1 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Greed, where we answer questions 2 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:10,280 Speaker 1: about business, investing, economics, politics and more. Are Michael Thompson 3 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: and hello, Sean alem Hi Michael short after yesterday's the 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: extraordinary success of yesterday's Ask Fear and. 5 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 2: Greed episode generously off there, Michael, and. 6 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: Well someone has to. We were talking about the Lipstick 7 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: Index and it led us rather neatly into another index, 8 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 1: the Big Mac Index. And so this is our first 9 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: time I've ever done a two part Ask Fear and Greed. Really, 10 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: what exactly is the Big Mac Index? And there's a 11 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: whole stack of these things, aren't there. There's a whole 12 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: stack of different indexes, and some of them are more 13 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:47,919 Speaker 1: useful than others. Shall we say this one actually is 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 1: fairly useful. 15 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 2: So it was introduced by the Economist the magazine in 16 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: the mid eighties, I think was nineteen eighty six, and 17 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: it's supposed to illustrate what they talk about what economists 18 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 2: called the purchasing power of parody. What that means is 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 2: how much you can buy with your currency. So if 20 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 2: I've got US dollars, are living in the US, I 21 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 2: can buy a big max for X amount if I'm 22 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 2: in Australia with Australian dollars buying a big MAC, I 23 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 2: need to spend why amount, And they're basically comparing those 24 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 2: to try and show which economies can buy more stuff 25 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: with their currency. Okay, So what it does. It suggests 26 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 2: that with the right exchange rate, the cost of big 27 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: Mac in the US should be the same as the 28 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 2: cost of big Mac anywhere else. So if the exchange 29 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 2: rate is at the right point, a big Mac in 30 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: the US, big MAC in Australia the same costs. So 31 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: if we compare Australia and US Big Max based on 32 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: the Big Mac Index, the Bussie dollar should be worth 33 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 2: point eighty eight US sense or eighty eight US cents 34 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 2: for one Ossie dollar. 35 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: Yep. 36 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 2: Okay, now we're training at sixty five. So what that 37 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 2: suggests with the big Mac index is that the Aussie 38 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: dollar is ferociously undervalued versus the US dollar. Now there 39 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 2: is actually some method in this madness. I mean, it 40 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 2: kind of is humorous, but it actually does demonstrate what 41 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: things should cost if there's this parody across currencies. 42 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: And so the purpose of choosing the big Mac is 43 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,520 Speaker 1: to find something that is pretty much universally available and 44 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: is a roughly consistent product in every single market, so 45 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: that you can do a like for like comparison. 46 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 2: That is a genius of the Big Mac index, because 47 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 2: big Macs are available pretty much in most economies, in 48 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: most economies, and you're right, their uniform and so you 49 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 2: can compare. Now it's trend is your friend, Michael. 50 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 1: Yes, we have established for a long period. 51 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 2: Total science, to be honest, but it does sort of work, 52 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: you know. So the Big Mac Index says, think places 53 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,639 Speaker 2: like Switzerland and Norway are very expensive places to live, 54 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 2: and I think that's true, you know, I think Scandinavian 55 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: countries generally are considered very expensive to live. And if 56 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 2: you think about what goes into a big Mac, it's 57 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 2: not just the beef patty, the cheese, the bun. It's 58 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 2: also labor costs, you know, raw material costs, special costs 59 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 2: and things like that. So it's kind of We talked 60 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 2: about Lipstick index yesterday and you know, the final part 61 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: of the Lipsticck indexes it doesn't actually work. The Big 62 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 2: Mac Index does kind of work, okay, and it does 63 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 2: show kind of purchasing parody or not across economies. 64 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 1: I have a bad feeling that we're going to end 65 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 1: up on a run of unusual indexes and indicators. So 66 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:02,119 Speaker 1: just while you were talking there towards the very end, 67 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: I had been listening intently up until that point. 68 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 2: I could be going on. 69 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: I was, I really was, except for when I was 70 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: googling other strange economic indicators. And we talked about the 71 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: lipstick index, which is one of the first ones to 72 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: come up, but the men's underwear index, the first date indicator, 73 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: the baked bean sales indicator, the Japanese haircut indicator. 74 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 2: What's the Japanese haircut indicator. 75 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 1: Well, it's about Japanese haircuts, Sean, and quite simply, it 76 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:35,280 Speaker 1: is an indicator that women in Japan tend to cut 77 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 1: their hair and keep them short when the economy is declining, 78 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: and then let them grow out over time. Is that right? Yeah, 79 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,160 Speaker 1: that's some very nice speed googling. That was. Yeah. 80 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 2: I don't ask I'm not going to ask you the 81 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 2: underbee one. That's not good. 82 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: No, No, I don't think we want to maintain a 83 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: g rating. Actually no, it's very simple. It's basically that 84 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 1: men will forego purchasing new underwear to save money during 85 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: hard times. It doesn't really need to be men's under, 86 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: does it. It could be kind of a lot of 87 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: different products. 88 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 2: See that's one product, undies and socks. I would never 89 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 2: forgo there. 90 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: Really, I'm forgoing them right now. Sean. 91 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 2: You had to say that I had to get out 92 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: of here. 93 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: Set me up perfectly, all right, Thank you very much, Sean, 94 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: well answered. 95 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:18,240 Speaker 2: Thank you. Michael. 96 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: Remember, if you've got your own question that you would 97 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: like us to answer, or if you'd like us to 98 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 1: explore and discuss an unusual economic indicator, then please get 99 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: in touch Fear and Greed dot com dot au and 100 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: send you a question through the website or through any 101 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: of the social media platforms LinkedIn Instagram, Facebook, drop us 102 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: a note, we'll pop it on the list our Michael Thompson, 103 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: ask Fear and Greed