1 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Greed, where we take your 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:10,039 Speaker 1: questions and do our best to answer them. I'm Michael Thompson, 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: and good afternoon, Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 2: Good afternoon, Michael. 5 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: Sean, goodness me. Today's question comes from Dave and he 6 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: shared it with us via the website. He went to 7 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: Fearangreed dot com dot au and he sent his question 8 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: in through there. You can also do it through LinkedIn 9 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: or Facebook or Instagram, any of the social media platforms really, 10 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: but Dave's done it via the website. He says one 11 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: for Ask Fear and Greed. Sean uses various terms for 12 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 1: share price movements through you here bye, and he says, 13 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: I wonder which ones actually means something and which ones 14 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: and which ones are just to make more interesting copy. 15 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: I assume he says bounced is different from rose, and 16 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: spiked is different from increased, plus is different from dropped? 17 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: Or is it for me? Anything less than a five 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 1: percent change is just noise if you're not a day trader. 19 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 1: So that's interesting. Can Sean please give us a definitive 20 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: list of the phrases to pay attention to. I'm looking 21 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: forward to new terms like rocketed and limped along. 22 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 2: Day. You're a man after my own heart. 23 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: Well glorious, isn't it. 24 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, you have called me out pretty well. Because you 25 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: can't just say the share market rose, the share market fell. 26 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 2: Every time. You've kind of got to add some color 27 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 2: to it. The bottom line in this really the only 28 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 2: terms that actually have a meaning. When a market goes 29 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 2: up by ten percent or down by ten percent, it's 30 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 2: officially known as a correction. So if I ever used 31 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 2: the word correction, that means from the previous lower or 32 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: the previous peak, it has changed by ten percent. Okay, 33 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 2: so that's a correction. And then a boom and bust 34 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: is actually twenty percent. So I market from its bottom 35 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,399 Speaker 2: to a new peak. If that's twenty percent or more, 36 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 2: that's a boom market. And similarly, if it goes from 37 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 2: a peak to twenty percent less, it's a bust market. 38 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 1: Is there is there a specific amount it has to 39 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,119 Speaker 1: fall in order to use the term crash? 40 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 2: Ah? So crash, No, there isn't a term but a crash. 41 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 2: Certainly in journalism we only ever used crash when it 42 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 2: really fell. We're talking ten to twelve in a session. 43 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 2: So when we're talking about boom and busts and corrections. 44 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: They tend to be over a period of time. But 45 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 2: when a crash, you know, a ten percent, twelve percent, 46 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 2: fifteen percent drop would be a crash. I don't tend 47 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,359 Speaker 2: to use the word crash unless that has happened. And 48 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 2: I remember working as a journalist in October two thousand 49 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 2: and seven and the basically the fin Review talked about 50 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: the market crashing, and I said, is it a crash? 51 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 2: And I remember my editor at the time saying, well, 52 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: if this is a crash, what is The famous even 53 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 2: more famous example was in nineteen twenty eight when the 54 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 2: Wall Street Journal I think it was the New York Times, 55 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 2: I think it was the Wall Street Journal. The first 56 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 2: sentence the day after the big crash was Wall Street 57 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 2: crashed yesterday. That's it. That's just what the sentence said. 58 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 2: So that's crash. All these other terms that we're talking about, 59 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 2: you know, spike tends to meet it went up and down, 60 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 2: pete doesn't it sort of means something similar but not 61 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: quite the down path, just sort of hit a peak. 62 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 2: Plunged is certainly a big drop. Drop is just a 63 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 2: smaller plunge. 64 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: Really, really, now it's getting into the color like we 65 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: are plummeted. Do you like plummeted? 66 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 2: Plummeted I don't like as a word, because plummeted to 67 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 2: me means I mean, that's a crash, isn't it? Okay, 68 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: a plummet. 69 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: Sword is nice kind of sword. That's that's that's. I 70 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: mean when you see a company's we're talking individual stocks here, 71 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: if you see a share price shoot up by kind 72 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: of ten or fifteen percent in a day, you would 73 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: say that that share price sawed yesterday. I mean I 74 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: have done that in the afternoon report when I've been 75 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 1: filling in for you, which is actually a confession. You 76 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 1: probably didn't know that. 77 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Yeah, no, I mean sword is it is? 78 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:23,720 Speaker 2: You don't want to overeg it. And Dave's point here 79 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 2: is anything less than five percent change is just noise, 80 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:31,159 Speaker 2: unless you mean, if you're not a day trader. I 81 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 2: think that's right. I mean the point here is that 82 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 2: we say National Australia Bank went up yesterday one point 83 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 2: one percent. It's not that much. I mean it did 84 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 2: hit a seventeen year high. That's probably more interesting than 85 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 2: the one point one percent. But Dave, you've got to 86 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 2: understand we're talking about the markets every day, and we 87 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 2: sometimes do overriggit. Perhaps that's the point. There are certain 88 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 2: stocks like wise Tech Global. I have continually talked about 89 00:04:55,320 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 2: that going up five percent or two percent for months 90 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 2: months now, and I think it's up seventy percent over 91 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 2: the last twelve months or so. So it's cumulative effect 92 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 2: of those small increases is certainly significant. But broadly Dave's right, 93 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 2: don't get too excited if a market, you know, share 94 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:18,600 Speaker 2: goes up one or two percent or down one or 95 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 2: two I think it's quite easily going to reverse the 96 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 2: next day. 97 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 1: And how about I'm really just using this now as 98 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: for my own education, how many kind of of these 99 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: sub indices need to be to finish the day down 100 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: in order for it to be a sea of red? 101 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 2: Ah, the sea of red. So it's not even the 102 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 2: sub indicy. So you can actually have two sub diseas 103 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 2: up nine down, but the tour up like financials and resources. 104 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 2: So therefore the market ends up, if you know what 105 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 2: I mean. 106 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: So gotcha? Okay, So really it's just overall, then you 107 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 1: need an overall. 108 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 2: The telecommunication index is basically Telstra. There's not a lot more. 109 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: There are three or four companies see read day, Michael, 110 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 2: I reckon seventy five percent. You're allowed to say you see. 111 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: Read pride, and before that, it's what a lake of 112 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 1: read and then just a pond of red and then 113 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 1: just a trickle. 114 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 2: There's just a trickle, a creak of red running through 115 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 2: the green. Yeah. 116 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 1: All right, Well, Sean, I've taken notes on this, and 117 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 1: really the one thing that I have written down, as 118 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: you can see, and I have circled over and over again, 119 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: is just don't over egg it is the is the 120 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: take home message here, which I feel like is a 121 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: message that was tailored pretty much just for me. 122 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 2: The melodrama king. 123 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's also a message that I probably will disregard. Dave. Look, 124 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 1: I hope we've answered your question. I think I've actually 125 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,920 Speaker 1: learned a lot today. Not saying that I wasn't expecting 126 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:54,119 Speaker 1: to when we came into it, but you have certainly 127 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 1: exceeded my expectations today. 128 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 2: Sean, thank you very much. Take that as a compliment. 129 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 1: Well you should, because certainly intended as one. And thank 130 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 1: you Dave for the question. If you have your own 131 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: question that you would like to put to Sean, it 132 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: can be something about language, it can be about business. 133 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: It can be about the economy, be about anything really relationships. 134 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: We haven't counseled anyone through a breakup yet, happy to 135 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: do that. Then send your question in through LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook, 136 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: or do what Dave did in head to the website 137 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 1: Fearangreed dot com dodau. I'm Michael Thompson and this is 138 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: asked Fear and Greed