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 2: on location in order to fit their budgets. And similarly 224 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 2: in Queensland we're seeing places like Ipswich and Logan City 225 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 2: where rental demand is strongest and they're obviously a lot 226 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 2: more affordable than the inner city areas of Brisbane, but 227 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 2: people can't continue to just keep paying more and more 228 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 2: for rents, so they're having to move to more affordable locations. 229 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 1: That really adds up, absolutely, it does. Okay, we will 230 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: take a break. That was some very useful data and 231 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 1: interpretation of data for you folks from Cameron. 232 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 3: Back in a moment. 233 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome back to the Australians Money Puzzle podcast. I'm 234 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: James Kirby and I'm talking to Cameron Kusher of Kusher Consulting. 235 00:11:56,800 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: Cameron just on wider picture and houses and house prices 236 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 1: and issues around them for the investor there's a couple 237 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: of things I want to talk to you about. One 238 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 1: is the CGT, the prospect that CGT may be the 239 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: next target if you like, after super for the government. 240 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: The fact that there's a Senate inquiry now into CGT 241 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:23,080 Speaker 1: from the Greens. The fact that inside industry, if you'd like, 242 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 1: there is some support or a review of CGT. For instance, 243 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: the president of the Tax Institute, who you wouldn't immediately 244 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: think would be so clear in what he's saying, but 245 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 1: he says. Tim Sanders says, you know, he wants to 246 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,079 Speaker 1: see a review to see if current settings are appropriate. 247 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: And the whole thing being about our CGT discount is 248 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 1: it is arguably generous because it was set once upon 249 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: a time as an alternative to inflation adjusting. At that 250 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 1: time inflation was running at four and a half five percent. 251 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: Now it runs even with the slatest spike, you know, 252 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: we're barely near three. So the argument being there's been 253 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:02,199 Speaker 1: a discount and a discount and it's pushed up home prices, 254 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 1: which of course would be the argument to go at it. 255 00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 3: What do you think? 256 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 2: Firstly, I think labor would probably not be too disappointed 257 00:13:09,120 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: that the Greens have got this inquiry. So, and we 258 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 2: know that in previous elections the Labor Party has taken 259 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:23,559 Speaker 2: policies to change the capital gains tax discount and negative gearing. Yes, 260 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 2: I think there's such a focus on productivity in Australia 261 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 2: at the moment that I even though they've ruled out changes, 262 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 2: I think this will be coming back onto the agenda. 263 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 2: I think, you know, I don't see anything that's really 264 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 2: going to boost productivity magically as we are now. So 265 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,360 Speaker 2: I think the government is definitely setting things up to 266 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 2: have all things on the table and have a discussion 267 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 2: about reviewing capital gains tax, reviewing native gearing, reviewing all 268 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 2: sorts of taxes coming into the next election. And obviously, 269 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 2: if you look at the opinion polls at the moment, 270 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 2: they're in a pretty strong position. So they probably feel 271 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 2: like they've got an even bigger mandate than I did 272 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 2: at the previous election to try and take changes such 273 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 2: as changes to the capital gains tax discount to the 274 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 2: next election. 275 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, it would seem to be a time politically 276 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 1: where they have the opportunity that wouldn't arise very often 277 00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: because as you say, they've been re elected stronger than 278 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 1: many expected okay. Now, similarly on the issue of the 279 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: conditions if you like, or the settings around property from 280 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 1: which we must make our investment decisions as investors, I 281 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: saw what you said recently that they Helped to Buy 282 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: scheme was released too late, because what happened if everyone 283 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: is across this the first Home Guarantee scheme which is 284 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 1: now a universal scheme that means and eOne can put 285 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: up their hand and get the access to go and 286 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 1: buy their first home with a five percent deposit. That 287 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: Leapfrog did be like other schemes which included the Help 288 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: to Buy scheme, which was supposed to be shared equity, right, 289 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: and that's got sort of sidelined, hasn't it. So you 290 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: were saying that the help to Buy scheme was released 291 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 1: two leads? What did you mean by that? 292 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 2: So initially both the Help to Buy and the Home 293 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 2: Guarantee Scheme was set to commence at the start of 294 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 2: next year and the government decided to bring forward the 295 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 2: Home Guarantee scheme and also make it more generous, so 296 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 2: that scheme now has unlimited places, it has no income caps, 297 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 2: and the price caps on where you can buy have 298 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 2: been lifted substantially and it's very early. But all the 299 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 2: evidence points to the fact that we've seen there was 300 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 2: a cohorter first home buyers that rushed in before the 301 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:33,400 Speaker 2: scheme went live, and now there's a cohort of buyers 302 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 2: that have been waiting for the scheme and they've rushed 303 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 2: into the market. Now, the help to Buy scheme was 304 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 2: a much well as it stands at the moment, and 305 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 2: maybe they're going to change it, but as it stands 306 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 2: proposed at the moment, ten thousand spaces a year, so 307 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 2: it is limited. It also has income caps, and the 308 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: price caps on the Help to Buy scheme are lower. 309 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 2: So what you've effectively done by bringing the home guarantee 310 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 2: scheme forward is pushed up the price for the people 311 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 2: they're actually going to use the help to Buy scheme. Oh, 312 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 2: created harder. It's going to be harder for them, and 313 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 2: you would argue that help to Buy scheme is actually 314 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 2: better targeted. So people that really need help to enter 315 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 2: the market are going to access the help to Buy 316 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 2: scheme rather than the home Guarantee scheme, and now they're 317 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 2: going to be paying They're going to be paying a 318 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:22,200 Speaker 2: higher price for their property for the luxury of doing so. 319 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 2: So look I don't like either of these schemes. They're 320 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 2: basically just more fuel on the fire and encouraging people 321 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:31,080 Speaker 2: to buy at higher prices. But if you were going 322 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 2: to schedule this correctly, I think you would introduce the 323 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:37,000 Speaker 2: help to buy scheme first and then bring the home 324 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 2: guarantee scheme in off the back of it. 325 00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:44,479 Speaker 1: Right, Okay, I want to segue here. Two more ideas 326 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 1: been tossed into the market, which is not exactly the same, 327 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: but it's close. Van Guard, the big ETF player, has 328 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: proposed introduction of a kind of my Superstar investment scheme 329 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: for young investors where they would basically have this sort 330 00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: of isolated, incubated shelter and they will be able to 331 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 1: save inside that for two years or so in a 332 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 1: tax protected environment. This was put forward by the MD 333 00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: event Daniel Shrimsky recently. Ultimately, this is a leading question, 334 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 1: but I think a lot of our listeners would be 335 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:21,160 Speaker 1: thinking the same way. Is there a point at which 336 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:27,199 Speaker 1: we have to stop these help schemes because in the 337 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 1: end they distort the market so much. You said you 338 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:33,240 Speaker 1: didn't like the existing ones. For instance, that helps horn buyers. 339 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: Just in a nutshell, why don't you like them. 340 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 2: The reason I don't like them is I don't actually 341 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:41,000 Speaker 2: address housing affordability. The way to address housing affordability is 342 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 2: the lower prices. Politically, that's really tough, I understand that. 343 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 2: But what these schemes do is give people more borrowing 344 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,880 Speaker 2: power to enter the market at higher prices, and they 345 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 2: push up overall prices in the market. So yes, they 346 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 2: help people to enter the market, but what ends up 347 00:17:56,440 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 2: happening is you actually have to keep creating bigger support 348 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 2: for first home buyers. So if you remember the first 349 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,360 Speaker 2: home Buyers the initial introduction of it back in two thousand, 350 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 2: it was seven thousand dollars to offset the impostive GST 351 00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 2: on brand new homes, and it's now evolved into five 352 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 2: percent deposits shared equity with the government. You know, play 353 00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:20,639 Speaker 2: this forward another ten years. How much more support is 354 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:23,200 Speaker 2: the government going to be providing first home buyers Because 355 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 2: these schemes don't work initially, But then they'll stop working 356 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 2: as effectively and you'll have to make the bigger So 357 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,240 Speaker 2: whilst their position has helped, they help people right now, 358 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 2: but they make it worse for the next cohort first 359 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 2: home buyers coming into the market. So from a broader context. 360 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 2: I don't think they help. 361 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 1: Yes, and proven to a degree already by your point 362 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: that this first home deposit scheme universal scheme which was 363 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 1: brought forward, has stalked prices at the entry level right 364 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:56,120 Speaker 1: literally to the point that those caps cut out. And 365 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 1: ironically the share equity scheme which comes behind us, which 366 00:18:59,880 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 1: is aimed perhaps further down the tree in terms of income, 367 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 1: they're looking at hot prices that have been pushed higher 368 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 1: by the first scheme, which is really just shows how 369 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: it all sort of can go terribly wrong. Okay, very good, 370 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:15,199 Speaker 1: We'll be back in a moment, folks. We have some 371 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 1: very good questions. Hello, welcome back to the Australians Money 372 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 1: Puzzle podcast. James Kirby here with Cameron Kusher of Kusher Consulting. 373 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,880 Speaker 1: We've been talking house prices, where they're going and also 374 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:39,640 Speaker 1: what's going on inside the market. I bet you found 375 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,479 Speaker 1: that pretty interesting. Just before we move into the questions, 376 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 1: I wanted to mention that I've got David Booth on 377 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:48,440 Speaker 1: the show on Thursday, who is someone with the most 378 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: extraordinary history. He is one of the founding fathers, if 379 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,919 Speaker 1: you like, of Index and ETF Investing. He's a co 380 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,679 Speaker 1: founder of Dimensional and was in that area of the 381 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:02,120 Speaker 1: whole Chicago school with Nobel Prize winners family and French 382 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 1: and Byron Shows, et cetera extraordinary background that he came 383 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: from and did some extraordinary things. So don't miss that, Okay. 384 00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:08,919 Speaker 3: Now. 385 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: Correspondence is from leafblower Man, who is also known as 386 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 1: Stephen Hi James. I'm sure you were as surprise as 387 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 1: I was last week when Jackie Clark on the show 388 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 1: said she had never heard of The Millionaire next Door, 389 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:27,200 Speaker 1: the best selling investment book from the nineteen nineties. As 390 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: a financial journalist, I am sure you are well versed 391 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 1: in conducting literature searches before writing and talking about a 392 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:37,200 Speaker 1: subject on the issue of spending money without overgeneralizing. There 393 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 1: can be interesting cultural differences with some families sharing or 394 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:44,400 Speaker 1: loaning money within extended families to start businesses, for instance. 395 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Steven. Yeah, good point. Yes, Well, 396 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 1: you know the book that I mentioned and that you're 397 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 1: familiar with, The Millionaire next Door is my personal favorite 398 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,880 Speaker 1: book of all time on investment, But then I've read 399 00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 1: loads of them, and to me, it's different because it 400 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,479 Speaker 1: talks about hanging on to my enough, losing it as 401 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: opposed to making it, and I didn't think Jackie needed 402 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:06,960 Speaker 1: to know all the books that were out there because 403 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 1: the thing about Millionaire and next Door. Of course, it's 404 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:11,840 Speaker 1: from nineteen ninety six, which is a while ago. I 405 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 1: do ever heard of it, Cameron Cush, you'll put you 406 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: on the spot. 407 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 2: I have heard of it. I haven't read it. You 408 00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 2: know some of my favorite books. I've just got thinking 409 00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 2: about this. I've obviously read The Intelligent Investor, and I 410 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 2: enjoyed that. 411 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 3: And you got to the end of it, did you, Well? 412 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,919 Speaker 2: Not quite. It is hard work. I've tried it a 413 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 2: few times, but like it's got some really good information 414 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 2: in there. Probably not necessarily an investing book, but one 415 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,120 Speaker 2: book that is kind of related is the book Die 416 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:40,480 Speaker 2: with Zero. Really enjoyed reading that book. Yes, not necessarily 417 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,679 Speaker 2: about investing, but I guess it's more about investing in 418 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 2: yourself and your family when they need that help, rather 419 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 2: than waiting around and giving your kids money when you're 420 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 2: dead and they don't have any memories with you to 421 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:53,960 Speaker 2: enjoy from it. So they're probably. 422 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 1: Terrific principle, actually, isn't it. 423 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 3: Yeah? Absolutely? Okay, that was good one. 424 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 1: Thank you for chipping in with that and the other 425 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 1: thing I wanted to say funny about the millionaire next 426 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: door cost. Someone said to me recently, Yeah, well, you know, 427 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 1: big deal millionaire. You know, the average house price you know, 428 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 1: is near a million in many of the cities, and 429 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 1: it's such a good point. But it's nothing to do 430 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 1: with the millionaire per ses to do with the principles 431 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: in that book. Okay, thank you, Steven. Next one is 432 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: from Paul loved the podcast. An article in The Australian 433 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 1: recently said the trustees this is in the First Guardian 434 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: Shield Investments debacle, and tobaccle is a nice word for 435 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: it stated that the trustees who were meant to be 436 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: monitoring the First Guardian and Shield Investments groups are asking 437 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,679 Speaker 1: taxpayers to foot the bill. My questions are, this is 438 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,440 Speaker 1: the mandated role of super trustees to monitor the investment 439 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 1: products they offer so that the same investment products are 440 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 1: not dodgy and two can the government force the same 441 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 1: trustees to compensate the investors who lost their savings. No, 442 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 1: they can't, I would think straight away, Paul. But Macquarie 443 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: of course has as immediately volunteered to pay the unfortunate 444 00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:09,720 Speaker 1: people who were actively and seriously and thoroughly misled by 445 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:14,479 Speaker 1: big names that were bandied about basically by First Guardian 446 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 1: and Shield. Interesting I see net Wealth wants the government 447 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: to pay. Macquarie has already paid and never even asked 448 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 1: the government to do so. So very different. 449 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 3: Views on it. Have you. 450 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: Are you familiar at all with that particular role of scandal. 451 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 2: Cameron, No, it's not in my wheel house. 452 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 3: Unfortunately, it's not in your wheelhouse. 453 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 1: Yes, indeed, and you're better off certainly not to have 454 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: had anything to do with those companies. But it is 455 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: I think shocking that this sort of thing still happens. Really, 456 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:45,639 Speaker 1: we had thought all this sort of stuff. 457 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 3: Was long gone, but it's not. 458 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 1: And clever operators can still enter the system and be 459 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 1: get the tick of approval from established blue chip names, 460 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: which is of course their power a keep our in 461 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:03,360 Speaker 1: ring investors. We will come back to that another day. 462 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 1: Thanks very much Cameron for coming on the show. 463 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 2: Great to have you, Thank you for having me, good 464 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 2: to chat. 465 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:13,160 Speaker 1: Great some really fresh insights there into the residential market, 466 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,640 Speaker 1: which folks, well, if you'd like to think it's going 467 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 1: up nine percent or ten percent in the next twelve months. 468 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:19,760 Speaker 3: I wouldn't disagree with you at all. 469 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:23,679 Speaker 1: They are nationwide figures, of course, and all property is local. 470 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:27,080 Speaker 1: The money Puzzle at the Australian dot com dot au. 471 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 1: For any further correspondent, send them in. Folks, love to 472 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 1: see what you have to say about every show and 473 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,440 Speaker 1: every subject we talk about. Until then, talk to you soon.