WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 12 May

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<v Speaker 1>From the Skying Center.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Paul Murray Live. Hello everyone.

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<v Speaker 1>Hopefully you've had a wonderful weekend, Happy Mother's Day.

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<v Speaker 2>More details about that in the moment, but I hope

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<v Speaker 2>everyone got spoiled. If not three hours left on the

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<v Speaker 2>East coast.

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<v Speaker 1>To get something from macus, I don't know now. One

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<v Speaker 1>thing that, of course was beautiful to see. Well a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people couldn't because of rain in big parts

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<v Speaker 1>of the country. But if you were lucky enough to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to see the Aurora Australis well you've been

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<v Speaker 1>able to have the photo of a lifetime. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a something that came from Tasmania where it was absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>spectacular last night. I believe a little further up north

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<v Speaker 1>in the country it'll be better tonight. If you've got

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<v Speaker 1>photo send them to me, Paul. That's got on news

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<v Speaker 1>dot com dot Au. This is the view from Victoria

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<v Speaker 1>as well, absolutely stunning. The lighthouse stuff just a special

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<v Speaker 1>expression of what mother nature can produce every now and

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<v Speaker 1>then in Kangaroo Island in Queensland as well.

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<v Speaker 2>You name mom. All the photos are there now.

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<v Speaker 1>Like a lot of people, I have been enjoying the

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<v Speaker 1>photos and going jeez, that's pretty amazing. So what actually

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<v Speaker 1>is going on that produced such beautiful skylines over the

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<v Speaker 1>past couple of nights.

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<v Speaker 3>The phenomenon occurs when electrically charged particles from solar winds

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<v Speaker 3>enter the Earth's atmosphere and interact with gases. The event

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<v Speaker 3>hits the entire planet at the same time, but the

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<v Speaker 3>tilt of the Earth at your location and the weather

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<v Speaker 3>conditions will determine just what types of colors and movement

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<v Speaker 3>you see.

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<v Speaker 2>I definitely knew that.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Nikola. If you've got those great photos, keep

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<v Speaker 1>them coming through. Paulittsgews dot com dot au. So okay,

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<v Speaker 1>Mother's Day for obvious reasons. To all of the beautiful

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<v Speaker 1>mothers in my life, Thank you so much. To my

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<v Speaker 1>beautiful mum, Jude Judith Is she's officially known, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>who taught me about the values that I've put together

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<v Speaker 1>in my life, the work, ethic, all the rest of it.

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<v Speaker 1>I love her very much and she's always so supportive

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<v Speaker 1>of what I do. Her husband Wayne as well. To

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<v Speaker 1>my beautiful wife Shan. This is the greatest job I

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<v Speaker 1>will ever have. It truly is the greatest job, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's the job I dreamed of and it's the job

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<v Speaker 1>that I hopefully will be here for a long time

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<v Speaker 1>to do, but it does come at a cost to

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<v Speaker 1>our family. I don't get to tuck the kids in

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<v Speaker 1>at night, and I'm not much of a chat in

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<v Speaker 1>the mornings. And may I just say publicly what many

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<v Speaker 1>a dad has probably written in a card, But to

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<v Speaker 1>the mums who take on all that extra because of

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<v Speaker 1>the job that dad does, thank you specifically to my wife.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, our kids are amazing and it's.

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<v Speaker 2>All because of her. All the bad stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>Dad and his poonch on for let's watch fail videos

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<v Speaker 1>kids not the greatest way to bring up future awesome

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<v Speaker 1>little Australians, but my wife balances it all out and

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<v Speaker 1>I love us so much. So all the best to

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<v Speaker 1>all the mums that are watching us, all the mums

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<v Speaker 1>around the country who are so wonderfully loyal to this program.

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<v Speaker 2>Now in.

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<v Speaker 1>Forbes today, there was a gathering of people who decided

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<v Speaker 1>to honor a mum who is no longer here, a

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<v Speaker 1>mother who, of course was murdered. Now as we know,

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<v Speaker 1>Molly was murdered a couple of weeks ago. The person

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<v Speaker 1>police believed responsible for that, what we now say is

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<v Speaker 1>alleged crime is of course currently behind bars. But there's

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<v Speaker 1>the whole conversation about bail and all of that that's

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<v Speaker 1>happened before. But I want to say thank you to

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<v Speaker 1>the people of Forbes because they use their mother's day

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<v Speaker 1>to go for a walk, and they did so in

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<v Speaker 1>their hundreds, and they did so specifically to keep Molly's

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<v Speaker 1>name in the headlines and it worked. This thing was

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<v Speaker 1>covered all over the news today and well, Doneder, every

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<v Speaker 1>person who took part of that in Forbes, they did

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<v Speaker 1>exactly the right thing. And the family spokesperson says these

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<v Speaker 1>events are necessary to keep visible Molly's name and the

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<v Speaker 1>demand that what failed her does not fail other women.

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<v Speaker 4>Magistrates really really need to think of the victims instead

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<v Speaker 4>of the perpetrators, and we just need to keep their

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<v Speaker 4>names alive because.

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<v Speaker 2>If we'd be quiet, they'll stop listening.

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<v Speaker 5>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, there was an opportunity for our government to

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<v Speaker 1>take what happened to Molly seriously, to follow what the

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<v Speaker 1>people of Forbes were walking for today and what common

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<v Speaker 1>sense made very clear. When National Cabinet meant to discuss

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<v Speaker 1>domestic violence, they should have really only concluded one urgent

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<v Speaker 1>and automatic thing. And by the way, remember those five

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars payments. Well I've read some fine print on those.

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<v Speaker 1>That was the big headline that came out of that meeting.

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<v Speaker 1>Well those don't kick in until not this but next

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<v Speaker 1>financial year, like fifteen months away. So what should have

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<v Speaker 1>happened was that, just like when John Howard after Port Arthur,

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<v Speaker 1>you get all the states together, you find one piece

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<v Speaker 1>of legislation.

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<v Speaker 2>You can make it one page long, and.

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<v Speaker 1>All it says is that if somebody has form, they

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<v Speaker 1>have zero none duck egg, bugger raw chance of bail. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>sadly that didn't happen at the federal level, but it

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<v Speaker 1>is happening.

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<v Speaker 2>In Molly's home state of New South Wales.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to commend the Men's government, who tomorrow will

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<v Speaker 1>announce in greater detail just that the idea that bail

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<v Speaker 1>will now not be available to low lives who have

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<v Speaker 1>committed domestic violence offenses in the past. Chris Means will

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<v Speaker 1>make the announcement formally and properly tomorrow, but I just

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to say well done to the News and Welds

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<v Speaker 1>government for actually doing so and putting that law in place,

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<v Speaker 1>and just finally you know that there's a cause that

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<v Speaker 1>I care about deeply, and that is making sure that

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<v Speaker 1>sick little bubbers are able to make it through their

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<v Speaker 1>first few days on this planet.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>Sadly, for that to happen, in many places around the country,

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<v Speaker 1>they need equipment donated to the kid's version of intensive care.

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<v Speaker 1>The charity that does that is the Humpty Dumpty Foundation,

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<v Speaker 1>And as you know, last year we got together and

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<v Speaker 1>we raised an awful lot of money for the good

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<v Speaker 1>people of Mildura to make sure that they would be

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<v Speaker 1>able to have parents and kids who could stay together

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<v Speaker 1>in that area to make it through the first few days.

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<v Speaker 1>If something got more serious, yes they'd go somewhere else.

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<v Speaker 1>But more equipment in more locations means that more babies

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<v Speaker 1>will survive. That's deeply important to me for the obvious

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<v Speaker 1>reasons about the loss of our little man Leo way

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<v Speaker 1>too many years ago. But of course it feels like

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<v Speaker 1>just thirty seconds ago. So tonight for Mother's Day again,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe you have forgotten the gift, or maybe you think

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<v Speaker 1>the gift that you ended up unwrapping today wasn't that amazing. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what you could do if you do have

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<v Speaker 1>any loose money around and I get it. It's tough,

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<v Speaker 1>but please go to Humpy Dumpty dot org dot au,

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<v Speaker 1>Humpty dumpty dot org dot au, because tonight they are

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<v Speaker 1>running a fundraiser to make sure that mums around the

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<v Speaker 1>country will have more medical equipment to take care of

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<v Speaker 1>what they need to keep the little people alive so

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<v Speaker 1>they become the future of our country. Please Humpty dumpty

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<v Speaker 1>dot org dot au. Big beautiful cause, big beautiful people,

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<v Speaker 1>and I love them very much. Now, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>across this weekend, your gift is going to be matched

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<v Speaker 1>dollar for dollar by all the people who are the

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<v Speaker 1>corporate supporters. All of it is tax deductible over the age,

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<v Speaker 1>over the over the amount of two dollars. So please

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<v Speaker 1>do your bit for them if you can. I know

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<v Speaker 1>I ask you so often for help with things, but

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<v Speaker 1>this audience reacts so beautifully all the time. Humpty Dumpty

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<v Speaker 1>dot org dot au is the way to get in

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<v Speaker 1>touch with the Humpty Dumpty Foundation. Now there's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a fire hose of bs that is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be coming our way from Canberra, even more so than

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<v Speaker 1>usual because the federal budget is just but a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of sleeps away. I know who cares, but the reality

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<v Speaker 1>is that it is being printed. It has been printed.

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<v Speaker 1>It is in the position of all of the people

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<v Speaker 1>in Parliament House who needed it'll be formally released to

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<v Speaker 1>a whole bunch of reporters that get locked up so

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<v Speaker 1>they get their government spin and they all come out

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<v Speaker 1>and funnily enough say exactly the thing.

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<v Speaker 2>Thankfully. We will be watching it in real time.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll learn about the budget, go inside and out for

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<v Speaker 1>you a nine thirty in a ninety minute special edition

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<v Speaker 1>of poul Marie Live on Tuesday night. I'll pull it

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<v Speaker 1>apart for you. I'll tell the five things that you

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<v Speaker 1>need to know. We'll call out the bs, we'll see

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<v Speaker 1>the games that are being played. Every treasurer loves the

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<v Speaker 1>budget because it really is their moment in the sun

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<v Speaker 1>as a way of sort of reminding us that there

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<v Speaker 1>are other people than the Prime Minister who could run

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<v Speaker 1>the country. And Jim Chalmers was out there with all

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<v Speaker 1>the family photos off here. I am just naturally picking

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<v Speaker 1>up some flowers for flower Mother's Day. A few days

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<v Speaker 1>ago there was photographers brought into the family home. Because

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not dad, just like you, and again, unlike the Left,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to be a nasty bugger. Of course

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<v Speaker 1>he loves his kids. Of course he loves his family.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course he loves his wife. But that has been

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<v Speaker 1>the pre budget look at me going into the budget.

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<v Speaker 1>But of course at the heart of this budget is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a failure to deliver on what they

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<v Speaker 1>promise to live on, and that is to actually do

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<v Speaker 1>something about cost of living. Yet it doesn't stop them

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<v Speaker 1>saying it in all of the pre hype interviews, any

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<v Speaker 1>of which took place on all the different types of

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<v Speaker 1>TV stations, Sunday News shows, Oh, there's definitely going to

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<v Speaker 1>be help when it comes to cost of living.

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<v Speaker 6>Really is the biggest priority in the budget. We know

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<v Speaker 6>that you're under the pump, we know you're under pressure,

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<v Speaker 6>and we're trying to help where we can in the

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<v Speaker 6>most responsible way.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we've done this for months, we've done it

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<v Speaker 1>for years. We know that that's not true. Now, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>this budget will formally put in place the changes to

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<v Speaker 1>the Stage three tax cards, which remember, if you're needing

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<v Speaker 1>just forty five thousand dollars, it's fifteen bucks a week,

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<v Speaker 1>and even the best spin that everyone can put on

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<v Speaker 1>the numbers. If this moves this way and this moves

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<v Speaker 1>that way, it's going to be what thirty nine dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a week in extra help. Now that extra help is,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, not money that the government produces. They just

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<v Speaker 1>turn around and say things like you'll be able to

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<v Speaker 1>keep thirty nine dollars a week now. Yes, when you

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<v Speaker 1>add it all up together, you can push it as

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<v Speaker 1>close to two thousand dollars as you want, but that's

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<v Speaker 1>not how the system works. Of course, when you pay

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<v Speaker 1>your tax, you pay it weekly, fortnightly, monthly, whatever your

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<v Speaker 1>pay cycle is, so you're.

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<v Speaker 2>Not going to notice that change.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm going to say well done to one group

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<v Speaker 1>in the media who didn't just let Jim Charmers get

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<v Speaker 1>away with just the sales job. The look at me,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm so good, I'm the guy next door. I could

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<v Speaker 1>be your future prime in all of that rubbish, and

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<v Speaker 1>it was SBS.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>SBS actually did a report a couple of days ago

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<v Speaker 1>about just how many people are struggling in the Queens

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<v Speaker 1>and town of Gladston that, of course, we've done ourtown

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<v Speaker 1>in not that long ago.

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<v Speaker 2>And Ana Henderson, who.

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<v Speaker 1>Works for SBS, decided to play to the treasurer some

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<v Speaker 1>of the things that had been in that report.

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<v Speaker 2>Now this is part of it, and it is a

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<v Speaker 2>bloke who.

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<v Speaker 1>Now lives in a car near the river because his

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<v Speaker 1>rent went up to high and he just could not

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<v Speaker 1>afford it.

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<v Speaker 2>Here he is and this was what was shown to

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<v Speaker 2>the Treasurer.

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<v Speaker 7>The rent's gone from one hundred and eighty dollars a

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<v Speaker 7>week to three hundred and twenty. Yeah, that doesn't sound

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<v Speaker 7>like much, but three hundred and twenty is pretty much

0:11:02.600 --> 0:11:06.120
<v Speaker 7>my ceiling. People need to be able to breathe and

0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:10.240
<v Speaker 7>think about more than just budgeting for every tiny little thing.

0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:14.760
<v Speaker 1>So the Treasurer was shown what that bloke is going through.

0:11:14.840 --> 0:11:16.640
<v Speaker 1>It's an example of the person we've talked about so

0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:19.200
<v Speaker 1>many times for the most obvious of reasons, because not

0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:22.439
<v Speaker 1>only do we care, but we also have to make

0:11:22.480 --> 0:11:24.400
<v Speaker 1>sure that we send the message to the people who

0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:27.239
<v Speaker 1>are watching us right now and their taxpath under accommodation

0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:29.600
<v Speaker 1>in Canberra. You've got to do something about it. You

0:11:29.640 --> 0:11:31.720
<v Speaker 1>don't just yap about it. You've got to do something

0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:35.040
<v Speaker 1>about it now. The Treasurer's response to that piece of

0:11:35.080 --> 0:11:37.680
<v Speaker 1>footage was, of course, to point to the billions of

0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:39.920
<v Speaker 1>dollars which we'll go into social housing over the next

0:11:39.920 --> 0:11:42.680
<v Speaker 1>ten years, but that bloke's living by a river tonight.

0:11:44.480 --> 0:11:47.319
<v Speaker 1>But it was the following comments which to me he

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 1>showed how the treasure has no interest in actually doing

0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:54.240
<v Speaker 1>something because he may well have been shown a video

0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:57.520
<v Speaker 1>of a classic car somebody was fixing up. There was

0:11:57.520 --> 0:11:59.800
<v Speaker 1>no emotional response. This, in fact is what he said.

0:12:02.320 --> 0:12:02.960
<v Speaker 2>We would.

0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Need to always do better, and we can do better.

0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 1>There will be billions of dollars in relief and assistance

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.760
<v Speaker 1>for people who are under the pump, in addition to a.

0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:17.319
<v Speaker 2>Tax cut for every taxpayer. That's it just sell.

0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:21.240
<v Speaker 1>I understand, I'm going to call that bloke. I'm going

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:23.440
<v Speaker 1>to work out what we could none of that. It

0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:25.760
<v Speaker 1>just was an inconvenient little bump on the road of

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.520
<v Speaker 1>self promotion in the lead up to a budget which

0:12:28.559 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>will of course.

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Make everything look rosy.

0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 1>Everything that they give to you is of course largely

0:12:35.200 --> 0:12:44.520
<v Speaker 1>done either with borrowed money or with higher taxation. But

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.160
<v Speaker 1>again the details about the number of people who are

0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:49.720
<v Speaker 1>looking to something from the government, who will get nothing

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 1>from the government and will not wake up any better.

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Now they'll say, oh, there's a tax cut, there's thirty

0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 1>nine bucks a week. Now, I understand when you're looking

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:00.840
<v Speaker 1>at that across the Australian population, it's billions and billions

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:02.840
<v Speaker 1>of dollars. But you've got to divide it by the

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 1>number of people that are working and divide that by

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.480
<v Speaker 1>fifty two weeks and you actually see how little it is.

0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:10.760
<v Speaker 1>So while everyone will focus on the big number, I'm

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:12.560
<v Speaker 1>going to focus on the number that you will be

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:14.640
<v Speaker 1>doing in your head to work out whether anything has

0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:17.600
<v Speaker 1>actually happened, whether the needle has moved at all, and

0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.920
<v Speaker 1>people need it. My bomb Shaw buddy Liz Tilly, riding

0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:23.520
<v Speaker 1>in the Quoimr today talks about how there's a million

0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 1>people in Queens and a million house olds in Queensand

0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:29.960
<v Speaker 1>that are in financial stress. Now, I've also been banging

0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 1>on for some time that this government is in a

0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:35.240
<v Speaker 1>position to cut petrol taxes. It it costs the exact

0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:37.839
<v Speaker 1>same money. About the changes they've made to make sure

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 1>that some people won't have to pay slightly higher UNI fees.

0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Three billion bucks, he's going to have a surplus. And remember,

0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:48.120
<v Speaker 1>if the surface is anything over three billion dollars, then

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:49.240
<v Speaker 1>he's got the room to move.

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:50.800
<v Speaker 2>But he won't move.

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:54.200
<v Speaker 1>In fact, he's even telling us on television he won't

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 1>move on a tax that his government doubled since they

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.199
<v Speaker 1>came to office and now is four forty nine cents

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:02.200
<v Speaker 1>per litter.

0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:05.800
<v Speaker 6>You know, we think there are other ways to provide

0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 6>that cost of living help. And we've got one hundred

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.680
<v Speaker 6>and seven billion dollars in tax cuts flowing in the

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:16.640
<v Speaker 6>coming years from July are already and that will provide

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 6>that average tax cut of thirty six dollars a week

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 6>in addition to the other cost of living help that

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 6>we are providing.

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:29.960
<v Speaker 1>No, no, honestly, think about the bloke living by the

0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:33.280
<v Speaker 1>river right now, the bloke living by the river in

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>his car. If he uses his car, he needs to

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:40.160
<v Speaker 1>pay for it with petrol. The family that are dropping

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>their kids off at childcare, the bloke who's driving the van,

0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>the woman who is going from job to job to

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 1>job as a hairdresser. They all use their cars. This

0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>is an opportunity to lessen the pressure, but for some

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:58.480
<v Speaker 1>pig headed reason, they won't do it. And perhaps it's

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:02.440
<v Speaker 1>because it is the source of revenue to them. It's

0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars of revenue to them. And if you're

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>actually honest about the upcoming budget, and it's apparent surplus.

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>You can bring it down to petrol taxes, alcohol taxes.

0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 2>Cigarette taxes.

0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>All of that takes you way past twenty billion dollars

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 1>in revenue. So without that we would be in deficit,

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.160
<v Speaker 1>which is why he won't cut it. So despite the

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 1>fact that they will bang on about it and talk

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:29.520
<v Speaker 1>all the time constantly about the cost of living and

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>the focus.

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:31.000
<v Speaker 2>Of it and the reason why.

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 1>The reality is they could pull a lever, but they

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>choose not to because it helps them have a budget surplus,

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:38.720
<v Speaker 1>which gives them the opportunity to go to an election

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and say, how good are we Interesting Pole Today's found

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:46.280
<v Speaker 1>that seventy seven seventy seven percent of voters don't think

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 1>that the federal budget will deliver on cost of living

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 1>at all. So they want to have it both ways.

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 1>They want to talk it up like they're doing it

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:55.120
<v Speaker 1>because I'm the guy next door in the flowers and

0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>the family and all that stuff. But when he's actually

0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 1>in a position to do something that would help the

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>person who's living in their car or the guy who's

0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:05.160
<v Speaker 1>homeless and sleeps in his car by the river, he

0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 1>won't do it because they need the gold star of

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:12.080
<v Speaker 1>a surplus rather than actually doing anything to help people

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:18.200
<v Speaker 1>like that bloke. Extra meantime, more poles are bad news

0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:20.440
<v Speaker 1>for the Labor Party, particularly bad news for the Prime Minister,

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:23.280
<v Speaker 1>seen here in his male model efforts in twenty twenty

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>two when he said I'm just as at home in

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>a parb as i am in a boardroom. Please, twenty

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 1>seven percent of Labor voters have apparently walked away from

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>the Labor Party since the last election. Now, if that

0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:40.720
<v Speaker 1>actually bears out at an election, then obviously you're talking

0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 1>about a potential change of government, not just minority government.

0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:45.160
<v Speaker 2>Which is where it is going to go most likely.

0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 1>The new poll shows that the federal government has lost

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 1>confidence of a large chunk of voters that carried it

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>into office. And remember only just they've got a two

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 1>seat majority in twenty two in a sign of a

0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 1>fickle electorate. No, it's a sign of an electorate that

0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 1>doesn't like being lied to, lied to by a blow

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>who promise he was going to do something about cost

0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 1>of living, but it all gets worse and then they

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:07.600
<v Speaker 1>turn around and tell you that thirty six bucks a

0:17:07.600 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 1>week for the average taxpayer is going to be enough

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:13.679
<v Speaker 1>to change anyone's lives. It's all well and good if

0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:15.760
<v Speaker 1>you've got a car paid for by the taxpayer and

0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 1>a fuel card paid for by the taxpayer. Of course

0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 1>the numbers eight percent have gone to the Greens, so

0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:27.160
<v Speaker 1>the government's not left wing enough. Eight percent has gone

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:32.440
<v Speaker 1>to the coalition. Eight percent is now undecided. And remember

0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 1>in the undecideds in many other polls, they eventually start

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:37.680
<v Speaker 1>breaking away from the government. Once you've broken up with them,

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:40.000
<v Speaker 1>it's very hard to win them back. We'll see whether

0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 1>the BS that comes out on Tuesday will actually achieve

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:45.440
<v Speaker 1>any of that. Three percent, by the way, has gone

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:48.280
<v Speaker 1>off to small parties and one Nation yet again, looking

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:50.359
<v Speaker 1>at what we've talked about before, a little growth at

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:52.879
<v Speaker 1>the moment in one nation at the moment. It always

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.919
<v Speaker 1>seems to happen mid mid survey. But we'll see what

0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 1>happens when it comes to a full election. We'll talk

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:00.920
<v Speaker 1>to James Ashby and Hobby of others and the Nosoks

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:03.680
<v Speaker 1>no Lefties Mother's Day edition here. Meantime, the polling about

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 1>the leaders themselves. Australians would rather have a beer or

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:11.480
<v Speaker 1>a meal with Anthony Albernezi, but Peter Dutton would be

0:18:11.520 --> 0:18:13.960
<v Speaker 1>the person who'd be there to pick up to put

0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:16.199
<v Speaker 1>up a shelf. So if you want something done, Dutton,

0:18:16.520 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 1>if you just want to get the fields, you hang

0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>out with Albow. In a more serious finding though inside

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:27.159
<v Speaker 1>this thing they spoke to two thousand voters and words

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:31.200
<v Speaker 1>like weak, liar and useless come up as the most

0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 1>frequent about the Prime minister. For Peter Dutton, it's strong,

0:18:35.600 --> 0:18:40.920
<v Speaker 1>but then arrogant, boring and untrustworthy.

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Now, there were some.

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 1>Pretty nasty games that were played over the weekend around

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>an issue which you and I can see as clearly

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.560
<v Speaker 1>as it is. But the federal government has now tried

0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:52.399
<v Speaker 1>to put detail on the table to make sure that

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:55.040
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow they will not be asked questions about the failures

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.120
<v Speaker 1>of how they dealt with the people who were never refugees,

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 1>who should have never stayed in the country, but they

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>stayed in the country because they were constantly appealing inside

0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:08.320
<v Speaker 1>the system. Many of these people had serious criminal records

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>and were not supposed to be back out on the street,

0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:12.320
<v Speaker 1>but they ended up back out on the street because

0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>the High Court ruled that somebody was a previous sex

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:17.400
<v Speaker 1>offender had a right to not be indefinitely detained.

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:18.119
<v Speaker 2>You know the story.

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.239
<v Speaker 1>You also know that the most egregious example of this

0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:24.439
<v Speaker 1>is a bloke who was supposed to be wearing an

0:19:24.480 --> 0:19:29.280
<v Speaker 1>ankle bracelet but he wasn't. He's a bloke who is

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:32.119
<v Speaker 1>alleged to a bit involved in the bashing. Is that

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:35.800
<v Speaker 1>Western Australian grandmother, the Westernerceralian grandmother who the Prime Minister,

0:19:35.840 --> 0:19:37.840
<v Speaker 1>by the way, even though he was in Perth last week,

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:41.080
<v Speaker 1>couldn't be bothered picking up the phone litt alonegoing to

0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:41.719
<v Speaker 1>her house.

0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 8>I'm not currently scheduled to visit Annette Simon, so my

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 8>heart goes out to Annette silence.

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 1>But the Cambra Press Gallery thought, aha, the issue has

0:19:56.040 --> 0:20:00.000
<v Speaker 1>now been neutralized because the claim is that another person

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:02.680
<v Speaker 1>who was alleged to have taken part in that assault

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:05.919
<v Speaker 1>had been released from detention in twenty twenty, and that

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>means it's all Peter Dutton's fault.

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:10.399
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Of course, without getting into too many obvious details, because

0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:16.679
<v Speaker 1>the court process is playing now, we're talking about two

0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:19.359
<v Speaker 1>very different people and two people who were released for

0:20:19.400 --> 0:20:23.160
<v Speaker 1>two very different reasons. But for those who are trying

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:25.880
<v Speaker 1>to desperately shift this issue away from one that Andrew

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Giles and Clara O'Neil and the Prime Minister need to

0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 1>answer questions about there well. Taking the stick to this one.

0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Court records show that this person was charged with a

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:37.399
<v Speaker 1>string of offenses after the coalition government released him from

0:20:37.440 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>detention in twenty twenty.

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 2>What do you do.

0:20:39.600 --> 0:20:42.000
<v Speaker 1>He's fine for drug possession and driving under the influence

0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:45.120
<v Speaker 1>of illicit drugs. Now, neither of those are acceptable crimes.

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:47.720
<v Speaker 1>But if they want to turn around and pretend that

0:20:47.720 --> 0:20:50.159
<v Speaker 1>that's the same as some of the people who were

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 1>let out under the Labour Party's watch, people who did

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 1>not end up with and apparently less than half of

0:20:56.119 --> 0:20:58.679
<v Speaker 1>the people who came out of detention at the end

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:00.919
<v Speaker 1>of last year are currently wearing ankle bracelets.

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:05.160
<v Speaker 2>Good luck. But of course Labour now says Peter Dutton, Peter.

0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Dutton and Peter Dutton and most of the media will

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 1>run that way and think he's the problem.

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:14.840
<v Speaker 8>It's up to Peter Dutton to explain how this occurred,

0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:19.720
<v Speaker 8>why this occurred, and to reconcile the statements that have

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:24.919
<v Speaker 8>been made by the Shadow Minister Patterson and Shadow Minister

0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:29.359
<v Speaker 8>Tan and Peter Dutton himself, how the statements that they've

0:21:29.440 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 8>made this week can be reconciled with this fact.

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 2>Seriously.

0:21:37.520 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Anyway, they'll have their go in question time. We'll see

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>how the media reports. I wonder which side they'll end

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 1>up picking. Now, I want to explain a couple of

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:49.800
<v Speaker 1>things about the reason events that are taking place Gaza Israel.

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:51.960
<v Speaker 1>And as you know, after October the seventh, one of

0:21:51.960 --> 0:21:54.760
<v Speaker 1>the first world leaders to get to Israel was Joe Biden.

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:59.160
<v Speaker 1>He in fact literally met and physically hugged Benjaminettania, who

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>he apparently in other meetings said look, it's okay that

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:05.840
<v Speaker 1>you respond, just don't go too far. But much of

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:10.240
<v Speaker 1>the center left governments around the world say that Israel

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:13.880
<v Speaker 1>has gone too far. Of course, the red line being

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>currently their movements into the most southern parts of Gaza,

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>as they're making their way through to a place called Rafa.

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Now again I'm just bouncing over some of the history here.

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:28.879
<v Speaker 1>Please don't send my homework to the principal. But interestingly,

0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden turned around and said, after these events started

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:36.600
<v Speaker 1>to take place, because remember essentially in Gaza, you know,

0:22:36.680 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 1>the whole top half had been hit, so people were

0:22:40.600 --> 0:22:43.000
<v Speaker 1>told move south, move south. Moved south, and about a

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 1>million people right now in the tippy bottom of the south.

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 1>But they think that there's a must there as well.

0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:49.600
<v Speaker 1>So Joe Biden went on television last week and said,

0:22:49.800 --> 0:22:52.119
<v Speaker 1>We're going to keep sending your guns and bullets, but

0:22:52.160 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to send you the massive bombs that

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.640
<v Speaker 1>could just destroy from the air.

0:22:56.840 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 2>You're going to have to go house to house to

0:22:58.359 --> 0:22:59.160
<v Speaker 2>deal with this one.

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:01.199
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of people have tried to work out

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:04.199
<v Speaker 1>how and why has Israel Has the United States gone

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:08.679
<v Speaker 1>from hugging Nittanyau to now warning Netanyahu. And if you

0:23:08.680 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 1>think it's because of the protests on college campuses, you

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:18.000
<v Speaker 1>would be wrong because the reality is that for a

0:23:18.040 --> 0:23:22.439
<v Speaker 1>certain section of voters, yes, mainly young but certainly further

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:26.360
<v Speaker 1>left wing voters who voted for Biden in two thousand

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 1>and twenty, the issue of what is happening between Israel

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:34.439
<v Speaker 1>and Palestine is an issue that they say they are

0:23:34.440 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 1>willing to move their vote. It may not go directly

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:40.199
<v Speaker 1>to Trump, but they may well just up and not

0:23:40.400 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 1>vote for Biden. If that happens, Biden would definitely lose,

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>which is why he has gone from hugging to red

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:50.840
<v Speaker 1>lining Israel.

0:23:52.359 --> 0:23:54.360
<v Speaker 2>Now important to note in.

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:56.399
<v Speaker 1>This is the C and N facts, because the C

0:23:56.480 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and N facts are going to tell you that when

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 1>it comes to people who sport Biden's handling of the situation,

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:05.720
<v Speaker 1>most of them will vote for him again in twenty

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:08.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty four. But for the Democratic voters who voted for

0:24:09.000 --> 0:24:12.200
<v Speaker 1>him last time, if they disagree with what he's been

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:15.879
<v Speaker 1>doing in terms of Israel and Palestine, they won't vote

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:18.639
<v Speaker 1>for him, and thus he will lose.

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 9>So, if you like Biden on the Israel Gaza war,

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 9>look at that, he's getting eighty seven percent of the vote.

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:26.960
<v Speaker 5>RFK Junior is getting eight.

0:24:27.160 --> 0:24:28.640
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump way down here at four.

0:24:28.880 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 9>But if you dislike Biden, if you disapprove of the

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.600
<v Speaker 9>job he's doing on the Israel Gadzawar, look at this,

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.719
<v Speaker 9>he's getting just fifty percent of that vote. My goodness, gracious,

0:24:38.760 --> 0:24:41.359
<v Speaker 9>these are people who voted for him last time. RFK

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 9>Junior is getting twenty percent. This is just a thirty

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:47.640
<v Speaker 9>point margin compared to a seventy nine point margin.

0:24:47.480 --> 0:24:49.240
<v Speaker 2>Among those who approve of Biden on.

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 5>The Israel Gaza war.

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.879
<v Speaker 9>This is a huge dividing line within the Democratic Party,

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:56.119
<v Speaker 9>and that's something, of course, we're seeing right now between

0:24:56.119 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 9>the progressive wing and those more centrist or mainstream Democrats.

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Which is why Joe Biden is in part trying to

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.080
<v Speaker 1>bring an end to all of this, regardless of whether

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:06.800
<v Speaker 1>he should or he should or he should have a

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:10.000
<v Speaker 1>long time ago. He's now claiming that there could be

0:25:10.000 --> 0:25:12.760
<v Speaker 1>a saisfire as early as tomorrow. We'll all find out.

0:25:12.800 --> 0:25:15.480
<v Speaker 1>We'll report back by this time tomorrow. Meantime, Trump was

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:17.880
<v Speaker 1>allowed out of the courtroom for just a couple of days,

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>because that's what happens. The only time he can campaign

0:25:20.400 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 1>is effectively on the weekends. He was in New Jersey,

0:25:23.000 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 1>a state where the Republicans almost won the governorship, but

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 1>essentially Republicans don't win there. It's a blue state. But

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:33.000
<v Speaker 1>apparently one hundred thousand people turned up. One hundred thousand

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:41.120
<v Speaker 1>people turned up to see Trump, and of course they

0:25:41.160 --> 0:25:43.679
<v Speaker 1>were particularly fired up about his experiences that he's been

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>having in that courtroom in New York, a courtroom that,

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>of course is supposed to be about paperwork, but it's

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 1>been so much about a whole bunch of other garbage.

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:53.919
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, here's what the crowd think of what's happening

0:25:53.920 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 1>to Trump in the courtroom just across the river. Meantime,

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:07.919
<v Speaker 1>last week, the media was excited about every little detail

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:10.240
<v Speaker 1>that Stormy Daniels had to say. Now, remember, the case

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 1>against him is not did he or did he did

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:14.360
<v Speaker 1>he or did he not sleep with Stormy Daniels.

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:15.119
<v Speaker 2>That's irrelevant.

0:26:15.520 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 1>The case against him is about whether the non disclosure agreement,

0:26:21.720 --> 0:26:25.119
<v Speaker 1>the hush money, which is not illegal, either not that

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:27.359
<v Speaker 1>it was made or not, not whether she was happy

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:29.240
<v Speaker 1>with it or not, but about how it was accounted

0:26:29.240 --> 0:26:33.440
<v Speaker 1>for in the books of the Trump organization. And surprisingly

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:36.640
<v Speaker 1>a person who hates Trump with every fiber of his being,

0:26:37.240 --> 0:26:39.520
<v Speaker 1>who has seen the reality that Biden is too old,

0:26:39.520 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>but we'll still vote for him because he ain't Donald Trump.

0:26:42.520 --> 0:26:45.239
<v Speaker 1>Comedian Bill Maher was one of the very few on

0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:47.600
<v Speaker 1>the left to actually point out that last week was

0:26:47.640 --> 0:26:50.280
<v Speaker 1>not as good as left He's thought it was. For

0:26:50.359 --> 0:26:53.400
<v Speaker 1>all of the salacious and silly information that they got,

0:26:53.960 --> 0:26:58.040
<v Speaker 1>it didn't actually move the ball forward on the paperwork case.

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 10>Say it's not a me two cake, it is not

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:02.199
<v Speaker 10>a me two king.

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:06.840
<v Speaker 11>I mean, I wasn't assaulted. I wasn't attacked or raped

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:09.160
<v Speaker 11>or coerce or black melt.

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:10.040
<v Speaker 1>They tried to.

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:11.800
<v Speaker 11>Shove me in the me two box of further their

0:27:11.800 --> 0:27:14.440
<v Speaker 11>own agenda, and first of all. I didn't want any

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:16.160
<v Speaker 11>part of that because it's not the truth and I'm

0:27:16.160 --> 0:27:17.920
<v Speaker 11>not a victim in that regard.

0:27:19.000 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 10>That's not what she's saying. No, she's talking about he

0:27:23.920 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 10>was bigger and blocking the way. It's all the me

0:27:26.720 --> 0:27:30.760
<v Speaker 10>too buzzwords. She said, Uh, there was a power imbalance

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 10>of power for sure. My hands were shaking so hard,

0:27:34.560 --> 0:27:39.520
<v Speaker 10>she said, she blacked out, blacked out. She's a porn star.

0:27:41.000 --> 0:27:43.879
<v Speaker 1>So that's the point, is that the defense's ability to

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:45.520
<v Speaker 1>come back against her, so said wont hang on.

0:27:45.600 --> 0:27:47.239
<v Speaker 2>She said this, She said that, she said this. Now

0:27:47.280 --> 0:27:49.959
<v Speaker 2>she signed these, She sang this. She's sanging this. If

0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:51.800
<v Speaker 2>you're sitting around in a jury, well, then it makes.

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:54.040
<v Speaker 1>You go yeah, probably like I walk what she had

0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>to say back to the pipework, because all of the

0:27:57.520 --> 0:28:01.160
<v Speaker 1>piperwork stuff happened before Stormy Daniels too. What's the most

0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 1>recent thing you think about before you go into the

0:28:02.920 --> 0:28:05.199
<v Speaker 1>jury room. Now, again, it's New York, they're most likely

0:28:05.240 --> 0:28:08.520
<v Speaker 1>find him guilty, But if it was anywhere else, he'd

0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:11.920
<v Speaker 1>be one hundred percent correct that the salacious stuff from

0:28:11.920 --> 0:28:14.119
<v Speaker 1>Stormy Daniels in the past few days was very different

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>than what she was saying this is after she'd apparently

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>slipped with Trump after he became the president. And you

0:28:20.840 --> 0:28:23.280
<v Speaker 1>can see that if the story gets changed when you're

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in a courtroom versus what you're willing to say when

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:28.720
<v Speaker 1>you're not under oath, it may well end up working

0:28:28.720 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 1>in the former president's favor. Anyway, we'll all wait and

0:28:31.520 --> 0:28:34.119
<v Speaker 1>see his former lawyer, Michael Cohen is going to be

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 1>first up on Monday in the United States, and the

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>media will of course go nuts. And one other thing,

0:28:39.240 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>just about the overall coverage. If like me in Australia,

0:28:41.720 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 1>you're sitting up in the middle of the night, you're

0:28:43.160 --> 0:28:46.880
<v Speaker 1>watching how granular this thing goes, hour by hour, witness

0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 1>by witness. Every TV channel that's talking about this only

0:28:51.440 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>talks to prosecutors to help interpret what's happening inside the courtroom.

0:28:56.360 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 1>Now I understand that they all hate Trump, they all

0:28:57.920 --> 0:28:59.479
<v Speaker 1>want him to be found guilty. They'd all love him

0:28:59.480 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 1>to go to jarg because if he goes to jail,

0:29:00.800 --> 0:29:05.160
<v Speaker 1>fingers cross, he doesn't become president. But you've got to

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:09.040
<v Speaker 1>have defense attorneys somewhere on television explaining what the potential

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:13.720
<v Speaker 1>response to the prosecution case is. Otherwise you're just getting

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 1>a version of State TV with a whole bunch of

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 1>people absolutely agree with what the prosecution, who of course

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 1>represents the government in this case, the State of New

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 1>York is saying. So I understand trumped arrangement syndrome means

0:29:27.920 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 1>they think they should only cover it in one way.

0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 1>But justice is supposed to be blind, and therefore you're

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 1>allowed to hear from defense analysts on television, not just

0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:39.360
<v Speaker 1>the people who.

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 2>Say he's guilty. He's always been guilty and today nothing changed.

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:47.080
<v Speaker 1>No sooks, no lefties, as I say this Sunday night,

0:29:47.080 --> 0:29:50.080
<v Speaker 1>wherever you're happened to be, and let's help you decode

0:29:50.240 --> 0:29:53.520
<v Speaker 1>the budget bs before it actually takes place. No sooks,

0:29:53.600 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>no lefties. Happy Mother's Day. Love you guys.

0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 2>We'll see in a moment or two time here on

0:29:57.640 --> 0:29:57.880
<v Speaker 2>all MO.

0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for watching wherever you're happy to be.

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get into it right now with none

0:30:06.280 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 1>other than Nicole Flint, who is the Liberal endorsed candidate

0:30:09.680 --> 0:30:11.920
<v Speaker 1>for the seat at Boothby and the best option at

0:30:11.920 --> 0:30:14.160
<v Speaker 1>the next election if you're voting in that seat.

0:30:14.200 --> 0:30:15.560
<v Speaker 2>Love you to see you, my friend.

0:30:18.560 --> 0:30:19.480
<v Speaker 4>Great to see you too.

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:23.760
<v Speaker 1>James Ashby the best option on the ballot in the

0:30:23.800 --> 0:30:28.240
<v Speaker 1>seat of your boon at the upcoming Queensland election. Back

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 1>him in if you're in that part of Australia. Love

0:30:30.280 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 1>you to see you, sir.

0:30:32.880 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 5>Good to see you till Paul. And Happy Mother's Day

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 5>to my mum and my two grandmothers. That's val Nann.

0:30:39.120 --> 0:30:41.680
<v Speaker 5>And a big thank you as well to all the

0:30:41.720 --> 0:30:44.400
<v Speaker 5>mothers who've given up their time to look after my

0:30:44.440 --> 0:30:48.800
<v Speaker 5>grandfather who's in Dubhouse in Caloundra. It'll be his last

0:30:48.800 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 5>show tonight as well, Paul, you'll lose an audience member.

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 5>I'm afraid, sorry, sorry, wonderful grandfather. Well, strength and love

0:30:56.720 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 5>family ninety one, good years, good stuff.

0:30:59.000 --> 0:30:59.400
<v Speaker 2>Good stuff.

0:30:59.400 --> 0:31:02.400
<v Speaker 1>We'll strengthen li. I appreciate the support from him and

0:31:02.440 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 1>the family in general. And Christy McSweeney well, she was

0:31:04.880 --> 0:31:08.959
<v Speaker 1>absolutely the best option on the ballot paper last year

0:31:09.080 --> 0:31:10.880
<v Speaker 1>the twenty twenty two elections. So we're can all go

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:13.120
<v Speaker 1>back in a time machine there in the meantime, you

0:31:13.120 --> 0:31:14.800
<v Speaker 1>can go so they get out there at the pr Council.

0:31:14.960 --> 0:31:16.040
<v Speaker 1>Love it to see you, my friend.

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 4>Thank you for having me now, yes, exactly, now, I'm

0:31:20.280 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 4>completely impartial.

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:26.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah all right, So I've got to say I giggle

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.160
<v Speaker 1>every year in the lead up to the budget because

0:31:28.200 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 1>I remember the types of people and when I first

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:31.360
<v Speaker 1>started doing.

0:31:31.120 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 2>Them a little while ago.

0:31:32.760 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, when all the blankers get together and they

0:31:35.440 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 1>all go, oh, it's like sitting at HS, so you

0:31:37.200 --> 0:31:39.560
<v Speaker 1>get no, it's not. They all sit around, they're basically

0:31:39.560 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 1>handed a whole bunch of press releases. Then they all

0:31:41.280 --> 0:31:43.680
<v Speaker 1>go and copy each other's own work over seven hours,

0:31:43.720 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>and then surprise, surprise, everyone comes.

0:31:45.560 --> 0:31:47.479
<v Speaker 2>Out with tax Swim four.

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:51.040
<v Speaker 1>It's only after the normal people outside of the bubble

0:31:51.080 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 1>get the chance to look at it and go hang

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:56.080
<v Speaker 1>on thirty five bucks a week, best case scenario at

0:31:56.120 --> 0:31:59.440
<v Speaker 1>thirty five bucks a week, and then reality starts to

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:01.480
<v Speaker 1>set in. But I want a little bit of a

0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:05.040
<v Speaker 1>BS guide here. Okay, James, what is a tip you'd

0:32:05.080 --> 0:32:07.200
<v Speaker 1>like to give the good people watching right now about

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:09.760
<v Speaker 1>the type of BS bingo that we should be.

0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 2>Playing on Budget Night?

0:32:11.680 --> 0:32:14.360
<v Speaker 1>Not just in the not just in the speech, but

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 1>the coverage and the spin as well.

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:18.360
<v Speaker 7>Well.

0:32:18.440 --> 0:32:21.440
<v Speaker 5>Sadly, when you go into a lock up, the Labor

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:25.200
<v Speaker 5>Party's talking points have already been delivered outside while you're

0:32:25.280 --> 0:32:27.920
<v Speaker 5>locked away for several hours, you don't get to get

0:32:27.960 --> 0:32:30.240
<v Speaker 5>out until I think it's around five five o'clock in

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:35.480
<v Speaker 5>the afternoon, so just before the Treasurer himself delivers his

0:32:35.760 --> 0:32:40.280
<v Speaker 5>wonderful speech. Yes it's only a few days later, but

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:42.960
<v Speaker 5>the problem is the media have reported all the glossy

0:32:43.040 --> 0:32:46.760
<v Speaker 5>good stuff and so it's hard then to cut through

0:32:46.760 --> 0:32:49.840
<v Speaker 5>all that positive spin that the Labor Party just continue

0:32:49.840 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 5>to dribble out every single day. Just is so good

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:55.160
<v Speaker 5>at delivering. They should be stalespeople. Peter Foster, eat your

0:32:55.160 --> 0:32:57.120
<v Speaker 5>heart out. You should have been part of the Labor Party,

0:32:57.360 --> 0:32:59.480
<v Speaker 5>not a con man on the Gold Coast.

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:00.840
<v Speaker 2>Nan Nicole.

0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Again, you've seen plenty ones you've liked, ones you haven't liked.

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:06.360
<v Speaker 1>But still, again, what's the advice you have for normal

0:33:06.400 --> 0:33:09.280
<v Speaker 1>people about Okay, when they're saying this, they really mean.

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 2>That, Paul.

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.320
<v Speaker 12>The clearest message I can send to all of our

0:33:16.400 --> 0:33:20.959
<v Speaker 12>viewers at home tonight is that don't you might as

0:33:21.000 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 12>well just ignore whatever Labor is saying. What you need

0:33:23.680 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 12>to think about is are you better off after this budget?

0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:31.440
<v Speaker 12>And unfortunately the Australian people won't be so. As Shadow

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:34.200
<v Speaker 12>Treasurer Angus Taylor has been out saying, you know, all week,

0:33:34.400 --> 0:33:40.520
<v Speaker 12>and particularly today, Labor's spending is growing faster than our economy,

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 12>so things can't get better. Inflation won't come down, and

0:33:43.600 --> 0:33:46.080
<v Speaker 12>cost of living won't come down, and certainly power prices

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 12>won't come down, and they've ruled out a cut to

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 12>fuel exercise.

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:50.080
<v Speaker 9>So I just.

0:33:50.120 --> 0:33:54.400
<v Speaker 12>Encourage everyone at home, whatever you know, whatever spin comes

0:33:54.440 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 12>out from Labor tomorrow and in the course of this week,

0:33:57.120 --> 0:34:00.720
<v Speaker 12>just ask yourselves are you better off? And I note

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:04.400
<v Speaker 12>that I'm wearing Labor red tonight because labor has the

0:34:04.440 --> 0:34:08.239
<v Speaker 12>budget and has the nation deeply in the reds, and

0:34:08.280 --> 0:34:09.359
<v Speaker 12>we have to get rid of them.

0:34:09.600 --> 0:34:13.560
<v Speaker 1>I'd also like someone somewhere right to start asking questions

0:34:13.680 --> 0:34:16.680
<v Speaker 1>about off budget money. I like somebody somewhere to be

0:34:16.719 --> 0:34:18.640
<v Speaker 1>able to start to come together and say this is

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:20.640
<v Speaker 1>how much because there's all the stuff they're going to

0:34:20.640 --> 0:34:22.359
<v Speaker 1>report and put the documents on this, that and the other.

0:34:22.400 --> 0:34:25.840
<v Speaker 1>But then there's like hundreds of billions of dollars that

0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:28.520
<v Speaker 1>sit off to the side because it's infrastructure building. But

0:34:28.560 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 1>guess what, it's all still borrowed money. It's just not

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:36.480
<v Speaker 1>money they have to own up to. But also, Christy,

0:34:37.040 --> 0:34:40.959
<v Speaker 1>I just find infuriating when government turns around and says

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:43.640
<v Speaker 1>we are delivering a one hundred and eight billion dollar

0:34:43.719 --> 0:34:46.680
<v Speaker 1>tax cut. Well, of course that's just the overall number

0:34:47.239 --> 0:34:50.160
<v Speaker 1>times the next ten years. The reality is when they

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>turn around and say you will be six hundred dollars

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:56.680
<v Speaker 1>a year better off, divided by twelve to get the months,

0:34:56.840 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 1>divide by fifty two to work out the weeks, and

0:34:59.560 --> 0:35:01.080
<v Speaker 1>then you'll go what.

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:07.640
<v Speaker 4>Look, the governments will say cost of living relief, and

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:10.960
<v Speaker 4>they've flagged that there are cost of living relief. The

0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:15.880
<v Speaker 4>truth of that is read targeted. So if you're a

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:18.760
<v Speaker 4>punter sitting at home and you're hearing the government saying

0:35:19.160 --> 0:35:22.360
<v Speaker 4>we're going to help you pay your bills, we're economic

0:35:22.400 --> 0:35:25.480
<v Speaker 4>managers better than the last people that we're in. We

0:35:25.640 --> 0:35:28.839
<v Speaker 4>are managing the economy. We are going to help Australians

0:35:28.920 --> 0:35:33.080
<v Speaker 4>through this cost of living crisis. That means only a

0:35:33.360 --> 0:35:38.240
<v Speaker 4>very very small percentage of people are going to get

0:35:38.560 --> 0:35:42.839
<v Speaker 4>about ten to fifteen dollars a week extra. A lot

0:35:42.880 --> 0:35:47.120
<v Speaker 4>of these are loaded into policy areas where the government

0:35:47.160 --> 0:35:51.360
<v Speaker 4>feels that they have got a firm ground to stand

0:35:51.440 --> 0:35:54.279
<v Speaker 4>on against the opposition. We're going to see a lot

0:35:54.320 --> 0:35:59.160
<v Speaker 4>of these targeted reliefs moved into things like childcare policy,

0:36:00.120 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 4>so not everybody out there is going to get anything

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:08.840
<v Speaker 4>at all or any help whatsoever paying their bills.

0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean just the petrol thing, right, I mean

0:36:11.280 --> 0:36:13.239
<v Speaker 1>I bang on about it all the time because I

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:17.160
<v Speaker 1>just think it is a multifaceted tax that people pay.

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:19.279
<v Speaker 1>And obviously the more you travel, the more fuel, the

0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 1>more you pay. But I mean literally the person living

0:36:22.120 --> 0:36:25.600
<v Speaker 1>in their car pays this tax all right, all the

0:36:25.600 --> 0:36:29.600
<v Speaker 1>way through to the person who's using it for commercial reasons. James,

0:36:30.120 --> 0:36:34.160
<v Speaker 1>why are they so pickheaded in not making this decision?

0:36:34.200 --> 0:36:36.759
<v Speaker 1>Because to me, the politics is pretty obvious right where

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:39.120
<v Speaker 1>you can say to the widest number of people.

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:41.120
<v Speaker 2>Here is the win, is it?

0:36:41.200 --> 0:36:46.799
<v Speaker 1>Because if they've got a ten fifteen bidding dollar surplus,

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:50.160
<v Speaker 1>that they need the fuel taxes to get to a surplus.

0:36:50.160 --> 0:36:51.719
<v Speaker 1>And that's why they're not doing it, because to me,

0:36:51.800 --> 0:36:56.640
<v Speaker 1>it seems absolutely politically stupid not to deliver something that

0:36:56.800 --> 0:37:01.400
<v Speaker 1>everyone would benefit from.

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:04.480
<v Speaker 5>Well, if they did discount it the way that Scott

0:37:04.520 --> 0:37:07.880
<v Speaker 5>Morrison and the Coalition did those years ago, they would

0:37:08.120 --> 0:37:11.799
<v Speaker 5>effectively lose about twelve billion dollars a year if they

0:37:11.840 --> 0:37:14.680
<v Speaker 5>took twenty two cents off a liter. So it's about

0:37:14.680 --> 0:37:18.400
<v Speaker 5>a billion dollars a year, a month that they'll sacrifice. Now,

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:21.840
<v Speaker 5>the problem is, though these governments have a spending issue,

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:25.240
<v Speaker 5>they don't have a revenue collection issue, because on average,

0:37:25.360 --> 0:37:31.280
<v Speaker 5>across this country, all governments collectively collect two billion dollars

0:37:31.320 --> 0:37:35.480
<v Speaker 5>worth of taxes every single day, three hundred and sixty

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:40.000
<v Speaker 5>five days a year, two billion dollars a single day. Now,

0:37:40.080 --> 0:37:43.279
<v Speaker 5>where's that money going, Well, it's been sent overseas. Look

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:46.239
<v Speaker 5>at Ukraine. We've given nine hundred and sixty million dollars

0:37:46.320 --> 0:37:51.280
<v Speaker 5>to Ukraine. We've given millions of dollars towards this new scheme.

0:37:51.360 --> 0:37:55.160
<v Speaker 5>They're paying super for those people within the public service

0:37:55.200 --> 0:37:57.480
<v Speaker 5>who take time off to go and have kids. You know,

0:37:57.520 --> 0:38:01.960
<v Speaker 5>there's another six hundred million dollars everything we do, everything,

0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:04.600
<v Speaker 5>we hand money over to p ANDNG. We want to

0:38:04.640 --> 0:38:06.759
<v Speaker 5>go and build the new stadiums over there for their

0:38:06.760 --> 0:38:11.080
<v Speaker 5>football teams, and it's just the money isn't being spent correctly.

0:38:11.200 --> 0:38:14.760
<v Speaker 5>So we don't have a revenue problem in this country.

0:38:14.840 --> 0:38:17.239
<v Speaker 5>We've got a spending problem. And if we get that

0:38:17.280 --> 0:38:20.839
<v Speaker 5>spending paired back, we can actually cut the taxes that

0:38:21.200 --> 0:38:24.880
<v Speaker 5>we are charging. Every single person in this country. And

0:38:24.920 --> 0:38:27.759
<v Speaker 5>you know the cost of living matter if you have

0:38:27.800 --> 0:38:30.120
<v Speaker 5>a look at the way that food prices are going.

0:38:30.560 --> 0:38:33.040
<v Speaker 5>I was talking to JBS Meats here at Beef Week

0:38:33.120 --> 0:38:35.880
<v Speaker 5>last week. Do you know meat prices? They say, the

0:38:35.880 --> 0:38:40.080
<v Speaker 5>supermarket meat prices is so high, yet that cattle prices

0:38:40.160 --> 0:38:43.960
<v Speaker 5>come down. The problem is JBS in one of their avatars,

0:38:44.080 --> 0:38:48.400
<v Speaker 5>is playing eighty thousand dollars a day for power and water. Wow,

0:38:48.400 --> 0:38:52.400
<v Speaker 5>that's where all these costs are coming from, Paul. It's extraordinary.

0:38:52.440 --> 0:38:55.680
<v Speaker 5>The governments are just squeezing the life out of businesses

0:38:55.800 --> 0:38:58.160
<v Speaker 5>who then pass that on to the end consumer. We're

0:38:58.200 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 5>all paying for it. So your little heeadly little tax

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:03.279
<v Speaker 5>break you claim you're going to give us is going

0:39:03.320 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 5>to go nowhere.

0:39:04.840 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 2>It's a very very good point, now, Nicole.

0:39:09.880 --> 0:39:13.520
<v Speaker 1>This new form of polling which doesn't necessarily say how

0:39:13.520 --> 0:39:15.680
<v Speaker 1>would you vote at the next election? Instead it sort

0:39:15.680 --> 0:39:18.200
<v Speaker 1>of tries to get inside the head of people about

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:20.520
<v Speaker 1>has your attitude change on the government. Is there a

0:39:20.560 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 1>sense of buyers remorse?

0:39:21.680 --> 0:39:22.560
<v Speaker 2>Where is it going?

0:39:23.440 --> 0:39:25.640
<v Speaker 1>It claims that about twenty seven percent of labor voters

0:39:26.040 --> 0:39:27.839
<v Speaker 1>who voted for them at the last election wouldn't vote

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:30.720
<v Speaker 1>the next now that vote has been replaced by some others.

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:33.120
<v Speaker 1>So essentially the primary is just a little lower than

0:39:33.160 --> 0:39:35.400
<v Speaker 1>where it was now. But that's a big churn in

0:39:35.440 --> 0:39:38.520
<v Speaker 1>a first term government. Obviously as a person who would

0:39:38.520 --> 0:39:41.000
<v Speaker 1>like to see some of that to be true for

0:39:41.040 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>you to be returned to the Parliament, But more importantly

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 1>about government get rolled over. Do you get any sense

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:49.600
<v Speaker 1>of that? Not necessarily, buyers remorse, but they've had their chance,

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:53.560
<v Speaker 1>and we don't care if it's three years. There is

0:39:53.600 --> 0:40:04.120
<v Speaker 1>a percentage of people that are willing to go backle.

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:02.720
<v Speaker 12>As we always say, the only poll that actually matters

0:40:02.800 --> 0:40:05.279
<v Speaker 12>is the one on election day, whenever that may be.

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:10.400
<v Speaker 12>Let's assume March twenty twenty five. But what is not

0:40:10.719 --> 0:40:14.560
<v Speaker 12>changing is that Labour's primary vote is disastrously bad. So

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:17.560
<v Speaker 12>I think the key message here, regardless of how the

0:40:17.800 --> 0:40:21.680
<v Speaker 12>numbers might move around from pole to pole, is that

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:24.040
<v Speaker 12>a vote for the Greens as a vote for Labor

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:26.080
<v Speaker 12>and really sort of vice versa.

0:40:26.239 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 4>So I just I really encourage viewers.

0:40:29.280 --> 0:40:31.319
<v Speaker 12>If they have any family members, because I know none

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:34.160
<v Speaker 12>of our viewers would ever ever flirt with voting Labor,

0:40:34.320 --> 0:40:35.520
<v Speaker 12>let alone the Greens.

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:37.879
<v Speaker 10>But if they have family members.

0:40:37.560 --> 0:40:41.680
<v Speaker 2>Who might be fish watch r all counts in the ratings.

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:42.759
<v Speaker 2>I don't care, but.

0:40:44.719 --> 0:40:48.000
<v Speaker 12>Sure, sure, sure, well yeah, but I'm sure that's probably

0:40:48.000 --> 0:40:50.359
<v Speaker 12>a small number. They're just keeping an eye on what

0:40:50.400 --> 0:40:51.400
<v Speaker 12>they think.

0:40:51.320 --> 0:40:52.359
<v Speaker 5>We're up to.

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 9>A vote.

0:40:54.760 --> 0:40:57.319
<v Speaker 12>What the critical thing when it comes to Labour's vote

0:40:57.360 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 12>being so disastrously low and the fact that they keep

0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:02.640
<v Speaker 12>over the line and forming government and we just saw

0:41:02.640 --> 0:41:04.800
<v Speaker 12>it here in South of Stradia with the Dunstan by election,

0:41:05.480 --> 0:41:07.680
<v Speaker 12>is that a vote for the Greens as a vote

0:41:07.680 --> 0:41:10.879
<v Speaker 12>for Labor. So people need to be very careful about

0:41:10.960 --> 0:41:15.000
<v Speaker 12>where where they're not our wonderful viewers, but friends and

0:41:15.080 --> 0:41:18.319
<v Speaker 12>family who might be flirting with doing that are putting

0:41:18.360 --> 0:41:20.480
<v Speaker 12>their vote, and please persuade them not to.

0:41:20.960 --> 0:41:22.719
<v Speaker 1>Christy, do you get a sense that the people who

0:41:22.800 --> 0:41:26.040
<v Speaker 1>have tuned out of the government are being replaced by

0:41:26.040 --> 0:41:28.280
<v Speaker 1>people that are impressed by the government, or they're people

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:31.160
<v Speaker 1>that are just moving into the great pile of undecided,

0:41:31.160 --> 0:41:34.200
<v Speaker 1>because if they're undecided, then they're up for grabs. We've

0:41:34.200 --> 0:41:37.560
<v Speaker 1>seen statistically how one nation has been improving on plenty

0:41:37.600 --> 0:41:39.799
<v Speaker 1>of national polls. So it's not that it's all about

0:41:39.840 --> 0:41:45.840
<v Speaker 1>teal voting you.

0:41:43.239 --> 0:41:47.760
<v Speaker 4>No, it's not it's certainly a drift to minor parties,

0:41:48.000 --> 0:41:51.240
<v Speaker 4>and a huge load of minor parties as well. What's

0:41:51.280 --> 0:41:54.080
<v Speaker 4>interesting here is that this is a huge sample. It's

0:41:54.120 --> 0:41:56.760
<v Speaker 4>a pole of two thousand people. Now, if we compare

0:41:56.760 --> 0:41:59.440
<v Speaker 4>that to a news pole, News polls fifteen hundred, so

0:41:59.680 --> 0:42:02.240
<v Speaker 4>the news polls the gold standard, this is even bigger.

0:42:02.600 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 4>Twenty seven percent of people have decided to change their

0:42:05.640 --> 0:42:09.600
<v Speaker 4>vote against the government. However, eight percent of those are

0:42:09.600 --> 0:42:12.840
<v Speaker 4>going Coalition and eight percent to the Greeds. And herein

0:42:12.920 --> 0:42:19.960
<v Speaker 4>lies the rup The government is desperate to avoid minority government. Now,

0:42:20.000 --> 0:42:24.080
<v Speaker 4>with eight percent of those voters going across to the Greens,

0:42:24.600 --> 0:42:28.359
<v Speaker 4>we're about to see a fracturing of the Labor Greens preferences,

0:42:28.400 --> 0:42:33.759
<v Speaker 4>particularly here in Melbourne seats like McNamara almost twenty nine

0:42:33.800 --> 0:42:38.200
<v Speaker 4>percent Green, twenty nine percent Labor and the Liberals poll

0:42:38.280 --> 0:42:42.680
<v Speaker 4>twenty nine percent two it's only Green's preferences that helped

0:42:42.840 --> 0:42:45.480
<v Speaker 4>Labor win that seat. And there's a couple of others

0:42:45.480 --> 0:42:48.640
<v Speaker 4>seats like Wills here in Melbourne as well, where the

0:42:48.680 --> 0:42:53.080
<v Speaker 4>minor party vote polls about seven eight percent. That's two

0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:58.279
<v Speaker 4>socialist parties, United Australia, Animal Justice, a whole range of them.

0:42:58.400 --> 0:43:02.239
<v Speaker 4>So people moving away away from the government isn't necessarily

0:43:02.280 --> 0:43:05.600
<v Speaker 4>going to benefit the coalition, but it's going to see

0:43:05.600 --> 0:43:09.280
<v Speaker 4>this fracturing of labor and the grades. Those labor seats

0:43:09.280 --> 0:43:11.319
<v Speaker 4>are up for grabs, and the grades have them in

0:43:11.320 --> 0:43:11.880
<v Speaker 4>their sights.

0:43:12.120 --> 0:43:13.719
<v Speaker 1>James, you've been around for a while. I say that

0:43:13.760 --> 0:43:17.600
<v Speaker 1>as a compliment, which means you've seen middle of term before.

0:43:17.960 --> 0:43:20.279
<v Speaker 1>You've seen people come and say, oh, mate, I'm all

0:43:20.280 --> 0:43:22.440
<v Speaker 1>in on you, guys, I'm ready to jump, I'm all in,

0:43:22.680 --> 0:43:26.200
<v Speaker 1>and then it sort of returns to form. Are you

0:43:26.280 --> 0:43:30.239
<v Speaker 1>seeing anything that feels different than the previous times that

0:43:30.480 --> 0:43:32.919
<v Speaker 1>people have come up to you as an obvious part

0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:35.359
<v Speaker 1>of one nation in particular, to say, mate, I'm all

0:43:35.400 --> 0:43:38.200
<v Speaker 1>in on you. Do you see something different?

0:43:40.520 --> 0:43:42.560
<v Speaker 5>I think the biggest issue at the moment with a

0:43:42.560 --> 0:43:45.479
<v Speaker 5>lot of voters out there is they don't see much

0:43:45.520 --> 0:43:49.600
<v Speaker 5>faith in the two major parties. Nicole will probably disagree

0:43:49.640 --> 0:43:51.440
<v Speaker 5>with me on this, and I'm happy for her to

0:43:51.440 --> 0:43:53.600
<v Speaker 5>do it, but look, this is just feedback that I

0:43:53.640 --> 0:43:57.800
<v Speaker 5>get from people who were previously coalition voters. They don't

0:43:57.920 --> 0:44:01.680
<v Speaker 5>know what the coalition honestly stands for. There's turmoil here

0:44:01.719 --> 0:44:02.879
<v Speaker 5>in Queensland with them.

0:44:03.560 --> 0:44:04.040
<v Speaker 2>They don't.

0:44:04.239 --> 0:44:07.280
<v Speaker 5>You know, there's left factions and right factions in every party.

0:44:07.320 --> 0:44:10.080
<v Speaker 5>I get that, but to see what the Coalition have

0:44:10.239 --> 0:44:12.960
<v Speaker 5>moved away from their conservative roots in a lot of ways,

0:44:13.239 --> 0:44:16.720
<v Speaker 5>like here in Queensland, for example, they voted for treaty.

0:44:17.280 --> 0:44:20.600
<v Speaker 5>Now that's not what the Coalition have previously stood for,

0:44:20.760 --> 0:44:23.880
<v Speaker 5>but they actively voted for it. And they actively voted

0:44:23.960 --> 0:44:27.640
<v Speaker 5>just last month to lock in net zero as a

0:44:27.719 --> 0:44:31.640
<v Speaker 5>legislative measure here in Queensland, again not typically what the

0:44:31.640 --> 0:44:33.920
<v Speaker 5>Coalition will do. So there are a lot of Conservative

0:44:34.000 --> 0:44:36.560
<v Speaker 5>voters that are saying, guys, you're planning small target in

0:44:36.600 --> 0:44:41.000
<v Speaker 5>this state. You're passing legislation with labor that goes against

0:44:41.000 --> 0:44:44.120
<v Speaker 5>the grain of what farmers want, what the average person

0:44:44.200 --> 0:44:46.719
<v Speaker 5>or regional Queensland wants. And we've had a gupful of

0:44:46.760 --> 0:44:49.480
<v Speaker 5>you because you're deceitful to our face. You tell us

0:44:49.520 --> 0:44:51.360
<v Speaker 5>one thing and when you get on the floor of

0:44:51.400 --> 0:44:53.719
<v Speaker 5>Parliament you do the opposite. So that's why a lot

0:44:53.760 --> 0:44:56.560
<v Speaker 5>of people are migrating across the minor parties like one Nation.

0:44:57.200 --> 0:44:59.439
<v Speaker 1>All right, Nicole, you may respond, but after the break,

0:44:59.480 --> 0:45:02.200
<v Speaker 1>because we people to support the businesses that support us

0:45:02.200 --> 0:45:03.600
<v Speaker 1>so we can keep the lights on it as we

0:45:03.680 --> 0:45:06.080
<v Speaker 1>know that costs more and more under this mod each

0:45:06.200 --> 0:45:09.720
<v Speaker 1>and every day. See it all, I'm more than to see.

0:45:15.120 --> 0:45:16.880
<v Speaker 1>How could I have sent you to the wrong website

0:45:16.880 --> 0:45:19.680
<v Speaker 1>for Humpty Dumpty and the Humpty Dumpty Foundation for Mother's

0:45:19.760 --> 0:45:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Date is Humpty.

0:45:20.400 --> 0:45:22.000
<v Speaker 2>Dot org DoD a you. I'm so sorry to Paul

0:45:22.000 --> 0:45:23.879
<v Speaker 2>Francis and the whole team. I love you guys very much.

0:45:24.000 --> 0:45:26.480
<v Speaker 1>It is Humpty dot org dot au. Please don't not

0:45:26.600 --> 0:45:30.600
<v Speaker 1>what you can because the gear saves lives and on

0:45:30.680 --> 0:45:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Mother's Day it's a beautiful, extra little gift.

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:34.319
<v Speaker 2>That I have no doubt.

0:45:34.360 --> 0:45:36.360
<v Speaker 1>I will not mind that you're a day late with

0:45:36.440 --> 0:45:38.480
<v Speaker 1>Humpty dot org do A you all right here? With

0:45:38.719 --> 0:45:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of course, so James Ashby, with Christie McSweeney and with

0:45:41.560 --> 0:45:43.759
<v Speaker 1>Nicole Flint. Nicole give me the thirty second response to

0:45:43.760 --> 0:45:45.600
<v Speaker 1>our chat just prior to the break where the Liberal

0:45:45.640 --> 0:45:48.240
<v Speaker 1>Party doesn't stand for anything anymore according to James.

0:45:50.960 --> 0:45:54.200
<v Speaker 12>Well, look, I'll leave Queensland state politics to James, but

0:45:54.280 --> 0:45:56.200
<v Speaker 12>I do note my dear friend and our dear friend

0:45:56.200 --> 0:45:58.839
<v Speaker 12>here at sky Amanda Stoka is running for a state seat.

0:45:58.880 --> 0:46:03.480
<v Speaker 12>There is no stronger more principled woman and candidate than

0:46:03.480 --> 0:46:07.279
<v Speaker 12>Amanda Stoker and also Peter Dutton. And I know we've

0:46:07.320 --> 0:46:09.279
<v Speaker 12>got a lot of liberal voters coming back to us

0:46:09.400 --> 0:46:14.239
<v Speaker 12>because Peter is incredibly strong and principled and people know

0:46:14.480 --> 0:46:17.480
<v Speaker 12>that he will be a strong leader who keeps us

0:46:17.520 --> 0:46:19.640
<v Speaker 12>safe and gets the economy back on track.

0:46:19.880 --> 0:46:22.400
<v Speaker 1>There is an endless fight about housing and about what

0:46:22.480 --> 0:46:25.440
<v Speaker 1>type of housing needs to be built. Particularly obviously units

0:46:25.520 --> 0:46:26.960
<v Speaker 1>is really going to be the fashion of how we're

0:46:26.960 --> 0:46:28.919
<v Speaker 1>going to get to where we need to go because

0:46:28.920 --> 0:46:32.080
<v Speaker 1>of the endless Ponzi scream of population. But there's a

0:46:32.120 --> 0:46:35.279
<v Speaker 1>specific complaint which has been launched up in Sydney which

0:46:35.320 --> 0:46:37.799
<v Speaker 1>is really interesting to me, which is most units aren't

0:46:37.800 --> 0:46:40.719
<v Speaker 1>big enough for families. One bedroom, two bedroom may be

0:46:40.880 --> 0:46:42.839
<v Speaker 1>stretched to three, but you go anything more than that

0:46:42.840 --> 0:46:45.480
<v Speaker 1>then you basically have to buy the penthouse. Christy, I

0:46:45.480 --> 0:46:47.440
<v Speaker 1>think this is an excellent point as we talk about

0:46:47.680 --> 0:46:50.440
<v Speaker 1>the need for more housing, is that the housing has

0:46:50.520 --> 0:46:54.120
<v Speaker 1>to be big enough for people who are singles or

0:46:54.160 --> 0:46:56.480
<v Speaker 1>couples with multiple children.

0:46:59.080 --> 0:47:01.560
<v Speaker 4>Yes, of course, and this is all bound up in

0:47:02.080 --> 0:47:07.440
<v Speaker 4>who has decision making power of planning laws. State governments

0:47:07.560 --> 0:47:11.440
<v Speaker 4>set the size of apartments, but then say, for example,

0:47:11.440 --> 0:47:13.480
<v Speaker 4>the city of Sydney can come in and say, well,

0:47:13.480 --> 0:47:17.640
<v Speaker 4>if you put in ev charges or bike racks, or

0:47:19.160 --> 0:47:22.760
<v Speaker 4>you allow go get or car share, car share, car base,

0:47:23.280 --> 0:47:27.680
<v Speaker 4>we'll give you extra concessions on the size of apartments

0:47:27.760 --> 0:47:31.239
<v Speaker 4>and the area that you build. And so there's all

0:47:31.280 --> 0:47:33.520
<v Speaker 4>these sorts of things. There's not only a debate of

0:47:34.200 --> 0:47:37.480
<v Speaker 4>how big these houses have to be or these units

0:47:37.560 --> 0:47:42.239
<v Speaker 4>or apartments, but where And they're not big enough for

0:47:42.400 --> 0:47:47.160
<v Speaker 4>families at all. And if we want people to live

0:47:47.400 --> 0:47:52.480
<v Speaker 4>in these affordable and social housing that governments are seeking

0:47:52.520 --> 0:47:55.040
<v Speaker 4>to build, although who knows when the states and the

0:47:55.040 --> 0:47:57.000
<v Speaker 4>federal government are ever going to come to an agreement

0:47:57.000 --> 0:48:00.000
<v Speaker 4>on how that's going to work. Apparently that's in the budget.

0:48:00.480 --> 0:48:04.280
<v Speaker 4>We're reducing cost of living burden on renders by building

0:48:04.320 --> 0:48:07.440
<v Speaker 4>more housing, which is the same agreement we're struck with

0:48:07.480 --> 0:48:12.000
<v Speaker 4>the States last year that still hasn't started. So it

0:48:12.080 --> 0:48:15.319
<v Speaker 4>is a really really difficult policy area. But no, they're

0:48:15.360 --> 0:48:17.399
<v Speaker 4>not big enough, not big enough at all.

0:48:17.520 --> 0:48:17.640
<v Speaker 9>All.

0:48:17.719 --> 0:48:19.799
<v Speaker 1>Right, let's get to a bold prediction, James Ashby, what's

0:48:19.840 --> 0:48:21.160
<v Speaker 1>definitely happening this week.

0:48:22.920 --> 0:48:24.960
<v Speaker 5>Oh, we're not going to get any promises of power

0:48:25.000 --> 0:48:26.960
<v Speaker 5>cuts that's for sure. On this budget, that's not going

0:48:27.040 --> 0:48:30.600
<v Speaker 5>to happen. Look, it's going to be another tedious, long

0:48:30.680 --> 0:48:34.040
<v Speaker 5>week full of lies spin. But by next weekend, I'm

0:48:34.040 --> 0:48:35.920
<v Speaker 5>sure the truth will start to come out about this.

0:48:35.920 --> 0:48:38.840
<v Speaker 1>Budget well, and it will start nine nine thirty Budget

0:48:38.960 --> 0:48:40.080
<v Speaker 1>Night right here on pul Murray Live.

0:48:40.160 --> 0:48:41.680
<v Speaker 2>Nicole flnd your bold prediction.

0:48:44.520 --> 0:48:47.200
<v Speaker 12>Oh look, I don't think we'll see anything announced that

0:48:47.200 --> 0:48:50.880
<v Speaker 12>will bring cost of living pressures for individuals, households, families

0:48:50.920 --> 0:48:54.040
<v Speaker 12>and particularly small businesses down. And I don't think it

0:48:54.080 --> 0:48:57.120
<v Speaker 12>will have any impact on getting inflation under control either.

0:48:57.400 --> 0:49:03.920
<v Speaker 4>Christy oscar season for political talks, except there's not much

0:49:03.960 --> 0:49:05.840
<v Speaker 4>in the gift bags poll this year. If you're in

0:49:05.920 --> 0:49:08.080
<v Speaker 4>the green energy lobby, you're going to be very happy.

0:49:08.120 --> 0:49:09.719
<v Speaker 4>If you're anybody else, probably not.

0:49:10.760 --> 0:49:12.960
<v Speaker 1>That's one red carpet I'm more than happy to avoid.

0:49:13.160 --> 0:49:15.520
<v Speaker 1>Thank you guys, do appreciate it all one, and I'll

0:49:15.560 --> 0:49:17.200
<v Speaker 1>do appreciate I took to your leg in very soon

0:49:17.280 --> 0:49:19.040
<v Speaker 1>oright quick break back with more, looking forward to the

0:49:19.080 --> 0:49:20.759
<v Speaker 1>Royal Report in a couple of minutes time. Lots of

0:49:20.760 --> 0:49:23.200
<v Speaker 1>big issues to deal with them, Caroline up in a

0:49:23.200 --> 0:49:30.040
<v Speaker 1>moment or two time that's our show for tonight, one

0:49:30.080 --> 0:49:32.520
<v Speaker 1>more time, Happy Mother's Day, lovey, and we'll see you tomorrow.

0:49:32.600 --> 0:49:32.759
<v Speaker 2>Night