WEBVTT - What will Iran’s terrorist militias do now?

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<v Speaker 1>From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey.

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<v Speaker 1>It's Monday, March to twenty twenty six, forty days of

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<v Speaker 1>morning for Ayatollah Ali Kamene, the Muslim cleric who rose

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<v Speaker 1>to become one of the most influential figures in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>now assassinated in a joint American Israeli assault on Iram. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>is Iran promises revenge and Donald Trump calls on Iranians

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<v Speaker 1>to rise up. What do Iran's terror proxies, Hesbala the

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<v Speaker 1>Hoofis and her mass do next. The Australian is covering

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<v Speaker 1>this story in immense and gripping detail with our network

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<v Speaker 1>of correspondence around the world and top analysts and newsbreakers

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<v Speaker 1>here in Australia. Now's a great time to join us

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<v Speaker 1>at the Australian dot Com to make sure you don't

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<v Speaker 1>miss a thing. As missiles and drones rain on the

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<v Speaker 1>Middle East, disrupting the entire globes trade and travel networks,

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<v Speaker 1>O correspondent Joanni Bishan joins me from Israel to explore

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<v Speaker 1>how the world has changed.

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump says Iran supreme leader is dead, as fears

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<v Speaker 2>grow for all out war in the Middle East.

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<v Speaker 3>And Iran has responded with fire across the wider Middle East.

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<v Speaker 1>Israel and the US will hope the regime will come unstuck. Yani,

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<v Speaker 1>it's been a long day and night in Israel. You've

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<v Speaker 1>been in and out of bomb shelters in the center

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<v Speaker 1>of the country since the sirens started on Saturday morning.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell me how are Israeli's dealing with their new reality.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I think there's a weary defiance to this conflict,

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<v Speaker 2>as there has been with the previous conflicts. And to

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<v Speaker 2>be quite honest, I think Israelis are losing count of

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<v Speaker 2>how many times, first of all, they've had to run

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<v Speaker 2>to the shelters, or how many times they've had to

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<v Speaker 2>lace up and go into Gaza or the front, or

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<v Speaker 2>take care of other matters like stocking up their shelters

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<v Speaker 2>and taking their kids out of school or canceling their holidays.

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<v Speaker 2>So there's a weary defiance. There's a weary sense of

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<v Speaker 2>resignation to this. But as usual, there's that typical Israeli

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<v Speaker 2>resilience that's to play. People are trying to edge life

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<v Speaker 2>forward in any way they can, Like, for example, I

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<v Speaker 2>was in Tel Aviva yesterday and I met a young

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<v Speaker 2>woman who was telling me that between running from her

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<v Speaker 2>apartment to the public shelter which's down the street, she

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<v Speaker 2>was losing a lot of time, but she still found

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<v Speaker 2>time to cook food for the rest of the week

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<v Speaker 2>and do some laundry. And although they sound like kind

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<v Speaker 2>of the unremarkable markers of everyday life, these are the

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<v Speaker 2>kind of things that are keeping people here going. You

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<v Speaker 2>just kind of have to edge forward and keep things moving.

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<v Speaker 2>And I guess aside from that, Israeli is a match

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<v Speaker 2>fit because of all that practice they've had dealing with

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<v Speaker 2>wartime psychology and pulling themselves together and dealing with disruption

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<v Speaker 2>and interruption to their lives. So pushing ahead, but certainly

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<v Speaker 2>getting tired of it.

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<v Speaker 1>You've been trying to drive around for some of that time.

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<v Speaker 1>What happens if you're on the road when the sirens

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<v Speaker 1>go off.

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<v Speaker 2>It's terribly frustrating to try and drive around in Israel

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<v Speaker 2>at the moment, because the moment you get inside your car,

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<v Speaker 2>you're liable to hear a siren going off. And when

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<v Speaker 2>a siren goes off and you're not near a safe room,

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<v Speaker 2>the best advice is to ditch the car or the motorbicle,

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<v Speaker 2>whatever vehicle you're using, and to run to the nearest

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<v Speaker 2>form of shelter. And if there is no form of shelter,

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<v Speaker 2>you should just get down on the ground and put

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<v Speaker 2>your hands over your head and try and get away

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<v Speaker 2>from any cars, because they, of course can become trapne

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<v Speaker 2>if a missile lands nearby. But what it means in

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<v Speaker 2>practice at the moment is incoming missiles every five to

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<v Speaker 2>ten minutes. If you are trying to drive one hundred

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<v Speaker 2>meters down the street, you are probably going to stop

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<v Speaker 2>and have to run for shelter. Very often. It is

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<v Speaker 2>very difficult to cover at any distances here in Israel

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<v Speaker 2>in a car. And I think that's part of the

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<v Speaker 2>terror psychology that the Iranian regime is deploying it moment.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not to launch hundreds of missiles in a single

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<v Speaker 2>bat it's to drip feed them over a very long

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<v Speaker 2>period of time, to keep people awake at night, to

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<v Speaker 2>disrupt the economy, to stop people from traveling and moving around,

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<v Speaker 2>and to interrupt life in any way possible.

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<v Speaker 1>On Sunday afternoon Australian time, Iran confirmed something it clearly

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<v Speaker 1>didn't want to confirm, that Iola Kameni is dead. Haimone's daughter,

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<v Speaker 1>grandchild and two other family members were also killed in

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<v Speaker 1>the strikes. How significant is his removal as an individual

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<v Speaker 1>Yowni in terms of Israel and the region's biggest story,

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<v Speaker 1>bigger history.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think it gets much bigger than the assassination

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<v Speaker 2>of the Iptola, and it provides certainly a level of

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<v Speaker 2>symmetry to the war that started on October seven by

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<v Speaker 2>Iraq's proxy Kamas. I mean, we have to remember that

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<v Speaker 2>it was Kamas that launched the war on October seven,

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty three, and two and a half years later,

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<v Speaker 2>it's the Ayatola and the entire Iranian military leadership and

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<v Speaker 2>political leadership that is paying the price for it. And

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<v Speaker 2>the story, of course, is that Israel kills him. He

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<v Speaker 2>didn't die of all day, She didn't gracefully step down

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<v Speaker 2>and fade into retirement. He was eliminated, just as terrorist

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<v Speaker 2>leaders everywhere have been for orchestrating attacks on the Jewish

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<v Speaker 2>State and America. And that's the story that Israelians are

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<v Speaker 2>going to be telling themselves out of this, as they

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<v Speaker 2>do with the story of the demise of Yehia Sinoa

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<v Speaker 2>and Ismailhania and Hassan Masrala of Heswellah. This was an

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<v Speaker 2>account in the case of the Iontola that very much

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<v Speaker 2>needed to be settled, the ultimate account, you might say,

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<v Speaker 2>and it's arrived. It's a remarkable situation. And the fact

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<v Speaker 2>that the Iranians wouldn't admit that he was dead for

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<v Speaker 2>many hours after the strikes occurred tells you that they

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<v Speaker 2>were in all likely could bind time to put in

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<v Speaker 2>place contingencies against a popular uprising the kind of President

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<v Speaker 2>Don Trump has been calling for.

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<v Speaker 3>Finally, to the great proud people of Iran, I say

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<v Speaker 3>tonight that the hour of your freedom is at hand.

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<v Speaker 3>When we are finished take over your government, it will

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<v Speaker 3>be yours to take.

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<v Speaker 2>And we'll see now if that transpires. If it doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>happen now, who knows when it will happen.

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<v Speaker 1>You mentioned Hesbela. Israelis have been bracing for renewed assaults

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<v Speaker 1>by Hesbella, and Iran's are the terror proxies, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>the Hoofis and Hamas. But as Tehran scrambles to regroup

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<v Speaker 1>and we work out what's happening there, how dangerous are

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<v Speaker 1>those proxy forces on their own?

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<v Speaker 2>Of the three you would have to say Hesbela and

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<v Speaker 2>the Houthis are the greater concern. Hesbella very much because

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<v Speaker 2>it's in such close proximity to israelitive just north of

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<v Speaker 2>the border, and it really has the capacity to aim

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<v Speaker 2>precision missiles ballistic missiles at Israel, and they have them.

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<v Speaker 2>They don't have them in the numbers that the Iranians

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<v Speaker 2>have them, but they do have them. It hasn't happened

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<v Speaker 2>yet because Israel has been conducting twice daily operations in

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<v Speaker 2>sudden Lebanon to neutralized key positions that Hesba fighters have

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<v Speaker 2>been trying to take. But the truth is Hesbelar is

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<v Speaker 2>not the fighting force that it was on October six,

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty three, and if it does join this conflict,

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<v Speaker 2>it will contribute to havoc in the region. We are

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<v Speaker 2>already seeing assemblance of havoc playing out in places like

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<v Speaker 2>Bahra in the UAE, Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, and elsewhere. Hesbela

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<v Speaker 2>has abstained from the fighting so far, but we have

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<v Speaker 2>to remember we're not forty eight hours into this extremely

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<v Speaker 2>consequential war, which really does have quite a way to run.

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<v Speaker 1>Tens of thousands of Israeli troops and reservists have now

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<v Speaker 1>been called up, So almost everyone in Israel has a

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<v Speaker 1>personal interest in this conflict. Apart from feeling themselves in peril,

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<v Speaker 1>They've got a loved one who might be going into

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<v Speaker 1>a conflict zone at any moment. Donald Trump's calling on

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<v Speaker 1>Iranians to rise up and seize their own government with

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<v Speaker 1>American permission and assistance, but he let them down last time.

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<v Speaker 1>So what is that prospect like for the rest of

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<v Speaker 1>the region, including Israel? If Iranians do rise up and

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<v Speaker 1>create some sort of new government, is there a possibility

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<v Speaker 1>that it could be as bad as or worse for

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<v Speaker 1>Israel than it was before.

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<v Speaker 2>I think this would seem to be a very pivotal moment,

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<v Speaker 2>to state the obvious for the Iranian people and obviously

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<v Speaker 2>the Iranian regime. If there is a popular uprising in

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<v Speaker 2>the country and they're able to take back power and

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<v Speaker 2>topple the regime, there is every likelihood that some form

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<v Speaker 2>of secular government will be reinstated and there will be

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<v Speaker 2>a parliamentary election of some kind or a democratic election

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<v Speaker 2>of some kind to see a new leader elected. But

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<v Speaker 2>if that doesn't happen, then there is just as much

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<v Speaker 2>of a likelihood that an even harderlign military or religious

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<v Speaker 2>figure will take control of the country and we will

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<v Speaker 2>have the Iotola plus plus insert himself into the fray.

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<v Speaker 2>That is not going to be a good thing for

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<v Speaker 2>Israel and the region. It's not going to be a

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<v Speaker 2>good thing for America, and it will not have achieved

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<v Speaker 2>the ultimate objectives that either side were hoping to reach

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<v Speaker 2>by launching this conflict, which even though they're not saying

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<v Speaker 2>it out loud, was to affect Regian change. That's the

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<v Speaker 2>ultimate goal here. And I suppose for the Iranian people themselves,

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<v Speaker 2>this is their moment. We know what happens when they

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<v Speaker 2>try to voice their concerns about this regime. We saw

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<v Speaker 2>large numbers of people killed on the streets of Tehran

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<v Speaker 2>and other major cities in the country. On the other hand,

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<v Speaker 2>has there been a moment of such a magnitude since

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<v Speaker 2>nineteen seventy nine, I arguably not. So it's really a

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<v Speaker 2>matter for the Uranian people, as the Israelis and the

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<v Speaker 2>Americans keep saying, If not now, then.

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<v Speaker 1>When Junny, I'm really glad we managed to find a

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<v Speaker 1>little gap between air raid soriens to speak to you.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much, Jen, stay safe, Thank you Joanni

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<v Speaker 1>Bishani is in the Middle East for The Australian. You

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<v Speaker 1>can read Yonnie's coverage, plus all our expert analysis and

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<v Speaker 1>reporting right now at the Australian dot com dot au