1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,880 Michael Thompson: Investing, economics, politics are more. Are Michael Thompson And Hello 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:07,640 Michael Thompson: Sean Aylmer. Hello Michael, Sean. We have a question today 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:09,879 Michael Thompson: that's coming from Peter and he's sent it in via 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,039 Michael Thompson: the website he inter Fearandgreed dot com dot Auwan sends 5 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:17,560 Michael Thompson: his question on through there. It's a great one, he says, 6 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:20,520 Michael Thompson: I'm enjoying your podcast, A great way of getting information. 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:24,000 Michael Thompson: Thank you, Peter, must include the flattery, he says, I'm 8 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,520 Michael Thompson: not much good with social media. However, I do have 9 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,800 Michael Thompson: a question for ask Fear and Greed. No pressure, of course, 10 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,480 Michael Thompson: I disagree with you there, Peter. I insist that there'd 11 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,800 Michael Thompson: be pressure put on seawan Ale to answer this question. 12 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:39,360 Michael Thompson: Peter says, given the announcement over the weekend of the 13 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:44,000 Michael Thompson: retirement of Warren Buffett, I've often thought, who is Australia's 14 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:48,400 Michael Thompson: answer to the oracle? Well, he says, we probably don't 15 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:51,879 Michael Thompson: have one. So who is considered to be Australia's greatest 16 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:56,800 Michael Thompson: or most successful investor? Investor not business person? He says 17 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:59,920 Michael Thompson: he knows of some conglomerates and things like wes Far 18 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:03,800 Michael Thompson: and Washington National Pattinson. However, is there an individual and 19 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:06,160 Michael Thompson: if so is there one that is considered greater than 20 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:07,200 Michael Thompson: all the rest? 21 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,199 Sean Aylmer: There is no Warren Buffett anywhere else in the world, 22 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,440 Sean Aylmer: is the short answer to that. We're talking about that 23 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:18,360 Sean Aylmer: Warren Buffett, his compound returns annual compound return of twenty 24 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:24,920 Sean Aylmer: percent over sixty years is just almost unfathomable. Yeah, it's phenomenal. 25 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,320 Sean Aylmer: If you look in Australia, there's been a bunch of 26 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,720 Sean Aylmer: people at different times have sort of been rock star investors. 27 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,480 Sean Aylmer: In my experience, which doesn't go back sixty years Michaels 28 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:38,440 Sean Aylmer: more like twenty five like that, relatively close thanks doing that, 29 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:41,840 Sean Aylmer: there were gods like Perpetual had a run of people 30 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,320 Sean Aylmer: Peter Morgan, John sevy Or who were always seen as 31 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:50,160 Sean Aylmer: leading investors. Jeff Wilson who you know, Wilson Asset Management 32 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:54,320 Sean Aylmer: in that small, mid size he's been around for a 33 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:59,560 Sean Aylmer: long time. Crispin Murriott, Pendall, Anton Taglia, Pharaoh. We've had 34 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,240 Sean Aylmer: really there's sort of comes to my guy called Chris 35 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:06,000 Sean Aylmer: Cuff who was at Clone your first date, very well known, 36 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:11,800 Sean Aylmer: Hamish Douglas who was at Platinum ker Nielsen. But none 37 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:17,720 Sean Aylmer: of them really get anywhere near the Warren Buffet status. 38 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:19,400 Sean Aylmer: And in fact, most of them look up to Warren 39 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,359 Sean Aylmer: Baffort like that's the goal they want to get to. 40 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:24,840 Michael Thompson: Because a lot of them they don't have. They just 41 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,400 Michael Thompson: don't have the years for one thing, in terms of 42 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:31,120 Michael Thompson: sixty years of that level of success. 43 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,440 Sean Aylmer: Right yeah, And I mean I suppose the equivalent now 44 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:36,360 Sean Aylmer: you'd have to think of the like Ossie Super. The 45 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:38,960 Sean Aylmer: chief investment officer is a guy called Mark Delaney. I 46 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:44,280 Sean Aylmer: think Mark's all that he kind of runs a massive fund, 47 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,560 Sean Aylmer: so like in terms of size, I suppose he would 48 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,079 Sean Aylmer: be and he's nothing. I mean, Ossie Super is way 49 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:54,400 Sean Aylmer: way smaller than Berkshire Hathway. But I suppose you talk 50 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:58,639 Sean Aylmer: about those guys with responsibility similar to what Berkshire Hathaway has. 51 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:03,840 Sean Aylmer: But I don't think anyone can be compared. Like if 52 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,359 Sean Aylmer: you think of Wes Farmers and WPT soul Pats. So 53 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:10,240 Sean Aylmer: it's actually called sol Pats Now I'm not Washington Pattinson. 54 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:13,600 Sean Aylmer: They've changed their name to sol Pats, Where's and soul Pats. 55 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,960 Sean Aylmer: They've done really well, but they haven't had one manager 56 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,080 Sean Aylmer: the whole way through. Now soul Pats talks about you know, 57 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,960 Sean Aylmer: it was created in nineteen oh three, has never missed 58 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:29,440 Sean Aylmer: a dividend literally, World wars, global financial crisis. COVID never 59 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,840 Sean Aylmer: missed a dividend, has increased its dividend every year since 60 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:36,000 Sean Aylmer: two thousand and Soul Pats is a bunch of like 61 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:40,480 Sean Aylmer: a conglomerate of companies. It's share price went from about 62 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,720 Sean Aylmer: four bucks, was less than that about three bucks eighty 63 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,680 Sean Aylmer: in two thousand. Today it's about thirty seven bucks, so 64 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,880 Sean Aylmer: it's kind of ten times what it was twenty five 65 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:55,960 Sean Aylmer: years ago. Really successful company, but still nothing like the 66 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:56,800 Sean Aylmer: League of Berkshire. 67 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:02,200 Michael Thompson: Have I what about then, like some of the VC 68 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:07,360 Michael Thompson: funds in Australia or people like say Daniel Petrie and 69 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:11,240 Michael Thompson: others who have had these long runs of business and 70 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,600 Michael Thompson: success and then moved into investing and then had a 71 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,360 Michael Thompson: run of picking companies that are going to boom and 72 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,480 Michael Thompson: getting in early. Can we put them into that that 73 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:24,640 Michael Thompson: kind of category as well, like people that have invested 74 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:26,200 Michael Thompson: in the likes of Canvas early on. 75 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,120 Sean Aylmer: Maybe, but you don't know. You only hear about the 76 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:30,320 Sean Aylmer: good stuff, not the bad stuff. 77 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:31,040 Michael Thompson: That's a very good point. 78 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,440 Sean Aylmer: There's a lack of transparency. The thing about bergshiy Hathaway, 79 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,240 Sean Aylmer: it's got a share price, we've seen what it's done 80 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,480 Sean Aylmer: year in, year year out. Daniel Petrie undoubtedly has invested 81 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:43,840 Sean Aylmer: in some great companies, but we just don't have transparency 82 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:47,560 Sean Aylmer: around yeah what they've lost. So there is only one 83 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:48,279 Sean Aylmer: Warren Buffett. 84 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,520 Michael Thompson: Yeah, and judging by the fact that we are debating, 85 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,640 Michael Thompson: like all of these other names, and there isn't just 86 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,920 Michael Thompson: one standout person as there is in the US with 87 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:57,720 Michael Thompson: Warren Buffer has this celebrity. 88 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,279 Sean Aylmer: I suppose the closest thing you can come here is 89 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,159 Sean Aylmer: check out longevity. So people who have been successful in 90 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:06,000 Sean Aylmer: the market for twenty five or thirty years obfully obviously 91 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,880 Sean Aylmer: has a system that works. 92 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:09,960 Michael Thompson: Okay, that's a good one. 93 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:10,719 Sean Aylmer: That's a great question. 94 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,960 Michael Thompson: That's a that's one, and it's the kind of one 95 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:14,520 Michael Thompson: that you could debate with your friends. 96 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:19,000 Sean Aylmer: I mean, what it shows is just how incredible one 97 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:19,599 Sean Aylmer: Buffett is. 98 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,919 Michael Thompson: Yeah, it's pretty remarkable. Right. Can you imagine having that 99 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,520 Michael Thompson: amount of celebrity in their space where just people he 100 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,520 Michael Thompson: has disciples, just people who follow every word that he says. 101 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,640 Sean Aylmer: And he's very sort of I don't know where the 102 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,400 Sean Aylmer: modest is the right word, but he lives a modest lifestyle. 103 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,360 Sean Aylmer: And so it was the sixtieth anniversary of the and 104 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:44,040 Sean Aylmer: your shareholder meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, and you go there 105 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,839 Sean Aylmer: and it's not flash. We're not talking four seasons here, 106 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,560 Sean Aylmer: We're talking Omaha, Nebraska. I don't know that he still 107 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,000 Sean Aylmer: did it, but he and Bill Gates used to go 108 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:57,000 Sean Aylmer: to his favorite steak house after the meeting when like 109 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:58,560 Sean Aylmer: I was there. This is quite a few years ago. 110 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:00,600 Sean Aylmer: I was there and he told this sory. The night 111 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,159 Sean Aylmer: before he and Bill had Gates had gone out to 112 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:07,480 Sean Aylmer: the steakhouse ahead of the meeting, which was unusual, and 113 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,239 Sean Aylmer: they needed to get home and there were no cabs. 114 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,760 Sean Aylmer: This is pre uber There were no caves. And they 115 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:15,680 Sean Aylmer: were laughing because the two richest men in the world 116 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:17,559 Sean Aylmer: were sitting on the side of the road, were standing 117 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,160 Sean Aylmer: on the side of the road outside of the steakhouse 118 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,400 Sean Aylmer: trying to hail a cab, and no one was stopping 119 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:21,680 Sean Aylmer: for him. 120 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,279 Michael Thompson: That is fantastic. All right, Thank you very much Peter 121 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:28,320 Michael Thompson: for the question, and thank you Sean for answering it. 122 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:30,159 Sean Aylmer: Thank you Peter, and thank you Michael. I. 123 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:31,720 Michael Thompson: Remember, if you've got something that you'd like to know, 124 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:33,680 Michael Thompson: then send it through. Do what Peter did. Go to 125 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,280 Michael Thompson: Fear and Greed dot com. Dot a, you pop your 126 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:38,400 Michael Thompson: question in or headlong to LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook, any of 127 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,359 Michael Thompson: the social media platforms. Really and we will get it 128 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,480 Michael Thompson: and we will answer it. I'm Michael Thompson and this 129 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:43,520 Michael Thompson: is ask Bear and great