1 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Christinamiot. 2 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: It's Monday, November ten, twenty twenty five. The Family Court 3 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,959 Speaker 1: judge whose landmark ruling made puberty blockers more accessible to 4 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: gender dysphoric children says she now has doubts about her decision. 5 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: In twenty thirteen, former Family Court Chief Justice Diana Bryant 6 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: accepted expert evidence puberty blockers were a safe and reversible option, 7 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 1: but now she believes it's up to parliaments to put 8 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: regulations in place rather than relying on disputes before the courts. 9 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: Another day, another data hack, and this time the Australian 10 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: Defense Force is at the center of the breach. Blueprints 11 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: for high tech fighting vehicles might have been delivered into 12 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: the hands of adversaries who could use them to develop 13 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: effective countermeasures. Those exclusive stories alive right now at the 14 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: Australian dot com dot Au. The Liberal Party is bitterly 15 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: divided between those who believe they can save net zero 16 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 1: and those who wish it dead and buried. They'll meet 17 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,759 Speaker 1: in Camber this week to decide on their policy once 18 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 1: and for all, and Susan Lee's leadership hangs in the balance. 19 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: That's today's episode. 20 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I will do the right thing, but 21 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 2: my view is that we won't get to that because 22 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 2: I don't believe that my colleagues want Australia to be 23 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 2: ranked with those baddies. 24 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: This is the Opposition Housing spokesman Andrew Bragg on the 25 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: ABC's Insiders program on Sunday. He's talking about the issue 26 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: that's tearing the coalition apart, net zero, and he says 27 00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: Australia will be in some pretty dicey company if his 28 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: party abandons a missions reduction scheme. 29 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: I don't think we can give up on it. Our 30 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 2: policy has to be to make it actually work. I 31 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 2: think we're all in leadership roles and it's important that 32 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 2: we don't give up on things that are hard. 33 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: But what would you do well, I. 34 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: Don't imagine that Australia is going to be in a 35 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 2: grouping with Azerbaijan, Iran and Syria. 36 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: Andrew Bragg is a believer in net zero. He and 37 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 1: his fellow moderates want the Liberals to commit to a 38 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: plan that would help us reach net zero emissions in 39 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: the second half of this century. The goal is to 40 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: remove as much greenhouse gas from the Earth's atmosphere as 41 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: we produce by transitioning to renewables and investing in reforestation 42 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: and carbon capture and storage. But some of Bragg's Liberal 43 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: Party colleagues, like Senator Sarah Henderson don't want to hear 44 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 1: about it. 45 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 3: I strongly believe that we need to resolve our position 46 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: very very quickly, as it's a I think well known. 47 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 3: I vehemently oppose NIT zero in all of its guys, 48 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,399 Speaker 3: as it's sending our country backwards. It's causing enormous environmental 49 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,519 Speaker 3: and economic harm. And the Nationals have done. 50 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,359 Speaker 1: Up valconvene at a special Party room meeting in Canberra 51 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: on Wednesday to thrash it out. 52 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 4: So at the moment we're debating the interpretation of the 53 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 4: Paris Agreement and whether to retain two words in the 54 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 4: policy platform. 55 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: Greg Brown is the Australian's chief political correspondent. 56 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 4: In many ways, it's the fight they had to have. 57 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 4: It was the fight they really had to have in 58 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 4: the last term after they lost in twenty twenty two, 59 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 4: and they ended up not having any debates really, which 60 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 4: I think was a big mistake, and then they papered 61 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 4: over all their divisions with the nuclear policy if you're 62 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 4: a member. So that was something that the whole party 63 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 4: agreed with. So they just put aside the divisions on 64 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,040 Speaker 4: netzer by twenty fifty and they all got behind this 65 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 4: nuclear agenda that they had. So really it's coming to 66 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 4: a head in a way that it is uglier than 67 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 4: it needed to be because it's had that waiting time, 68 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 4: and also the party's being led by a leader who 69 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 4: only just won a ballot. There is a lot of 70 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 4: anger within the Moderate faction, the supporters of Susan Lee 71 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 4: about her handling of this issue. They think that she 72 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 4: could have come out very quickly, similar to what she's 73 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 4: done with tax cuts, and said we will retain that 74 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 4: zero under my leadership, but not at any cost, and 75 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 4: we'll look at exactly how that will manifest itself. But 76 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 4: by leaving it completely open, they think that it allowed 77 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 4: the anti net zero forces to gain momentum and get 78 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 4: it to a stage where it's a very good chance 79 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 4: of being dumped. What we're reporting in the paper on 80 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 4: Monday is that the Moderate a proposing a way to 81 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 4: keep net zero, which is net zero the Australian Way, 82 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 4: which would not link net zero to a timeline and 83 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 4: would be very much about pragmatism and getting more gas 84 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 4: out of the ground and a technology agnostic approach and 85 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 4: get a sense of patriotism to it, that we're not 86 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 4: just going to go to net zero for the reasons 87 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 4: of Paris and the international community just for the sake 88 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 4: of it, that we will do it the Australian way. 89 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 4: But there is a view from Conservatives that this argument 90 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 4: has just been put too late and basically the party room, 91 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,119 Speaker 4: according to what the Conservatives are say in the party room, 92 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 4: as pretty well coalesced around a decision to drop net zero. 93 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 1: Andrew Bragg said on Sunday he wouldn't abandon his principles 94 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: if his party abandons net zero or agrees to leave 95 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: the Paris Agreement. It's an international agreement signed by Australia 96 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 1: just under a decade ago to limit global warming to 97 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,919 Speaker 1: two degrees celsius by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. 98 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 4: So he's saying he'll quit the front bench. The question 99 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:17,160 Speaker 4: was put to him about retaining net zero and leaving Paris, 100 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 4: and he it feels like he grabbed onto the Paris 101 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 4: element of that and said, yeah, well, get sure, I'll 102 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 4: leave the front bench if that's the case, but I 103 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 4: think there's a legitimate interpretation that he was asked about 104 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 4: net zero as well, and he said sure. I think 105 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 4: there is still a question about whether they come out, 106 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 4: they stay in Paris, but they drop net zero, whether 107 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 4: he does leave all together. But certainly there is a 108 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 4: fierce battle being plagued by the likes of himself, Dave 109 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 4: Sharma and other leading moderates who were working very hard 110 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 4: behind the scenes to keep net zero going. And I 111 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 4: think a real blow for them is it's not just 112 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 4: some of the leading conservatives who were open to net 113 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 4: zero who have now shifted, people like James Patterson and 114 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 4: Angus Taylor, they shifted their support away from net zero. 115 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 4: It's also some of the key powerbrokers that are crucial 116 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 4: for Susan Lee's leadership who are not in that faction. 117 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 4: So you've got Alex Hawk from the center right, and 118 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 4: then you've got James McGrath who's from the centrist faction 119 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 4: in Queensland. So the fact that it's multi factional now 120 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 4: I think is a bigger problem for the moderates. 121 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, you've written for The Australian that Andrew Bragg is 122 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: a key supporter of Susan Lee's what does the future 123 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: hold for her if she can't hold on to the 124 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 1: people who do back her much less the people who don't. 125 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 4: Well. I think this is a crucial question because some 126 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 4: in the Moderates are worried that not only will they 127 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 4: lose net zero, but if they then cause too much 128 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 4: havoc for Susan Lee and then they lose a leader 129 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 4: who's typically sympathetic to them as well, and all they 130 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 4: end up with is no net zero and Angus Taylor 131 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:02,679 Speaker 4: as leader, the Moderates pull their support to her all together, 132 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 4: I think is unlikely. However, I think no matter how 133 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 4: this goes on Wednesday, Susan Lee's leadership will face significant strain. 134 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 4: It's already under a lot of strain, and I think 135 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 4: the Conservatives are threatening mayhem if there's any retention at all, 136 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 4: even in a vague way of net zero. So I 137 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 4: think she's got a lot of tough days ahead. 138 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: Coming up. Does the conservative math on net zero add up? 139 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: Senator Sarah Henderson said on Friday the opposition's support of 140 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: net zero has hurt them in the last few elections. 141 00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: She's been one of the vocal advocates of dumping net 142 00:08:59,920 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 1: zero policy going into Wednesday's meeting, But the Climate two 143 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: hundred backed Teal Independence have gone from strength to strength 144 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 1: in that same time, so does what she is saying 145 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 1: ring true. Are Australian voters genuinely going to accept a 146 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 1: no net zero position from either party? 147 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 4: Well, it's difficult to reconcile what people like Sarah Henderson 148 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 4: and Andrew Hasty and Just Enterprise say based on the 149 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:29,280 Speaker 4: results from twenty twenty two, in twenty twenty five and 150 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 4: the rise of the tials and all that. However, looking forward, 151 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 4: there is globally a change in sentiment around this issue. 152 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 4: The OECD put out a report just on Friday showing 153 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 4: that there has been a slow down in global action 154 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 4: on climate. We've seen Donald Trump pull out of Paris, 155 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 4: We're seeing anti net zero parties doing very well in 156 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 4: the polls. Nigel Fras is doing well in the polls 157 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 4: in Britain, and the Conservative Party have dumped the commitment 158 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,960 Speaker 4: to net zero altogether. So I think moving forward there 159 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 4: are plenty of political headaches potentially in dropping that zero, 160 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 4: but closer to the next election twenty twenty eight, it 161 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 4: will become increasingly clear. I think that Australia will not 162 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 4: meet US twenty thirty target and the transition will continue 163 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 4: to be messy. What that means for power prices, I 164 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 4: think is they're probably going to keep going up as well, 165 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 4: and that will leave I think the Coalition with a 166 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 4: very clear argument that Labor's committed to net zero but 167 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 4: it's not hitting any of its targets. All it means 168 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 4: is a lot of expense for voters. We will do 169 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,719 Speaker 4: it another way. While there is risk politically in it, 170 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 4: I can see a pathway to success, but I think 171 00:10:48,400 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 4: it pretty much means it's very difficult to win back 172 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 4: those old blue ribbon seats in Melbourne and Sydney. 173 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: And after Wednesday, what then. 174 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 4: I just think they need to get this resolve before Christmas. 175 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 4: They can't see this blood letting go on into next 176 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 4: year and they need to start putting the pressure back 177 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 4: on the government and the government they're twenty thirty five 178 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 4: target landed pretty well. Really, it's a big range, sixty 179 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:24,559 Speaker 4: two to seventy percent. But as I said, the difficulties 180 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 4: for the government in this will actually be delivering on it, 181 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 4: and that's where there will be pressure for Labor. So 182 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 4: at the moment it looks like Labour's in a pretty 183 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 4: unassailable position. But when you look at both this issue, 184 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 4: the budget the economy, I think if the Libs can 185 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 4: sort this out and then act with relative stability going 186 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 4: on into next year, I think there are opportunities to 187 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 4: land some blows on the government. 188 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 1: Greg Brown is The Australian's chief political correspondent. You can 189 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: check out his reporting and analysis right now at the 190 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: Australian dot com dot au